Out
Injury Ankle
Est. Return 2/1/2023
2022 Stats
AVG
.167
HR
1
RBI
1
R
3
SB
0
2023 Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Generally considered a top-10 real-life prospect - although more divisive on fantasy rankings - Alvarez is best known for his impressive age-to-level advancement through the minors and huge raw power. He got his first MLB cup of coffee as a 20-year-old after slashing .260/.374/.510 with a 24.8 K%, 14.1 BB% and 36.3 Hard% across Double-A and Triple-A. Alvarez, who turned 21 in November, is well ahead of the typical catcher his age on the developmental path. He is also an oddity from a physical standpoint, as he is generously listed at 5-foot-10 and a similarly favorable 233 pounds. We've seen boxy catchers have success, but there's no denying he is a 20-grade athlete who figures to get even less agile over the coming years. His hard-hit data and in-game performance suggest he could hit double-digit homers as a rookie, but it seems like a neutral batting average would be a best-case scenario. He will always be more valuable in OBP leagues. Alvarez underwent ankle surgery in October but is expected to be ready to compete for the starting catcher job in spring training. Read Past Outlooks
Undergoes surgery
Alvarez underwent surgery on his right ankle Thursday, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
The surgery was done to address the cartilage damage Alvarez suffered in late August, when he was still playing at Triple-A Syracuse. The procedure was an option at the time Alvarez suffered the injury, though he opted to play through it in the short term. Alvarez is expected to be fully healthy for spring training, when he'll have the chance to compete for a roster spot to break camp with the big-league club. He'll maintain rookie eligibility in 2023 after appearing in only five games for the Mets late in the season.
The surgery was done to address the cartilage damage Alvarez suffered in late August, when he was still playing at Triple-A Syracuse. The procedure was an option at the time Alvarez suffered the injury, though he opted to play through it in the short term. Alvarez is expected to be fully healthy for spring training, when he'll have the chance to compete for a roster spot to break camp with the big-league club. He'll maintain rookie eligibility in 2023 after appearing in only five games for the Mets late in the season.
Batting Stats
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2022
2022 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
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1
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
-100%
OPS vs RHP
2022
-100%
OPS vs RHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2020vs Left | .000 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .000 | ||||
| Since 2020vs Right | 1.150 | 10 | 1 | 1 | .250 | ||||
| 2022vs Left | .000 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .000 | ||||
| 2022vs Right | 1.150 | 10 | 1 | 1 | .250 | ||||
| 2021vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2021vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2020vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2020vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
-100%
OPS at Home
2022
-100%
OPS at Home
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2020Home | 2.167 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .500 | ||||
| Since 2020Away | .000 | 8 | 0 | 0 | .000 | ||||
| 2022Home | 2.167 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .500 | ||||
| 2022Away | .000 | 8 | 0 | 0 | .000 | ||||
| 2021Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2021Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2020Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2020Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Francisco Alvarez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.50BB Rate
14.3%K Rate
28.6%BABIP
.143ISO
.333AVG
.167OBP
.286SLG
.500OPS
.786wOBA
.339Exit Velocity
89.1 mphHard Hit Rate
50.0%Barrels/PA
21.4%Expected BA
.252Expected SLG
.654Sprint Speed
23.7 ft/secGround Ball %
50.0%Line Drive %
12.5%Fly Ball %
37.5%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Francisco Alvarez
Jan Levine concludes his column for the season with a look at the remaining schedule while also offering potential stash candidates.
James Anderson details the boom in quality offensive catchers for dynasty leagues and redraft leagues and the supply and demand issues that will spawn from this catcher renaissance.
James Anderson conducted a draft of hitting prospects for 2023 redraft value only, in which he landed Vaughn Grissom with the No. 4 overall pick.
Jesse Siegel checks out which up-and-comers could get promoted and who may have to wait until 2023.
With only a couple days before the trade deadline, Jan Levine checks out a few NLers who could benefit from upcoming transactions.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
Alvarez quickly showed that he was too advanced for an age-appropriate assignment to Low-A, hitting .417 with two home runs, five doubles, 15 walks and seven strikeouts in 15 games before getting a bump to High-A, where he was the only qualified 19-year-old hitter. His production there was still excellent, albeit less outrageous. He hit .247/.351/.538 with 22 home runs, a 12.0 BB% and a 24.6 K% in 84 games. Given how stocky and slow he is, it's not surprising that his 49.8 Pull% and 45.2 GB% resulted in a .260 BABIP. It's unrealistic to expect Alvarez to be much better than a neutral fantasy contributor in batting average, but that's still a strong outcome for a primary catcher with at least plus power. His defense behind the plate isn't amazing, but he will stick at the position. Given how quickly he has moved up the ladder and how productive he has been, Alvarez is one of the few catching prospects with a realistic chance to be a top-five fantasy option at the position. He will reach the majors in 2023 or 2024.
More Fantasy News
Launches first career homer
Alvarez went 2-for-2 with a double and a solo home run in the second game of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Officially promoted Friday
Alvarez was called up to the Mets' big league roster and is set to make his major-league debut Friday against Atlanta, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Set to join big-league club
Alvarez will join the Mets' big-league roster Friday, Joel Sherman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Rejoins Triple-A lineup
Alvarez (ankle) returned to the lineup Sunday for Triple-A Syracuse, serving as the club's designated hitter while going 0-for-4 with a strikeout.
ANALYSIS
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Avoiding surgery on ankle
The Mets announced Thursday that Alvarez has been diagnosed with a loose body in his right ankle but won't need surgery to address the injury, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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