15-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 6/6/2025
2025 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Darvish was limited to just 16 starts in 2024, in part due to elbow inflammation but also because of an off-the-field family concern that kept him away for an extended period of time. He returned to post a 3.55 ERA in five September starts and was excellent in two NLDS outings against the Dodgers. Darvish is expected to enter 2025 with a clean bill of health, but after averaging 20 starts and 109 innings over the last two seasons, fantasy managers can't rely on him to provide volume in his age-38 season. He's also not the swing-and-miss pitcher he once was, seeing his strikeout rate drop again in 2024 to a career-low 23.6 percent. The good news is, Darvish isn't going to cost much to acquire at this point and there could still be a bit of upside in his right arm. Read Past Outlooks

Resumes throwing
Darvish (elbow) played catch from 90 feet Monday, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Darvish had his throwing program temporarily halted after experiencing some soreness following a minor-league rehab start May 14, but the issue was never deemed a setback, and the right-hander has since been able to resume playing catch. Per Cassavell, Darvish "didn't look inhibited" in Monday's throwing session, and manager Mike Shildt said after the hurler played catch that "he's in a good spot" and is "making steps forward." Still, there doesn't seem to be a set timeline for Darvish to restart his rehab assignment, which makes his 2025 debut date for the Padres equally hazy.
Darvish had his throwing program temporarily halted after experiencing some soreness following a minor-league rehab start May 14, but the issue was never deemed a setback, and the right-hander has since been able to resume playing catch. Per Cassavell, Darvish "didn't look inhibited" in Monday's throwing session, and manager Mike Shildt said after the hurler played catch that "he's in a good spot" and is "making steps forward." Still, there doesn't seem to be a set timeline for Darvish to restart his rehab assignment, which makes his 2025 debut date for the Padres equally hazy.
Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log

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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2025
No Stats
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .255 | 119 | 38 | 108 | 15 | |||
Since 2023vs Right | .232 | 100 | 27 | 91 | 15 | |||
2025vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2025vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Left | .222 | 38 | 10 | 32 | 5 | |||
2024vs Right | .212 | 40 | 12 | 33 | 7 | |||
2023vs Left | .271 | 81 | 28 | 76 | 10 | |||
2023vs Right | .245 | 60 | 15 | 58 | 8 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-1%
ERA at Home
2025
No Stats
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | 4.06 | 1.21 | 130.2 | 9.4 | 2.5 | ||||
Since 2023Away | 4.12 | 1.21 | 87.1 | 8.6 | 3.0 | ||||
2025Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2025Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Home | 3.64 | 1.12 | 54.1 | 8.8 | 2.5 | ||||
2024Away | 2.63 | 0.95 | 27.1 | 8.2 | 2.3 | ||||
2023Home | 4.36 | 1.27 | 76.1 | 9.8 | 2.5 | ||||
2023Away | 4.80 | 1.33 | 60.0 | 8.7 | 3.3 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
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Darvish was pitching capably, albeit not at the All-Star level of previous years, before right elbow inflammation put him on the shelf at the end of August. A bone spur was discovered, ending his campaign, and at the time Darvish and his doctor could not rule out a cleanup procedure in the offseason. Darvish, now 37, has a history of elbow trouble including Tommy John surgery in 2015 and a stress reaction in 2018. He owns the record for the most strikeouts by a Japanese-born pitcher in MLB history, though his dominance has been fading in recent years (25.1 K% over the past two seasons). The team context is a mark in his favor, particularly the dimensions of Petco Park, but it's becoming increasingly tougher to justify the dice roll on his health with the skills in decline. The bone spur looms as a major concern -- surgery to shave or remove the spur would not necessarily solve all of Darvish's problems at this stage. Per his doctor, such a procedure could make the elbow too loose and open the right-hander up to other potential issues.
More Fantasy News

Not ready to come off IL
Darvish (elbow) felt tightness in his elbow following his rehab start with Triple-A El Paso on May 14 and doesn't feel ready to pitch in a big-league game, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Return timeline still uncertain
Padres manager Mike Shildt said that Darvish (elbow) won't pitch during San Diego's three-game series in Toronto that begins Tuesday, Annie Heilbrunn of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared to begin rehab assignment
Padres manager Mike Shildt said Monday that Darvish (elbow) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A El Paso on Wednesday, Kyle Glaser of Foul Territory TV reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throws to hitters Thursday
Darvish (elbow) threw three innings in a simulated game Thursday, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could return in late May
Darvish (elbow) is likely still several weeks away from his 2025 Padres debut, but he could be activated from the IL in late May, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Behind in build-up?
Manager Bob Melvin indicated Thursday that the Padres are "concerned" about Darvish's lack of workload with Team Japan during the World Baseball Classic, per Dennis Lin of The Athletic, so it's possible the right-hander opens the season with a limited workload.
ANALYSIS
The 36-year-old has thrown just five innings during the tournament, including two frames out of the bullpen Wednesday. Two game appearances at this point would appear to put Darvish behind schedule in order to be fully stretched out by Opening Day, though he's likely still building up his arm in bullpen sessions. Even if Darvish is limited a bit to begin the season, it's unlikely to have a major effect on his 2023 outlook. He inked a six-year, $108 million extension with the Friars in January after he finished last season with a 3.10 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 197:37 K:BB in 194.2 innings.
The 36-year-old has thrown just five innings during the tournament, including two frames out of the bullpen Wednesday. Two game appearances at this point would appear to put Darvish behind schedule in order to be fully stretched out by Opening Day, though he's likely still building up his arm in bullpen sessions. Even if Darvish is limited a bit to begin the season, it's unlikely to have a major effect on his 2023 outlook. He inked a six-year, $108 million extension with the Friars in January after he finished last season with a 3.10 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 197:37 K:BB in 194.2 innings.