Cairo Santos

Cairo Santos

31-Year-Old KickerK
Chicago Bears
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Santos has attempted just 10 kicks from 50-plus yards since 2016, making up for it with a huge number of tries between 40-49 yards. Despite being weighed down by a Matt Nagy offense, the 30-year-old still managed 30-plus field-goal attempts for a second consecutive season last year. The Bears made small moves to improve the offense around QB Justin Fields, but it probably won't be enough to make Santos consistent. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a five-year, $17.5 million contract with the Bears in March of 2021.
Another season of high accuracy
KChicago Bears
January 8, 2023
Santos converted an extra point in the Bears' 29-13 loss to the Vikings in Week 18 and ended the season with 90 points over 16 games played.
ANALYSIS
Santos has been extremely accurate in his three years with the Bears, and he was over 90 percent accurate on his field-goal attempts this season. The problem for fantasy is the Bears offense. He averaged well less than two field-goal attempts per game, and he hasn't averaged more than two attempts in any of his three years with the team. Unless the Bears offense makes a significant jump in 2023, his volume will make him tough to roster as a primary option in 12-team fantasy leagues. He's under contract through 2025.
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106 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Santos was an unlikely source of stability for the Bears' troubled kicking game in 2020, taking advantage of his second stint with the team after detours to Tampa Bay, Tennessee and Los Angeles. His overall track record is less than stellar, including only 10 of 20 from 50-plus yards, but the five-year, $16 million extension he signed in March puts Santos toward the upper end of kickers in terms of job security.
Santos didn't take long to bounce back after he lost a preseason kicking battle to Matt Gay in Tampa Bay, signing with the Titans after Ryan Succop landed on IR. The 27-year-old now takes over in Tennessee, where Succop averaged just 26.8 field-goal attempts and 32.5 PATs over the past five seasons, despite playing 16 games each year. Apart from 2016, the Titans offense has been league-average or worse for the past decade.
Santos lost the job in Kansas City last season when a groin injury opened the door for Harrison Butker, who converted 38 field goals in 13 games. After briefly catching on in Chicago, the 26-year-old Brazilian finds himself in New York, where he needs to fend off competition from Taylor Bertolet. The Jets are unlikely to provide their kicker with a wealth of opportunities, regardless of which player wins the job.
Santos tied a career high with 129 points last season thanks to an 88.6 field-goal percentage, also a career high. He has finished as the No. 6 scoring kicker in back-to-back seasons, and given his 7.5 percentage point increase in accuracy, the starting job is firmly his for 2017. With the Chiefs' offense expected to be a solid unit again, there's little reason to think Santos will take a major step back in the scoring column, though there's also little reason to believe he'll take a big step forward.
Santos wasn't a highly-accurate kicker during his rookie 2014 season, and he got even worse last year, with only two kickers who played at least 12 games finishing with a worse conversion rate. That being said, four of his seven misses came from beyond 50 yards (and two more from beyond 40), so at least he's hitting the higher percentage ones. The Chiefs have shown no interest in bringing in competition, so Santos' job is safe for now. If the Kansas City offense can maintain its level from last season, or at least not fall off a cliff, Santos should be a decent fantasy option, though one has to wonder if the team will start considering an alternative if he doesn't improve his accuracy.
Santos' cumulative stats from his 2014 rookie season were better than his week-to-week production, as he attempted more than two field goals just once before Week 15, but then had three, four and five attempts in the last three weeks, the last of which many leagues ignore. Additionally, even when he was given opportunities, they weren't deep enough to benefit fantasy owners with bonus points. Santos only had two opportunities from 50-plus yards, and missed 30 percent of his chances between 40 and 49 yards (7-of-10). Ultimately, the Chiefs didn't provide enough scoring opportunities as he finished 17th in PAT attempts and 18th in field-goal attempts. He could possibly see more opportunities this season, as the Chiefs added wideout Jeremy Maclin and will rely on the continued development of tight end Travis Kelce and perhaps the league's best running back in Jamaal Charles, but it's tough to see Santos leaping into a top-tier fantasy option.
Santos beat out Ryan Succop for the Chiefs' kicking job. As an unproven kicker attached to a seemingly mediocre offense, a wait-and see approach is in order for prospective fantasy owners.
More Fantasy News
Scores four points in defeat
KChicago Bears
January 1, 2023
Santos converted his lone field-goal attempt in the Bears' 41-10 loss to the Lions on Sunday.
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Scores seven points
KChicago Bears
December 24, 2022
Santos converted both of his field-goal attempts in the Bears' 35-13 loss to the Bills on Sunday.
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Scores two points in loss
KChicago Bears
December 18, 2022
Santos converted two of three extra-point attempts in the Bears' 25-20 loss to the Eagles on Sunday.
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Second missed field goal of season
KChicago Bears
December 4, 2022
Santos converted two of three field-goal attempts and one of two extra-point tries Sunday in the Bears' 28-19 loss to the Packers.
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Converts lone field-goal attempt
KChicago Bears
November 27, 2022
Santos made a field goal and extra point in the Bears' 31-10 loss to the Jets on Sunday.
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