Jose Abreu

Jose Abreu

35-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Houston Astros
2023 Fantasy Outlook
At the end of last season, Abreu's fantasy managers were left wondering one thing: where did the power go? Abreu managed a mere four home runs after the All-Star break, slugging .414 in 67 games after the intermission. He hit only one homer in his final 55 games. It wasn't just the power -- Abreu's strikeout and walk rates both went in the wrong direction in the second half. So, was he simply pressing or is this the beginning of the cliff for Abreu? He will be 36 at the start of the 2023 season. He still had outstanding season-long marks in exit velocity and hard-hit rate, per Statcast, despite the late power outage. Father Time is undefeated, but Abreu seems like a strong bounce-back candidate given his glimmering track record of both performance and durability. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a three-year, $58.5 million contract with the Astros in November of 2022.
Bound for Houston
1BHouston Astros
November 28, 2022
Abreu and the Astros agreed Monday on a three-year contract, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports. The deal is worth around $60 million, according to Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle.
ANALYSIS
With Yuli Gurriel (knee) becoming a free agent this winter, the Astros will turn to another mid-30s veteran in Abreu to step in as their everyday first baseman in 2023. Though his numbers have tapered off a bit since his American League MVP-winning campaign during the pandemic-shortened 2020 season, Abreu remained a well above league-average performer at the dish in his final two years with the White Sox. Over 679 plate appearances in 2022, Abreu slashed .304/.378/.446 with 15 home runs, 75 RBI and 85 runs en route to finishing with a 137 wRC+. A return to the 30-plus home-run production he delivered during his peak years with Chicago may not be attainable as he enters the back half of his thirties, but Abreu could see his RBI and run totals climb while he's surrounded by a more talented collection of hitters in Houston.
Read More News
Batting Stats
Loading Batting Stats...
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
2018 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
2017 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Batting Game Log...
Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
43
78
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
14
22
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+23%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .922 341 58 19 64 0 .291 .370 .553
Since 2020vs Right .840 1250 156 45 188 1 .291 .366 .474
2022vs Left .857 137 23 4 17 0 .294 .387 .471
2022vs Right .816 542 62 11 58 0 .307 .376 .440
2021vs Left .969 153 28 11 30 0 .294 .366 .603
2021vs Right .788 506 58 19 87 1 .251 .346 .442
2020vs Left .950 51 7 4 17 0 .277 .333 .617
2020vs Right 1.026 202 36 15 43 0 .339 .386 .640
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+19%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .841 776 100 33 113 0 .275 .361 .480
Since 2020Away .873 810 114 31 136 1 .305 .372 .501
2022Home .751 337 39 7 28 0 .274 .353 .398
2022Away .897 342 46 8 47 0 .334 .404 .493
2021Home .894 326 45 18 63 0 .257 .368 .526
2021Away .772 333 41 12 54 1 .265 .333 .439
2020Home .957 113 16 8 22 0 .321 .363 .594
2020Away 1.057 135 27 11 35 0 .328 .385 .672
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jose Abreu compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.56
 
