Amed Rosario

Amed Rosario

27-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Cleveland Guardians
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Rosario essentially repeated his 2021 campaign with two exceptions. First, he was more durable, playing in 153, a dozen more than the previous campaign. More importantly, Rosario's defense markedly improved, which is key since the Guardians have a treasure trove of promising middle infielders and Rosario's newfound defensive prowess makes it tougher for the club to replace him. At the dish, Rosario's strikeout rate dropped to a career best 16.6%, helping to offset a small dip in BABIP. Rosario swiped 18 bases in 22 chances and is a candidate to run more with the new rules. Rosario hit second most of the season, helping buoy run production, but he's a candidate to drop down, lessening his impact as a compiler. Rosario remains a mid-tier asset at a position replete with top-end talent, but he isn't a sure thing to repeat last season's volume. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#128
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $4.95 million contract with the Guardians in March of 2022.
Drives in three runs
SSCleveland Guardians
May 26, 2023
Rosario went 1-for-3 with a three-run double and a walk in Friday's win over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
Rosario's three-run double in the fifth inning proved to be the game-winning hit Friday. He turned in his first multi-RBI performance since April 3 after totaling just three RBI over his prior 13 games. Rosario has gone 6-for-43 (.140) over his last 11 games, sinking his slash line to .239/.280/.333 with 11 extra-base hits and 13 RBI through 193 plate appearances.
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Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
29
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
15
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+22%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+41%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+15%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+24%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021vs Left .817 398 53 9 43 12 .301 .344 .473
Since 2021vs Right .670 1058 131 14 98 27 .268 .300 .370
2023vs Left .801 51 4 0 5 4 .277 .333 .468
2023vs Right .570 147 18 1 8 4 .232 .265 .304
2022vs Left .796 159 24 4 16 4 .295 .333 .463
2022vs Right .691 511 61 7 55 14 .279 .305 .385
2021vs Left .839 188 25 5 22 4 .313 .356 .483
2021vs Right .679 400 52 6 35 9 .267 .305 .374
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+79%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021Home .745 718 96 12 76 21 .293 .329 .416
Since 2021Away .676 738 88 11 65 18 .261 .295 .380
2023Home .807 100 14 1 7 6 .293 .340 .467
2023Away .450 98 8 0 6 2 .194 .224 .226
2022Home .745 324 44 6 44 12 .298 .324 .421
2022Away .688 346 41 5 27 6 .268 .301 .387
2021Home .724 294 38 5 25 3 .288 .330 .394
2021Away .737 294 39 6 32 10 .275 .313 .424
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Amed Rosario compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.20
 
