James Kaprielian

James Kaprielian

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Oakland Athletics
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Shoulder issues delayed the start of Kaprielian's 2022 season, but he was activated at the start of May and remained in the rotation the rest of the way, making 26 starts. The results for the 2015 first-round pick were rather uninspiring. Even with help from both a very pitcher-friendly home park and the league-wide drop in offense, the righty still managed a forgettable 4.23 ERA, and his 4.63 FIP and 5.04 SIERA suggest things could have been a good deal worse. His 17.0 K% and 10.2 BB% were both much worse than league average. Among pitchers who threw at least 100 innings, only Dakota Hudson was as poor in both categories, and Kaprielian doesn't keep the ball on the ground like Hudson does. Further depressing Kaprielian's stock is the fact that he underwent shoulder surgery early in the offseason. Even if he fully recovers and gets back to last year's form, he'll be an unappealing choice, and the chances of continued shoulder troubles can't be ignored given his injury history. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#579
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Yankees in July of 2015. Traded to the Athletics in July of 2017.
Starting Sunday, as expected
POakland Athletics
March 12, 2023
Kaprielian (shoulder) is starting Sunday's Cactus League game against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
Kaprielian pitched well during a simulated game last week and will make his spring debut Sunday as he reaches the end of his recovery from October shoulder surgery. Assuming there's no setbacks Sunday, the 29-year-old will be on track to be ready for the start of the season after he posted a 4.23 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 98:59 K:BB over 134 innings during 2022.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
96
How many pitches does James Kaprielian generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does James Kaprielian generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-100%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .252 561 96 53 125 28 6 20
Since 2020vs Right .220 530 126 47 104 23 5 17
2022vs Left .237 295 43 22 63 13 4 7
2022vs Right .241 282 55 36 58 14 3 9
2021vs Left .266 258 53 31 59 15 2 11
2021vs Right .201 244 70 10 46 9 2 8
2020vs Left .375 8 0 0 3 0 0 2
2020vs Right .000 4 1 1 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-2%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-28%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-58%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 4.25 1.32 112.1 6 8 0 8.4 3.9 1.3
Since 2020Away 4.17 1.26 144.2 7 6 0 7.5 3.2 1.3
2022Home 5.09 1.45 53.0 1 5 0 6.8 4.9 1.4
2022Away 3.67 1.26 81.0 4 4 0 6.4 3.2 0.9
2021Home 3.28 1.16 57.2 5 3 0 9.7 3.0 1.1
2021Away 4.82 1.28 61.2 3 2 0 8.9 3.2 1.8
2020Home 10.80 2.40 1.2 0 0 0 16.2 5.4 5.4
2020Away 4.50 1.00 2.0 0 0 0 4.5 4.5 4.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does James Kaprielian compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.66
 
