Caleb Ferguson

26-Year-Old PitcherRP

Los Angeles Dodgers

2022 Stats

W-L

1-0

ERA

1.82

WHIP

1.15

2023 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

Unlock Our Projections

2023 Fantasy Outlook

Ferguson returned from Tommy John surgery last May after missing the entire 2021 season. The southpaw was demoted after just one appearance, but returned to the Dodgers a few weeks later and pitched a handful of outings before he experienced left forearm tendinitis. Los Angeles played it cautiously with Ferguson, who returned after a month and extended his scoreless streak to 19 games before finally permitting a run in mid August. He wasn't as sharp from that point forward, recording a 1.88 WHIP and 11 walks over his final 16 innings. Ferguson finished the season with a 12% walk rate, issuing 17 over 34.2 innings, but he only permitted one home run and continued his success against right-handed hitters (.173 BA since 2020). The lefty isn't near the top of the Dodgers' leverage ladder, but it's possible he enters the mix for saves at some point in 2023, especially if he goes on another scoreless streak like last year. Read Past Outlooks

League Majors

Bats R

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 226

DOB 7/2/1996

Born Columbus, OH

College None

Drafted 38th Rd 2014 LAD

Settles on one-year deal

PLos Angeles Dodgers

January 13, 2023

Ferguson and the Dodgers settled on a one-year, $1.1 million contract Friday to avoid arbitration, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.

ANALYSIS
The reliever was very effective in 2022, posting a 1.82 ERA and 1.15 WHIP with 37 strikeouts and seven holds over 34.2 innings in 37 appearances out of the Dodgers' bullpen. Ferguson will likely operate in a significant role again in 2023.

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Pitching Stats

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2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Caleb Ferguson generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Caleb Ferguson generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2020

-33%

BAA vs RHP

2022

-33%

BAA vs RHP

2021

No Stats

2020

-32%

BAA vs RHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2020vs Left	.258	70	18	7	16	4	0	0
Since 2020vs Right	.173	147	46	13	23	6	0	5
2022vs Left	.243	44	9	6	9	3	0	0
2022vs Right	.163	98	28	11	14	5	0	1
2021vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020vs Left	.280	26	9	1	7	1	0	0
2020vs Right	.191	49	18	2	9	1	0	4
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2020

-61%

ERA on Road

2022

-33%

ERA on Road

2021

No Stats

2020

-83%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2020Home	3.24	1.24	25.0	2	1	0	12.2	4.7	1.4
Since 2020Away	1.27	0.99	28.1	1	0	0	9.5	2.2	0.3
2022Home	2.20	1.22	16.1	0	0	0	12.1	5.5	0.6
2022Away	1.47	1.09	18.1	1	0	0	7.4	3.4	0.0
2021Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020Home	5.19	1.27	8.2	2	1	0	12.5	3.1	3.1
2020Away	0.90	0.80	10.0	0	0	0	13.5	0.0	0.9
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Caleb Ferguson compare to other relievers?

This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.18

K/9

9.6

BB/9

4.4

HR/9

0.3

Fastball

94.9 mph

ERA

1.82

WHIP

1.15

BABIP

.266

GB/FB

1.38

Left On Base

80.3%

Exit Velocity

79.1 mph

Barrels/BBE

2.9%

Spin Rate

2498 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

19.1%

Swinging Strike

11.7%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Caleb Ferguson Prospect Ranking History

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2021

2020

2019

Ferguson hoped to earn a spot in the Dodgers' 2020 rotation. He added a slider to expand his repertoire but he ended up coming out of the bullpen in 20 of 21 outings. The southpaw pitched well, fanning 27 while walking only three in 18.2 innings. Unfortunately, he was felled by a left elbow injury in mid-September, necessitating season-ending Tommy John surgery. It remains to be seen if Ferguson's aspirations to start are affected, but he's likely to miss all of 2021 rehabbing.

Ferguson took a significant step back in his sophomore season. After recording a 3.49 ERA in 49.0 frames as a rookie, he posted a 4.84 mark in 44.2 innings in 2019 as his supporting stats fell off across the board. His strikeout rate fell from 29.2% to 26.5%, his walk rate ballooned from 5.9% to 13.2% and his groundball rate fell from 45.2% to 38.6%. The new version of Ferguson, if that's all he is now, isn't someone who should be considered for a rotation spot or a high-leverage role but is instead at risk of getting demoted, as he was three times last season. He's only 23, though, so it's far too early to write him off. He used his fastball and curve a combined 99.6% of the time last season, so his starting days may be behind him. A setup role is certainly possible if he recaptures his rookie form, but he's unlikely to be anywhere near the top of the closer depth chart to start the season.

Rarely do 38th-round picks make it to the major leagues, let alone enjoy the type of success that Ferguson did as a rookie. The left-hander spent the vast majority of his time with Los Angeles in the bullpen, making 26 relief appearances against three starts. Home runs were a problem (1.47 HR/9, 21.1% HR/FB), but Ferguson showed an ability to miss bats and limit walks, posting a robust 23.3 K-BB%. That was a top-35 mark among all pitchers with at least 40 innings. After working multiple innings out of the bullpen initially, he shortened up later in the year when the team was without closer Kenley Jansen and worked his way into higher-leverage innings, even earning a pair of saves to go along with his five holds and seven wins. In another organization, Ferguson may get a longer look as a starter, but he's mostly a two-pitch guy and as long as he's a Dodger, he will likely remain in a bullpen role.

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