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Fernando Tatis

Fernando Tatis

26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
San Diego Padres
2025 Stats
AVG
.268
HR
25
RBI
71
R
111
SB
32
2026 Projections
AVG
HR
RBI
R
SB
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2025 Fantasy Outlook
Tatis finally produced a full season of results in his sixth season of playing at the big league level. Shoulder injuries and suspensions robbed him of playing time in previous seasons, but Tatis avoided those maladies in 2025 in an effort to get the Padres deep into October baseball. Those aspirations did not materialize as the Padres were quickly eliminated from the postseason, but Tatis Jr. set a new career high with 32 steals and 111 runs scored. The increased time on base (.368 OBP) helped both of those marks as Tatis rediscovered his pre-suspension plate discipline and got back to accepting the walks to utilize his baserunning abilities. The 42 homers from 2021 were already looking suspicious with the hindsight of his PED suspension, but 2025 saw Tatis Jr hit at least 20 homers for a third consecutive post-suspension season as well as for the fourth time in his career. While he feels a little aged, he turns 27 over the winter and will once again hit either first or second in the San Diego lineup. A repeat of his 25-25 season is absolutely possible and a 30-30 season is a stretch goal for this profile, but envisioning above and beyond that would be greedy. Read Past Outlooks
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RANKS
Rest of Season
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Overall Rank
#Subscriber-Only
Dynasty
From Preseason
League Majors
Bats R
Throws R
40 Man Yes
Height 6'3"
Weight 217
DOB 1/2/1999
Born San Pedro de Macoris, DR
College None
Drafted 2015 CWS
Signed a 14-year, $340 million contract extension with the Padres in February of 2021.
Homers again in win
OFSan Diego Padres
September 28, 2025
Tatis went 1-for-2 with a solo home run and a walk in Saturday's 5-1 win over the Diamondbacks.
Analysis
Tatis led off with his third homer in as many days to spark a three-run first inning for the Padres. The 26-year-old is closing the regular season on a strong note, hitting safely in nine of his last 10 games with four home runs, eight RBI, 13 runs scored and three stolen bases in that span. He's slashing .267/.367/.446 with 25 long balls, 71 RBI, 110 runs scored and 32 steals across 689 plate appearances.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
106
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
44
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2025
 
 
+17%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+29%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+26%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .777 449 62 14 38 20 .253 .365 .412
Since 2023vs Right .811 1315 204 57 160 52 .270 .337 .474
2025vs Left .723 185 24 5 12 8 .229 .357 .366
2025vs Right .845 506 87 20 59 24 .281 .372 .474
2024vs Left .682 118 14 2 5 3 .224 .356 .327
2024vs Right .881 320 50 19 44 8 .293 .334 .547
2023vs Left .915 146 24 7 21 9 .305 .384 .531
2023vs Right .728 489 67 18 57 20 .244 .303 .425
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Minor League Splits→ View Minor League Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+13%
OPS at Home
2025
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+23%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .854 864 139 44 98 45 .269 .356 .499
Since 2023Away .755 900 127 27 100 27 .264 .333 .422
2025Home .885 341 58 17 41 21 .272 .390 .495
2025Away .748 350 53 8 30 11 .264 .346 .402
2024Home .808 222 32 13 22 6 .244 .311 .498
2024Away .858 216 32 8 27 5 .310 .370 .487
2023Home .854 301 49 14 35 18 .283 .350 .504
2023Away .696 334 42 11 43 11 .234 .296 .399
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Fernando Tatis compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.69
 
