Corbin Burnes

28-Year-Old PitcherSP

Milwaukee Brewers

2023 Stats

W-L

4-4

ERA

3.68

WHIP

1.19

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Burnes followed up his NL Cy Young season in impressive fashion. While he didn't bring home the hardware in the National League again, the right-hander was right up there among the best pitchers in the game no matter how you slice it. At 27 years old, Burnes fanned 243 batters -- second in baseball behind only Gerrit Cole -- and surpassed 200 innings for the first time, adding 35 frames to his 2021 total. There is little to nitpick in the underlying numbers, though Burnes hit some bumps in the road in the second half, with his ERA finishing at 3.97 after the All-Star break. A corresponding dip in his strikeout rate after the break (to 27.9 percent) perhaps gives reason for pause heading into 2023, but the overall body of work was stellar. Burnes should still be treated as one of MLB's elite aces, even if he won't get to pick on the NL Central quite as much with the balanced schedule. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#18

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 225

DOB 10/22/1994

Born Bakersfield, CA

College Saint Mary's

Drafted 4th Rd 2016 MIL

Settles down after shaky first

PMilwaukee Brewers

May 28, 2023

Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday, allowing one run on four hits and three walks over seven innings during a 3-1 loss to the Giants. He struck out eight.

ANALYSIS
Despite allowing a first-inning run, Burnes still completed seven frames, his most since pitching an eight-inning shutout against Arizona on April 11. The 2021 NL Cy Young Award winner allowed 10 earned runs over his first two starts of 2023, but he's been better since then, posting a 2.65 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 53:19 K:BB over his last nine appearances (54.1 innings). The right-hander will look to maintain his strong play next time out, which is tentatively scheduled for the opener of a four-game set in Cincinnati.

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Pitching Stats

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2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Corbin Burnes generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Corbin Burnes generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2021

-2%

BAA vs RHP

2023

-40%

BAA vs LHP

2022

-6%

BAA vs RHP

2021

-19%

BAA vs RHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2021vs Left	.205	882	275	60	166	25	8	15
Since 2021vs Right	.200	837	261	49	153	20	1	24
2023vs Left	.165	133	31	15	19	2	0	2
2023vs Right	.277	132	28	9	33	2	0	7
2022vs Left	.203	407	124	28	76	11	6	10
2022vs Right	.190	390	119	23	68	13	0	13
2021vs Left	.220	342	120	17	71	12	2	3
2021vs Right	.179	315	114	17	52	5	1	4
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2021

-18%

ERA on Road

2023

-20%

ERA on Road

2022

-7%

ERA on Road

2021

-32%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2021Home	3.11	1.04	231.1	13	9	0	11.7	2.3	0.9
Since 2021Away	2.55	0.93	201.1	14	8	0	10.5	2.2	0.7
2023Home	4.05	1.35	33.1	2	1	0	8.9	4.1	1.6
2023Away	3.26	1.02	30.1	2	3	0	7.7	2.7	0.9
2022Home	3.04	0.92	109.2	7	4	0	11.9	1.8	1.1
2022Away	2.83	1.02	92.1	5	4	0	9.6	2.8	0.9
2021Home	2.85	1.08	88.1	4	4	0	12.6	2.3	0.3
2021Away	1.94	0.79	78.2	7	1	0	12.6	1.3	0.5
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Stat Review

How does Corbin Burnes compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.46

K/9

8.3

BB/9

3.4

HR/9

1.3

Fastball

95.5 mph

ERA

3.68

WHIP

1.19

BABIP

.263

GB/FB

1.38

Left On Base

72.6%

Exit Velocity

81.4 mph

Barrels/BBE

4.3%

Spin Rate

2569 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

23.6%

Swinging Strike

12.4%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Corbin Burnes Prospect Ranking History

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

Once a top prospect, Burnes reached full bloom in 2021, going 11-5 with 234 strikeouts and only seven homers allowed in 167 innings for the Brewers en route to winning the NL Cy Young Award. His 30.4 K-BB% was best among qualified pitchers -- nearly seven strikeouts for every walk he issued. The breakout can be easily traced back to 2020 when Burnes added a cut fastball and changeup to his arsenal while dialing back his straight fastball and slider. That repertoire shakeup was in response to a big step backward on the field in 2019 when Burnes allowed 17 homers in just 49 innings at the big-league level. He spent some time on the IL early on in 2021 following a positive COVID test and later dealt with a minor knee problem, but this version of Burnes we've seen the past two seasons is elite and worthy of late-first/early-second round consideration in fantasy leagues.

