2023 Stats
W-L
4-0
ERA
2.26
WHIP
1.14
K
64
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
This is an endgame pick that should please the Elder Gods. While Elder does not light up the radar gun with overpowering stuff -- he clocks in around 90-91 mph -- the right-hander does a good job of keeping the ball on the ground with his sinking fastball. He allowed just a single homer on the sinker last season (369 thrown). The slider, cutter and changeup complement the primary pitch, giving Elder a diverse repertoire that projects well in the Atlanta starting rotation. His 10.1 K-BB% from his rookie season does little to excite, but the team context and a groundball rate pushing 50% give Elder streaming appeal in a wide variety of leagues. He threw his cutter almost exclusively against left-handed batters last season. While the cutter was effective for him, it's not a big swing-and-miss pitch, so the slider and changeup will have to do the heavy lifting if he's to take a step forward with the strikeouts in 2023. Read Past Outlooks
Stays undefeated
Elder (4-0) picked up the win Tuesday, giving up four runs on four hits and two walks over six innings as Atlanta downed the Mets 6-4. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
A pair of two-run homers in the third inning by Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso accounted for all the Mets' offense, but Elder settled down after that and gave his team a chance to come back. The eight Ks were a season high for the 24-year-old righty, and Elder will take a sharp 2.26 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 64:21 K:BB through 71.2 innings into his next outing, likely to come at home this weekend against the Nationals.
A pair of two-run homers in the third inning by Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso accounted for all the Mets' offense, but Elder settled down after that and gave his team a chance to come back. The eight Ks were a season high for the 24-year-old righty, and Elder will take a sharp 2.26 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 64:21 K:BB through 71.2 innings into his next outing, likely to come at home this weekend against the Nationals.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
95
Last 10 Games
96
Last 5 Games
96
How many pitches does Bryce Elder generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Elder generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2023
-20%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2021vs Left | .215 | 46 | 20 | 45 | 6 | |||
| Since 2021vs Right | .238 | 65 | 24 | 60 | 4 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .203 | 31 | 11 | 24 | 3 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .255 | 33 | 10 | 37 | 3 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .231 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 3 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .215 | 32 | 14 | 23 | 1 | |||
| 2021vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2021vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-6%
ERA at Home
2023
-33%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2021Home | 2.57 | 1.22 | 63.0 | 8.6 | 3.1 | ||||
| Since 2021Away | 2.73 | 1.15 | 62.2 | 7.3 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2023Home | 2.63 | 1.22 | 41.0 | 8.8 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2023Away | 1.76 | 1.04 | 30.2 | 7.0 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2022Home | 2.45 | 1.23 | 22.0 | 8.2 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2022Away | 3.66 | 1.25 | 32.0 | 7.6 | 3.7 | ||||
| 2021Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2021Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bryce Elder compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.05K/9
8.0BB/9
2.6HR/9
0.8Fastball
89.8 mphERA
2.26WHIP
1.14BABIP
.285GB/FB
2.49Left On Base
85.6%Exit Velocity
82.4 mphBarrels/BBE
4.6%Spin Rate
2156 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
29.1%Swinging Strike
11.6%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2022 Fantasy Outlook
Elder is a true starting pitcher all the way, with four pitches (sinker, cutter, changeup, slider) that he throws over 20% of the time. All of his pitches have excellent vertical movement, which helps make up for the fact that his sinker tops out in the low-90s. His changeup and slider are what he relies on for whiffs, but he is also willing to pitch to contact, having logged groundball rates over 50% in the minors. Elder was thrust into action as Atlanta's sixth starter early this season. If he is able to command his pitches and limit hard contact, he could be up for most of the season, but it is conceivable he could be sent to Triple-A for more seasoning, given that he only made seven starts there in 2021.
More Fantasy News
Lacks support in strong outing
Elder allowed a run on five hits and three walks while striking out five over 7.1 innings in a no-decision versus Oakland on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Limits LA to one run
Elder tossed six innings against the Dodgers on Wednesday, allowing one run on seven hits and one walk while striking out six batters. He did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Fans six in no-decision
Elder allowed two runs on seven hits and a walk over six-plus innings during Friday's win over the Mariners. He struck out six and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Solid in no-decision
Elder didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 5-2 loss to the Blue Jays, giving up two runs on five hits and a walk over five innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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No decision Sunday
Elder did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing one run on four hits and four walks over 5.1 innings against Baltimore. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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