BB Rate
12.9%
 
K Rate
18.7%
 
BABIP
.303
 
ISO
.178
 
AVG
.268
 
OBP
.368
 
SLG
.446
 
OPS
.814
 
wOBA
.357
 
Exit Velocity
93.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.5%
 
Barrels/PA
7.4%
 
Expected BA
.274
 
Expected SLG
.482
 
Sprint Speed
22.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
48.9%
 
Line Drive %
17.2%
 
Fly Ball %
33.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
View Complete Fernando Tatis Prospect Ranking History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Padres Depth Chart
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Tatis sat out the first 20 games of 2023 while serving the remainder of his PED suspension, though he still set a career high with 141 games played after missing the entirety of 2022 with shoulder and wrist injuries in addition to the suspension. The 25-year-old finished the first half with 16 homers, 14 steals and an .871 OPS, but he hit just .225 with nine homers and 15 steals in 71 contests after the All-Star break. It was still a productive season overall, but his above-average 113 wRC+ is a far cry from the elite 154 figure he posted across his first three big-league campaigns. The encouraging news is that Tatis was able to stay healthy in 2023, and he started in all but two games following the suspension. He also made a seamless transition to having right field be his primary position, and he led the league with 29 defensive runs saved. Tatis is a strong rebound candidate for 2024 following a down second half, though it may be optimistic to expect him to regain his 2019-21 form, when he was arguably the best hitter in MLB.
Tatis may possibly be the biggest fantasy wildcard of 2023. He will be coming off an 80-game suspension for PEDs that will end earlier than initially projected since the Padres went deep into the NL playoffs. Tatis is now projected to be back on the active roster in late April, but he has also undergone two different surgeries this winter. He finally had that troublesome shoulder operated on as well as his left wrist. You add in the complexity of missing the entire 2022 season with his off-the-field antics leading to injury, the suspension and two surgeries, and we are left with the question of how early someone will take the risk on a top-five talent in a draft. The upside remains huge, but nobody can be blamed for passing on this maelstrom of risks, as we have rarely seen so many red flags at one time with a player, let alone one of his caliber. The projections will likely look conservative for his talents, but with good reason. Simply put, he is going to make or break many fantasy teams in 2023.
Tatis is now firmly entrenched in the conversation for the top player in fantasy baseball, but he is not without risk. Tatis scared us early in 2021 with a shoulder dislocation on a swing and the attached rumors he may need major surgery to correct it. It was the fifth time over the last calendar year Tatis had partially dislocated his shoulder. All he did around that was go out and post a monster fantasy season in 130 games and leave us wondering how awesome his numbers would have been if he played an entire season. Besides the ever-present fear of his shoulder popping out, his strikeouts are not getting much better, which puts a cap on how high his batting average can go in theory. Tim Anderson scoffs at that theory. Simply put, Tatis is an elite-level offensive talent who has the skills to put together the first 40-40 season since Alfonso Soriano in 2006, as long as his shoulder doesn't get worse.
Tatis was arguably the best player in baseball for much of the 2020 campaign, but a late-season swoon (.164/.242/.291 slash line over his final 62 PA) cost the youngster a legitimate shot at the NL MVP award. Still, Tatis solidified his reputation as one of the game's most exciting stars, finishing among a group of six players to register double-digit homers (17) and steals (11) in the shortened campaign. There's little Tatis doesn't do well; he consistently smashes the ball, ranking first among qualified hitters with a 62.2 Hard% and 95.9 mph average exit velocity and placing second with a 19.5% barrel rate last season. He also ranked in the 98th percentile in sprint speed, portending many years of juicy power-speed numbers to come. That's the kind of combination fantasy managers salivate over, so don't be surprised if Tatis goes first overall in a fair number of leagues ahead of the 2021 season.
In his rookie campaign, Tatis blew away the lofty expectations that accompanied his rise up the prospect rankings. Among players with 300 or more plate appearances, Tatis placed 11th in wRC+ (150) while ranking in the top 15 in traditional metrics such as batting average (.317), slugging percentage (.590) and OPS (.969). The phenom was limited to 84 games due to a pair of stints on the injured list, but when healthy he flashed an impressive combination of speed and power, swatting 22 home runs and utilizing baseball's 18th-best sprint speed (29.3 ft/s) to swipe 16 bases. Tatis' high strikeout rate (29.6%) and unsustainable BABIP (.410) portend some batting-average regression, but he'll be only 21 years old on Opening Day and should improve his plate discipline as he matures. Even with some imperfections, Tatis possesses the necessary tools to be a legitimate 30-30 threat for many seasons to come.
