Andrew Painter

Andrew Painter

22-Year-Old PitcherRP
Philadelphia Phillies A
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Prior to the Arizona Fall League, Painter hadn't pitched since 2022 due to July 2023 Tommy John surgery, yet he led qualified AFL pitchers in ERA and WHIP heading into the final week of play. He used all four of his plus pitches this fall, with his four-seam fastball up to 99 mph and averaging 97 mph. His stuff is all the way back, and so is his control (two walks in 13 IP), which was a big part of what made Painter such a special prospect before surgery. Painter will be eased into things at Triple-A and the team has mentioned July as a target for when he could join the big-league rotation. He threw 103.2 innings in 2022, and will finish with just under 20 innings this fall, so a capped, unpredictable workload is the main drawback with the 21-year-old righty in redraft leagues. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#356
ADP
$Signed a $3.9 million contract with the Phillies in July of 2021.
Pitching for Single-A club Friday
PPhiladelphia Phillies  A
April 6, 2025
Painter is scheduled to make his first start of the season Friday with Single-A Clearwater, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The Phillies' top pitching prospect, Painter was deemed fully healthy for spring training but didn't see any Grapefruit League action as the organization aimed to ramp him up slowly coming off July 2023 Tommy John surgery. Painter stayed back in Florida at the conclusion of big-league spring training and has been throwing simulated games of late, but he'll now get a chance to test himself in an uncontrolled setting when he reports to the Phillies' Single-A affiliate. The Phillies anticipate Painter being ready to join the big-league rotation at some point this summer, but he'll first need to get some reps at the minor-league level before receiving a call-up. He'll likely be limited to around two innings Friday and will gradually increase his pitch count in subsequent outings while also eventually moving on to Double-A Reading and/or Triple-A Lehigh Valley.
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Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Minor League Left/Right Pitching Splits (A)
Since 2023
 
 
-100%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-100%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
2023
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .667 4 1 1 2 0 0 0
Since 2023vs Right .000 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Left .667 4 1 1 2 0 0 0
2025vs Right .000 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Andrew Painter See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Painter seemingly had a chance to spend most of his age-20 season in the Phillies' rotation, but his elbow started barking early in spring training and he ended up getting Tommy John surgery in late-July after months of attempted rehab. At the time of his initial early-March injury, Painter was arguably the game's best pitching prospect, and he could regain that title once he's fully healthy. However, given the time of the surgery, it seems highly unlikely he makes his big-league debut until 2025. He could make some rehab starts in late-2024 and could potentially pitch in the Arizona Fall League. Painter will still be just 22 for the 2025 season, so he's not behind schedule. It's roughly a 90 percent success rate for pitchers Painter's age who need the surgery, and there were no skill-related concerns with the 6-foot-7 righty the last time we saw him healthy. He has frontline upside long term.
Painter, a lean 6-foot-7 righty whom the Phillies selected out of high school with the No. 13 overall pick in 2021, dominated Single-A hitters (35.6 K-BB%) across nine starts to open his first full season. It was noteworthy, but many pitchers with command of complete arsenals (four pitches led by 70-grade upper-90s fastball and plus slider) cruise through that level of the minors. However, prospectors really started taking notice when Painter didn't skip a beat after promotions to High-A and Double-A. His walk rate actually fell from 10.7% at Single-A to 4.9% at High-A and 1.8% in 28.1 innings at Double-A while his strikeout rate remained above 33%. He led qualified minor-league starters in WHIP and K-BB% and ranked second in ERA and won't turn 20 until April 10. A distinguishing factor for Painter relative to some of the game's other top young pitching prospects is that he threw six-plus innings in eight of his 22 starts and completed seven innings three times. The idea of a pitcher this young making an impact in a big-league rotation will be hard for some to buy, but Phillies president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski brought Jeremy Bonderman and Rick Porcello to the majors as 20-year-olds when he ran things in Detroit, and the Phillies have a top-heavy rotation with room for a fresh face in 2023. Sometimes when teenagers dominate like this across their first full-season, the encore can be disappointing (Forrest Whitley, MacKenzie Gore). Jose Fernandez's 2013 rookie season is a best-case example. If Painter picks up where he left off this spring, the notion of him winning a rotation spot out of camp will start to gain traction and the market will react accordingly.
More Fantasy News
Nearing rehab assignment
PPhiladelphia Phillies  A
April 4, 2025
Phillies manager Rob Thomson said Friday that Painter (elbow) could begin a rehab assignment soon, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Live BP scheduled for Friday
PPhiladelphia Phillies  A
April 3, 2025
Manager Rob Thomson said Wednesday that Painter is scheduled to throw live batting practice Friday, Destiny Lugardo of Phillies Nation reports.
ANALYSIS
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Extended spring games coming soon
PPhiladelphia Phillies  A
March 24, 2025
Phillies president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski said Monday that Painter will begin pitching in extended spring training games in a couple weeks, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throws first live BP
PPhiladelphia Phillies  A
March 14, 2025
Painter threw his first live batting practice session of the spring Friday, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Changes up repertoire, preparations
PPhiladelphia Phillies  A
February 26, 2025
Painter has eliminated his cutter from his repertoire and has added a changeup as his fourth pitch, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could win rotation spot
PPhiladelphia Phillies  A
February 9, 2023
Painter could win a spot in the Phillies' Opening Day rotation with a strong showing this spring, according to Matt Gelb of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Painter won't turn 20 years old until April and has just five starts above A-ball under his belt, so at first blush the notion that he could head north with the major-league club seems far-fetched. However, Gelb believes the Phillies won't deny the talented youngster if he looks ready and that it's a question of when, not if, Painter contributes in 2023. Painter is arguably the top prospect in baseball, having posted a 1.48 ERA with 155 strikeouts across 109.2 innings through three levels in 2022.
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