2025 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Prior to the Arizona Fall League, Painter hadn't pitched since 2022 due to July 2023 Tommy John surgery, yet he led qualified AFL pitchers in ERA and WHIP heading into the final week of play. He used all four of his plus pitches this fall, with his four-seam fastball up to 99 mph and averaging 97 mph. His stuff is all the way back, and so is his control (two walks in 13 IP), which was a big part of what made Painter such a special prospect before surgery. Painter will be eased into things at Triple-A and the team has mentioned July as a target for when he could join the big-league rotation. He threw 103.2 innings in 2022, and will finish with just under 20 innings this fall, so a capped, unpredictable workload is the main drawback with the 21-year-old righty in redraft leagues. Read Past Outlooks

Best start in months
Painter struck out six over five scoreless innings Wednesday while allowing three hits and zero walks for Triple-A Lehigh Valley against Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.
Analysis
This was arguably Painter's best start of the season, which isn't saying much, as he's thrown two quality starts on the year and this was his lone instance with five-plus innings, zero runs and zero walks. Indeed, he'd given up 12 earned runs on 19 hits and six walks over his last two starts, so it's hard to say with confidence that Painter has righted the ship. Painter sat 94-97 mph with his four-seamer (touched 98 mph) in this start, with his changeup, slider and curveball each getting whiffs over 35 percent of the time. The 22-year-old righty has a 5.35 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and a 105:44 K:BB in 102.2 innings for the IronPigs.
This was arguably Painter's best start of the season, which isn't saying much, as he's thrown two quality starts on the year and this was his lone instance with five-plus innings, zero runs and zero walks. Indeed, he'd given up 12 earned runs on 19 hits and six walks over his last two starts, so it's hard to say with confidence that Painter has righted the ship. Painter sat 94-97 mph with his four-seamer (touched 98 mph) in this start, with his changeup, slider and curveball each getting whiffs over 35 percent of the time. The 22-year-old righty has a 5.35 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and a 105:44 K:BB in 102.2 innings for the IronPigs.
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Minor League Game Log
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Minor League Left/Right Pitching Splits (AAA)
Since 2023
-5%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-5%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .283 | 53 | 29 | 62 | 7 |
Since 2023vs Right | .269 | 52 | 15 | 50 | 10 |
2025vs Left | .283 | 53 | 29 | 62 | 7 |
2025vs Right | .269 | 52 | 15 | 50 | 10 |
2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prospect Rankings History
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Painter seemingly had a chance to spend most of his age-20 season in the Phillies' rotation, but his elbow started barking early in spring training and he ended up getting Tommy John surgery in late-July after months of attempted rehab. At the time of his initial early-March injury, Painter was arguably the game's best pitching prospect, and he could regain that title once he's fully healthy. However, given the time of the surgery, it seems highly unlikely he makes his big-league debut until 2025. He could make some rehab starts in late-2024 and could potentially pitch in the Arizona Fall League. Painter will still be just 22 for the 2025 season, so he's not behind schedule. It's roughly a 90 percent success rate for pitchers Painter's age who need the surgery, and there were no skill-related concerns with the 6-foot-7 righty the last time we saw him healthy. He has frontline upside long term.
More Fantasy News

Bounces back at Triple-A
Painter struck out six batters and allowed one hit and two walks over five scoreless innings in his rehab start Sunday with Triple-A Lehigh Valley.
Analysis
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Unlikely to debut in first half
Phillies manager Rob Thomson indicated recently that it's unlikely Painter will make his major-league debut prior to the All-Star break, Paul Casella of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Makes Triple-A debut
Painter allowed one hit and three walks while striking out five across three scoreless innings with Triple-A Lehigh Valley on Thursday.
Analysis
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Up to Triple-A for next start
Painter is scheduled to make his next start with Triple-A Lehigh Valley on Thursday, Lochlahn March of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
Analysis
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Remaining at Single-A for now
Painter will make his next start Thursday with Single-A Clearwater, not with Triple-A Lehigh Valley as initially reported, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Off limits in trade talks
The Phillies are refusing "to even entertain the thought" of trading Painter at this year's deadline, Ken Rosenthal and Matt Gelb of The Athletic report.
Analysis
The Phillies are known to be looking for a high-end reliever and at least one bat, but it sounds like there's zero chance of them including Painter in a trade before Thursday's deadline. Working his way back from Tommy John surgery, Painter tossed 6.1 innings of one-run ball with four strikeouts in his latest start with Triple-A Lehigh Valley on Wednesday. He is expected to be a factor with the Phillies during the final two months of the season, whether that's as a starter or reliever.
The Phillies are known to be looking for a high-end reliever and at least one bat, but it sounds like there's zero chance of them including Painter in a trade before Thursday's deadline. Working his way back from Tommy John surgery, Painter tossed 6.1 innings of one-run ball with four strikeouts in his latest start with Triple-A Lehigh Valley on Wednesday. He is expected to be a factor with the Phillies during the final two months of the season, whether that's as a starter or reliever.