Justin Thomas

Justin Thomas

31-Year-Old Golfer
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2025 Fantasy Outlook
Thomas' 2024 was nowhere near as bad as some made it out to be. He recorded nine top-15 finishes despite failing to get back in the winner's circle for the first time since the PGA Championship in 2022. Thomas was left off the Presidents Cup team even with his incredible record in team events, so you know he's going to be fired up going into 2025 to make sure he leaves no doubt that he should be on the Ryder Cup squad for Bethpage. Thomas ranked 25th in SG: Total and 17th in adjusted scoring average in 2024. He was also ninth in SG: Approach and third in SG: Around-the-Green, but a career-low 174th in SG: Putting. That area will need to be better if Thomas is to return to being amongst the top players in the world. Read Past Outlooks
Top-10 finish at Torrey Pines
February 17, 2025
Thomas logged a three-under 69 in the final round of The Genesis Invitational to finish in a share of ninth place.
ANALYSIS
Thomas has now finished top-10 in five of his last seven starts. His swing with the irons was so locked in at Torrey Pines as he gained over eight strokes on approach, which was the best mark in this elite field. The bad news was that he actually lost strokes off the tee, around the green and with the putter. Certainly a few things to clean up, but Thomas' consistent dominance on approach is leading to all these high finishes. A hot putting week and he will be back in the win column. Thomas is not playing the Mexico Open.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Justin Thomas See More
Yahoo PGA DFS Picks: The Genesis Invitational Cash and GPP Strategy
9 days ago
Justin Thomas caught fire at the end of the previous event, and Bryce Danielson expects him to bring the heat again in this week's PGA DFS contests on Yahoo.
2025 The Genesis Invitational Betting: Picks, Odds, Predictions and Best Bets
9 days ago
The best bets for The Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines, including why Ryan Pohle thinks Shane Lowry will win his head-to-head matchup this week on DraftKings.
FanDuel PGA DFS Picks: The Genesis Invitational Cash and GPP Strategy
10 days ago
Cam Davis has been getting the job done, and Ryan Andrade recommends finding a spot for him in your lineups for this week's PGA DFS contests on FanDuel.
The Genesis Invitational One and Done Picks, Strategy and Analysis
10 days ago
Rory McIlroy will be a popular pick at this weekend's Genesis Invitational. Should you target him for One and Done pools?
Weekly PGA Preview: The Genesis Invitational
10 days ago
A full preview of this week's Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines, including why Greg Vara thinks Justin Rose can continue his strong play from his last start.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
It goes to show you how good Thomas is at golf to have everyone think his game fell completely off the cliff while still earning over $3.5 million and finishing in the top-50 at the end of the season. Yes, Thomas had a tough campaign, but there's no reason to think that this will continue into this season. Thomas is simply too good to miss out on the top-30 going forward and as such, he's a must-have in salary cap formats. Thomas was averaging over $6 million per year in the six years prior to this past season and that was without elevated events.
Thomas put together one of the greatest final round comebacks to win the PGA Championship in a playoff over Will Zalatoris. The 29-year-old is now in that elite class of having won multiple major champinships. While that is incredible, that ended up being the 15-time PGA Tour winner's only victory of the 2021-22 season. Thomas' finish to the season was not anywhere close to how he played at the start, but his 10 total top-10 finishes did tie the second-highest mark of his career. The putter is the real determining factor for Thomas because his ball-striking and short game are both elite. Given all the purse increases for 2022-23, it would be shocking if Thomas did not better the nearly $7 million he earned in 2021-22.
At times, Thomas has looked like the best golfer on the planet the last five years, but for some reason, he hasn't taken control of the throne. Instead, he's one of a very few select golfers that could be considered the best in the world at any given time. It's sounds odd, but with only one win and little more than $6.5 million in 2020-21, Thomas underperformed. It sounds crazy, but Thomas had won three or more events in three of the previous four seasons heading into last season. He also posted consecutive seasons above $8 million. The potential for a $10 million is there, but Thomas just needs to dominate for longer stretches. Even though it's a $6.5 million hit to a salary cap squad, Thomas should be given consideration in that format this year.
