2024 Stats
W-L
9-6
ERA
4.00
WHIP
1.37
K
118
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
After receiving an encouraging cup of coffee to end the 2022 season, Brown broke camp in the Astros rotation where he stayed all season. He made 31 appearances, with 29 starts. His 5.09 ERA is misleading as his 3.52 xFIP and 3.74 SIERA suggest Brown experienced some misfortune. The main culprits were a bloated .330 BABIP, a low 68.8 percent left on base mark and an extremely high 21.0 percent home run per fly ball clip. It's never all bad luck, but these metrics all scream impending regression. Brown's 18.5 percent K-BB percent ranked an impressive 21st among pitchers with a minimum of 150 innings pitched. The 25-year-old right-hander threw his 96-mph four seamer 46 percent of the time, but his 26.8 percent strikeout rate was driven by his curveball utilized at a 24 percent clip. Brown also toyed with a splitter with encouraging results. The Houston organization is adept at fine tuning their pitcher's repertoire, boding well for Brown to take the next step, beyond what natural regression will provide. Top-30 starting potential from a pitcher coming off a season with a 5.09 ERA is a great target. Read Past Outlooks
Another strong outing
Brown (9-6) earned the win Wednesday over the Athletics, allowing one run on eight hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
The lone run charged to Brown came in the first inning when the A's led off the game with back-to-back doubles. The right-hander would rebound to blank Oakland over his final five frames, earning a third straight win while logging his 11th quality start in his last 12 outings. After posting a 7.71 ERA through his first nine starts, Brown's pitched to a 2.09 ERA in his subsequent 12 appearances. Overall, his ERA sits at 4.00 with a 1.37 WHIP and 118:42 K:BB across 110.1 innings this season. Brown will look to keep rolling in his next outing, currently scheduled for early next week at home versus the Pirates.
The lone run charged to Brown came in the first inning when the A's led off the game with back-to-back doubles. The right-hander would rebound to blank Oakland over his final five frames, earning a third straight win while logging his 11th quality start in his last 12 outings. After posting a 7.71 ERA through his first nine starts, Brown's pitched to a 2.09 ERA in his subsequent 12 appearances. Overall, his ERA sits at 4.00 with a 1.37 WHIP and 118:42 K:BB across 110.1 innings this season. Brown will look to keep rolling in his next outing, currently scheduled for early next week at home versus the Pirates.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
97
Last 5 Games
99
How many pitches does Hunter Brown generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Hunter Brown generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-16%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .233 | 168 | 59 | 128 | 17 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .280 | 150 | 45 | 153 | 23 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .236 | 69 | 24 | 54 | 8 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .282 | 49 | 18 | 55 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .246 | 85 | 30 | 68 | 9 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .276 | 93 | 25 | 89 | 17 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .136 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 0 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .310 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-18%
ERA on Road
2024
-26%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 4.80 | 1.36 | 138.2 | 9.9 | 4.0 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 3.96 | 1.33 | 147.2 | 10.1 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.40 | 1.17 | 55.2 | 9.1 | 3.7 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.61 | 1.57 | 54.2 | 10.2 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2023Home | 6.56 | 1.57 | 72.2 | 10.5 | 4.2 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.80 | 1.18 | 83.0 | 10.1 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2022Home | 0.00 | 0.87 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2022Away | 1.80 | 1.30 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 2.7 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Hunter Brown compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.81K/9
9.6BB/9
3.4HR/9
1.1Fastball
95.7 mphERA
4.00WHIP
1.37BABIP
.330GB/FB
1.61Left On Base
76.9%Exit Velocity
81.4 mphBarrels/BBE
2.7%Spin Rate
2201 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
17.9%Swinging Strike
10.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Armed with an upper-90s fastball, low-80s curveball with above-average drop and a 93-mph slider, Brown has the type of modern pitch mix that passes the eye test and excites data analysts. For years, prospect analysts knew of Brown's impressive repertoire, but it wasn't until late in 2021 that he started to throw strikes at a rate that suggested he could make it as a starter. His walk rate at Triple-A and the majors has been between 8.8% and 10.6%, which is still on the high end for a starter, but it's workable and at 24 years old, there's still room for improvement. In addition to missing bats at an above-average clip, Brown has typically logged elite groundball rates north of 50%. There would be much more redraft buzz if the Astros didn't have perhaps the deepest rotation in the game. As such, it's unclear how many starts he will make in 2023, but there is a very high long-term ceiling.
More Fantasy News
Throws six shutout innings
Brown (8-6) allowed four hits and three walks while striking out five over six shutout innings to earn the win over the Mariners on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Nabs seventh win
Brown (7-6) picked up the win in Friday's 6-3 victory over the Rangers, allowing two runs on five hits and two walks over six innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Crushed early in loss
Brown (6-6) took the loss against the Twins on Saturday, allowing seven runs on 12 hits and one walk with six strikeouts over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Goes six scoreless for sixth win
Brown (6-5) earned the win Monday against Toronto, allowing two hits and three walks over six scoreless innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Blanks Rockies
Brown (5-5) picked up the win Tuesday against Colorado, allowing two hits and three walks with seven strikeouts across 6.0 scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Trajectory skyrocketing?
Brown has thrown 14.0 scoreless innings across his last two starts, striking out 12 while walking three over that span.
ANALYSIS
Brown entered the season among the highest regarded pitching prospects in baseball. After a mixed trio of appearances to start the season, Brown has been dialed in of late. His 1.02 WHIP ranks in the top-15 among all American League arms, and he's trending upward. He's worth a look in nearly all formats.
Brown entered the season among the highest regarded pitching prospects in baseball. After a mixed trio of appearances to start the season, Brown has been dialed in of late. His 1.02 WHIP ranks in the top-15 among all American League arms, and he's trending upward. He's worth a look in nearly all formats.