Brandon Pfaadt

Brandon Pfaadt

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Arizona Diamondbacks
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Don't be discouraged by Pfaadt's bloated 4.71 ERA; all the estimators peg it at least a run better. He was victimized by a low 64.5 percent left on base mark. The righty improved his strikeout and walk rates last season while fixing the gopheritis plaguing him in his rookie year. Pfaadt adjusted his pitch mix, throwing more sinkers at the expense of four-seam fastballs. In 2023, his change-up generated a negative Fangraphs Pitch Value, but last year it rated as Pfaadt's second best offering, though he used it only 11.2 percent of the time. His sweeper sported the highest swinging strike rate of his repertoire. Pfaadt has demonstrated willingness to adjust, and it appears he has the arsenal to fine tune even more. Last season's high ERA could drop his acquisition cost. Buy the floor, and dream on further tweaks elevating Pfaadt to the next level. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#193
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $45 million contract extension with the Diamondbacks in March of 2025. Contract includes a $21 million club option for 2031 and a $25 million mutual option for 2032.
Inks five-year extension
PArizona Diamondbacks
March 28, 2025
Pfaadt signed a five-year, $45 million contract extension with the Diamondbacks on Friday that includes a club option for 2031 and a mutual option for 2032, Jesse Friedman of GoPHNX.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Pfaadt's extension won't kick in until 2026, but it will buy out all three of his arbitration years and possibly his first three years of free agency if all options are exercised. The 26-year-old finished last season with a 4.71 ERA and 1.24 WHIP alongside a 185:42 K:BB in 181.2 innings (32 starts); however, his 3.60 FIP is much more indicative of how well he performed on the mound. His first start of the new year is slated to come Saturday versus the Cubs, against whom he allowed two earned runs over 14 innings with a 13:1 K:BB in two appearances last season.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .287 580 119 40 152 28 6 23
Since 2023vs Right .249 601 160 28 140 28 3 23
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .294 385 76 24 104 17 5 12
2024vs Right .224 375 109 18 79 14 1 12
2023vs Left .273 195 43 16 48 11 1 11
2023vs Right .290 226 51 10 61 14 2 11
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-18%
ERA on Road
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-22%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 5.56 1.42 134.1 9 10 0 9.4 2.4 1.3
Since 2023Away 4.58 1.18 143.1 5 9 0 8.7 2.0 1.6
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 5.09 1.31 88.1 7 5 0 9.7 2.0 1.3
2024Away 4.34 1.17 93.1 4 5 0 8.7 2.1 1.1
2023Home 6.46 1.63 46.0 2 5 0 9.0 3.1 1.4
2023Away 5.04 1.20 50.0 1 4 0 8.6 1.8 2.7
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Many will point to Pfaadt's postseason and ignore the regular season. While those five starts can't be ignored, Pfaadt foreshadowed his playoff success with a strong second half. After his first six outings, Pfaadt recorded an ugly 9.82 ERA and 1.87 WHIP, with only 21 strikeouts in 25.2 frames. His issue was a 3.2 HR/9 mark. Pfaadt was recalled after the All-Star break and posted a 4.22 ERA and 1.24 WHIP with 73 punchouts in 70.1 innings, with a still high but improved 1.7 HR/9. Pfaadt is a fly ball pitcher, so he'll continue to be homer-prone, but his BABIP should be below average, especially with strong defenders chasing down fly balls in the desert. However, Pfaadt threw fewer four-seamers and more sinkers in the postseason, with a 1.23 HR/9. If he carries this over to his sophomore season, Pfaadt could keep more balls in the yard. The concern in redraft leagues is someone may chase last season's postseason exploits. Expecting a full season of what Pfaadt did over the second half is the sage approach.
Perhaps a sleeper in shallower redraft leagues, Pfaadt is now an in-demand pitching prospect in dynasty and draft and hold formats after he built up to 167 innings and had a very strong showing in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League. Among PCL pitchers with at least 50 innings, Pfaadt ranked third in ERA (2.63) and first in WHIP (0.99) and K-BB% (24.8%). Nobody was all that close to him in WHIP or K-BB%, so it's safe to say that Pfaadt was the best pitcher in the league. The 6-foot-4 righty has a well-rounded pitch mix, featuring a mid-90s fastball with good ride, a plus slider with sharp bite and a solid changeup. Most scouts have him pegged as a No. 3 or No. 4 starter in real life, but the stats suggest there might be a little more here. He won't have any workload restrictions in 2023 and could crack the big-league rotation out of spring training.
More Fantasy News
Named to rotation
PArizona Diamondbacks
March 23, 2025
Pfaadt will begin the season in the Diamondbacks' rotation and is scheduled to start Saturday against the Cubs, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Strong start Sunday
PArizona Diamondbacks
March 17, 2025
Pfaadt allowed two hits and struck out seven over five scoreless innings in Sunday's spring start against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Rebounds Tuesday
PArizona Diamondbacks
March 12, 2025
Pfaadt allowed one run on three hits and one walk while striking out two over three innings in Tuesday's spring game against the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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Rough second outing
PArizona Diamondbacks
March 7, 2025
Pfaadt was unable to get out of the second inning in his second spring start Wednesday, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports. He allowed three runs on six hits and one walk while striking out two over 1.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp in spring debut
PArizona Diamondbacks
February 28, 2025
Pfaadt allowed one hit and struck out two over two scoreless innings in Thursday's spring start against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Possible trade candidate
PArizona Diamondbacks
November 17, 2024
The Diamondbacks could trade Pfaadt during the offseason, per Will Sammon and Patrick Mooney of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Pfaadt won't be eligible for his first year of arbitration until 2027, so he could be targeted as a cost-controlled starter. The 26-year-old righty had a 4.71 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 185:42 K:BB over 181.2 innings during 2024, though teams could view him more favorably due to a 3.58 xFIP.
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