Expectations were sky high for Thomas entering 2019-20 and he did not disappoint. Thomas won three times before the playoffs and scored nine top-10s in just 17 starts prior to the Tour Championship, where he tied for second. At just 27, Thomas is right in the middle of his prime, and while he set the bar pretty high this past year, he has more than enough game to play even better. Thomas' next conquest will be multiple majors, and he's more than capable of racking them up.
Thomas is still an enigma as he looks like the best player in the world at times and others, he looks unrecognizable. Last season he had to deal with a wrist injury that cost him two months in the middle of the season, yet he still managed to bank over $5 million. Considering his previous two seasons he earned $8 million and $9 million respectively, Thomas is almost a "must-have" in salary cap formats this season. His $5 million price tag is the only thing keeping him from a definite "must-have" as that's a large investment, but there's every reason to believe that with a full season, he'll again be around $8 million this year.
Although he finished seventh on the FedEx points list, Thomas was the leading money earner in 2017-18. Prior to the FedEx Cup, that held a lot more prestige, but considering the FedEx bonus is more than anyone earned on the course last season, it obviously has lost some luster. It is an important number for salary cap leagues, however, as Thomas enters this season with the highest price tag. Thomas won three times last season and five times the season prior. He's in the conversation of best golfer alive, and there's no reason to think he falls out of that conversation this season. As mentioned, though, the price tag is too high for salary cap purposes this season. In draft leagues he could go as high as No. 1, but shouldn't fall below third or fourth overall.
There are several words that come to mind when thinking about Thomas' 2016-17 season. Awesome, incredible, impressive and don't forget surprising. Thomas has had the "potential" label for a few years now, but unlike most of his buddies, Thomas had yet to reach his potential. That began to change early in the 2016-17 season as he posted three wins before the month of February. As expected after that third win, the golf world went nuts and Thomas was inserted as the Masters favorite, the FedExCup favorite and a lock for the Hall of Fame. A funny thing happened after that third win though, Thomas' game left him for several months. He obviously found his game before the end of the season and that's why it was so impressive. It would have been easy to get complacent after three wins to start the season, but he battled through a slump that saw him miss three consecutive cuts at one point, to end the season on top of the golf world. With all of that said, there is simply too much talent on the PGA Tour for any one golfer to do what Thomas did last season, in two consecutive seasons.
Thomas' ascension to the top of the PGA Tour ranks has come fast and furious. As a rookie in 2015, Thomas was unable to find a victory or even a top-3 for that matter, but he was able to parlay seven top-10s in to over $2.2 million in earnings. Last season, Thomas won his second start and never looked back. When it was all done, Thomas added three more top-3s on his way to over $4 million in earnings. Thomas appears to be getting better and even though he set the bar pretty high last season, he should be able to improve upon his number this year. In draft leagues, Thomas should go in the 2nd-round.
Thomas has an opportunity to be an absolute stud on the PGA Tour. A part of an Alabama team that won a National Championship, Thomas won the third Web.com Tour Finals event, the Nationwide Children's Hospital Championship, in a playoff for his first win of the year. Coupled with a second, third, fourth, and a fifth, it was an extremely solid year for Thomas, who finished fifth in total season money, will start the 2014-2015 PGA Tour season second on the Reshuffle List, and is in prime position to make a fall charge. Averaging 311.5 yards off the tee and ending the year third in scoring average, fantasy players will want to draft and start this guy early and often: he’s got the making of an absolute young gun.
More Fantasy News
T48 at AT&T Pro-Am
February 3, 2025
Thomas carded a one-under 71 on Sunday at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am to finish seven-under and tied for 48th.
ANALYSIS
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Getting closer to long-awaited win
January 19, 2025
Thomas finished in solo second place at The American Express after shooting a six-under 66 in the final round.
ANALYSIS
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Climbs leaderboard Sunday
January 5, 2025
Thomas jumped into a share of 26th place after firing a 10-under 63 in the final round of The Sentry.
ANALYSIS
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Unable to hold back Scheffler
December 9, 2024
Thomas struggled to a one-under 71 in the final round and had to settle for third place at the Hero World Challenge.
ANALYSIS
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Still looking to get back in win column
October 28, 2024
Thomas shot a bogey-free four-under 66 in the final round but would end up losing to Nico Echavarria by one stroke at the ZOZO Championship.
ANALYSIS
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