Caleb Ferguson

Caleb Ferguson

26-Year-Old PitcherRP
Los Angeles Dodgers
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Ferguson returned from Tommy John surgery last May after missing the entire 2021 season. The southpaw was demoted after just one appearance, but returned to the Dodgers a few weeks later and pitched a handful of outings before he experienced left forearm tendinitis. Los Angeles played it cautiously with Ferguson, who returned after a month and extended his scoreless streak to 19 games before finally permitting a run in mid August. He wasn't as sharp from that point forward, recording a 1.88 WHIP and 11 walks over his final 16 innings. Ferguson finished the season with a 12% walk rate, issuing 17 over 34.2 innings, but he only permitted one home run and continued his success against right-handed hitters (.173 BA since 2020). The lefty isn't near the top of the Dodgers' leverage ladder, but it's possible he enters the mix for saves at some point in 2023, especially if he goes on another scoreless streak like last year. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $1.1 million contract with the Dodgers in January of 2023.
Settles on one-year deal
PLos Angeles Dodgers
January 13, 2023
Ferguson and the Dodgers settled on a one-year, $1.1 million contract Friday to avoid arbitration, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The reliever was very effective in 2022, posting a 1.82 ERA and 1.15 WHIP with 37 strikeouts and seven holds over 34.2 innings in 37 appearances out of the Dodgers' bullpen. Ferguson will likely operate in a significant role again in 2023.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
16
Last 10 Games
17
Last 5 Games
20
How many pitches does Caleb Ferguson generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Caleb Ferguson generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
2021
No Stats
2020
 
 
-32%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .258 70 18 7 16 4 0 0
Since 2020vs Right .173 147 46 13 23 6 0 5
2022vs Left .243 44 9 6 9 3 0 0
2022vs Right .163 98 28 11 14 5 0 1
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left .280 26 9 1 7 1 0 0
2020vs Right .191 49 18 2 9 1 0 4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-61%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-33%
ERA on Road
2021
No Stats
2020
 
 
-83%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.24 1.24 25.0 2 1 0 12.2 4.7 1.4
Since 2020Away 1.27 0.99 28.1 1 0 0 9.5 2.2 0.3
2022Home 2.20 1.22 16.1 0 0 0 12.1 5.5 0.6
2022Away 1.47 1.09 18.1 1 0 0 7.4 3.4 0.0
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 5.19 1.27 8.2 2 1 0 12.5 3.1 3.1
2020Away 0.90 0.80 10.0 0 0 0 13.5 0.0 0.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Caleb Ferguson compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.18
 
K/9
9.6
 
BB/9
4.4
 
HR/9
0.3
 
Fastball
94.9 mph
 
ERA
1.82
 
WHIP
1.15
 
BABIP
.266
 
GB/FB
1.38
 
Left On Base
80.3%
 
Exit Velocity
79.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.9%
 
Spin Rate
2498 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
19.1%
 
Swinging Strike
11.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
Ferguson hoped to earn a spot in the Dodgers' 2020 rotation. He added a slider to expand his repertoire but he ended up coming out of the bullpen in 20 of 21 outings. The southpaw pitched well, fanning 27 while walking only three in 18.2 innings. Unfortunately, he was felled by a left elbow injury in mid-September, necessitating season-ending Tommy John surgery. It remains to be seen if Ferguson's aspirations to start are affected, but he's likely to miss all of 2021 rehabbing.
Ferguson took a significant step back in his sophomore season. After recording a 3.49 ERA in 49.0 frames as a rookie, he posted a 4.84 mark in 44.2 innings in 2019 as his supporting stats fell off across the board. His strikeout rate fell from 29.2% to 26.5%, his walk rate ballooned from 5.9% to 13.2% and his groundball rate fell from 45.2% to 38.6%. The new version of Ferguson, if that's all he is now, isn't someone who should be considered for a rotation spot or a high-leverage role but is instead at risk of getting demoted, as he was three times last season. He's only 23, though, so it's far too early to write him off. He used his fastball and curve a combined 99.6% of the time last season, so his starting days may be behind him. A setup role is certainly possible if he recaptures his rookie form, but he's unlikely to be anywhere near the top of the closer depth chart to start the season.
Rarely do 38th-round picks make it to the major leagues, let alone enjoy the type of success that Ferguson did as a rookie. The left-hander spent the vast majority of his time with Los Angeles in the bullpen, making 26 relief appearances against three starts. Home runs were a problem (1.47 HR/9, 21.1% HR/FB), but Ferguson showed an ability to miss bats and limit walks, posting a robust 23.3 K-BB%. That was a top-35 mark among all pitchers with at least 40 innings. After working multiple innings out of the bullpen initially, he shortened up later in the year when the team was without closer Kenley Jansen and worked his way into higher-leverage innings, even earning a pair of saves to go along with his five holds and seven wins. In another organization, Ferguson may get a longer look as a starter, but he's mostly a two-pitch guy and as long as he's a Dodger, he will likely remain in a bullpen role.
More Fantasy News
Serving as opener Sunday
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 3, 2022
Ferguson will start Sunday's game against the Padres as the opener, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Notches fifth hold
PLos Angeles Dodgers
July 24, 2022
Ferguson earned a hold against San Francisco on Saturday, allowing one hit and one walk while striking out one batter in one scoreless inning.
ANALYSIS
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Returns from injured list
PLos Angeles Dodgers
July 6, 2022
Ferguson (forearm) was activated from the 15-day injured list Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Expected back next week
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Forearm
July 2, 2022
Ferguson (forearm) is likely to be activated off the injured list in the middle of next week, Matthew Moreno of Dodger Blue reports.
ANALYSIS
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Remains on track
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Forearm
June 30, 2022
Ferguson (forearm) played catch prior to Thursday's game against the Padres, J.P. Hoornstra of the Los Angeles Daily News reports.
ANALYSIS
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