Braxton Garrett

Braxton Garrett

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Garrett began the season with Triple-A Jacksonville, on the IL with a right shoulder impingement. When he was able to take the hill, Garrett pitched well for seven starts before being called up in early June. He initially struggled, at least on the surface a .411 BABIP and 67% LOB mark bloated his 5.24 ERA well over the associated 3.38 FIP and 3.68 xFIP. Regression ensued as Garrett recorded a 3.02 ERA and 1.10 WHIP the rest of the way, supported by a solid 25.4% K-BB% mark and 3.62 FIP and 3.45 xFIP. Garrett doesn't have the pedigree of some of his teammates, but he's always been able to miss bats and his control has improved over the last couple of seasons. Miami has a bevy of fledgling arms, but Garrett has a chance to break camp in the back end of their rotation. He checks all the boxes for a mixed league streamer. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#477
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Marlins in March of 2022.
Picks up second win
PMiami Marlins
June 5, 2023
Garrett (2-2) earned the win Monday, allowing four runs on six hits over five innings against Kansas City. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
Garrett got off to an inauspicious start, allowing four runs over his first two innings. However, he'd manage to hold the Royals at bay while the Marlins rallied to overcome a 4-0 deficit and pick up the win. The 25-year-old Garrett had been pitching well coming into Monday's outing, holding opponents to two runs or fewer in his last four starts. Garrett sports a 4.47 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and 60:12 K:BB over 12 starts (58.1 innings) this season.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
76
Last 10 Games
78
Last 5 Games
79
How many pitches does Braxton Garrett generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Braxton Garrett generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-19%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-38%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-26%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .235 192 51 15 40 7 0 3
Since 2021vs Right .285 588 131 41 152 34 3 18
2023vs Left .232 61 18 5 13 2 0 2
2023vs Right .288 187 42 7 51 14 0 7
2022vs Left .173 90 26 6 14 2 0 1
2022vs Right .280 283 64 18 72 15 3 8
2021vs Left .394 41 7 4 13 3 0 0
2021vs Right .293 118 25 16 29 5 0 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-8%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-57%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-40%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-54%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 3.97 1.40 88.1 3 6 0 10.6 3.6 1.2
Since 2021Away 4.30 1.35 92.0 3 5 0 7.6 2.1 0.9
2023Home 6.35 1.41 28.1 1 1 0 9.5 1.6 2.2
2023Away 2.70 1.20 30.0 1 1 0 9.0 2.1 0.6
2022Home 2.63 1.29 41.0 1 3 0 11.6 3.5 0.7
2022Away 4.40 1.21 47.0 2 4 0 7.1 1.5 1.1
2021Home 3.32 1.63 19.0 1 2 0 9.9 6.6 0.9
2021Away 7.20 2.07 15.0 0 0 0 6.6 3.6 0.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Braxton Garrett compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
5.00
 
K/9
9.3
 
BB/9
1.9
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
89.8 mph
 
ERA
4.47
 
WHIP
1.30
 
BABIP
.345
 
GB/FB
2.32
 
Left On Base
74.1%
 
Exit Velocity
84.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
8.0%
 
Spin Rate
2143 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
33.1%
 
Swinging Strike
13.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2018
2017
Garrett was called upon to make a pair of starts for the Marlins last season despite having previously logged a single appearance above High-A ball. He fared well in his debut, allowing one run and striking out six over five innings, but was far less effective his next time out, yielding four earned runs in 2.2 frames. The southpaw doesn't throw hard -- he averaged less than 90 mph on his fastball in his two big-league appearances -- but has registered over a strikeout per inning over the course of his brief professional career thanks to a standout curveball and mature pitching acumen. Those skills could allow Garrett to ascend to a role as a solid mid-rotation starter, especially if he is able to bump up his velocity. He is likely to open 2021 at Triple-A but should be among the first in line for a big-league rotation spot should the opportunity become available.
Tommy John surgery delayed Garrett's professional development, but the No. 7 overall pick in 2016 finally logged his first full season and looked like a future No. 3 starter. A 22-year-old lefty with an excellent frame (6-foot-3, 190 pounds), Garrett features a low-90s fastball that can touch 95 mph, a plus curveball that has long been his calling card and an average changeup. He is still pretty projectable, so we could see his fastball add some juice and his changeup could be at least an above-average offering by the time he reaches the majors. He has an easy delivery that portends above-average command, and he showed last year (52.7 GB%) that he is already adept at inducing weak contact. This should be his final full season in the minors, opening at Double-A and finishing at Triple-A, with a 2021 MLB debut on tap if he stays healthy.
Garrett, who the Marlins selected with the No. 7 pick in the 2016 draft, only logged 15.1 innings in 2017 before eventually needing Tommy John surgery in late June. This, after he didn't pitch at all the year he was drafted as the Marlins attempted to exercise caution with his workload. Even though Garrett won't return to game action until July or August of this year, at the earliest, he is still one of the top prospects in a system that was essentially bare before this offseason's rebuild. A lefty with the potential for a plus fastball, plus curveball and above-average command, Garrett could top out as a No. 2 starter if his recovery goes perfectly and his changeup develops. The more likely outcome is that he develops into a No. 3 or No. 4 starter. Given how much his development is delayed, Garrett is unlikely to reach the majors until 2021 or 2022.
Garrett might be the safest of the high school arms from the 2016 draft class, which is an odd statement considering he is the only pitcher who was selected in the first 30 picks who has not yet pitched in a game. The Marlins opted to let Garrett take his time in his recovery from Tommy John surgery rather than rush him to an affiliate. He fell to the Marlins with the seventh pick, but his $4.15 million bonus ranks third in the class, reflecting his pre-draft pedigree. Unfortunately that pedigree does not quite translate over to fantasy. Garrett, a 6-foot-3, 190-pound southpaw, should be owned in leagues that roster 125-plus prospects, but he lacks frontline upside. A low-90s fastball and plus curveball lead a three-pitch mix, and if everything goes well, he will develop into a No. 3 starter. Jason Groome, Forrest Whitley, Riley Pint and Matt Manning are preferable investments among the prep arms from his draft class.
More Fantasy News
Solid in no-decision
PMiami Marlins
May 25, 2023
Garrett did not factor into the decision Thursday, allowing two runs on six hits and three walks over five innings against the Rockies. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Brilliant in no-decision
PMiami Marlins
May 21, 2023
Garrett didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 1-0 win over the Giants, allowing only one hit and one walk over 6.1 scoreless innings. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out eight in no-decision
PMiami Marlins
May 14, 2023
Garrett did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing one run on three hits and one walk across five innings during a 3-1 win over the Reds. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Fans six in loss
PMiami Marlins
May 9, 2023
Garrett (1-2) took the loss against Arizona on Monday, allowing four runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out six batters over 5.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Disastrous outing against Atlanta
PMiami Marlins
May 4, 2023
Garrett (1-1) took the loss in Wednesday's 14-6 rout at the hands of Atlanta, surrendering 11 runs on 14 hits -- including four home runs -- and two walks over 4.1 innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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