Bryan Reynolds

Bryan Reynolds

28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Pittsburgh Pirates
2023 Fantasy Outlook
2022 was another year of the perpetual rebuild in Pittsburgh where little went well, but that did not stop Reynolds from building off his successful 2021 campaign. The batting average fell as Reynolds continues a cycle of BABIP peaks and valleys year after year, but he set a career high in homers and steals while compiling for an otherwise dreadful lineup. Only he, Cal Raleigh, and Byron Buxton hit as many as 25 homers while failing to score 75+ runs or drive in 65+. Buxton played in many fewer games than Reynolds while the rest of Raleigh's profile is distant from Reynolds's production. The low run production just speaks to the surrounding cast issues for Reynolds which will continue unless the club trades him now that he is into his arbitration years. Their track record says they will, and a relocation would be a nitrous-oxide boost to his fantasy value in 2023. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#86
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $13.5 million contract with the Pirates in April of 2022.
Not in Wednesday's lineup
OFPittsburgh Pirates
October 5, 2022
Reynolds isn't starting Wednesday against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
Reynolds is in the midst of a three-game hitting streak in which he's gone 5-for-13 with a home run, two doubles, two runs, two RBI, two walks and two strikeouts. However, he'll be on the bench for Wednesday's season finale while Ji Hwan Bae starts in center field and bats ninth.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
80
17
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
44
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+3%
OPS vs RHP
2021
Even Split
2020
 
 
+7%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .835 407 57 11 45 3 .291 .371 .464
Since 2020vs Right .828 1054 133 47 126 10 .261 .350 .478
2022vs Left .787 171 21 7 18 0 .273 .345 .442
2022vs Right .814 443 53 20 44 7 .258 .345 .469
2021vs Left .915 191 30 4 24 3 .325 .403 .512
2021vs Right .911 455 63 20 66 2 .293 .385 .527
2020vs Left .675 45 6 0 3 0 .211 .333 .342
2020vs Right .632 156 17 7 16 1 .184 .263 .369
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+12%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+3%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+39%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .810 738 101 25 83 6 .266 .354 .457
Since 2020Away .839 721 88 32 87 7 .270 .355 .484
2022Home .759 300 36 10 26 4 .252 .343 .416
2022Away .851 314 38 17 36 3 .271 .347 .504
2021Home .901 329 50 12 44 1 .291 .383 .518
2021Away .925 317 43 12 46 4 .314 .397 .527
2020Home .684 109 15 3 13 1 .230 .294 .390
2020Away .493 90 7 3 5 0 .104 .233 .260
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Stat Review
How does Bryan Reynolds compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.40
 
BB Rate
9.1%
 
K Rate
23.0%
 
BABIP
.306
 
ISO
.199
 
AVG
.262
 
OBP
.345
 
SLG
.461
 
OPS
.807
 
wOBA
.352
 
Exit Velocity
90.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
29.8%
 
Barrels/PA
5.2%
 
Expected BA
.249
 
Expected SLG
.416
 
Sprint Speed
23.6 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
43.2%
 
Line Drive %
22.1%
 
Fly Ball %
34.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2017
After a disappointing 2020 season, Reynolds bounced back in a major way. Reynolds and Juan Soto were the only two hitters in 2021 with a batting average north of .300 to go along with more than 90 runs, 90 RBI, 20 homers and five steals. Both his strikeouts (18.4 K%) and BABIP (.345) improved. While he has just been in the league for three seasons, Reynolds has developed a good, not great profile. He's not a zero in any one category, but fantasy managers are always looking for more than roughly 25 homers and five stolen bases. His walk rate jumped to a career-high 11.6% as pitchers no longer throw him fastballs (49% to 46% to 44%). As a switch hitter, he's been better against righties (.874 OPS), but not a drag against lefties (.817 OPS). His near-.300 average is the key for his fantasy value. We saw in 2020 what the downside looks like, but at the same time, there aren't any obvious holes in his game.
Reynolds was red-hot upon arrival in 2019, slashing .314/.377/.503 across 546 PA with the Pirates and finishing fourth in the NL Rookie of the Year vote. Cold water rained down in the form of a .189/.275/.357 slash line in his sophomore season. His strikeout rate shot up to 27.4% in 2020 and most of the batted-ball numbers provide little reason optimism, although Reynolds did up his barrel rate to a respectable 10,2% while also improving his walk rate to 10.1%. The Pirates need to determine which version of Reynolds is real; is it the three-plus win outfielder or something closer to the replacement-level player we saw in 2020? He does not seem to have many fans left in fantasy -- we can be fickle creatures -- but it makes sense that most find it tough to get excited considering the team context and lack of speed.
Reynolds, who was acquired from the Giants in the Andrew McCutchen trade, opened the season with Triple-A Indianapolis, where he hit .367 with five homers in 13 games before getting called up to the majors to replace the injured Starling Marte. The outfielder kept on hitting following his promotion, kicking off his big-league career with an 11-game hitting streak and finishing the season with a .314/.377/.503 triple-slash and 16 homers in 546 plate appearances. While Reynolds struggled down the stretch (.230 AVG in September), showed platoon splits (.756 OPS vs. LHP, .931 OPS vs. RHP) and ultimately benefitted from a .387 BABIP, the underlying numbers largely support his breakout. He isn't a flashy pick, but the switch hitter provides a nice floor thanks to his strong batting average and placement near the top of Pittsburgh's lineup -- he primarily hit second last year, which led to 83 runs.
Reynolds was one of the surprises of the draft. Pegged as a clear first-round talent, he fell to the Giants at pick 59, receiving an over-slot $1.35 million bonus. He lived up to his billing as a quality hitter, particularly with short-season Salem-Keizer (141 wRC+), but after getting promoted to Low-A Augusta in August, some strikeout issues began to surface. A 30.3 percent strikeout rate and 4.5 percent walk rate would not be overly alarming for a prep hitter getting his first taste of pro ball, but it was less excusable for a bat-first player from the SEC. His 124 wRC+ in a small sample at Low-A looks solid, but a .452 BABIP was largely to blame for his success there. Reynolds is destined for left field, as he lacks the tools and instincts for center field and lacks the arm for right field. This means he will have to really hit in the coming years while also improving his approach. There's a 20-homer/20-steal left fielder here if you squint hard enough, and that's enough to warrant ownership in leagues where 200 prospects are rostered.
More Fantasy News
Slugs 27th home run
OFPittsburgh Pirates
October 2, 2022
Reynolds went 2-for-5 with a solo home run in Sunday's 7-5 victory over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Launches 26th homer
OFPittsburgh Pirates
September 26, 2022
Reynolds went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and two runs scored Sunday against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks 25th homer
OFPittsburgh Pirates
September 24, 2022
Reynolds went 2-for-4 with a home run, a walk, two RBI and two runs scored Friday against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Doubles twice, swipes bag
OFPittsburgh Pirates
September 23, 2022
Reynolds went 3-for-3 with two doubles, two walks, an RBI and a stolen base Thursday against the Cubs.
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Leads offense Tuesday
OFPittsburgh Pirates
September 20, 2022
Reynolds went 4-for-5 with a solo home run, two RBI and two runs scored in Tuesday's loss to the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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