2025 Stats
W-L
1-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.86
K
4
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Valdez has settled in as the ace of Houston's staff over the past few years, and that trend continued in 2024 as he posted a 2.91 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 169:55 K:BB across 176.1 innings. A 3.36 xERA and 3.08 xFIP indicate he may have been a bit fortunate with the results, but those numbers are still strong and aren't anything to be concerned about. The left-hander's 16.2 percent K-BB% is solid if not a bit underwhelming for a pitcher of his caliber, as he continues to rely on inducing grounders (60.6 percent groundball rate). Valdez's recent track record of availability and effectiveness give him a strong floor, but his ceiling is more limited than the top-tier fantasy pitchers due to the lower strikeout totals. Read Past Outlooks
Seven shutout frames on Opening Day
Valdez (1-0) picked up the win Thursday against the Mets, striking out four and giving up four hits and two walks across seven scoreless frames.
ANALYSIS
Valdez got off to a rocky start by allowing one hit and one walk in the first frame, but he managed to escape unscathed and didn't face much resistance over the following six innings. The Astros' shutout was broken in the ninth inning when Josh Hader gave up a sacrifice fly to Francisco Lindor, but the southpaw reliever managed to punch out Juan Soto for the save to give Valdez the Opening Day victory. It's a strong start to the 2025 season for Valdez after posting career bests in 2024 in ERA (2.91) and WHIP (1.11) across 176.1 regular-season frames. He's tentatively slated to face off against the Giants at home next week.
Valdez got off to a rocky start by allowing one hit and one walk in the first frame, but he managed to escape unscathed and didn't face much resistance over the following six innings. The Astros' shutout was broken in the ninth inning when Josh Hader gave up a sacrifice fly to Francisco Lindor, but the southpaw reliever managed to punch out Juan Soto for the save to give Valdez the Opening Day victory. It's a strong start to the 2025 season for Valdez after posting career bests in 2024 in ERA (2.91) and WHIP (1.11) across 176.1 regular-season frames. He's tentatively slated to face off against the Giants at home next week.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Framber Valdez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Framber Valdez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-72%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .238 | 80 | 20 | 56 | 7 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .221 | 293 | 94 | 254 | 25 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .400 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .111 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .252 | 34 | 5 | 27 | 2 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .214 | 135 | 50 | 113 | 11 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .220 | 45 | 14 | 27 | 5 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .230 | 155 | 43 | 139 | 14 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-18%
ERA at Home
2025
No Stats
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 2.85 | 1.04 | 205.0 | 9.2 | 2.2 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 3.47 | 1.19 | 176.1 | 8.4 | 3.3 | ||||
| 2025Home | 0.00 | 0.86 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2025Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 2.53 | 1.05 | 96.0 | 9.2 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.36 | 1.17 | 80.1 | 8.0 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.35 | 1.05 | 102.0 | 9.4 | 1.8 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.56 | 1.21 | 96.0 | 8.7 | 3.5 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Framber Valdez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.00K/9
5.1BB/9
2.6HR/9
0.0Fastball
95.0 mphERA
0.00WHIP
0.86BABIP
.203GB/FB
1.80Left On Base
100.0%Exit Velocity
0.0 mphBarrels/BBE
0.0%Spin Rate
0 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
0.0%Swinging Strike
13.3%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Valdez has worked the fifth-most innings of any starting pitcher over the past two seasons trailing only Alcantara, Cole, Webb, and Mikolas. The lefty has returned three consecutive seasons of double digit wins, strong ratios, and a voluminous strikeout total and even threw in a no-hitter this season against Cleveland. Valdez was 9-7 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP after completing that no-hitter on August 1st but was just 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP from then on, which does not even include his very disappointing postseason where he allowed 12 earned runs and lost all three of his starts. Valdez absolutely brings the volume you want from a high-draft pick/cost starting pitcher, but he lacks the elite velocity or K-BB% that fantasy managers like to see from foundational pitchers. His extreme groundball tendencies minmize some of that risk, and the run support in Houston continues to be plentiful. 2022 was his peak, but something between it and 2023 is very possible.
More Fantasy News
Named Opening Day starter
Manager Joe Espada announced Sunday that Valdez will start Opening Day against the Mets on March 27, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Happy with movement on pitches
Valdez allowed three runs (one earned) on four hits and four walks while striking out one in Sunday's Grapefruit League game against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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No extension discussions
Valdez said Thursday that the Astros have yet to approach him or his agent regarding a contract extension, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Earning $18 million in 2025
Valdez and the Astros agreed to a one-year, $18 million contract to avoid arbitration Thursday, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Named Game 1 starter
Valdez will start Game 1 of the wild-card series versus the Tigers on Tuesday, Julia Morales of AT&T SportsNet Southwest reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension talks haven't occurred
Valdez said Thursday that the Astros have not approached him or his representation regarding a contract extension, reports Chandler Rome of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Valdez noted that he is open to discussing a long-term deal should the Astros want to talk, but at this point it doesn't appear as though that's in the cards. Houston has never guaranteed a starting pitcher more than $85 million, which is a figure Valdez might be able to at least double next offseason. No left-hander has thrown more innings since 2021 than Valdez, who became a full-time starter that year.
Valdez noted that he is open to discussing a long-term deal should the Astros want to talk, but at this point it doesn't appear as though that's in the cards. Houston has never guaranteed a starting pitcher more than $85 million, which is a figure Valdez might be able to at least double next offseason. No left-hander has thrown more innings since 2021 than Valdez, who became a full-time starter that year.