Bryan Reynolds

Bryan Reynolds

29-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Pittsburgh Pirates
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Reyolds appeared on the way out of Pittsburgh after requesting a trade last offseason, but he instead inked an eight-year, $106.75 million extension early in 2023 to end the contract drama. On the field it was more of the same for the outfielder, as he played in 145 games for the second straight year, though his .790 OPS, 24 homers and 8.5 percent walk rate were a bit down from 2022. However, he set a career high with 12 stolen bases and improved his strikeout rate to 21.6 percent to go along with 85 runs and 84 RBI. He's been well above average at the plate over the past two years but has been unable to replicate the .302/.390/.522 slash line he posted in 2021, and the recent production may be more realistic to expect moving forward. With that said, Reynolds enters 2024 as a reliable and extremely productive fantasy option in the outfield as he enters his age-29 campaign. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#87
ADP
$Signed an eight-year, $104.75 million contract extension with the Pirates in April of 2023. Contract includes $20 million team option ($2 million buyout) for 2031.
Homers for lone run
OFPittsburgh Pirates
June 19, 2024
Reynolds went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in Wednesday's 1-0 victory over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
Reynolds snapped a scoreless tie with two outs in the eighth inning, launching a Nick Martinez changeup over the center field fence to provide the only offense in a 1-0 Pirates win. The 29-year-old Reynolds has been red hot at the plate -- he extended his hit streak to 17 games, going 24-for-70 (.343) with 11 extra-base hits in that span. His slash line is up to .271/.337/.448 on the year with 10 homers, 40 RBI, 30 runs scored and five stolen bases across 332 plate appearances.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
48
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
26
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+2%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+13%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+3%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .761 475 53 16 61 7 .281 .326 .434
Since 2022vs Right .814 1111 136 45 125 17 .258 .343 .471
2024vs Left .787 102 8 4 16 2 .284 .324 .463
2024vs Right .799 230 22 6 24 3 .270 .348 .451
2023vs Left .726 202 24 5 27 5 .285 .312 .415
2023vs Right .821 438 61 19 57 7 .252 .338 .483
2022vs Left .787 171 21 7 18 0 .273 .345 .442
2022vs Right .814 443 53 20 44 7 .258 .345 .469
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+11%
OPS on Road
2024
Even Split
2023
 
 
+17%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+12%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .752 762 93 23 78 9 .253 .335 .418
Since 2022Away .838 824 96 38 108 15 .276 .341 .497
2024Home .795 156 18 5 16 1 .273 .333 .462
2024Away .795 176 12 5 24 4 .276 .347 .449
2023Home .723 306 39 8 36 4 .244 .327 .396
2023Away .849 334 46 16 48 8 .280 .332 .516
2022Home .759 300 36 10 26 4 .252 .343 .416
2022Away .851 314 38 17 36 3 .271 .347 .504
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Stat Review
How does Bryan Reynolds compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.42
 
