Jesus Luzardo

Jesus Luzardo

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Heading into 2022, Luzardo was not only an injury risk, but how well he'd pitch when healthy was also unclear. A year later, he's still a health risk after making only 18 starts due to a midseason forearm strain, but Luzardo assuaged performance fears by dominating, especially late. On May 10, Luzardo was sporting a 4.03 ERA and 1.17 WHIP with 41 strikeouts but 16 walks in 29 innings. He then went on the IL to return on August 1. The lefty recorded a 3.03 ERA and .98 WHIP the rest of the way, fanning 79 with only 19 walks in his final 71.1 frames. Luzardo featured a 96-mph fastball, but his changeup was most effective, generating a 25.9% swinging strike rate. Luzardo needs to maintain his improved control, and of course avoid injury, but if he does, the southpaw has a chance to fulfill the vast promise teased as he was coming up in the Athletics system. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#151
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.45 million contract with the Marlins in February of 2023.
Falls to Padres
PMiami Marlins
June 1, 2023
Luzardo (4-4) took the loss Thursday, allowing five runs on four hits and a walk over 5.1 innings against the Padres. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
Luzardo falls to 1-2 over his last four outings, though he's logged at least seven strikeouts in each start. He was sharp in his first three innings Thursday, retiring the first nine batters faced while punching out five. However, the Padres pushed across two runs on a pair of doubles in the fourth, and Luzardo unraveled from there. The 25-year-old lefty's ERA is up to 4.05 with a 1.35 WHIP and 78:20 K:BB. Luzardo is currently lined up for a friendlier matchup at home against the Royals in his next outing.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
97
Last 10 Games
97
Last 5 Games
95
How many pitches does Jesus Luzardo generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Jesus Luzardo generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-31%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .224 232 69 18 47 7 3 5
Since 2021vs Right .251 888 227 85 198 56 5 34
2023vs Left .200 57 20 1 11 1 1 1
2023vs Right .289 226 58 19 59 20 1 8
2022vs Left .203 71 24 6 13 1 0 2
2022vs Right .189 329 96 29 56 17 2 8
2021vs Left .253 104 25 11 23 5 2 2
2021vs Right .289 333 73 37 83 19 2 18
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-1%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-35%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-38%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-31%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 4.73 1.35 150.1 8 11 0 10.1 3.6 1.3
Since 2021Away 4.66 1.29 112.0 6 9 0 10.2 3.5 1.4
2023Home 3.35 1.19 40.1 1 2 0 10.5 3.1 0.9
2023Away 5.13 1.59 26.1 3 2 0 10.6 2.1 1.7
2022Home 4.25 1.23 42.1 2 5 0 10.4 2.8 0.9
2022Away 2.64 0.90 58.0 2 2 0 11.0 3.4 0.9
2021Home 5.85 1.52 67.2 5 4 0 9.7 4.4 1.9
2021Away 8.46 1.84 27.2 1 5 0 8.1 4.9 2.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jesus Luzardo compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.90
 
