MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Anthony DeSclafaniGio GonzalezNationals10098891051149810.0-1851:05 PM
    Walker LockettKyle HendricksCubs989988981141002:20 PM
    Chance AdamsNathan EovaldiRed Sox114112781091059910.0-1604:05 PM
    Carlos RodonBlake SnellRays9295979490110
    Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Anthony DeSclafaniGio GonzalezNationals10098891051149810.0-1851:05 PM
    Walker LockettKyle HendricksCubs989988981141002:20 PM
    Chance AdamsNathan EovaldiRed Sox114112781091059910.0-1604:05 PM
    Carlos RodonBlake SnellRays92959794901107.5-1706:10 PM
    Matt HarveyJeremy HellicksonNationals10098891051149810.0-1857:05 PM
    Austin GomberIvan NovaPirates969710110383948.5-1207:05 PM
    Jose UrenaZach EflinPhillies9895120971241098.5-1707:05 PM
    Felix PenaCorey KluberIndians11411411010298948.5-2457:10 PM
    Tyler AndersonFreddy PeraltaBrewers105103131961081038.5-1457:10 PM
    Kevin GausmanZack WheelerMets909310190921068.01057:10 PM
    Burch SmithJose BerriosTwins10510395105113938.5-2507:10 PM
    Dylan BundyMike MinorRangers1171081071101069310.5-1508:05 PM
    Andrew SuarezClay BuchholzDiamondbacks1161091061051111008.5-1458:10 PM
    Jordan ZimmermannEdwin JacksonAthletics9697849787968.5-1859:05 PM
    Lance McCullersKenta MaedaDodgers909511396901037.5-1359:10 PM
    Marco EstradaJames PaxtonMariners919610594971047.5-25010:10 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Chance Adams (R)at BOS0.00.00.00.000.000.00$4,80011917.9
    Tyler Anderson (L)at MIL213.022.58.014.51.444.141.23$7,400$8,4009117.5
    Jose Berrios (R)v KC 284.723.86.917.01.013.731.14$11,000$10,7008021.7
    Clay Buchholz (R)v SF 58.319.56.113.40.933.861.25$7,300$8,5009722.6
    Dylan Bundy (R)at TEX285.023.27.315.91.644.361.22$7,600$7,5009825.1
    Anthony DeSclafani (R)at WAS52.721.37.613.82.565.471.35$6,300$6,20010520.0
    Zach Eflin (R)v MIA141.017.85.012.81.664.791.28$8,000$8,3009122.9
    Nathan Eovaldi (R)v NYY64.023.43.220.21.553.800.94$7,700$7,50011122.5
    Marco Estrada (R)at SEA279.720.48.212.21.514.961.37$5,400$7,10010319.8
    Kevin Gausman (R)at NYM310.721.07.613.31.454.581.45$8,100$6,6009322.0
    Austin Gomber (L)at PIT22.320.012.27.80.813.221.16$5,600$5,6009421.3
    Gio Gonzalez (L)v CIN315.322.010.311.70.883.251.28$7,000$7,20010420.4
    Matt Harvey (R)at WAS192.716.68.58.11.825.891.48$6,100$6,00010520.0
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)v CIN236.715.36.09.31.644.871.22$5,700$6,40010620.1
    Kyle Hendricks (R)v SD 266.720.66.713.91.213.481.20$8,100$8,0008224.7
    Edwin Jackson (R)v DET116.718.28.39.91.934.551.36$6,400$6,8007822.5
    Corey Kluber (R)v LAA348.730.24.126.11.062.480.90$10,100$10,40011821.1
    Walker Lockett (R)at CHC5.713.320.0-6.70.009.532.47$4,000$5,50010920.4
    Kenta Maeda (R)v HOU232.726.67.119.51.203.911.19$8,300$8,60010919.1
    Lance McCullers (R)at LAD240.726.08.617.40.754.151.25$8,800$10,00011921.7
    Mike Minor (L)v BAL188.023.56.317.21.153.831.12$7,100$7,0008422.3
    Ivan Nova (R)v STL301.316.74.612.21.464.211.28$5,600$7,2009421.7
