Joe Ryan

Joe Ryan

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Ryan showed his late season 2021 callup promise was not fluke as he had a strong rookie season with 13 wins and 3.55 ERA. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (91.5 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an above-average 9.2 K/9 and 12% swinging strike rate. As a fly-ball pitcher (27.7% GB%), home runs can be a worry (1.2 HR/9), but he limits the damage with a plus walk rate (2.88 BB/9). He missed three weeks with Covid-19 in late May/early June, but was otherwise healthy. He should provide a steady productive presence at the top of the Minnesota rotation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#146
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Rays in June of 2018. Traded to the Twins in July of 2021.
Stung by long ball in loss
PMinnesota Twins
May 31, 2023
Ryan (7-2) took the loss Tuesday against the Astros, allowing five runs on four hits and three walks while striking out six over four innings.
ANALYSIS
Ryan gave up two homers in the second frame, amounting to three runs for the Astros, and then surrendered a pair of runs in the third. He went fewer than five innings for the first time all year and gave up more than two earned runs for the first time since April 19. His three walks allowed were also his worst mark on the season thus far. Coming into Tuesday, Ryan had allowed just four home runs this year and had gone six straight starts without giving up a long ball. It was a bit of an uncharacteristic night for the 27-year-old, though he still managed to generate 14 whiffs. He now holds a 2.77 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 76:13 K:BB across 65 innings and will look to get back on track in a projected home start against the Guardians over the weekend.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2023
2022
2021
2020
2023 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2022 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
98
How many pitches does Joe Ryan generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Joe Ryan generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .195 479 99 38 85 17 2 13
Since 2021vs Right .217 486 157 27 98 25 0 17
2023vs Left .198 129 31 7 24 4 0 2
2023vs Right .226 132 44 6 28 5 0 4
2022vs Left .202 299 56 27 54 11 2 8
2022vs Right .219 305 95 20 61 17 0 12
2021vs Left .149 51 12 4 7 2 0 3
2021vs Right .188 49 18 1 9 3 0 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-8%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-76%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 3.25 1.02 121.2 11 5 0 10.1 2.7 1.0
Since 2021Away 3.54 1.06 117.0 11 6 0 9.3 2.2 1.2
2023Home 2.25 1.00 24.0 4 0 0 11.6 1.5 0.4
2023Away 3.07 1.00 41.0 3 2 0 9.9 2.0 1.1
2022Home 3.04 1.01 83.0 7 4 0 9.8 3.1 1.0
2022Away 4.22 1.22 64.0 6 4 0 8.6 2.5 1.5
2021Home 6.14 1.09 14.2 0 1 0 9.2 2.5 2.5
2021Away 1.50 0.42 12.0 2 0 0 11.3 0.8 0.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Joe Ryan compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
5.85
 
K/9
10.5
 
BB/9
1.8
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
92.6 mph
 
ERA
2.77
 
WHIP
1.00
 
BABIP
.300
 
GB/FB
0.91
 
Left On Base
76.0%
 
Exit Velocity
82.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.0%
 
Spin Rate
1938 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.9%
 
Swinging Strike
14.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Joe Ryan See More
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: More Nothing than Double
Yesterday
Todd Zola toes the rubber with his Weekly Pitcher Rankings for fantasy baseball, starting with Toronto's Kevin Gausman taking the mound twice at home against a pair of tough opponents.
Mound Musings: He's Got “Rhythm”
3 days ago
Brad Johnson focuses on a handful of pitchers who appear to have achieved rhythm even with the advent of the pitch timer, starting with Michael Kopech of the White Sox.
The Z Files: Would You Rather, Pitching Style
3 days ago
Todd Zola poses a series of questions regarding rest-of-season pitching expectations and finds that Joe Ryan has earned a great deal of trust.
MLB Bets Today: Picks, Odds & Predictions for Tuesday, May 30
5 days ago
Eric Timm lines up his best MLB bets for Tuesday's action on the diamond, including a look at the clash of AL contenders between the Astros and Twins.
Weekly Pitching Rankings: Checking in with Ratios
8 days ago
Todd Zola toes the rubber for the weekly pitcher rankings, including a two-start week for reigning NL Cy Young Award-winner Sandy Alcantara.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
As a minor-leaguer, Ryan had always logged very impressive statistics (career 2.67 ERA, 0.87 WHIP) thanks to an extremely deceptive 91-mph fourseam fastball he leaned on heavily (over 60% usage). The Rays opted to cash him out before he ever pitched in the majors, along with pitching prospect Drew Strotman, for 10 weeks of Nelson Cruz. The early returns suggest the Twins landed a long-term rotation anchor. He struck out more than five in only one of his five starts (11 K's against a very weak Cubs lineup), but Ryan was stingy with baserunners (13 in 22 IP) prior to a blowup outing in his final start of the year against the Tigers. There are dozens of pitching prospects with more exciting repertoires, but given the fact that Ryan has good command and is locked into a big-league rotation spot, he is arguably more valuable than all but a handful of pitchers who have yet to make their big-league debuts. The 25-year-old righty threw 92.2 innings last season, so look for him to be limited to around 150 frames this year.
A seventh-round pick in 2018, Ryan didn't get a chance to follow up on his breakout 2019 with another strong statistical season, but he might have been better served getting major-league instruction at the Rays' alternate training site. The 24-year-old right-hander has a plus fastball, strong command and a looping delivery that hitters have a hard time picking up, a package that was enough to dominate hitters in the low minors, but any hope of a future in the rotation would likely require a dramatic expansion of his arsenal. Working with better coaching last year might have helped unlock his embryonic curve, slider and changeup, however. Ryan might make his major-league debut in 2021 if he baffles Triple-A hitters the way he did A-ball opposition, but the repertoire he showed in 2019 could lead to early struggles.
Ryan led all qualified minor-league pitchers in FIP (1.91) and K-BB% (32.4) and finished second in strikeouts (183). Unfortunately, we can't point to a bevy of plus pitches and say that this breakout pitcher has frontline upside. He has one dominant pitch that he threw 75% of the time -- a 70-grade mid-90s fastball -- that is aided by a deceptive delivery and good command. His secondary pitches are so underdeveloped that we can't even say with confidence which offspeed pitches will be a part of his arsenal when he gets to the majors. Ryan's changeup probably has the most potential, but it is still in its nascent stages. He has tried several breaking balls, with his curveball showing the most potential. Ryan will return to Double-A and should reach Triple-A, but as a one-pitch flyball pitcher, his minor-league numbers greatly oversell his readiness to have success in a big-league rotation.
More Fantasy News
Picks up seventh win
PMinnesota Twins
May 24, 2023
Ryan (7-1) earned the win Wednesday, allowing one run on six hits and two walks over five innings during a 7-1 loss to the Giants. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Turns in solid outing
PMinnesota Twins
May 20, 2023
Ryan did not factor into the decision Friday, allowing three runs (two earned) on seven hits and one walk over six innings against the Angels. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Fans 10 in win over Cubs
PMinnesota Twins
May 14, 2023
Ryan (6-1) picked up the win in Saturday's 11-1 rout of the Cubs, scattering four hits and a walk over six scoreless innings. He struck out 10.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Takes loss despite quality start
PMinnesota Twins
May 7, 2023
Ryan (5-1) took the loss Sunday, allowing two runs on eight hits over six innings during a 2-0 loss to Cleveland. He struck out four and did not walk a batter.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Nearly unhittable over six frames
PMinnesota Twins
May 3, 2023
Ryan allowed no runs on just one hit and two walks while striking out seven over six innings Tuesday against the White Sox. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.