K/9
10.5
 
BB/9
2.7
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
96.8 mph
 
ERA
4.05
 
WHIP
1.35
 
BABIP
.357
 
GB/FB
0.91
 
Left On Base
76.2%
 
Exit Velocity
82.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.2%
 
Spin Rate
2220 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.2%
 
Swinging Strike
13.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Luzardo endured a brutal 2021 season between Oakland and Miami, but hope springs eternal with young arms this time of year. We're seeing that in camp with the 24-year-old lefty. Luzardo was up a couple ticks from last season in his March 22 Grapefruit League appearance, routinely touching 98-99 mph with his fastball, generating quite a bit of buzz on social media. He was once a big-time prospect and it's easy to dream on the upside if he gets on track with the Marlins, but Luzardo has dealt with a lot of health issues in his young career. He had Tommy John surgery before he was drafted, his 2019 was mostly wiped out by shoulder and lat trouble and he hurt his pinkie playing video games last year. Be realistic with workload expectations.
Luzardo tested positive for COVID-19 in July and worked out of the bullpen for the A's initially as he built up. He ended up making his first career start Aug. 4 and was up-and-down from there, turning in some clunkers but also flashing brilliance like he did in scoreless starts against Arizona and San Francisco. The lefty throws 95-96 mph with his four-seamer and sinker, and both his changeup and curveball had whiff rates of 45% per Statcast. His season ended in disappointing fashion with Luzardo serving up multiple homers in both postseason appearances (four in 7.2 innings). Luzardo has undergone Tommy John surgery and missed most of 2019 with a rotator cuff strain and subsequent Grade 2 lat strain, so there is considerable injury risk here. The play may be to wait to invest until 2022 since Luzardo still carries a lot of prospect shine and needs a season to build up before he can be a workhorse.
Luzardo seemed on track to make the Opening Day rotation before a rotator cuff strain and a subsequent Grade 2 lat strain wiped out much of his season. Including the playoffs, Luzardo logged 63.2 innings, so the top concern with him for 2020 is workload. It is unclear how the A's will manage his role throughout the season, but we shouldn't expect Luzardo to log much more than 100 innings in the big-league rotation. He threw his 83-mph curveball, 96-mph sinker, 87-mph changeup and 97-mph fourseam fastball all between 20 and 31 percent of the time, filling up the zone and effectively keeping hitters off balance. All four pitches have at least plus potential, especially when his command is on. He has the repertoire to improve upon his 42.3 GB% over a larger sample. Durability concerns will linger until the 6-foot southpaw proves he can handle a starter's workload, but Luzardo clearly has ace-level stuff.
The A’s jumped Luzardo over Low-A, assigned him to the Cal League and promoted him to Double-A after just three starts at High-A. It was around that point when he cemented his status as the best left-handed pitching prospect in the game. The foundation for his filthy three-pitch mix is a low-to-mid-90s fastball that he locates to both sides of the plate. Once ahead in the count, he sits hitters down with his plus changeup or above-average curveball. At 6-foot-1, 205 pounds, Luzardo doesn’t cut the figure of a typical ace, but has the combination of stuff, command and pitchability that is typically seen in frontline starters. He logged 109.1 innings in his first full season since undergoing Tommy John surgery, and should eclipse 150 innings if he stays relatively healthy. The A’s surprisingly called up Sean Manaea in late April of 2016 with just three starts at Triple-A under his belt, so we could see Luzardo in the big-league rotation pretty early this season.
It's not often that teams part with lefties with advanced pitchability who project to have at least two plus pitches, but that's exactly what the Nationals did in a mid-July trade that netted them Sean Doolittle and Ryan Madson while sending Luzardo, Sheldon Neuse and Blake Treinen to Oakland. Luzardo's fastball sits in the mid-90s and he boasts above-average command and a changeup that projects as a second plus offering. He fell to the 94th pick in the 2016 draft after undergoing Tommy John surgery less than two months before the draft. However, prior to the injury, he was seen as a first-round talent. Even if his curveball never becomes better than an average pitch, the package equates to a No. 3 starter. His 2017 production was outstanding, but he was working on strict pitch counts and his overall repertoire was way too advanced for most short-season hitters. Building up his workload and getting more consistent with his secondaries will be his directives for 2018. He could move extremely quickly once the training wheels come off in 2019.
More Fantasy News
Registers fourth win
PMiami Marlins
May 26, 2023
Luzardo (4-3) earned the win Friday, allowing one run on seven hits and one walk over five innings against the Angels. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Surrenders six runs in loss
PMiami Marlins
May 21, 2023
Luzardo (3-3) allowed six runs on six hits and a walk while striking out eight over five-plus innings, taking the loss Sunday versus the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Pitches well in no-decision
PMiami Marlins
May 16, 2023
Luzardo did not factor into the decision Tuesday, allowing a run on five hits and a walk over six innings against Washington. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Bounces back for third win
PMiami Marlins
May 9, 2023
Luzardo (3-2) allowed a run on seven hits and two walks while striking out five over six innings to earn the win Tuesday over the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Suffers second loss
PMiami Marlins
May 4, 2023
Luzardo (2-2) allowed four runs (three earned) on seven hits and three walks with five strikeouts in 5.2 innings, taking the loss versus Atlanta on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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