2022 Stats
W-L
14-8
ERA
2.20
WHIP
1.11
K
227
SV
0
2023 Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Cease followed up 2021's breakthrough campaign with an even better season, finishing a distant second to Justin Verlander in the AL Cy Young voting. Cease started 32 games for the second straight season, finishing with a career-high 184 innings. It wasn't by much, but Cease's K% ticked down while his BB% inched up. A .260 BABIP and 82.3% LOB mark resulted in a 2.20 ERA, over a run below the associated 3.50 xFIP and 3.48 SIERA. Cease is being drafted ahead of starters with similar or better skills, but with a longer track record. If he can lower his 10% walk rate, Cease could be one of the best pitchers in the league. There is a pathway as Cease uses his fastball 47% of the time but throws it for a strike at a low 62% rate. Cease is a prime example of how pitchers can be both lucky and good. Dreaming of a lower walk rate is tempting, but the regression monster is looming with nightmare intentions. Read Past Outlooks

Ramping up velo
Cease was reaching 97 mph with his fastball in Tuesday's Cactus League game against the Athletics, James Fegan of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Cease was hit hard in his first spring outing, and his appearance Tuesday also started poorly. He allowed a double, single and walk in the first inning, which allowed two runs to score. However, he ramped up his velocity as compared to his spring debut and also made an adjustment to his slider to improve his command of the pitch in his second inning of work. Cease has had a shaky start to spring training, but he is coming off an excellent 2022 campaign during which he posted a 2.20 ERA and 1.11 WHIP across 184 frames.
Cease was hit hard in his first spring outing, and his appearance Tuesday also started poorly. He allowed a double, single and walk in the first inning, which allowed two runs to score. However, he ramped up his velocity as compared to his spring debut and also made an adjustment to his slider to improve his command of the pitch in his second inning of work. Cease has had a shaky start to spring training, but he is coming off an excellent 2022 campaign during which he posted a 2.20 ERA and 1.11 WHIP across 184 frames.
Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2022 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
98
Last 10 Games
99
Last 5 Games
102
How many pitches does Dylan Cease generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Dylan Cease generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2022
-26%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020vs Left | .228 | 231 | 94 | 172 | 24 | |||
Since 2020vs Right | .192 | 266 | 86 | 143 | 24 | |||
2022vs Left | .219 | 98 | 44 | 70 | 6 | |||
2022vs Right | .163 | 129 | 34 | 56 | 10 | |||
2021vs Left | .226 | 113 | 30 | 70 | 11 | |||
2021vs Right | .220 | 113 | 38 | 69 | 9 | |||
2020vs Left | .256 | 20 | 20 | 32 | 7 | |||
2020vs Right | .202 | 24 | 14 | 18 | 5 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-23%
ERA at Home
2022
-15%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020Home | 2.77 | 1.14 | 217.1 | 11.2 | 3.9 | ||||
Since 2020Away | 3.59 | 1.30 | 190.2 | 10.7 | 4.0 | ||||
2022Home | 2.35 | 1.02 | 107.1 | 11.2 | 3.2 | ||||
2022Away | 2.00 | 1.24 | 76.2 | 10.9 | 4.7 | ||||
2021Home | 3.18 | 1.18 | 85.0 | 12.2 | 3.8 | ||||
2021Away | 4.69 | 1.33 | 80.2 | 12.4 | 3.6 | ||||
2020Home | 3.24 | 1.56 | 25.0 | 7.6 | 7.6 | ||||
2020Away | 4.59 | 1.35 | 33.1 | 6.2 | 3.5 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Dylan Cease compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.91K/9
11.1BB/9
3.8HR/9
0.8Fastball
96.8 mphERA
2.20WHIP
1.11BABIP
.274GB/FB
1.05Left On Base
82.0%Exit Velocity
80.9 mphBarrels/BBE
3.8%Spin Rate
2646 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
19.2%Swinging Strike
15.0%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Cease truthers were rewarded with the breakthrough season, but let's pump the fantasy ace brakes just a tad. The righthander made 32 starts and his 3.96 ERA was pegged a little lower by the estimators. The long-expected spike in strikeouts manifested, keyed by a slider with a 22.4% swinging strike rate. The yellow flags are a high walk rate and a flyball lean. The latter isn't necessarily an issue, but it can be when combined with excess free passes and a homer-friendly home venue. To be fair, Cease's BB% dropped to 9.6%, but that was still the second highest among qualified starters, resulting in averaging just 5.2 innings per start, the lowest among qualified starters. Youth is Cease's ally as he's entering his age-26 season. He may improve his control even more but paying for it is a risk. The upside is indeed elite, but there's also a chance Cease is a ratio buzzkill.
More Fantasy News

Roughed up
Cease allowed 11 earned runs on seven hits and four walks across two-thirds of an inning to take the loss Wednesday in a Cactus League matchup against the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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Reaches $5.7 million deal
Cease signed a one-year, $5.7 million contract with the White Sox on Friday to avoid arbitration, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ends strong year with bad start
Cease (14-8) allowed four runs on five hits and four walks while striking out five in five-plus innings, taking the loss Saturday versus the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Tosses six scoreless frames
Cease allowed four hits and three walks while striking out five in six scoreless innings during Sunday's loss to the Tigers. He didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Quality start Tuesday
Cease allowed a run on four hits and three walks while striking out three over six innings in a no-decision versus the Guardians on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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