MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Jose BerriosNathan EovaldiRed Sox11411278109105999.0-1451:05 PM
    Yonny ChirinosDylan BundyOrioles106103114101121941:05 PM
    Burch SmithJ.A. HappYankees1039514299123929.5-3801:05 PM
    Zach EflinLuis CastilloReds10410011998108106
    Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Jose BerriosNathan EovaldiRed Sox11411278109105999.0-1451:05 PM
    Yonny ChirinosDylan BundyOrioles106103114101121941:05 PM
    Burch SmithJ.A. HappYankees1039514299123929.5-3801:05 PM
    Zach EflinLuis CastilloReds104100119981081069.5-1201:10 PM
    Corey KluberJordan ZimmermannTigers103981041031011048.02251:10 PM
    Jeremy HellicksonJose UrenaMarlins84938691831038.51351:10 PM
    Ross StriplingSean NewcombBraves1021061169881989.01201:35 PM
    Zack WheelerJoe MusgrovePirates969710110383949.0-1351:35 PM
    Ryan BoruckiCarlos RodonWhite Sox9590122991101069.0-1152:10 PM
    Mike MinorLance McCullersAstros8393109941091018.5-2902:10 PM
    Frankie MontasGerman MarquezRockies1381211171161188712.0-1303:10 PM
    Junior GuerraAndrew SuarezGiants90975310074997.5-1154:05 PM
    Marco GonzalesFelix PenaAngels919691961021099.0-1204:07 PM
    Clay BuchholzJoey LucchesiPadres92978597971038.01054:10 PM
    Kyle HendricksJohn GantCardinals911029710082958.51058:08 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Jose Berrios (R)at BOS280.023.96.817.11.033.701.12$10,800$10,70011918.6
    Ryan Borucki (L)at CWS29.018.07.810.20.002.791.48$5,500$6,9009424.8
    Clay Buchholz (R)at SD 52.718.65.513.21.033.761.22$7,100$7,7008325.0
    Dylan Bundy (R)v TB 278.023.17.415.71.594.371.24$6,700$7,00010221.9
    Luis Castillo (R)v PHI198.024.18.215.91.364.321.23$6,400$6,40010524.2
    Yonny Chirinos (R)at BAL33.321.17.014.10.543.781.23$5,100$5,9007624.9
    Zach Eflin (R)at CIN135.717.95.012.91.664.711.28$7,800$9,00010220.5
    Nathan Eovaldi (R)v MIN57.023.73.620.11.744.260.98$8,300$7,5009920.5
    John Gant (R)v CHC72.318.311.96.41.003.731.30$6,80010820.7
    Marco Gonzales (L)at LAA159.720.45.115.31.074.061.30$9,900$8,9008319.6
    Junior Guerra (R)at SF 174.022.211.211.01.553.931.35$7,600$8,4009822.6
    J.A. Happ (L)v KC 259.324.77.417.31.213.821.25$9,200$8,3009424.4
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)at MIA232.015.36.29.11.674.851.21$6,500$6,6009322.7
    Kyle Hendricks (R)at STL259.720.36.913.41.213.501.22$7,4009621.9
    Corey Kluber (R)at DET341.330.44.126.31.082.500.90$12,000$10,6008322.4
    Joey Lucchesi (L)v ARI72.724.78.216.41.243.341.21$7,000$7,4009322.3
    German Marquez (R)v OAK270.022.07.614.41.404.631.40$5,700$7,00011021.5
    Lance McCullers (R)v TEX235.325.68.916.70.764.131.25$10,200$10,1009624.8
    Mike Minor (L)at HOU182.023.16.316.81.143.861.13$4,600$6,50011818.2
    Frankie Montas (R)at COL85.318.29.88.41.374.851.56$5,400$6,7008423.2
    Joe Musgrove (R)v NYM169.320.86.214.51.284.461.32$7,300$7,2009322.0
    Sean Newcomb (L)v LAD211.022.912.310.60.943.841.42$7,500$7,20010120.8
    Felix Pena (R)v SEA66.724.110.213.91.624.321.43$7,300$7,00010619.6
    Carlos Rodon (L)v TOR120.023.510.113.41.423.821.26$9,600$8,1008721.4
    Burch Smith (R)at NYY50.023.611.112.51.625.581.46$4,200$5,80011122.9
    Ross Stripling (R)at ATL174.326.54.721.91.192.991.14$8,500$9,6009919.6
    Andrew Suarez (L)v MIL94.721.45.915.51.053.991.26$6,300$7,3009218.8
    Jose Urena (R)v WAS282.317.37.99.41.214.141.26$4,900$6,60010220.3
    Zack Wheeler (R)at PIT200.721.89.312.51.174.711.43$8,000$9,00010218.9
    Jordan Zimmermann (R)v CLE228.016.95.611.31.545.451.43$7,000$7,90010919.4

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Jose Berrios (R)at BOS22.010.311.71.260.31923.35.517.71.080.307
    Ryan Borucki (L)at CWS18.23.015.20.000.24717.99.58.40.000.337
    Clay Buchholz (R)at SD 15.110.54.60.890.33118.16.012.11.610.305
    Dylan Bundy (R)v TB 18.57.910.61.430.34127.07.819.21.680.306
    Luis Castillo (R)v PHI22.39.013.31.590.33725.77.618.11.170.292
    Yonny Chirinos (R)at BAL19.79.210.51.020.30322.74.518.20.000.296
    Zach Eflin (R)at CIN14.16.18.02.400.37217.54.712.80.980.307
    Nathan Eovaldi (R)v MIN20.69.111.51.820.35319.54.115.41.580.291
    John Gant (R)v CHC19.411.67.71.380.31520.510.010.40.780.318
    Marco Gonzales (L)at LAA20.24.216.01.290.31620.55.315.21.030.325
    Junior Guerra (R)at SF 21.511.69.91.260.31121.48.912.41.170.303
    J.A. Happ (L)v KC 20.96.214.70.780.25723.47.715.71.220.306
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)at MIA16.37.88.51.560.33218.34.414.01.320.303
    Kyle Hendricks (R)at STL22.67.714.91.120.29320.35.514.80.900.275
    Corey Kluber (R)at DET27.15.921.21.040.26830.44.426.01.000.255
    Joey Lucchesi (L)v ARI25.49.016.40.000.31624.58.016.51.530.298
    German Marquez (R)v OAK17.88.29.61.040.34325.56.718.81.690.345
    Lance McCullers (R)v TEX30.79.321.40.550.28223.310.413.00.860.329
    Mike Minor (L)at HOU29.65.024.60.390.23521.16.714.31.390.325
    Frankie Montas (R)at COL13.711.52.22.310.42322.38.114.20.580.308
    Joe Musgrove (R)v NYM22.16.915.21.100.33720.05.714.31.440.323
    Sean Newcomb (L)v LAD24.410.813.61.100.33122.412.89.60.890.310
    Felix Pena (R)v SEA21.515.46.01.380.34028.95.623.31.670.308
    Carlos Rodon (L)v TOR26.16.120.00.920.28922.89.213.61.430.328
    Burch Smith (R)at NYY19.16.412.81.640.36027.014.812.31.610.345
    Ross Stripling (R)at ATL24.85.918.90.820.26221.95.316.61.320.325
    Andrew Suarez (L)v MIL22.13.218.90.350.21321.26.814.31.300.349
    Jose Urena (R)v WAS12.57.94.51.340.33421.47.813.61.070.308
    Zack Wheeler (R)at PIT24.011.112.91.530.34720.17.912.20.880.307
    Jordan Zimmermann (R)v CLE17.35.911.41.450.34215.25.59.71.420.358

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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