Brian Anderson

29-Year-Old Third Baseman3B

Milwaukee Brewers

2022 Stats

AVG

.222

RBI

2023 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Anderson was non-tendered by the Marlins after the season and latched on with the Brewers on a one-year deal, and he's expected to primarily play third base while also being an option in the outfield and at first base. Anderson has struggled through injuries each of the past two seasons while retaining a disciplined approach at the plate but seeing his numbers slide each of the past three seasons while he played through the injuries. The 20 homers of 2019 were clearly a product of the baseball being used that season, and he may have a hard time reaching those heights again with Milwaukee's park factor more recently favoring pitchers. He will likely end up in right field sooner rather than later as his range is declining but the arm is still elite. His splits have truly been all over the place, but he has historically handled righties better than lefties which should help keep him out of a short-side platoon situation. There is still good in his bat buried underneath the recent scar tissue, and he's an intriguing option should he land in the right place this winter. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#515

ADP

Overall

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 208

DOB 5/19/1993

Born Edmond, OK

College Arkansas

Drafted 3rd Rd 2014 MIA

Expected to play primarily at 3B

3BMilwaukee Brewers

January 23, 2023

Anderson told reporters via Zoom on Sunday that he will primarily play third base, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
Anderson also said the team has talked to him about playing in the outfield, and also potentially at first base. The former Miami infielder/outfielder signed a one-year, $3.5 million deal with the Brewers after being non-tendered by the Marlins following a disappointing 2022 season where he posted a .657 OPS over 98 games.

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Batting Stats

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2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2020

+9%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+18%

OPS vs LHP

2021

+88%

OPS vs RHP

2020

+2%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020vs Left	.663	205	24	6	19	1	.231	.298	.366
Since 2020vs Right	.725	666	69	19	74	5	.241	.336	.389
2022vs Left	.746	81	12	3	6	0	.247	.321	.425
2022vs Right	.632	302	31	5	22	1	.215	.308	.325
2021vs Left	.428	60	5	1	5	1	.158	.200	.228
2021vs Right	.804	204	19	6	23	4	.278	.377	.426
2020vs Left	.788	64	7	2	8	0	.286	.359	.429
2020vs Right	.802	160	19	8	29	0	.243	.338	.464
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2020

+6%

OPS at Home

2022

+30%

OPS at Home

2021

+7%

OPS at Home

2020

+21%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020Home	.729	457	50	14	48	3	.245	.333	.396
Since 2020Away	.690	414	43	11	45	3	.231	.321	.369
2022Home	.732	215	27	6	17	1	.243	.335	.397
2022Away	.562	168	16	2	11	0	.195	.280	.282
2021Home	.735	147	17	4	15	2	.256	.347	.388
2021Away	.690	117	7	3	13	3	.240	.325	.365
2020Home	.712	95	6	4	16	0	.233	.305	.407
2020Away	.863	129	20	6	21	0	.273	.372	.491
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Brian Anderson compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.37

BB Rate

9.7%

K Rate

26.4%

BABIP

.291

ISO

.124

AVG

.222

OBP

.311

SLG

.346

OPS

.657

wOBA

.295

Exit Velocity

88.7 mph

Hard Hit Rate

30.7%

Barrels/PA

6.0%

Expected BA

.229

Expected SLG

.379

Sprint Speed

24.6 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

50.4%

Line Drive %

18.5%

Fly Ball %

31.1%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Brian Anderson Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Brewers Depth Chart

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

The implementation of the universal DH bodes well for Anderson in 2022 if his body does not fail him the way it did in 2021. Much was made of Fernando Tatis' shoulder subluxations last year and how he avoided surgery; Anderson had the same problem but could not avoid surgery. His first shoulder issue cost him nearly three months, and that was followed by an oblique injury, COVID-19 and a second shoulder subluxation which led to him having surgery in mid-September. The problem now is that the surgery was on his front hitting shoulder, which hurts a hitter's ability to get full extension on their swing and generate full power. He's twice cleared the .800 OPS threshold in a season, but performance expectations should be modest coming off the procedure.

Anderson had his best year yet, at least judging by his career-high 121 wRC+, helping lead the Marlins to their first playoff berth since 2003. Whether or not he actually improved isn't clear, however. He made less contact than in either of his two previous full seasons, as his strikeout rate jumped significantly from 21.9% to 28.8%. When he did make contact, it came off the bat at a career-low 87.4 mph average exit velocity. Statcast suggests he overachieved by a fair amount, giving him a .228 xBA and a .425 xSLG, numbers which don't quite back up his .255 batting average and .465 slugging percentage. Overall, it's not the most compelling profile, but Anderson should at least do enough to be worth a later-round pick again this season. He has a locked-in role in an improving lineup, though he's still held back somewhat by the Marlins' pitcher-friendly home park.

This is the type of player that would be a much bigger deal in another market and another ballpark. Anderson is the guy in the Miami lineup pitchers don't want to beat them; his overall fantasy production is limited by his surrounding cast and his home park. If he hit in a better lineup and better park, 30 homers and 90-plus RBI would be a very real possibility for him in 2020. He is coming into his third full season at the major-league level and has shown improvement in the three years of MLB experience he has under his belt. He is too cheap for the Marlins to let go anywhere else, so the hope would be Derek Jeter and the other front-office officials improve his surrounding cast quicker so his fantasy value can grow in kind. For now, draft him for the improving player he is and hope his situation changes for the better while enjoying his dual-position eligibility.

For a player with as little prospect pedigree and buzz as Anderson, he had himself a nice little rookie season. He was the second-best hitter on a poor Marlins team, finishing 13 percent better than league average with the bat after accounting for park effects (113 wRC+). His plate-discipline profile was pretty much exactly in line with his minor-league track record, with Anderson walking 9.3% of the time while striking out at a 19.3% clip. The big drawback was the lack of power. Anderson had 34 doubles but only 11 homers and a .127 ISO, and his 51.8% groundball rate and .397 road slugging percentage don't portend much improvement in that department in the years to come. His 19.7% line-drive rate also points to a batting average in the .270s being maybe his ceiling. With his steady plate skills and an everyday role, the soon-to-be 26-year-old Anderson appears primed to once again be relevant in the corner infield, if only as a textbook accumulator.

Anderson lacks impact tools, realistic upside, a high floor and a record of performance at age-appropriate levels in the minors. But he will likely be the Marlins' starting third baseman on Opening Day, so he's got that going for him, which is nice. Prior to 2017, he impressed after getting drafted in the third round in 2014 in the lower levels as a 21-year-old, and had a nice 49-game run at High-A as a 23-year-old, but other than that, he had been roughly a league-average hitter at each stop. However, last season he hit .275/.361/.492 with 22 home runs in 120 games across stops at Double-A and Triple-A before making his big-league debut in September, where he whiffed 29.5 percent of the time. He could hit .250 or .260 with double-digit home runs if everything breaks right. In most organizations he would profile as an organizational depth piece, but after Miami gutted its roster this offseason, Anderson will be a part of a youth movement in 2018.

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