It wasn't clear how Burnes would be utilized in 2020 after having a rough go of it the year before, but he and the Brewers found something that clicked, and Burnes wound up finishing sixth in NL Cy Young voting after a dominant campaign. Burnes entirely revamped his pitch mix last season, adding a cut fastball and changeup to the mix and severely cutting his reliance on his fastball and slider. When it was all said and done, Burnes posted a 2.02 ERA, a mark that would have ranked fifth in the league had he recorded one more out to qualify. His K/9 rate would have also ranked an elite third among all starters. Burnes was a well-regarded prospect coming up in the Brewers' system, so he has the pedigree to match his results. He will essentially be a lock to open the season as the Brewers' No. 2 starter.

There were high hopes for Burnes heading into 2019 after the right-hander excelled in a relief role during his debut season in 2018. However, things did not go according to plan. He opened the season in Milwaukee's rotation but was sent to the minors after struggling to a 10.70 ERA and allowing 11 home runs through his first four starts (17.2 innings). Burnes spent the rest of the season bouncing between Triple-A and the big-league bullpen, missing time with a shoulder injury while struggling at both stops. Control was an issue for Burnes; he averaged 3.7 BB/9 and often caught too much of the plate when throwing strikes, as evidenced by his 12% barrel rate. Burnes finished the year with an 8.82 ERA in 49 innings, but underlying numbers suggest he was a bit unlucky (6.09 FIP, 3.38 xFIP). He registered a 21.3 K-BB%, which underscores his potential. Burnes should get another chance to start in 2020.

Burnes remains a starter long-term, but the Brewers let him get his feet wet at the major-league level as a reliever, and the move worked brilliantly, as Burnes got to complete his development and provide excellent innings during the team's playoff push. His stuff played up in relief, with Burnes posting a 15.2% swinging-strike rate and a 47.4 O-Contact%, nearly 20 percentage points lower than the league average. So when hitters swung at Burnes' pitches out of the strike zone, they very rarely even put bat to ball let alone connected for base hits. The Brewers want him to keep starting, and he will get a chance to compete for a rotation spot during spring training. If he does not earn a spot there, it's likely he will work out of the bullpen and be next on deck should a spot open up.

Burnes showed flashes of brilliance while throwing just 35.2 innings in his 2016 professional debut, but that turned out to be a sign of things to come, as he flat-out dominated minor-league hitters in 2017. He fell just short of averaging a strikeout per inning at both the High-A and Double-A levels, but was otherwise spectacular, limiting opposing hitters to just a .200 batting average while also posting a sparkling 4.20 K/BB and giving up just three home runs. He doesn't possess elite strikeout potential, but he will at least be serviceable in that area given his deep, high-quality arsenal, which includes a mid-90s fastball, a hard slider, and also a curveball and changeup. Burnes figures to get a run at the Triple-A level before he makes his big-league debut, but as long as he does not fall victim to the thin air of Colorado Springs, he stands a good chance to join the Brewers at some point in the summer of 2018.

Burnes was completely off the prospect radar his freshman year at St. Mary's, when he posted a 6.18 ERA as he bounced between the rotation and the bullpen. But over the next three years, Burnes developed into a major prospect, thanks in particular to a notable summer in the Cape Cod League following his junior season. Now he owns a fastball that sits 92-95 to go with a changeup and breaking ball, all capable of drawing whiffs. That was enough to earn Burnes a fourth-round selection from the Brewers. He looked fantastic in his first professional action, as he struck out 41 batters and allowed just eight runs over 35.2 innings between rookie ball and Low-A Wisconsin. At 21 years old, he should be able to handle batters at those levels, but his stock will be worth watching as he progresses up the ladder.

More Fantasy News

Serves up four homers in loss

PMilwaukee Brewers

May 22, 2023

Burnes dropped to 4-4 in Monday's 12-2 loss to Houston after allowing five runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out five batters over five innings.