2025 Stats
AVG
.236
HR
3
RBI
11
R
10
SB
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarez missed more than seven weeks with a torn UCL in his left hand, suffered while catching his fall after tripping while rounding second base. When healthy, he was the Mets regular backstop, his role again this season. Alvarez will be one of the youngest starting catchers at just 23 years old; his offense is still a work in progress. His 62nd percentile hard-hit rate was down a tick from the previous season but still promising relative to his age. Alvarez's contact rate is below average, but it's improved a tick each of his last two seasons. His patience is above average, boding well for improved quality and quantity of contact. Behind the dish, he's an excellent framer, with a great pop time. All signs point to continued improvement, with more playing time. This is probably the last time he's a borderline option in one-catcher leagues. Alvarez will be a staple sooner than later. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Mets in March of 2025.
Faring well at Triple-A level
Alvarez is slashing .256/.326/.590 with four home runs and a 3:13 BB:K in 11 games for Triple-A Syracuse since he was demoted June 22.
Analysis
Though Alvarez's poor pitch framing played a factor in his demotion, the Mets sent him down to the minors largely due to the middling production he had provided at the plate after he made his return from the injured list in late April upon completing his recovery from hand surgery. Over his 138 plate appearances with the Mets, Alvarez slashed .236/.319/.333 with a 27.5 percent strikeout rate, prompting New York to turn over primary catching duties to Luis Torrens. The Mets still view the 23-year-old Alvarez as their long-term solution behind the plate, and the improved power output he's shown thus far with Syracuse could put him in the mix for a call-up shortly after the All-Star break.
Though Alvarez's poor pitch framing played a factor in his demotion, the Mets sent him down to the minors largely due to the middling production he had provided at the plate after he made his return from the injured list in late April upon completing his recovery from hand surgery. Over his 138 plate appearances with the Mets, Alvarez slashed .236/.319/.333 with a 27.5 percent strikeout rate, prompting New York to turn over primary catching duties to Luis Torrens. The Mets still view the 23-year-old Alvarez as their long-term solution behind the plate, and the improved power output he's shown thus far with Syracuse could put him in the mix for a call-up shortly after the All-Star break.
Batting Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
12
6
7
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2025
+68%
OPS vs RHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .652 | 257 | 11 | 38 | .191 |
| Since 2023vs Right | .727 | 646 | 28 | 83 | .236 |
| 2025vs Left | .422 | 27 | 0 | 1 | .160 |
| 2025vs Right | .710 | 111 | 3 | 10 | .255 |
| 2024vs Left | .806 | 82 | 5 | 15 | .239 |
| 2024vs Right | .680 | 260 | 6 | 32 | .236 |
| 2023vs Left | .611 | 148 | 6 | 22 | .171 |
| 2023vs Right | .777 | 275 | 19 | 41 | .229 |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
+14%
OPS on Road
2025
+108%
OPS on Road
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | .656 | 431 | 16 | 52 | .201 |
| Since 2023Away | .750 | 472 | 23 | 69 | .244 |
| 2025Home | .399 | 58 | 0 | 0 | .140 |
| 2025Away | .828 | 80 | 3 | 11 | .301 |
| 2024Home | .727 | 166 | 7 | 23 | .221 |
| 2024Away | .694 | 176 | 4 | 24 | .252 |
| 2023Home | .670 | 207 | 9 | 29 | .201 |
| 2023Away | .768 | 216 | 16 | 34 | .217 |
Minor League Left/Right Batting Splits (AAA)
Since 2023
+9%
OPS vs LHP
2025
+79%
OPS vs LHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .933 | 12 | 1 | 1 | .200 |
| Since 2023vs Right | .855 | 53 | 5 | 11 | .213 |
| 2025vs Left | 1.286 | 8 | 1 | 1 | .286 |
| 2025vs Right | .717 | 38 | 3 | 7 | .176 |
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023vs Left | .167 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| 2023vs Right | 1.287 | 15 | 2 | 4 | .308 |
Stat Review
How does Francisco Alvarez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.34BB Rate
9.4%K Rate
27.5%BABIP
.317ISO
.098AVG
.236OBP
.319SLG
.333OPS
.652wOBA
.297Exit Velocity
92.9 mphHard Hit Rate
41.2%Barrels/PA
5.1%Expected BA
.219Expected SLG
.385Sprint Speed
22.6 ft/secGround Ball %
49.4%Line Drive %
17.6%Fly Ball %
32.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Alvarez didn't break camp with the Mets, but he was called up a week into the season and became the regular backstop, catching two-thirds of the club's games, along with seven games as the designated hitters. Alvarez fanned 26 percent of the time, which was in range of his minor league track record. However, his walk rate was just eight percent, considerably lower than his minor league pedigree. An above average exit velocity on fly balls supported bashing 25 homers. However, Alvarez's .222 BABIP, along with an above average strikeout rate rendered him a batting average liability. Some of the low BABIP was an unusually low line drive rate, along with a low BABIP on grounders. Both should improve this season, but Alvarez's average will still likely be detrimental to a fantasy lineup. On the other hand, his power is real, and his run production should pick up as the Mets offense should improve. Alvarez's defense and framing were excellent, though he had trouble controlling the running game. Alvarez should be among the leaders in homers from catchers, just make sure you can absorb his low average.
More Fantasy News
Demoted to Triple-A
The Mets optioned Alvarez to Triple-A Syracuse on Sunday.
Analysis
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Working through swing changes
Alvarez is slashing only .191/.286/.265 over his last 20 games with one home run and three RBI, but the Mets believe he's close to emerging from his slump, Tim Britton of the Athletic reports.
Analysis
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Exiting starting nine
Alvarez is absent from the lineup for Wednesday's contest in Atlanta.
Analysis
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Not starting Saturday
Alvarez isn't in the lineup for Saturday's game against Tampa Bay.
Analysis
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Returns from paternity list
The Mets activated Alvarez (personal) from the paternity list Thursday.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Slumping in second half
Alvarez has a .433 OPS with just one homer in his past 30 games and admitted in late August that he "doesn't feel powerful," per Tim Healey of Newsday.
Analysis
The 22-year-old entered the All-Star break with an .844 OPS through 44 games, but he's been unable to get on track offensively over the past couple months. Alvarez showcased his power potential with 25 homers in 123 games as a rookie last season, but he has just six homers and a .134 ISO through 81 contests in 2024. His average exit velocity is down two ticks to 88.1 mph, and his 5.5 percent barrel rate and 39.9 percent hard-hit rate have both dropped off considerably from 2023. The Mets are only a half-game back of the final NL wild-card spot, and getting Alvarez back on track could improve their playoff hopes.
The 22-year-old entered the All-Star break with an .844 OPS through 44 games, but he's been unable to get on track offensively over the past couple months. Alvarez showcased his power potential with 25 homers in 123 games as a rookie last season, but he has just six homers and a .134 ISO through 81 contests in 2024. His average exit velocity is down two ticks to 88.1 mph, and his 5.5 percent barrel rate and 39.9 percent hard-hit rate have both dropped off considerably from 2023. The Mets are only a half-game back of the final NL wild-card spot, and getting Alvarez back on track could improve their playoff hopes.