2024 Stats
AVG
.237
HR
11
RBI
47
R
39
SB
1
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarez missed more than seven weeks with a torn UCL in his left hand, suffered while catching his fall after tripping while rounding second base. When healthy, he was the Mets regular backstop, his role again this season. Alvarez will be one of the youngest starting catchers at just 23 years old; his offense is still a work in progress. His 62nd percentile hard-hit rate was down a tick from the previous season but still promising relative to his age. Alvarez's contact rate is below average, but it's improved a tick each of his last two seasons. His patience is above average, boding well for improved quality and quantity of contact. Behind the dish, he's an excellent framer, with a great pop time. All signs point to continued improvement, with more playing time. This is probably the last time he's a borderline option in one-catcher leagues. Alvarez will be a staple sooner than later. Read Past Outlooks
Revamped swing in offseason
Alvarez retooled his swing mechanics at Maven Baseball Lab this offseason on the recommendation of J.D. Martinez, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports. "I think I can put the ball in the air more, hit the ball to the opposite way more," Alvarez said this week. "I'm very powerful; I don't have to pull every pitch."
ANALYSIS
The 23-year-old catcher is coming off a disappointing 2024 campaign at the plate, managing just 11 homers and a .710 OPS in 100 big-league games during the regular season after slugging 25 long balls over 123 games for the Mets in 2023. Alvarez's decline was fueled by an increase in his groundball rate (career-high 52.2 percent) and decrease in his hard-hit rate. While at the lab, Alvarez focused on tweaking his stance and lower-body movement to eliminate a tendency to pull off the ball rather than staying square and driving pitches back up the middle. "He wants to be a complete hitter, not just a power hitter," manager Carlos Mendoza said. "In order for anyone to be a complete hitter, you need to use the whole field." Alvarez's career .221 batting average in the majors doesn't suggest he'll suddenly be challenging for batting titles, but there is plenty of room for improvement in his 2024 performance.
The 23-year-old catcher is coming off a disappointing 2024 campaign at the plate, managing just 11 homers and a .710 OPS in 100 big-league games during the regular season after slugging 25 long balls over 123 games for the Mets in 2023. Alvarez's decline was fueled by an increase in his groundball rate (career-high 52.2 percent) and decrease in his hard-hit rate. While at the lab, Alvarez focused on tweaking his stance and lower-body movement to eliminate a tendency to pull off the ball rather than staying square and driving pitches back up the middle. "He wants to be a complete hitter, not just a power hitter," manager Carlos Mendoza said. "In order for anyone to be a complete hitter, you need to use the whole field." Alvarez's career .221 batting average in the majors doesn't suggest he'll suddenly be challenging for batting titles, but there is plenty of room for improvement in his 2024 performance.
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
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23
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10
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+10%
OPS vs RHP
2024
+19%
OPS vs LHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .668 | 234 | 11 | 37 | .191 | ||||
| Since 2022vs Right | .737 | 545 | 26 | 74 | .233 | ||||
| 2024vs Left | .806 | 82 | 5 | 15 | .239 | ||||
| 2024vs Right | .680 | 260 | 6 | 32 | .236 | ||||
| 2023vs Left | .611 | 148 | 6 | 22 | .171 | ||||
| 2023vs Right | .777 | 275 | 19 | 41 | .229 | ||||
| 2022vs Left | .000 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .000 | ||||
| 2022vs Right | 1.150 | 10 | 1 | 1 | .250 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+1%
OPS on Road
2024
+5%
OPS at Home
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | .714 | 379 | 17 | 53 | .213 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | .719 | 400 | 20 | 58 | .228 | ||||
| 2024Home | .727 | 166 | 7 | 23 | .221 | ||||
| 2024Away | .694 | 176 | 4 | 24 | .252 | ||||
| 2023Home | .670 | 207 | 9 | 29 | .201 | ||||
| 2023Away | .768 | 216 | 16 | 34 | .217 | ||||
| 2022Home | 2.167 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .500 | ||||
| 2022Away | .000 | 8 | 0 | 0 | .000 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Francisco Alvarez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.35BB Rate
8.8%K Rate
25.1%BABIP
.291ISO
.166AVG
.237OBP
.307SLG
.403OPS
.710wOBA
.313Exit Velocity
88.8 mphHard Hit Rate
29.7%Barrels/PA
4.4%Expected BA
.220Expected SLG
.358Sprint Speed
22.2 ft/secGround Ball %
52.2%Line Drive %
16.1%Fly Ball %
31.7%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Alvarez didn't break camp with the Mets, but he was called up a week into the season and became the regular backstop, catching two-thirds of the club's games, along with seven games as the designated hitters. Alvarez fanned 26 percent of the time, which was in range of his minor league track record. However, his walk rate was just eight percent, considerably lower than his minor league pedigree. An above average exit velocity on fly balls supported bashing 25 homers. However, Alvarez's .222 BABIP, along with an above average strikeout rate rendered him a batting average liability. Some of the low BABIP was an unusually low line drive rate, along with a low BABIP on grounders. Both should improve this season, but Alvarez's average will still likely be detrimental to a fantasy lineup. On the other hand, his power is real, and his run production should pick up as the Mets offense should improve. Alvarez's defense and framing were excellent, though he had trouble controlling the running game. Alvarez should be among the leaders in homers from catchers, just make sure you can absorb his low average.
More Fantasy News
Breather in second game
Alvarez is out of the lineup for the second game of Monday's doubleheader in Atlanta, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Back in lineup
Alvarez (back) is starting at catcher and batting eighth for Sunday's game against the Brewers, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Saturday
Alvarez (back) isn't in the Mets' lineup Saturday against Milwaukee, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Exits early Friday
Alvarez was removed from Friday's game against the Brewers with back spasms, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Power surge continues
Alvarez went 2-for-4 with a double, a home run and three RBI in Saturday's 6-3 win over the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Slumping in second half
Alvarez has a .433 OPS with just one homer in his past 30 games and admitted in late August that he "doesn't feel powerful," per Tim Healey of Newsday.
ANALYSIS
The 22-year-old entered the All-Star break with an .844 OPS through 44 games, but he's been unable to get on track offensively over the past couple months. Alvarez showcased his power potential with 25 homers in 123 games as a rookie last season, but he has just six homers and a .134 ISO through 81 contests in 2024. His average exit velocity is down two ticks to 88.1 mph, and his 5.5 percent barrel rate and 39.9 percent hard-hit rate have both dropped off considerably from 2023. The Mets are only a half-game back of the final NL wild-card spot, and getting Alvarez back on track could improve their playoff hopes.
The 22-year-old entered the All-Star break with an .844 OPS through 44 games, but he's been unable to get on track offensively over the past couple months. Alvarez showcased his power potential with 25 homers in 123 games as a rookie last season, but he has just six homers and a .134 ISO through 81 contests in 2024. His average exit velocity is down two ticks to 88.1 mph, and his 5.5 percent barrel rate and 39.9 percent hard-hit rate have both dropped off considerably from 2023. The Mets are only a half-game back of the final NL wild-card spot, and getting Alvarez back on track could improve their playoff hopes.