Bryce Elder

Bryce Elder

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves AAA
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Elder reeked of pitchability in 2023 as he came out of nowhere to provide Atlanta with some much-needed innings and out-pitched his stuff. In 2024, he simply reeked. Elder is normally a high ground-ball rate pitcher, but he left too many balls up, and the league hit eight homers off him in 49.2 innings of work, which pushed his ERA up and pushed him up the road on I-85 to Gwinnett to work most of the season. Elder pitched better in Triple-A but will be coming to camp competing with multiple names who have better stuff. Since Elder's fastball is a poor pitch by both velocity and stuff measures, his success is wholly contingent upon his ability to keep the ball on the ground and to stay out of fastball counts. He showed that is possible in 2023 when he was at his best, but 2024 also reminded us how fine a line pitchers of this build must walk. NL Only leaguers should keep an eye on Elder for the depth purposes and spot starts, but not fill out a rotation with him as he is unlikely to work a big load this season with Atlanta. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#362
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with Atlanta in March of 2024.
Optioned to Triple-A
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
March 23, 2025
Elder was optioned to Triple-A Gwinnett on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Elder will open the regular season at Triple-A after posting a 4.97 ERA and 1.50 WHIP with 12 strikeouts over 12.2 innings in five appearances, including one start, with Atlanta during the spring. Elder has combined to pitch in 224.1 innings over the last two seasons with Atlanta, and he'll likely make his return to the major-league roster in the not-too-distant future.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .264 501 74 47 117 23 2 15
Since 2023vs Right .257 456 100 33 107 18 3 12
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .336 121 19 11 36 5 0 5
2024vs Right .283 105 27 6 28 4 2 3
2023vs Left .241 380 55 36 81 18 2 10
2023vs Right .248 351 73 27 79 14 1 9
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-4%
ERA on Road
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-35%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-11%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.49 1.38 118.1 8 4 0 7.4 3.3 1.3
Since 2023Away 4.33 1.33 106.0 6 5 0 6.5 3.1 0.8
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 7.99 1.99 23.2 1 3 0 9.1 3.8 1.9
2024Away 5.19 1.31 26.0 1 2 0 7.6 2.4 1.0
2023Home 3.61 1.23 94.2 7 1 0 6.9 3.2 1.1
2023Away 4.05 1.34 80.0 5 3 0 6.2 3.3 0.8
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Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bryce Elder See More
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17 days ago
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30 days ago
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MLB DFS Picks: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Tuesday, October 1
178 days ago
Jackson Chourio and the Brewers stand out as a top stacking option for Tuesday DraftKings MLB DFS contests.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
A fifth-round pick in the 2020 MLB Draft out of the University of Texas, Elder rocketed through Atlanta's minor-league system and made his big-league debut in April of 2022 at the ripe age of 22. He's enjoyed a good amount of success so far at baseball's highest level, carrying a 3.66 ERA through his first 228.2 innings of work with Atlanta, but the now 24-year-old right-hander probably won't be overly popular in fantasy drafts this spring because of his low strikeout rate. Leaning heavily on cutters, sinkers and sliders, Elder likes to put batters away by inducing soft contact as opposed to the more elite fantasy starters who rack up punchouts. He should be a solid source of ERA help and wins with a locked-in rotation spot for the reigning NL East champions, but don't count on a sudden change in approach.
This is an endgame pick that should please the Elder Gods. While Elder does not light up the radar gun with overpowering stuff -- he clocks in around 90-91 mph -- the right-hander does a good job of keeping the ball on the ground with his sinking fastball. He allowed just a single homer on the sinker last season (369 thrown). The slider, cutter and changeup complement the primary pitch, giving Elder a diverse repertoire that projects well in the Atlanta starting rotation. His 10.1 K-BB% from his rookie season does little to excite, but the team context and a groundball rate pushing 50% give Elder streaming appeal in a wide variety of leagues. He threw his cutter almost exclusively against left-handed batters last season. While the cutter was effective for him, it's not a big swing-and-miss pitch, so the slider and changeup will have to do the heavy lifting if he's to take a step forward with the strikeouts in 2023.
Elder is a true starting pitcher all the way, with four pitches (sinker, cutter, changeup, slider) that he throws over 20% of the time. All of his pitches have excellent vertical movement, which helps make up for the fact that his sinker tops out in the low-90s. His changeup and slider are what he relies on for whiffs, but he is also willing to pitch to contact, having logged groundball rates over 50% in the minors. Elder was thrust into action as Atlanta's sixth starter early this season. If he is able to command his pitches and limit hard contact, he could be up for most of the season, but it is conceivable he could be sent to Triple-A for more seasoning, given that he only made seven starts there in 2021.
More Fantasy News
On Atlanta's wild-card roster
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
October 1, 2024
Atlanta recalled Elder from Triple-A Gwinnett on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Could make Game 1 start
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
September 30, 2024
Elder is a candidate to start Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series against the Padres on Tuesday, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
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Sent back to minors
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
August 7, 2024
Atlanta optioned Elder to Triple-A Gwinnett on Wednesday, Justin Toscano of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Headed back to Gwinnett
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
August 6, 2024
Atlanta will option Elder to Triple-A Gwinnett on Wednesday, Justin Toscano of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Called up, will start Tuesday
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
August 5, 2024
Atlanta recalled Elder from Triple-A Gwinnett on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Opening for spot start?
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
August 8, 2024
Atlanta is skipping Spencer Schwellenbach's turn in the rotation this weekend at Colorado, per Mark Bowman of MLB.com, which could provide an opening for Elder to be recalled for a spot start.
ANALYSIS
Elder would be on turn to take the open rotation spot Sunday since he last pitched Tuesday against the Brewers. However, the 25-year-old was demoted to Triple-A Gwinnett after he surrendered seven earned runs, so Atlanta would need to place a player on the injured list in order for him to be able to return to the big leagues so quickly. Elder has a 6.52 ERA across 10 starts in the majors this season, so he has minimal fantasy appeal if Atlanta gives him another look.
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