    James Paxton (L)v TOR262.330.26.623.60.863.221.08$12,900$9,5008921.5
    Felix Pena (R)at CLE67.023.810.613.21.615.241.54$5,900$6,20011119.3
    Freddy Peralta (R)v COL47.332.813.519.30.763.611.08$9,300$7,4008123.8
    Carlos Rodon (L)at TB 127.723.49.713.61.413.741.23$9,000$8,50010524.0
    Burch Smith (R)at MIN54.023.311.411.91.676.001.50$4,500$5,5009520.6
    Blake Snell (L)v CWS248.324.810.414.40.983.191.20$9,400$10,0009424.7
    Andrew Suarez (L)at ARI100.721.05.815.21.164.111.27$6,000$8,0009722.2
    Jose Urena (R)at PHI288.317.48.19.31.194.061.26$6,300$6,90010324.3
    Zack Wheeler (R)v ATL206.722.09.212.91.134.571.41$8,400$9,0009720.6
    Jordan Zimmermann (R)at OAK231.016.85.611.21.605.571.45$6,200$7,80011321.5

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Chance Adams (R)at BOS0.00.00.00.000.0000.00.00.00.000.000
    Tyler Anderson (L)at MIL22.67.215.41.150.31021.77.214.41.300.322
    Jose Berrios (R)v KC 22.210.212.01.240.32223.05.717.31.070.308
    Clay Buchholz (R)v SF 15.810.65.20.850.32518.16.112.01.580.310
    Dylan Bundy (R)at TEX18.37.810.51.460.34027.37.719.61.730.306
    Anthony DeSclafani (R)at WAS20.95.815.22.240.37120.97.113.70.920.276
    Zach Eflin (R)v MIA14.16.08.12.450.37517.64.812.80.940.305
    Nathan Eovaldi (R)v NYY20.38.711.51.730.34819.94.115.81.530.285
    Marco Estrada (R)at SEA21.57.813.71.250.28721.29.112.11.510.342
    Kevin Gausman (R)at NYM21.98.713.21.320.32321.55.915.61.520.349
    Austin Gomber (L)at PIT14.67.37.30.900.35824.516.38.20.730.243
    Gio Gonzalez (L)v CIN23.16.716.40.330.24921.810.011.81.080.317
    Matt Harvey (R)at WAS16.49.17.31.700.38018.36.412.01.280.325
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)v CIN16.47.78.61.540.32918.34.314.01.310.307
    Kyle Hendricks (R)v SD 22.87.615.21.110.29020.45.415.00.920.276
    Edwin Jackson (R)v DET18.911.17.91.270.32816.07.98.12.220.373
    Corey Kluber (R)v LAA27.05.921.11.030.26830.34.425.80.990.254
    Walker Lockett (R)at CHC10.025.0-15.00.000.34920.010.010.00.000.460
    Kenta Maeda (R)v HOU19.98.811.01.270.32131.75.326.41.000.265
    Lance McCullers (R)at LAD31.59.122.40.530.28123.310.313.00.850.329
    Mike Minor (L)v BAL29.94.925.00.380.23321.46.714.81.410.323
    Ivan Nova (R)v STL12.64.28.41.630.36321.54.617.01.220.308
    James Paxton (L)v TOR24.96.618.30.570.29828.45.922.50.840.278
    Felix Pena (R)at CLE21.615.06.51.360.35128.16.521.61.670.324
    Freddy Peralta (R)v COL29.115.513.61.610.36537.111.225.80.000.153
    Carlos Rodon (L)at TB 25.96.119.80.910.28722.89.113.81.430.326
    Burch Smith (R)at MIN20.08.611.41.900.38226.013.712.21.480.335
    Blake Snell (L)v CWS27.710.317.30.130.23324.011.212.81.030.314
    Andrew Suarez (L)at ARI22.52.919.60.330.22420.56.713.81.470.353
    Jose Urena (R)at PHI12.68.24.51.320.33221.47.813.61.050.306
    Zack Wheeler (R)v ATL24.111.013.01.490.34620.47.712.70.850.303
    Jordan Zimmermann (R)at OAK17.05.911.01.540.34815.45.49.91.410.357

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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