BB Rate
8.7%
 
K Rate
20.8%
 
BABIP
.320
 
ISO
.177
 
AVG
.271
 
OBP
.337
 
SLG
.448
 
OPS
.786
 
wOBA
.347
 
Exit Velocity
89.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
34.0%
 
Barrels/PA
7.2%
 
Expected BA
.276
 
Expected SLG
.475
 
Sprint Speed
23.0 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
50.0%
 
Line Drive %
19.0%
 
Fly Ball %
31.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension still in play?
OFPittsburgh Pirates
April 23, 2023
According to John Heyman of the New York Post, the Pirates are still attempting to iron out a seven-year, $100 million extension with Reynolds.
ANALYSIS
The framework of the deal appears stable since it was first reported in late March, but the sticking point for Reynolds thus far is the desire for a no-trade clause and an opt-out after four years. The Pirates have been unwilling to give in on either front, though the club has apparently relented somewhat and is willing to offer limited no-trade protection. The 28-year-old is under team control through the 2025 season, and it remains to be seen if the two sides are able to come to terms after Reynolds requested a trade back in December.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2017
2022 was another year of the perpetual rebuild in Pittsburgh where little went well, but that did not stop Reynolds from building off his successful 2021 campaign. The batting average fell as Reynolds continues a cycle of BABIP peaks and valleys year after year, but he set a career high in homers and steals while compiling for an otherwise dreadful lineup. Only he, Cal Raleigh, and Byron Buxton hit as many as 25 homers while failing to score 75+ runs or drive in 65+. Buxton played in many fewer games than Reynolds while the rest of Raleigh's profile is distant from Reynolds's production. The low run production just speaks to the surrounding cast issues for Reynolds which will continue unless the club trades him now that he is into his arbitration years. Their track record says they will, and a relocation would be a nitrous-oxide boost to his fantasy value in 2023.
After a disappointing 2020 season, Reynolds bounced back in a major way. Reynolds and Juan Soto were the only two hitters in 2021 with a batting average north of .300 to go along with more than 90 runs, 90 RBI, 20 homers and five steals. Both his strikeouts (18.4 K%) and BABIP (.345) improved. While he has just been in the league for three seasons, Reynolds has developed a good, not great profile. He's not a zero in any one category, but fantasy managers are always looking for more than roughly 25 homers and five stolen bases. His walk rate jumped to a career-high 11.6% as pitchers no longer throw him fastballs (49% to 46% to 44%). As a switch hitter, he's been better against righties (.874 OPS), but not a drag against lefties (.817 OPS). His near-.300 average is the key for his fantasy value. We saw in 2020 what the downside looks like, but at the same time, there aren't any obvious holes in his game.
Reynolds was red-hot upon arrival in 2019, slashing .314/.377/.503 across 546 PA with the Pirates and finishing fourth in the NL Rookie of the Year vote. Cold water rained down in the form of a .189/.275/.357 slash line in his sophomore season. His strikeout rate shot up to 27.4% in 2020 and most of the batted-ball numbers provide little reason optimism, although Reynolds did up his barrel rate to a respectable 10,2% while also improving his walk rate to 10.1%. The Pirates need to determine which version of Reynolds is real; is it the three-plus win outfielder or something closer to the replacement-level player we saw in 2020? He does not seem to have many fans left in fantasy -- we can be fickle creatures -- but it makes sense that most find it tough to get excited considering the team context and lack of speed.
Reynolds, who was acquired from the Giants in the Andrew McCutchen trade, opened the season with Triple-A Indianapolis, where he hit .367 with five homers in 13 games before getting called up to the majors to replace the injured Starling Marte. The outfielder kept on hitting following his promotion, kicking off his big-league career with an 11-game hitting streak and finishing the season with a .314/.377/.503 triple-slash and 16 homers in 546 plate appearances. While Reynolds struggled down the stretch (.230 AVG in September), showed platoon splits (.756 OPS vs. LHP, .931 OPS vs. RHP) and ultimately benefitted from a .387 BABIP, the underlying numbers largely support his breakout. He isn't a flashy pick, but the switch hitter provides a nice floor thanks to his strong batting average and placement near the top of Pittsburgh's lineup -- he primarily hit second last year, which led to 83 runs.
Reynolds was one of the surprises of the draft. Pegged as a clear first-round talent, he fell to the Giants at pick 59, receiving an over-slot $1.35 million bonus. He lived up to his billing as a quality hitter, particularly with short-season Salem-Keizer (141 wRC+), but after getting promoted to Low-A Augusta in August, some strikeout issues began to surface. A 30.3 percent strikeout rate and 4.5 percent walk rate would not be overly alarming for a prep hitter getting his first taste of pro ball, but it was less excusable for a bat-first player from the SEC. His 124 wRC+ in a small sample at Low-A looks solid, but a .452 BABIP was largely to blame for his success there. Reynolds is destined for left field, as he lacks the tools and instincts for center field and lacks the arm for right field. This means he will have to really hit in the coming years while also improving his approach. There's a 20-homer/20-steal left fielder here if you squint hard enough, and that's enough to warrant ownership in leagues where 200 prospects are rostered.
More Fantasy News
Tallies ninth homer
OFPittsburgh Pirates
June 15, 2024
Reynolds went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and two RBI on Friday against the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Hitting streak reaches 11
OFPittsburgh Pirates
June 13, 2024
Reynolds went 1-for-5 with an RBI on Thursday against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Swipes fifth bag
OFPittsburgh Pirates
June 4, 2024
Reynolds went 2-for-4 with a stolen base Tuesday against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Slugs grand slam
OFPittsburgh Pirates
May 22, 2024
Reynolds went 2-for-5 with a grand slam during Wednesday's 9-5 loss to the Giants in 10 innings.
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Picks up fourth steal
OFPittsburgh Pirates
May 19, 2024
Reynolds went 1-for-4 with a walk, a stolen base and one run scored in Sunday's 3-2 win over the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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