K/9
6.6
 
BB/9
4.0
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
94.1 mph
 
ERA
4.23
 
WHIP
1.34
 
BABIP
.273
 
GB/FB
0.96
 
Left On Base
71.1%
 
Exit Velocity
81.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.9%
 
Spin Rate
2044 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.1%
 
Swinging Strike
9.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2018
2017
2016
Kaprielean ran with the opportunity when a pair of injuries opened up a rotation spot for him in May. The right-hander was excellent through mid-July, at which point he possessed a 2.65 ERA across 68 innings. He showed obvious signs of fatigue thereafter, recording just two quality starts between August and September as his ERA ballooned to 4.07 by season's end. Those late-season struggles were far from unexpected, however, as the former Tommy John surgery patient totaled 119.1 frames after never reaching the 40-inning mark in his previous four professional seasons. Despite possessing a low-90s fastball, Kaprielian was still able to strike out batters at a 24.5% clip by keeping hitters off balance with a five-pitch mix. The 27-year-old's limited professional track record makes it hard to project him going forward, but he proved last season that he's capable of getting big-league hitters out. That alone should slot him into Oakland's starting rotation to begin 2022.
Kaprielian was particularly stung by the lack of a 2020 minor-league season after the former top-tier prospect finally returned to good health in 2019. The right-hander missed the prior two seasons due to Tommy John surgery but pitched well enough in his return campaign (3.18 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 75:16 K:BB over 68 innings across three levels) to earn a spot in Oakland's 60-man player pool last season. He bounced between the alternate training site and the majors, where he logged two appearances covering 3.2 innings and gave up three earned runs. Despite the small workload, there were some positives to take away, including a 14.1 SwStr% and 23.5 K%. Most significantly, Kaprielian's fastball averaged 95.1 mph, suggesting that the elbow surgery hasn't sapped his velocity. Kaprielian will be 27 years old come Opening Day, so Oakland is likely to give him a shot early, though not necessarily in a starting role.
Already 25 years old and set to turn 26 in March, Kaprielian had pitched just 29.1 professional innings prior to 2019 due to a variety of elbow and shoulder injuries. He made up for lost time, logging a 3.18 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 75:16 K:BB in 68 innings across stops at High-A, Double-A and Triple-A. He was even better as the rust came off, posting a 1.26 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and 29:5 K:BB in 28.2 innings over his last seven starts, including a four-inning outing where he gave up one run and struck out six in his Triple-A debut Sept. 1. Kaprielian, who throws four quality pitches, reportedly touched 96 mph and was sitting at 94 mph with his fastball late in the year, so it seems like his stuff is close to where it was at the peak of his prospect hype (consensus top-100 prospect prior to 2017). He is on the 40-man roster and should figure prominently into the big-league rotation plans for 2020.
Concerns over Kaprielian's high-effort delivery have proven justified. He missed nearly the entire 2016 season with a flexor tendon strain and then underwent Tommy John surgery in April of 2017. In his limited professional action (29.1 innings), the right-hander has shown an enticing combination of strikeout ability (11.0 K/9) and control (2.1 BB/9) along with a heavy groundball skew (3.00 GO/AO). All four of his pitches (fastball, slider, curveball, changeup) have flashed plus potential, but there's always a chance the stuff will be diminished after reconstructive elbow surgery, and the injury concerns are going to follow him throughout his career. The A's took a chance on Kaprielian, acquiring him as part of the Sonny Gray return. Those in dynasty leagues can't be blamed for moving on.
A first-round pick in the 2015 draft, the 6-foot-4, 200-pound Kaprielian got off to a blistering start in 2016. Skipping Low-A altogether, he posted a 1.50 ERA and 22:3 K:BB in three contests for High-A Tampa. The positivity was short-lived, as he was placed on the disabled list at the end of April and never returned to the mound. Ultimately diagnosed with inflammation and a flexor tendon strain in his right elbow, the Bronx Bombers decided to be cautious with their prized young arm. Thankfully, it does not appear that he will need Tommy John surgery. Kaprielian returned to the mound and looked excellent in the Arizona Fall League. He has the potential for three pitches that grade out as plus or better, and his command has always been seen as a strength. The key will be for him to put to rest some of the questions about his durability. If he can avoid further arm injuries, he has the tools to establish himself as one of the top pitching prospects in the game.
Chosen as the Yankees' first-round pick in 2015, Kaprielian made three starts at the short-season level, working to a 2.00 ERA with 12 strikeouts in nine innings and a .229 batting average against. The righty has a four-pitch arsenal, leading with a fastball (sitting in the 89-92 mph range) and mixing in a slider, changeup, and curveball -- the latter two being his best pitches. He pitched to a career 2.04 ERA as the staff ace at UCLA, and at 22 years old entering the 2016 season, he has the potential to move up the organizational ranks relatively quickly. The majors will likely have to wait until 2017 at the very earliest, but he could progress to some of the higher levels of the minors this season.
More Fantasy News
Spring debut coming Sunday
POakland Athletics
Shoulder
March 10, 2023
Kaprielian (shoulder) will make his Cactus League debut Sunday against San Diego, Martin Gallegos of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Impresses in Tuesday sim game
POakland Athletics
Shoulder
March 7, 2023
Kaprielian (shoulder) threw a three-inning simulated game Tuesday and didn't experience any issues during his 45-pitch outing, the Athletics' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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No issues during sim game
POakland Athletics
Shoulder
March 2, 2023
Kaprielian (shoulder) said he "likes the way things are coming along" after throwing a two-inning simulated game Thursday, Matt Kawahara of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Set for sim game
POakland Athletics
Shoulder
March 2, 2023
Kaprielian (shoulder) is set to throw a two-inning simulated game Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Throws live BP
POakland Athletics
Shoulder
February 26, 2023
Kaprielian (shoulder) threw live batting practice Sunday, and manager Mark Kotsay said he believes there's enough time for the right-hander to be built up enough to make the Opening Day rotation, Martin Gallegos of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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