Bryce Elder

Bryce Elder

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves
2023 Fantasy Outlook
This is an endgame pick that should please the Elder Gods. While Elder does not light up the radar gun with overpowering stuff -- he clocks in around 90-91 mph -- the right-hander does a good job of keeping the ball on the ground with his sinking fastball. He allowed just a single homer on the sinker last season (369 thrown). The slider, cutter and changeup complement the primary pitch, giving Elder a diverse repertoire that projects well in the Atlanta starting rotation. His 10.1 K-BB% from his rookie season does little to excite, but the team context and a groundball rate pushing 50% give Elder streaming appeal in a wide variety of leagues. He threw his cutter almost exclusively against left-handed batters last season. While the cutter was effective for him, it's not a big swing-and-miss pitch, so the slider and changeup will have to do the heavy lifting if he's to take a step forward with the strikeouts in 2023. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#571
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with Atlanta in March of 2023.
Stays undefeated
PAtlanta Braves
June 7, 2023
Elder (4-0) picked up the win Tuesday, giving up four runs on four hits and two walks over six innings as Atlanta downed the Mets 6-4. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
A pair of two-run homers in the third inning by Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso accounted for all the Mets' offense, but Elder settled down after that and gave his team a chance to come back. The eight Ks were a season high for the 24-year-old righty, and Elder will take a sharp 2.26 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 64:21 K:BB through 71.2 innings into his next outing, likely to come at home this weekend against the Nationals.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2023 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
95
Last 10 Games
96
Last 5 Games
96
How many pitches does Bryce Elder generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Elder generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2021
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .215 234 46 20 45 14 0 6
Since 2021vs Right .238 281 65 24 60 10 0 4
2023vs Left .203 131 31 11 24 7 0 3
2023vs Right .255 157 33 10 37 7 0 3
2022vs Left .231 103 15 9 21 7 0 3
2022vs Right .215 124 32 14 23 3 0 1
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-6%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-33%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2021
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 2.57 1.22 63.0 2 1 0 8.6 3.1 1.1
Since 2021Away 2.73 1.15 62.2 4 3 0 7.3 3.2 0.3
2023Home 2.63 1.22 41.0 1 0 0 8.8 2.6 1.3
2023Away 1.76 1.04 30.2 3 0 0 7.0 2.6 0.0
2022Home 2.45 1.23 22.0 1 1 0 8.2 4.1 0.8
2022Away 3.66 1.25 32.0 1 3 0 7.6 3.7 0.6
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Bryce Elder compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.05
 
K/9
8.0
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
89.8 mph
 
ERA
2.26
 
WHIP
1.14
 
BABIP
.285
 
GB/FB
2.49
 
Left On Base
85.6%
 
Exit Velocity
82.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.6%
 
Spin Rate
2156 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
29.1%
 
Swinging Strike
11.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bryce Elder See More
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: More Nothing Than Double
7 days ago
Todd Zola toes the rubber with his Weekly Pitcher Rankings for fantasy baseball, starting with Toronto's Kevin Gausman taking the mound twice at home against a pair of tough opponents.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Tuesday Plays and Strategy
11 days ago
Mike Barner is all over the Dodgers’ bats Tuesday against the Nats.
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Elder is a true starting pitcher all the way, with four pitches (sinker, cutter, changeup, slider) that he throws over 20% of the time. All of his pitches have excellent vertical movement, which helps make up for the fact that his sinker tops out in the low-90s. His changeup and slider are what he relies on for whiffs, but he is also willing to pitch to contact, having logged groundball rates over 50% in the minors. Elder was thrust into action as Atlanta's sixth starter early this season. If he is able to command his pitches and limit hard contact, he could be up for most of the season, but it is conceivable he could be sent to Triple-A for more seasoning, given that he only made seven starts there in 2021.
More Fantasy News
Lacks support in strong outing
PAtlanta Braves
May 30, 2023
Elder allowed a run on five hits and three walks while striking out five over 7.1 innings in a no-decision versus Oakland on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Limits LA to one run
PAtlanta Braves
May 24, 2023
Elder tossed six innings against the Dodgers on Wednesday, allowing one run on seven hits and one walk while striking out six batters. He did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Fans six in no-decision
PAtlanta Braves
May 19, 2023
Elder allowed two runs on seven hits and a walk over six-plus innings during Friday's win over the Mariners. He struck out six and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Solid in no-decision
PAtlanta Braves
May 14, 2023
Elder didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 5-2 loss to the Blue Jays, giving up two runs on five hits and a walk over five innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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No decision Sunday
PAtlanta Braves
May 7, 2023
Elder did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing one run on four hits and four walks over 5.1 innings against Baltimore. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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