2025 Stats
W-L
2-4
ERA
3.94
WHIP
1.19
K
44
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Valdez has settled in as the ace of Houston's staff over the past few years, and that trend continued in 2024 as he posted a 2.91 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 169:55 K:BB across 176.1 innings. A 3.36 xERA and 3.08 xFIP indicate he may have been a bit fortunate with the results, but those numbers are still strong and aren't anything to be concerned about. The left-hander's 16.2 percent K-BB% is solid if not a bit underwhelming for a pitcher of his caliber, as he continues to rely on inducing grounders (60.6 percent groundball rate). Valdez's recent track record of availability and effectiveness give him a strong floor, but his ceiling is more limited than the top-tier fantasy pitchers due to the lower strikeout totals. Read Past Outlooks
Sharp in second win
Valdez (2-4) picked up the win in Wednesday's 9-1 victory over the Brewers, allowing one run on three hits and two walks over seven innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
The southpaw delivered his fifth quality start of the season on 101 pitches (59 strikes), with only a solo shot by Eric Haase in the fifth inning marring his line. Valdez generated 33 called or swinging strikes as he snapped a four-decision losing streak, and he'll take a 3.94 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 44:17 K:BB through 48 innings into his next outing, which lines up to come at home early next week against the Royals.
The southpaw delivered his fifth quality start of the season on 101 pitches (59 strikes), with only a solo shot by Eric Haase in the fifth inning marring his line. Valdez generated 33 called or swinging strikes as he snapped a four-decision losing streak, and he'll take a 3.94 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 44:17 K:BB through 48 innings into his next outing, which lines up to come at home early next week against the Royals.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Framber Valdez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Framber Valdez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-24%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .240 | 85 | 23 | 62 | 8 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .222 | 328 | 106 | 284 | 29 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .286 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .218 | 38 | 13 | 32 | 4 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .252 | 34 | 5 | 27 | 2 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .214 | 135 | 50 | 113 | 11 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .220 | 45 | 14 | 27 | 5 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .230 | 155 | 43 | 139 | 14 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-16%
ERA at Home
2025
-17%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 3.00 | 1.07 | 216.0 | 9.2 | 2.3 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 3.58 | 1.18 | 206.1 | 8.4 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.50 | 1.33 | 18.0 | 7.5 | 4.5 | ||||
| 2025Away | 4.20 | 1.10 | 30.0 | 8.7 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2024Home | 2.53 | 1.05 | 96.0 | 9.2 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.36 | 1.17 | 80.1 | 8.0 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.35 | 1.05 | 102.0 | 9.4 | 1.8 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.56 | 1.21 | 96.0 | 8.7 | 3.5 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Framber Valdez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.59K/9
8.3BB/9
3.2HR/9
0.9Fastball
94.1 mphERA
3.94WHIP
1.19BABIP
.277GB/FB
2.54Left On Base
72.0%Exit Velocity
82.6 mphBarrels/BBE
4.5%Spin Rate
2324 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.8%Swinging Strike
10.9%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Valdez has worked the fifth-most innings of any starting pitcher over the past two seasons trailing only Alcantara, Cole, Webb, and Mikolas. The lefty has returned three consecutive seasons of double digit wins, strong ratios, and a voluminous strikeout total and even threw in a no-hitter this season against Cleveland. Valdez was 9-7 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP after completing that no-hitter on August 1st but was just 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP from then on, which does not even include his very disappointing postseason where he allowed 12 earned runs and lost all three of his starts. Valdez absolutely brings the volume you want from a high-draft pick/cost starting pitcher, but he lacks the elite velocity or K-BB% that fantasy managers like to see from foundational pitchers. His extreme groundball tendencies minmize some of that risk, and the run support in Houston continues to be plentiful. 2022 was his peak, but something between it and 2023 is very possible.
More Fantasy News
Yields four runs in loss
Valdez (1-4) took the loss Friday versus the White Sox, allowing four runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out six over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Goes distance in loss
Valdez (1-3) tossed a complete game in Saturday's loss to the Royals, allowing two runs on three hits and two walks while striking out five over eight innings.
ANALYSIS
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Bounces back with quality start
Valdez allowed two runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out two in six innings Sunday versus the Padres. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Hit hard by Cardinals
Valdez (1-2) took the loss against St. Louis on Monday, allowing seven runs (six earned) on 10 hits and one walk while striking out three batters over four-plus innings.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant in six scoreless innings
Valdez didn't factor into the decision Tuesday against Seattle after allowing two runs and one walk in six innings, striking out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension talks haven't occurred
Valdez said Thursday that the Astros have not approached him or his representation regarding a contract extension, reports Chandler Rome of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Valdez noted that he is open to discussing a long-term deal should the Astros want to talk, but at this point it doesn't appear as though that's in the cards. Houston has never guaranteed a starting pitcher more than $85 million, which is a figure Valdez might be able to at least double next offseason. No left-hander has thrown more innings since 2021 than Valdez, who became a full-time starter that year.
Valdez noted that he is open to discussing a long-term deal should the Astros want to talk, but at this point it doesn't appear as though that's in the cards. Houston has never guaranteed a starting pitcher more than $85 million, which is a figure Valdez might be able to at least double next offseason. No left-hander has thrown more innings since 2021 than Valdez, who became a full-time starter that year.