Termarr Johnson

Termarr Johnson

20-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Pittsburgh Pirates AA
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Johnson won't make good on some of the ridiculous comps scouts were putting on his hit tool as an amateur before the 2022 draft, but he's still tracking towards being a bat-first everyday second baseman. He got off to a slow start in a return to High-A as a 20-year-old, but from mid-May on, he slashed .260/.364/.437 with 14 home runs, 18 steals and a 20.4 percent strikeout rate in 90 games, including 14 games at Double-A to close the year. Johnson also slashed .250/.444/.475 with three steals and more walks (14) than strikeouts (11) in 11 Arizona Fall League games. He still saw 40 starts at shortstop in 2024, but he played the majority of his games in all three leagues at second base, which is a better fit for his fringe-average arm. An opportunistic base stealer with a career .390 OBP, Johnson is a better prospect in dynasty leagues that use OBP instead of batting average. He hits most of his home runs to the pull side, and it's possible he could be a 25-homer/15-steal second baseman in a couple years. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
From Preseason
$Signed a $7 million contract with the Pirates in July of 2022.
Injures leg during AFL game
2BPittsburgh Pirates  AA
Foot
October 8, 2024
Johnson was removed from an Arizona Fall League game Tuesday with a right foot injury, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Johnson wasn't able to put any weight on his right leg/foot after taking a swing and had to be carried off the field by trainers. The 20-year-old infielder had been looking to build off a season that saw him slash .235/.363/.383 across 546 plate appearances between High-A and Double-A, but it appears he could be held out of action for a while.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Johnson hasn't been bad in pro ball -- he has been between 39 and 42 percent better than the average hitter in the full-season leagues he has played in -- but his performance has not quite matched the pre-draft scouting report. Seen by some evaluators as one of the best pure hitters from the prep ranks since Joe Mauer ahead of the 2022 draft, Johnson has had success despite a .240 average in 128 pro games. What he has lacked in high batting averages, Johnson has made up for with high on-base percentages and walk rates. He has a career .413 OBP and walked at a 21.8 percent clip at Single-A and a 22 percent clip at High-A during his age-18/19 season. Johnson has logged solid exit velocities relative to most teenage middle infielders, but he has been inconsistent on contact, sporting a mediocre 22.1 Soft% and infield-flyball rates north of 21 percent at both stops last year. Given his overall production and the investment from the Pirates (No. 4 overall pick in 2022), Johnson is on track to be the team's everyday second baseman in a couple years, but he figures to be better in OBP leagues than batting average leagues and may only be a plus contributor in OBP and runs while being adequate in the rest of the offensive fantasy categories.
With the fourth-overall pick in the 2022 draft, the Pirates landed one of the most highly-touted prep hitters in years. Some scouts go all the way back to Joe Mauer or Ken Griffey Jr. when trying to find a comparable high-school hitter to Johnson. While prep position players with a 70-grade hit tool are rare, it's even rarer to see likely second basemen who stand 5-foot-8 getting selected in the top five of the draft. He played shortstop in high school in Atlanta but primarily played second base in his pro debut, and that's where he figures to stick. Johnson got off to a slow start in his 23-game pro debut across complex ball and Single-A, but he closed strong, slashing .357/.500/.607 with one home run, four doubles, four steals and an 11:10 K:BB over his last 10 games. The hope is that he remains hit-over-power and naturally gets to 20-plus homer pop rather than selling out for power at the expense of his greatest tool. He is already physically maxed out and doesn't grade well as a runner, but Johnson attempted seven steals in his first 23 games, so perhaps he could chip in double-digit steals in the majors if he develops into an on-base machine. The main thing is the hit tool, however. If he hits as expected, he will be a sought-after fantasy asset for a decade-plus. Johnson should spend most of his age-18/19 season at High-A.
More Fantasy News
Moves up to Double-A
2BPittsburgh Pirates  AA
August 25, 2024
The Pirates promoted Johnson from High-A Greensboro to Double-A Altoona on Sunday, Andrew Destin of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hitting below Mendoza Line
2BPittsburgh Pirates  AA
May 15, 2024
Johnson is hitting .172 with a .390 OBP, one home run and four steals in 31 games for High-A Greensboro.
ANALYSIS
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Promoted to High-A
2BPittsburgh Pirates  AA
August 1, 2023
Johnson was promoted from Single-A Bradenton to High-A Greensboro on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Shakes off calf issue
2BPittsburgh Pirates  AA
July 20, 2023
Johnson has gone 2-for-7 with a double and two RBI in two games for Single-A Bradenton since exiting Sunday's contest with a calf cramp.
ANALYSIS
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Leaves game with calf cramp
2BPittsburgh Pirates  AA
Calf
July 16, 2023
Johnson left Sunday's game with Low-A Bradenton in the sixth inning with a calf cramp, Kevin Gorman of TribLive.com reports. He went 2-for-4 with a home run and a double in Bradenton's 9-4 win over Dunedin prior to his departure.
ANALYSIS
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