Out
Injury Forearm
Est. Return 5/30/2023
2022 Stats
AVG
.211
HR
7
RBI
35
R
40
SB
2
2023 Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Kelly once again served as Arizona's primary backstop in 2022, but he had a disappointing offensive campaign .211/.282/.343 slash line, seven home runs and 35 RBI in 104 games. He was still a plus defender but struggled to square up the ball, as evidenced by his 5.2 percent barrel rate. Kelly produced an .826 OPS in 2019 during his first season with the Diamondbacks, but he's been inconsistent at the plate over the past few years. Kelly appeared primed to open 2023 as Arizona's starting backstop once again, but that was before the organization acquired arguably the best catching prospect in baseball, Gabriel Moreno, from Toronto for Daulton Varsho. The pair could split playing time early in 2023, but in practice Kelly should operate as the Diamondbacks' secondary catcher. Still, he should see his fair share of starts with Moreno set for his first full season in the majors. Read Past Outlooks

Diagnosed with fractured forearm
Kelly was diagnosed Tuesday with a fractured right forearm, Theo Mackie of the Arizona Republic reports.
ANALYSIS
Kelly suffered the injury when he was hit by a pitch in Monday's Cactus League game against the White Sox. Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo did not offer an estimated recovery timetable, but this could very well lead to a multi-month absence for the 28-year-old catcher. He had been putting together a nice spring offensively, boasting a .320/.414/.520 slash line through 29 plate appearances in exhibition play. Offseason acquisition Gabriel Moreno would seem to be in line for something close to everyday playing time out of the gate in Arizona. Jose Herrera could back him up.
Kelly suffered the injury when he was hit by a pitch in Monday's Cactus League game against the White Sox. Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo did not offer an estimated recovery timetable, but this could very well lead to a multi-month absence for the 28-year-old catcher. He had been putting together a nice spring offensively, boasting a .320/.414/.520 slash line through 29 plate appearances in exhibition play. Offseason acquisition Gabriel Moreno would seem to be in line for something close to everyday playing time out of the gate in Arizona. Jose Herrera could back him up.
Batting Stats
Loading Batting Stats...
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
Loading Batting Game Log...
Minor League Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Batting Game Log...
Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
6
23
23
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
13
1
2
5
11
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
+19%
OPS vs LHP
2022
+5%
OPS vs RHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020vs Left | .751 | 316 | 13 | 48 | .233 | ||||
Since 2020vs Right | .629 | 522 | 12 | 50 | .217 | ||||
2022vs Left | .597 | 134 | 2 | 16 | .197 | ||||
2022vs Right | .629 | 220 | 5 | 19 | .221 | ||||
2021vs Left | 1.018 | 134 | 9 | 27 | .313 | ||||
2021vs Right | .599 | 225 | 4 | 19 | .198 | ||||
2020vs Left | .476 | 48 | 2 | 5 | .133 | ||||
2020vs Right | .705 | 77 | 3 | 12 | .257 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
+2%
OPS at Home
2022
+8%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020Home | .685 | 415 | 11 | 63 | .240 | ||||
Since 2020Away | .674 | 427 | 14 | 37 | .210 | ||||
2022Home | .641 | 171 | 4 | 23 | .224 | ||||
2022Away | .594 | 183 | 3 | 12 | .200 | ||||
2021Home | .702 | 179 | 5 | 25 | .242 | ||||
2021Away | .806 | 180 | 8 | 21 | .238 | ||||
2020Home | .749 | 65 | 2 | 15 | .279 | ||||
2020Away | .547 | 64 | 3 | 4 | .164 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Carson Kelly compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.41BB Rate
8.2%K Rate
20.1%BABIP
.247ISO
.123AVG
.211OBP
.282SLG
.334OPS
.617wOBA
.276Exit Velocity
87.7 mphHard Hit Rate
29.6%Barrels/PA
3.7%Expected BA
.225Expected SLG
.345Sprint Speed
22.5 ft/secGround Ball %
40.6%Line Drive %
19.7%Fly Ball %
39.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
Loading Advanced Batting Stats...
Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
Loading Games Played by Position...
Batted Ball Stats
Loading Batted Ball Stats...
Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Carson Kelly See More

Drew Silva checks out the MLB win totals market and identifies his favorite bets as Opening Day nears. Can Corbin Carroll fuel a big season in Arizona?

Erik Halterman tackles the biggest risers and fallers around the league since spring training games began, starting with Jazz Chisholm who comes with some risk but potentially offers a huge payout.

Erik Halterman covers every NL job up for grabs during spring training, including the shortstop job in Atlanta where Vaughn Grissom likely will battle it out with Orlando Arcia.

Todd Zola tackles another large set of offseason moves, including big names like Carlos Rodon as well as several players to consider late in drafts.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2015
Kelly is a fine catcher. He has hit for about a .240 average with 15 homers over the past three seasons. While he didn't walk much in 2020 (4.7 BB%), he has a career 10.8 BB% that helps in OBP and points leagues. He's been consistent over the years, so it's tough to find any downside or upside. In June, he was hit in the wrist and missed about six weeks. He had a .845 OPS before the injury and a .660 OPS after it, with most of his struggles coming from a loss of power. It's going to be about impossible for a catcher to not get banged up. He's probably not rosterable in one-catcher leagues, except in those that allow you to stream at Colorado. In all two-catcher leagues, he should be on some team, but don't spend more than a buck or two or an endgame pick on him.
More Fantasy News

Leaves with right forearm injury
Kelly left Monday's Cactus League game against the White Sox after being hit in the right forearm area, Theo Mackie of The Arizona Republic reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Leaves after HBP
Kelly left Monday's Cactus League game against the White Sox after being hit by a pitch, Theo Mackie of The Arizona Republic reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Avoids arbitration
Kelly signed a one-year, $4.275 million contract with the Diamondbacks on Friday to avoid arbitration, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Heads to bench Monday
Kelly isn't starting Monday against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Takes seat Saturday
Kelly isn't starting Saturday against San Francisco.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.