2025 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Burnes was everything the Orioles could have hoped for when they traded for him, as he took the ball 32 times during the regular season and pitched to a 2.92 ERA, seventh lowest among qualified starters. The right-hander added eight innings of one-run ball in his lone postseason start before Baltimore was bounced by Kansas City. Burnes surprised the baseball world in December when he inked a six-year, $210 million contract with the Diamondbacks. There may be some slight yellow flags, including a 23.1 K% last season, down significantly from just a couple years ago, coinciding with a drop in whiff rate on his curveball. Burnes is now on the wrong side of 30, but throwing hard, limiting walks and racking up innings make him a rare commodity given the current pitching landscape. The underlying numbers over the past couple years point to him being more of a low-to-mid 3.00s ERA pitcher, but if the strikeouts ramp back up it would help to stave off regression. Read Past Outlooks

Reason for rotation slot
Burnes was slotted fifth in the rotation because the right-hander wanted to remain on a five-day pitching schedule, Steve Gilbert of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Eyebrows may have been raised when the Diamondbacks announced Burnes, a prized offseason addition, was going to start the fifth game of the season. That's because manager Torey Lovullo didn't decide on Zac Gallen to start Opening Day until later in camp, and Burnes wanted to maintain a five-day routine. Burnes last pitched in a Cactus League game Friday, so if the right-hander started the second game of the regular season, he would be doing so on one week's rest. Instead, Burnes will throw a simulated game on Wednesday before making his regular-season debut the following Tuesday.
Eyebrows may have been raised when the Diamondbacks announced Burnes, a prized offseason addition, was going to start the fifth game of the season. That's because manager Torey Lovullo didn't decide on Zac Gallen to start Opening Day until later in camp, and Burnes wanted to maintain a five-day routine. Burnes last pitched in a Cactus League game Friday, so if the right-hander started the second game of the regular season, he would be doing so on one week's rest. Instead, Burnes will throw a simulated game on Wednesday before making his regular-season debut the following Tuesday.
Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2025
No Stats
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .193 | 193 | 64 | 133 | 15 | |||
Since 2023vs Right | .232 | 188 | 50 | 173 | 29 | |||
2025vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2025vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Left | .216 | 81 | 24 | 75 | 8 | |||
2024vs Right | .235 | 100 | 24 | 90 | 14 | |||
2023vs Left | .170 | 112 | 40 | 58 | 7 | |||
2023vs Right | .229 | 88 | 26 | 83 | 15 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-20%
ERA on Road
2025
No Stats
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | 3.53 | 1.25 | 181.0 | 8.8 | 2.9 | ||||
Since 2023Away | 2.83 | 0.94 | 207.0 | 8.9 | 2.4 | ||||
2025Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2025Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Home | 2.94 | 1.28 | 101.0 | 8.6 | 2.5 | ||||
2024Away | 2.89 | 0.90 | 93.1 | 8.1 | 1.9 | ||||
2023Home | 4.28 | 1.21 | 80.0 | 9.0 | 3.5 | ||||
2023Away | 2.77 | 0.97 | 113.2 | 9.5 | 2.8 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
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2020
2019
2018
2017
The right-hander's 2023 got off to an inauspicious start, with an ugly arbitration battle publicly straining the relationship between Burnes and the Brewers. Always the consummate professional, Burnes put together another highly successful campaign despite some hiccups, leading qualified National League starters in WHIP while reaching 200 strikeouts for the third consecutive season. His swing-and-miss dominance took a hit as Burnes averaged just over a strikeout per inning (25.5 K%), coinciding with a dip in fastball velocity. His sinking fastball let him down and the 10 wins were a disappointment, but Burnes has four above-average pitches to lean on and still projects as a fantasy ace after being traded to the Orioles in February. If the strikeouts tick back up, Burnes could find himself in the Cy Young discussion once again.
More Fantasy News

Slots in for fifth game
Burnes is scheduled to make his first start of the regular season April 1 against the Yankees, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Roughed up Friday
Burnes allowed eight runs (seven earned) on 11 hits while striking out five over 2.2 innings in Friday's spring start against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Fans four in Saturday's start
Burnes allowed one run on four hits and struck out four over four-plus innings in Saturday's spring start against the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Up to four innings
Burnes allowed two hits and a walk while striking out five over four innings in Sunday's spring start against the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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Works on breaking stuff
Burnes focused on his breaking pitches during Monday's start against the Cubs, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Gets trade protection
Burnes' six-year, $210 million contract with the Diamondbacks includes an opt-out after 2026 with full no-trade protection for the first two years and limited trade protection for the final four years of the deal, per Robert Murray of FanSided.com.
ANALYSIS
Lefty Max Fried set the market in total value with an eight-year, $218 million deal, while Burnes has a higher average annual value but $60 million in deferred money. The veteran right-hander has been one of the most reliable aces in baseball over the past few years and had a 2.92 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 181:48 K:BB over 194.1 frames in 32 regular-season starts with Baltimore last season. However, his strikeout rate has dropped in each of the past four years, with 2024's 23.1 percent representing a career low as an MLB starter.
Lefty Max Fried set the market in total value with an eight-year, $218 million deal, while Burnes has a higher average annual value but $60 million in deferred money. The veteran right-hander has been one of the most reliable aces in baseball over the past few years and had a 2.92 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 181:48 K:BB over 194.1 frames in 32 regular-season starts with Baltimore last season. However, his strikeout rate has dropped in each of the past four years, with 2024's 23.1 percent representing a career low as an MLB starter.