Adley Rutschman

Adley Rutschman

25-Year-Old CatcherC
Baltimore Orioles
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Rutschman began the season on the minor league IL with a triceps issue. When healthy, he quickly advanced from Double-A Bowie to Triple-A Norfolk before being called up on May 21. He started slow, posting a 137/.228/.196 line after 13 games, but then settled in to go .271/.380/.481 the rest of the way. Rutschman played excellent defense, finishing second among catchers with 18 defensive runs saved while exhibiting solid framing and an excellent arm. His plate discipline is stellar as demonstrated by a 13.8% walk rate and 18.3% strikeout clip. Rutschman's low 38.4% groundball rate helped him compile extra base hits with a below average fly ball exit velocity. His 35 doubles to 13 home run ratio should tilt more to the long ball as he continues to develop. As is, Rutschman is one of the top backstops in the league, assured of the lion's share of playing time for Baltimore. His ceiling is the top fantasy catcher. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#64
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $733,900 contract with the Orioles in March of 2023.
Perfect day at plate
CBaltimore Orioles
May 26, 2023
Rutschman went 3-for-3 with a solo homer and a walk in Friday's loss to Texas.
ANALYSIS
Rutschman homered in the first inning and was one of just two Orioles with multiple hits in the blowout loss. Since his last multi-hit game May 13, he was hitting just .171 (7-for-41) over an 11-game stretch. Despite a streaky month, Rutschman is still sporting a strong .274/.402/.441 slash line with a 41:31 BB:K and 15 extra-base hits this season.
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Batting Stats
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2023
2022
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
29
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
21
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+38%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+15%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+61%
OPS vs RHP
2021
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021vs Left .641 203 17 2 11 1 .218 .335 .306
Since 2021vs Right .884 504 79 19 57 3 .277 .389 .495
2023vs Left .759 88 8 1 6 0 .278 .398 .361
2023vs Right .871 149 18 7 20 0 .270 .396 .475
2022vs Left .552 115 9 1 5 1 .173 .287 .265
2022vs Right .889 355 61 12 37 3 .280 .386 .503
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+22%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+58%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
2021
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021Home .900 331 52 12 32 2 .292 .411 .489
Since 2021Away .740 376 44 9 36 2 .233 .340 .399
2023Home 1.035 108 16 7 14 0 .333 .435 .600
2023Away .653 129 10 1 12 0 .221 .364 .288
2022Home .834 223 36 5 18 2 .272 .399 .435
2022Away .781 247 34 8 24 2 .238 .328 .453
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Adley Rutschman compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
1.32
 
BB Rate
17.3%
 
K Rate
13.1%
 
BABIP
.287
 
ISO
.160
 
AVG
.273
 
OBP
.397
 
SLG
.433
 
OPS
.830
 
wOBA
.365
 
Exit Velocity
88.5 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
32.1%
 
Barrels/PA
5.1%
 
Expected BA
.295
 
Expected SLG
.485
 
Sprint Speed
24.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
35.2%
 
Line Drive %
26.7%
 
Fly Ball %
38.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
On merit, Rutschman should have made his big-league debut last summer, but the Orioles are blatantly delaying his arrival, as he is the franchise cornerstone and once his clock starts, time is officially ticking on this regime showing progress in the standings. We've been saying he is the best catching prospect in over a decade for a few years now, and that remains the case. He has easy plus power to all fields, makes excellent swing decisions, and should always run high on-base percentages. Rutschman's hit tool is quite good, particularly relative to other catchers. He won't chip in on the bases, but he has a favorable home park and will occupy a favorable spot in the lineup, so he should be a four-category monster. Depending on the new CBA, Rutschman could break camp with the big club or he could be up in late April. His intangibles are off the charts, so he is a good bet to get the most out of his abilities.
The best catching prospect in recent memory, Rutschman may have debuted in 2020 if the Orioles were headed for a playoff berth, per GM Mike Elias. That didn't happen, but all signs point to Rutschman debuting sometime in his age-23 season. A switch hitter with at least 60-grade all-fields power and excellent strike zone awareness, Rutschman could hit .300 with 30 home runs annually while providing plus defense behind the plate and being one of the better team leaders in baseball. In dynasty leagues, Rutschman is already a top-two catcher, and the preferred option over J.T. Realmuto for any rebuilding team. The worse the replacement level catchers are in a fantasy league, the more value he has. An assignment to Double-A would signal that he is months away, while an assignment to Triple-A would signal he is weeks away from getting the call.
Not only was Rutschman one of the best college hitters in the 2019 draft class, but he has elite defensive tools behind the dish, making it an easy call for the Orioles to select the Oregon State product first overall. He had very poor luck on balls in play in the Gulf Coast League and Sally League, so take his .254/.351/.423 slash line across three levels with a grain of salt. His 27:20 K:BB in 37 games illustrates the switch hitter's superb control of the strike zone. He uses the whole field and should be able to hit 20-plus home runs annually without selling out for power. Rutschman won't be much of a stolen-base threat, but that's hardly a knock for a catching prospect. Baltimore's competitive window won't open anytime soon, which could delay Rutschman's debut until 2021. He is a better real-life prospect than a fantasy one, but is still the best fantasy catching prospect since Buster Posey.
More Fantasy News
Nearly plays hero Thursday
CBaltimore Orioles
May 19, 2023
Rutschman went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run and two walks in a loss to the Angels on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Receives Sunday off
CBaltimore Orioles
May 14, 2023
Rutschman is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Goes deep Saturday
CBaltimore Orioles
May 13, 2023
Rutschman went 2-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in a 2-0 win against Pittsburgh on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Ends skid with homer
CBaltimore Orioles
May 9, 2023
Rutschman went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in Tuesday's 4-2 victory over the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Sits amid slump
CBaltimore Orioles
May 7, 2023
Rutschman is out of the lineup for Sunday's game at Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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