Tatis has had a lot of success (133 wRC+ at Double-A as a 19-year-old) relative to age and level, but there are red flags in his profile that are not shared by the game's other elite prospects. He has a 27.9% strikeout rate at Double-A and only 26.7% of his hits went to the opposite field last year. His physical gifts can't be taught (easy plus power, above-average speed and athleticism) and he didn't turn 20 until Jan. 2, but his approach undeniably needs some work. Tatis could eventually provide Trevor Story-esque production at shortstop, but there will likely be some bumps along the road against big-league pitching. He missed the final six weeks of 2018 with a broken thumb, but was ready for winter ball and will open 2019 at Triple-A. The Padres say they will keep him on a fast track, but unless there is significant skills growth with his approach, he should not be expected to hit for a high average against big-league pitching if he debuts this summer.
Tatis became the first 18-year-old in the modern era to post a 20-20 season in the Midwest League. The 6-foot-3, 185-pound quick-twitch athlete may have slightly misled dynasty-league owners with his 21-homer, 29-steal campaign. He projects to be a 30-homer threat in the majors, but his steal totals should decline annually as he continues to mature physically. It is extremely rare for players his age to hit for that kind of power at Low-A while also showcasing a quality approach (124:75 K:BB). He could struggle to hit much higher than .275, but given his age, athleticism and aptitude for making adjustments, anything is possible on that front. The same could be said for his ability to stick at shortstop, as many expect him to eventually end up at third base, but such a move is unlikely to be made for at least a couple years. He is on track to enter 2019 alongside another junior (Vladimir Guerrero) as a top-three prospect in baseball.
At the time of the trade, it seemed that the Padres were simply getting salary relief and a low-level minor league throw-in from the White Sox for James Shields. Now, general manager A.J. Preller can point to his acquisition of Tatis as one of his best moves in what has been a calendar year full of excellent maneuvers. He was an above-average hitter as a 17-year-old in both the Arizona and Northwest leagues last year, and is still just scratching the surface of his potential. Tatis is already 6-foot-3, 185 pounds, so he will likely grow out of shortstop, but his bat should be good enough for him to profile as at least an average regular at third base. So far he has shown more speed than power, but that will not be the case for much longer. Tatis could offer 25-30 homer pop as he continues to mature physically. His future value will hinge on the continued development of his bat, but he is well ahead of schedule.
More Fantasy News
Grand slam in return to lineup
OFSan Diego Padres
September 26, 2025
Tatis went 1-for-5 with a grand slam in Friday's 7-4 win over the Diamondbacks.
Analysis
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Back in lineup Friday
OFSan Diego Padres
September 26, 2025
Tatis (illness) is starting in right field and batting out of the leadoff spot in Friday's series opener against the Diamondbacks.
Analysis
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Remains out of lineup
OFSan Diego Padres
Illness
September 24, 2025
Tatis (illness) remains out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Brewers.
Analysis
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Remains on bench
OFSan Diego Padres
Illness
September 23, 2025
Tatis (illness) is not in the starting lineup Tuesday against the Brewers.
Analysis
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Looking at multi-day absence
OFSan Diego Padres
Illness
September 23, 2025
Padres president of baseball operations A.J. Preller said Monday that he's hopeful Tatis (illness) will be able to return to the lineup later this week, Dennis Lin of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Expected to stay put
OFSan Diego Padres
November 13, 2025
The Padres are not expected to trade Tatis this offseason, Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
Analysis
Bob Nightengale of USA Today reported previously that the Padres could consider trading Tatis, but Acee writes that the possibility "has not been discussed internally or with other teams this offseason." Worth noting is that Acee's report preceded an announcement from the Seidler family that they were exploring a sale of the Padres, so it's possible things will change regarding the club's willingness to unload one of its large contracts. Tatis, who will turn 27 in January, has nine years and a bit more than $290 million remaining on his contract.
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