Day-To-Day
Injury Arm
2022 Stats
W-L
11-11
ERA
2.96
WHIP
0.95
K
190
SV
0
2023 Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
McKenzie came out of 2021 with a mixed bag of results which gave us a good idea of what 2022 could be with better breaks. McKenzie's breaking balls were unhittable in 2021, but the league jumped all over his fastball when he was behind in the count. The task for McKenzie coming into 2022 was to get ahead in the count more frequently so he could attack batters with the slider and curveball, and he was up to the task as he nearly cut his walk rate in half while giving up little in the strikeout area en route to a much improved sophomore campaign. McKenzie's curveball is still a ridiculous pitch as the league hit .120 off it with a 45% whiff rate, but was able to hit the slider more this season to the tune of a .271 average with a noticeable reduction in his whiff rate. McKenzie had a show-me changeup in 2021 which he shelved this past season as he chose to attack lefties and righties with the same three pitches. Neither hit him that well, but righties did have 15 of the 25 homers against him. It is unlikely he brings the changeup back, but now the concern for the tall lanky youngster is repeating a big workload season as he went from 120 innings to working over 200 innings last season when factoring in the postseason work. Read Past Outlooks

Pulled with arm tightness
McKenzie was removed from Sunday's Cactus League start against the Reds as a precautionary measure due to right arm tightness, Zack Meisel of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The 25-year-old delivered a scoreless first inning during his final start of spring training Sunday but never returned to the mound. Any arm injury is a concerning development -- especially this late in spring training -- which leaves McKenzie's availability for the start of the regular season up in the air.
The 25-year-old delivered a scoreless first inning during his final start of spring training Sunday but never returned to the mound. Any arm injury is a concerning development -- especially this late in spring training -- which leaves McKenzie's availability for the start of the regular season up in the air.
Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
87
How many pitches does Triston McKenzie generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Triston McKenzie generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-4%
BAA vs RHP
2022
-5%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020vs Left | .201 | 163 | 52 | 109 | 21 | |||
Since 2020vs Right | .193 | 204 | 59 | 134 | 31 | |||
2022vs Left | .194 | 87 | 22 | 55 | 10 | |||
2022vs Right | .205 | 103 | 22 | 83 | 15 | |||
2021vs Left | .203 | 63 | 28 | 42 | 8 | |||
2021vs Right | .186 | 73 | 30 | 42 | 13 | |||
2020vs Left | .235 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 3 | |||
2020vs Right | .143 | 28 | 7 | 9 | 3 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-3%
ERA at Home
2022
-11%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020Home | 3.61 | 0.99 | 152.0 | 11.0 | 2.7 | ||||
Since 2020Away | 3.74 | 1.06 | 192.2 | 8.5 | 3.0 | ||||
2022Home | 2.77 | 0.90 | 81.1 | 10.6 | 1.8 | ||||
2022Away | 3.11 | 0.99 | 110.0 | 7.7 | 2.3 | ||||
2021Home | 5.17 | 1.24 | 55.2 | 10.7 | 4.5 | ||||
2021Away | 4.76 | 1.13 | 64.1 | 9.8 | 4.2 | ||||
2020Home | 2.40 | 0.53 | 15.0 | 13.8 | 1.2 | ||||
2020Away | 3.93 | 1.20 | 18.1 | 9.3 | 3.4 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Triston McKenzie compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.32K/9
8.9BB/9
2.1HR/9
1.2Fastball
92.5 mphERA
2.96WHIP
0.95BABIP
.244GB/FB
0.77Left On Base
79.6%Exit Velocity
82.2 mphBarrels/BBE
5.0%Spin Rate
2270 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.3%Swinging Strike
12.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
McKenzie had risks coming into 2021 which, in hindsight, played out as expected. The long-and-lanky righty had but one full season of development work on the farm, but flashes of brilliance in 2020 elevated his fantasy stock last year, setting many up for disappointment. McKenzie maintained his ability to strike hitters out with a 27.5 K% and held the opposition to a .194 batting average, but an 11.7 BB% along with a 1.6 HR/9 tipped the scales to an unsightly 4.95 ERA. It isn't often we see a 4.95 ERA associated with a pitcher that has a high strikeout rate and a sub-.200 opponents' average, but McKenzie's mistakes were command-driven, and his mistakes got punished. The upside is still there, but so is his thin frame, so temper any expectations of him exceeding 150 innings this season. There will still be bumps in the road, but the pieces for success are here.
More Fantasy News

Shaky control Sunday
McKenzie allowed three runs on three hits and three walks over 1.2 innings in Sunday's Grapefruit League game versus the Diamondbacks. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Set to start Saturday
McKenzie is scheduled to start Game 3 of the Guardians' ALDS matchup with the Yankees on Saturday, Zack Meisel of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Yields one run
McKenzie allowed one run on four hits over five frames against the Royals on Monday. He struck out four and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Six strong innings
McKenzie allowed one earned run on three hits and a walk while striking out six across six innings Wednesday against the Rays. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Posts 13 strikeouts in win
McKenzie (11-11) earned the win Wednesday, allowing two runs on six hits over eight innings in an 8-2 victory over the White Sox. He struck out 13.
ANALYSIS
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