BB Rate
5.1%
 
K Rate
25.3%
 
BABIP
.324
 
ISO
.103
 
AVG
.243
 
OBP
.283
 
SLG
.346
 
OPS
.629
 
wOBA
.277
 
Exit Velocity
90.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
32.8%
 
Barrels/PA
2.5%
 
Expected BA
.263
 
Expected SLG
.376
 
Sprint Speed
25.7 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
49.6%
 
Line Drive %
20.4%
 
Fly Ball %
29.9%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Amed Rosario See More
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10 days ago
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43 days ago
Dan Marcus expects the Mets' offense to continue their domination in Oakland.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2015
After being a disappointment in 2020 (.643 OPS), Rosario got back to being a multi-category contributor. While there was hope he'd start stealing 30 bags, he's probably going to be more of a 15-20 steal guy. Those numbers are perfectly fine for a fantasy manager who slowly adds steals throughout the draft and doesn't rely on one player. Besides the steals, he has always had a plus batting average and provided around 10 homers. He's never going to be an elite power hitter with a groundball rate north of 50%, but his power is acceptable. In some formats, his managers will get the bonus of him being qualified in the outfield (18 games). While there might be some stolen base upside remaining, just pay for the past production and you'll be happy.
The 25-year-old took a step forward in 2019 with a .755 OPS, but he struggled during the shortened campaign with a career-low .643 OPS. More surprisingly, Rosario failed to notch a stolen base on one attempt after stealing 43 bases in 64 tries over the prior two seasons. Andres Gimenez was emerging as a more stable option at shortstop for the Mets in 2020, so the team was once again considering a transition to center field for Rosario before trading both off to Cleveland in the Francisco Lindor deal. The .287/.323/.432 slash line, 15 home runs and 19 stolen bases Rosario posted in 2019 offered some fantasy value, but his follow-up performance last season creates doubt about his long-term future. The short term is up in the air as well; Rosario could be slated for part-time duty after Cleveland brought back Cesar Hernandez.
Rosario now has two full seasons under his belt as a major leaguer before his 24th birthday. Normally, this would be a bigger story if it weren't for the wunderkinds in Atlanta and Washington blowing the curve for others. You can see how Rosario is progressing offensively at the plate, improving his strikeout rate in each of his three seasons and looking more like a hitter rather than someone who is in the majors for his glove. His speed is a weapon he used to leg out 18 infield hits and steal 24 bases. The happy fun ball is mostly to thank for the 15 homers, though he increased his average exit velocity by two mph last season and spiked his hard-hit rate up seven percentage points. It was a complete season for Rosario, and there could be even more in the tank for him in 2020. A 20-20 season with a .300 average cannot be ruled out as he completes his physical maturity. Last season to buy at a discount.
A second-half stolen-base surge has propelled Rosario up the already-loaded shortstop rankings. After the break, the 23-year-old speed merchant swiped 18 bases in 24 attempts while also chipping in five homers. As impressive as this stint was, Rosario carries a lot of risk as his plate skills need work for a player of this ilk, especially since he's not a power or batting-average asset. He walked only 5% of the time while punching out at a 20% clip. Both need work for Rosario to be assured of a spot at the top of the Mets' order, where he can put his wheels to use. There's reason for optimism as his contact skills improved over the second half, often telling for young players. Still, the range of outcomes is wide as a slide could push Rosario low in the order where his opportunities to run would suffer. It comes down to your risk profile. How much do you want to pay for speed upside from a player with middling power and batting-average potential?
For all the hype surrounding Rosario as a prospect and buzz around his arrival to the big leagues, his debut sure was a disappointment. He walked at a meager 1.8 percent clip while striking out nearly 29 percent of the time, and when he did make contact, it typically ended with a whimper. Rosario drove the ball into the ground half the time (50.9 percent groundball rate) and posted an 84.3 mph average exit velocity, which ranked 328th among 387 players with at least 100 at-bats. He showed an ability to hit at the upper levels of the minors and he can run, but the 22-year-old may be a near-zero in the power department in the coming seasons, and there's no guarantee he'll hit major-league pitching for a high average. The pedigree will entice some to gamble on a bounce-back, but the upside for 2018 isn't all that high.
Patience is often preached when analyzing toolsy high-pedigree prospects who are not producing in the lower levels, and with good reason. Rosario posted a 97 wRC+ with zero home runs and 12 steals as a 19-year-old at High-A St. Lucie in 2015, but he broke out in a major way last year, as the production finally started to match the talent. A 132 wRC+ and 36:21 K:BB in 66 games at High-A earned him a midseason promotion to the Eastern League, and that is when things started to get a little absurd. His numbers as a 20-year-old with Double-A Binghamton can almost be thrown out, considering his .433 BABIP. However, even when accounting for luck, that kind of success means something, given his age, level and defensive home. Scouts agree, as there are few players in the minors who receive the rave reviews that follow whenever Rosario's name gets brought up. He should offer across-the-board production in his prime years, with batting average, steals and runs being his top contributions. He could take over at shortstop for the Mets as early as this summer.
Rosario was signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2012, and has emerged as the organization’s token toolsy shortstop who is a long way from the big leagues. He only has seven games in a full season league on his resume. In 290 plate appearances at short-season Brooklyn last season, he slashed .289/.337/.380 with one home run and seven steals. At 6-foot-2, 170 pounds, he has some filling out to do, but there is little doubt that he will be able to stick at shortstop. Owning Rosario in a dynasty league requires extreme patience, but the payoff could be huge down the line. He has the most upside of any hitter in the Mets’ system, but the risk is equally high. If everything clicks, he will be a top-10 shortstop with offensive contributions across the board, but he may not reach the majors until 2018.
More Fantasy News
Notches eighth steal
SSCleveland Guardians
May 23, 2023
Rosario went 1-for-4 with a stolen base in Monday's 3-0 win over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Three hits in Saturday's win
SSCleveland Guardians
May 14, 2023
Rosario went 3-for-4 with a double, an RBI, a stolen base and two runs scored in Saturday's 8-6 win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Homer short of cycle Friday
SSCleveland Guardians
May 12, 2023
Rosario went 3-for-5 with a triple, a double and a run scored in Friday's 5-4 loss to the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Four hits in win
SSCleveland Guardians
May 9, 2023
Rosario went 4-for-4 with an RBI triple in Tuesday's win over the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Receives breather Sunday
SSCleveland Guardians
May 7, 2023
Rosario is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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