2022 Stats
W-L
6-14
ERA
5.09
WHIP
1.50
K
102
SV
1
2023 Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Keller began 2022 as a starter, posting a 4.93 ERA and 1.43 WHIP over 122.1 innings across 22 starts before he was bumped from the rotation. Things didn't get better as a reliever, as he posted a 6.23 ERA and 2.02 WHIP over 17.1 relief appearances. At 27 years old, there's some pressure for Keller to find a role, or he'll soon be passed by prospects. He had solid numbers in his first three seasons, but he's been subpar over the last two years. The right-hander doesn't give up a ton of hard contact, but his three primary pitches -- slider, fastball, sinker -- have been far more hittable than Statcast projections would expect. He won't overwhelm many hitters with a 94 mph fastball. His fantasy value is linked to if he can bounce back to claim a spot in the rotation to begin 2023. Read Past Outlooks

Strong in last spring start
Keller allowed five hits and walked one while striking out nine over five scoreless innings in Friday's Cactus League win over the Giants.
ANALYSIS
Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports Keller will pitch during the Royals' first regular-season series against the Twins, so Friday was likely his last spring appearance. Keller posted a 4.95 ERA and 1.40 WHIP over 20 innings across six starts in Cactus League play. He's posted an ERA north of 5.00 over the last two seasons, but he'll get a chance in the rotation again after finishing out 2022 in the bullpen.
Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports Keller will pitch during the Royals' first regular-season series against the Twins, so Friday was likely his last spring appearance. Keller posted a 4.95 ERA and 1.40 WHIP over 20 innings across six starts in Cactus League play. He's posted an ERA north of 5.00 over the last two seasons, but he'll get a chance in the rotation again after finishing out 2022 in the bullpen.
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2022 MLB Game Log
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
65
Last 10 Games
26
Last 5 Games
21
How many pitches does Brad Keller generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Brad Keller generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2022
-14%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020vs Left | .267 | 138 | 74 | 173 | 20 | |||
Since 2020vs Right | .281 | 119 | 64 | 177 | 17 | |||
2022vs Left | .254 | 47 | 28 | 65 | 9 | |||
2022vs Right | .295 | 55 | 29 | 88 | 8 | |||
2021vs Left | .301 | 72 | 31 | 83 | 9 | |||
2021vs Right | .293 | 48 | 33 | 75 | 9 | |||
2020vs Left | .214 | 19 | 15 | 25 | 2 | |||
2020vs Right | .184 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-23%
ERA at Home
2022
-19%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020Home | 4.17 | 1.35 | 166.0 | 7.0 | 3.3 | ||||
Since 2020Away | 5.39 | 1.63 | 162.0 | 7.1 | 4.3 | ||||
2022Home | 4.62 | 1.50 | 78.0 | 6.7 | 4.0 | ||||
2022Away | 5.69 | 1.51 | 61.2 | 6.4 | 3.2 | ||||
2021Home | 5.89 | 1.49 | 55.0 | 8.0 | 2.9 | ||||
2021Away | 5.03 | 1.78 | 78.2 | 8.1 | 5.3 | ||||
2020Home | 0.27 | 0.76 | 33.0 | 6.3 | 1.9 | ||||
2020Away | 5.82 | 1.43 | 21.2 | 5.0 | 4.2 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Brad Keller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.79K/9
6.6BB/9
3.7HR/9
1.1Fastball
94.1 mphERA
5.09WHIP
1.50BABIP
.318GB/FB
2.09Left On Base
66.6%Exit Velocity
82.6 mphBarrels/BBE
4.4%Spin Rate
2358 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
25.8%Swinging Strike
9.8%Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Brad Keller See More

Erik Halterman breaks down the competition for AL jobs, including in Minnesota where Nick Gordon likely will spend time at several spots around the diamond this season.

Brad Johnson breaks down the pitching situations in the AL Central, starting in Chicago where Johnson expects Lucas Giolito to have a bounce-back season.

Todd Zola considers how pitchers like Sandy Alcantara might be affected by the new shift rules, which should lead to more groundball hits for lefty batters.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
Keller had a 3.50 ERA across his first three big-league campaigns, but he struggled mightily last year 5.39 ERA in 26 starts. The 26-year-old saw his strikeout rate rise over three percent to 19.6, but his walk rate also moved up to a career-worst 10.4 percent. His groundball rate also dropped to 47.8 percent after being over 50 percent his first three seasons. As a groundball pitcher that doesn't rely on strikeouts Keller's upside remains limited, but he could be a good rebound candidate given his success prior to 2021.
More Fantasy News

Retools curveball
Keller worked on adjusting his curveball during the offseason, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Avoids arbitration
Keller signed a one-year, $5.775 million contract with the Royals on Friday to avoid arbitration, Robert Murray of FanSided.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Takes loss Saturday
Keller (6-14) took the loss Saturday versus the Mariners, allowing a run on four hits and two walks over 1.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

First career save
Keller struck out two without allowing a baserunner in a scoreless ninth inning to earn the save Thursday against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Moving to bullpen
Manager Mike Matheny said Wednesday that Keller will move to the bullpen, Joel Goldberg of Bally Sports Kansas City reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.