Adley Rutschman

25-Year-Old CatcherC

Baltimore Orioles

2023 Stats

AVG

.273

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Rutschman began the season on the minor league IL with a triceps issue. When healthy, he quickly advanced from Double-A Bowie to Triple-A Norfolk before being called up on May 21. He started slow, posting a 137/.228/.196 line after 13 games, but then settled in to go .271/.380/.481 the rest of the way. Rutschman played excellent defense, finishing second among catchers with 18 defensive runs saved while exhibiting solid framing and an excellent arm. His plate discipline is stellar as demonstrated by a 13.8% walk rate and 18.3% strikeout clip. Rutschman's low 38.4% groundball rate helped him compile extra base hits with a below average fly ball exit velocity. His 35 doubles to 13 home run ratio should tilt more to the long ball as he continues to develop. As is, Rutschman is one of the top backstops in the league, assured of the lion's share of playing time for Baltimore. His ceiling is the top fantasy catcher. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#64

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats B

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'2"

Weight 220

DOB 2/6/1998

Born Portland, OR

College Oregon State

Drafted 1st Rd 2019 BAL

Perfect day at plate

CBaltimore Orioles

May 26, 2023

Rutschman went 3-for-3 with a solo homer and a walk in Friday's loss to Texas.

ANALYSIS
Rutschman homered in the first inning and was one of just two Orioles with multiple hits in the blowout loss. Since his last multi-hit game May 13, he was hitting just .171 (7-for-41) over an 11-game stretch. Despite a streaky month, Rutschman is still sporting a strong .274/.402/.441 slash line with a 41:31 BB:K and 15 extra-base hits this season.

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Batting Stats

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2023

2022

2023 MLB Game Log

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Scoring

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2022 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2021

+38%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+15%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+61%

OPS vs RHP

2021

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021vs Left	.641	203	17	2	11	1	.218	.335	.306
Since 2021vs Right	.884	504	79	19	57	3	.277	.389	.495
2023vs Left	.759	88	8	1	6	0	.278	.398	.361
2023vs Right	.871	149	18	7	20	0	.270	.396	.475
2022vs Left	.552	115	9	1	5	1	.173	.287	.265
2022vs Right	.889	355	61	12	37	3	.280	.386	.503
2021vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2021

+22%

OPS at Home

2023

+58%

OPS at Home

2022

+7%

OPS at Home

2021

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021Home	.900	331	52	12	32	2	.292	.411	.489
Since 2021Away	.740	376	44	9	36	2	.233	.340	.399
2023Home	1.035	108	16	7	14	0	.333	.435	.600
2023Away	.653	129	10	1	12	0	.221	.364	.288
2022Home	.834	223	36	5	18	2	.272	.399	.435
2022Away	.781	247	34	8	24	2	.238	.328	.453
2021Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Stat Review

How does Adley Rutschman compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

1.32

BB Rate

17.3%

K Rate

13.1%

BABIP

.287

ISO

.160

AVG

.273

OBP

.397

SLG

.433

OPS

.830

wOBA

.365

Exit Velocity

88.5 mph

Hard Hit Rate

32.1%

Barrels/PA

5.1%

Expected BA

.295

Expected SLG

.485

Sprint Speed

24.2 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

35.2%

Line Drive %

26.7%

Fly Ball %

38.2%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Adley Rutschman Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

Games By Position

Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

On merit, Rutschman should have made his big-league debut last summer, but the Orioles are blatantly delaying his arrival, as he is the franchise cornerstone and once his clock starts, time is officially ticking on this regime showing progress in the standings. We've been saying he is the best catching prospect in over a decade for a few years now, and that remains the case. He has easy plus power to all fields, makes excellent swing decisions, and should always run high on-base percentages. Rutschman's hit tool is quite good, particularly relative to other catchers. He won't chip in on the bases, but he has a favorable home park and will occupy a favorable spot in the lineup, so he should be a four-category monster. Depending on the new CBA, Rutschman could break camp with the big club or he could be up in late April. His intangibles are off the charts, so he is a good bet to get the most out of his abilities.

The best catching prospect in recent memory, Rutschman may have debuted in 2020 if the Orioles were headed for a playoff berth, per GM Mike Elias. That didn't happen, but all signs point to Rutschman debuting sometime in his age-23 season. A switch hitter with at least 60-grade all-fields power and excellent strike zone awareness, Rutschman could hit .300 with 30 home runs annually while providing plus defense behind the plate and being one of the better team leaders in baseball. In dynasty leagues, Rutschman is already a top-two catcher, and the preferred option over J.T. Realmuto for any rebuilding team. The worse the replacement level catchers are in a fantasy league, the more value he has. An assignment to Double-A would signal that he is months away, while an assignment to Triple-A would signal he is weeks away from getting the call.

Not only was Rutschman one of the best college hitters in the 2019 draft class, but he has elite defensive tools behind the dish, making it an easy call for the Orioles to select the Oregon State product first overall. He had very poor luck on balls in play in the Gulf Coast League and Sally League, so take his .254/.351/.423 slash line across three levels with a grain of salt. His 27:20 K:BB in 37 games illustrates the switch hitter's superb control of the strike zone. He uses the whole field and should be able to hit 20-plus home runs annually without selling out for power. Rutschman won't be much of a stolen-base threat, but that's hardly a knock for a catching prospect. Baltimore's competitive window won't open anytime soon, which could delay Rutschman's debut until 2021. He is a better real-life prospect than a fantasy one, but is still the best fantasy catching prospect since Buster Posey.

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