BB Rate
9.1%
 
K Rate
16.2%
 
BABIP
.350
 
ISO
.141
 
AVG
.304
 
OBP
.378
 
SLG
.446
 
OPS
.824
 
wOBA
.364
 
Exit Velocity
92.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.2%
 
Barrels/PA
6.9%
 
Expected BA
.296
 
Expected SLG
.486
 
Sprint Speed
21.9 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
47.9%
 
Line Drive %
20.4%
 
Fly Ball %
31.7%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
Loading Advanced Batting Stats...
Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
Loading Games Played by Position...
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Batted Ball Stats
Loading Batted Ball Stats...
Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jose Abreu
MLB Dynasty Rankings + 10 Rookies for 2023
8 days ago
James Anderson links to his fresh update to the dynasty rankings and profiles 10 rookies he is targeting for 2023, including top prospect Corbin Carroll.
2023 Fantasy Baseball Rankings - Way Too Early Top 300 Draft Ranks
42 days ago
James Anderson provides a way too early top 300 rankings for those who have the itch to start drafting for 2023.
MLB Bets at FanDuel Sportsbook Today: MLB Picks, Player Props and Parlays for October 5
57 days ago
Juan Blanco navigates the board at the FanDuel Sportsbook for the final day of the regular season and lines up his best MLB bets and player props.
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Targets
57 days ago
Chris Morgan looks over Wednesday's slate and notes that Shohei Ohtani adds some star power on the mound to the final day of the regular season.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Saturday Picks
61 days ago
Chris Morgan is picking plenty of offense from the Angels-Rangers matchup.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2012
After an MVP season in 2020, Abreu went back to being his normal, still-incredible self in 2021. He hit his 30 homers and contended for the league lead in RBI, finishing second behind Salvador Perez. His batting average was a career-low .261 due in large part to a career-low .293 BABIP. There is no major red flag here, but there are several small issues: a six-year high in his GB%; the second-highest Pull% of his career (i.e. hits into the shift more); his sprint speed and home-to-first times were his slowest in five years. It's tough to project any improvement as he enters his age-35 season. The hope will be that he simply maintains and doesn't fall off a cliff. All of his power metrics stayed constant. His walk and strikeout rates were career bests. It should just be more of the same from this middle-of-the-order power bat, though his batting average may end up closer to .250 than .300.
Abreu has been a very consistent run producer in his time with the South Siders. Outside of his injury-impacted 2018 season, he has always hit for a high average and driven in plenty of runs, and 2020 was no different. Abreu earned American League MVP honors after leading a resurgent White Sox lineup, driving in a run per game with either career-best numbers or pacing toward career best levels nearly across the board. His Statcast measures show elite level rankings in exit velocity, barrels, hard-hit rate and all of the expected stats. There is value in the consistency which Abreu brings to the table, but now that consistency is coming on the heels of a huge year. He will once again anchor a talented Chicago lineup, hit his homers and drive in plenty of runs, but there will zero discount on Abreu in 2021, so plan accordingly. He should be viewed as an offensive foundation to build your team around.
Abreu has been an underrated model of consistency through his first six seasons in the majors, playing at least 145 games and batting at least .280 with 25-plus home runs and 100-plus RBI in all but one of those years. Thanks in part to good health and breakouts from Tim Anderson and Yoan Moncada, Abreu established a new career high with 123 RBI, making him the surprise AL leader in the category. Though the 33-year-old Abreu has now reached the point where power-oriented first base/DH types often begin to tail off, his 2019 batting profile doesn't sound any major alarms. His walk (5.2%) and strikeout (21.9%) rates were roughly in line with his career marks, and his hard-hit (40.7%) and barrel (12.8%) rates were actually personal highs. After reupping with the Pale Hose on a three-year deal this offseason, Abreu should be a good bet to once again finish as a top-10 fantasy first baseman.
In mid-August, Abreu appeared primed to make history as just the third player ever to hit 25 homers and drive in 100 runs in five consecutive seasons to begin his big-league career (joining Albert Pujols and Joe DiMaggio). Unfortunately, a lower-abdominal/groin issue required surgery and he only made it back for six games in September before a thigh infection put him right back on the shelf. While he didn't quite reach those lofty thresholds, Abreu still had a solid season by any standard. It wasn't quite what we'd seen from Abreu in the past -- his 114 wRC+ was a career low and he lost close to 40 points of batting average -- but the production was still plenty valuable. The strikeout rate ticked up a little and it's probably unwise to expect Abreu to get back to .300, but he should still be an easy plus in that category and three others. First base as a whole fell off in 2018 and Abreu is a clear top-10 option at the position.
When the White Sox signed Abreu as an international free agent before the 2014 season, their expectation was that they had found a steady middle-of-the-order run producer to anchor their lineup for years to come. Through four seasons, he's lived up to the hype, but his 2017 campaign was his best since his debut, as he eclipsed the .900 OPS mark for the second time in his career. Across the board, he nearly matched his career slash line (.301/.359/.524), with a slight increase in his slugging percentage (.552) thanks to 33 homers and a career-high 43 doubles. In addition to driving in 100 runs for the fourth time in his career, Abreu scored a career-best 95 runs on a team that ranked in the bottom-third of the category. As the rebuilding effort continues on the south side of Chicago, Abreu will remain a cornerstone in the lineup. Another .300, 30-homer, 100-RBI season should be within reach, but he's more likely to score 80 runs than 100.
After three seasons, Abreu's name feels as if it has more value than his actual numbers. His 2014 season was outstanding, and 2015 was pretty good as well, but 2016 feels like a disappointment. Sure, he drove in 100 runs, taking advantage of the opportunities provided to him and hit .293. Yet, in a year where many were hitting 20-plus homers, Abreu hit 25 despite missing only three games all year. His Isolated Power and HR/FB ratio has declined each season he has been in the majors. His GB/FB rate has always been high, but he got away with it when he was hitting one out of every four or five flyballs out of the yard. Last season, that fell to one in every six flyballs which caps his power upside. All the pieces are there, but he has to get more distance on his batted balls to get back to the 30-homer plateau.
With a 30-home run, 101-RBI campaign in 2015, Abreu joined Albert Pujols as the only players to hit at least 30 home runs and accumulate 100 RBI in each of their first two seasons. Of course, Abreu was 27 when he made his major league debut and Pujols was 21, but the feat emphasizes the fact that Abreu landed stateside as an elite hitter in his prime. Abreu was consistent all season long, generally hitting five home runs per month and batting somewhere between .274 and .304. He struggled against lefties in 2015 (.658 OPS), but that split was 1.098 in 2014. So while perhaps a vulnerability was indeed exposed, we can still expect a slight rebound in 2016. Heading into 2016, he profiles as the team’s starting first baseman and No. 3 hitter, and as 2015 proved, he can still put up stats without a stellar supporting cast.
Things could not have gone much better for Abreu in his first MLB season. The Cuban expat entered the year with some questions about whether his swing would hold up to advanced pitching, but Abreu displayed an advanced work ethic that made the transition nearly seamless. He raced to 29 home runs before making the AL All-Star squad, and finished his Rookie of the Year campaign leading the majors with a .581 slugging percentage. He proved himself to be more than just a slugger in the second half, hitting .350 after the break. He swings more than you would like and misses more than he should, so it would not be a surprise to see his average suffer a bit in 2015 if he can not sustain his .356 BABIP. However, his power should continue to rank him in the upper echelon of AL first basemen in 2015, and he should have a spot in the heart of the White Sox's order for several years to come.
Abreu enters 2014 as one of the bigger mysteries of the season. The newest Cuban superstar to make the trek to MLB is a bit different than the other recent players to defect. He is less athletic than Yasiel Puig and Yoenis Cespedes, and he is also quite a bit older than Puig and a year older than Cespedes was upon his arrival two seasons ago. However, Abreu does come to the states with more alleged raw power. He hit 37 home runs in back-to-back Cuban seasons, and he hit .342/.457/.621 over 799 career games in that league. The scouting reports vary in terms of how those numbers will translate to the big leagues, and some question how he will fare against major league breaking balls. He excelled in the 2013 World Baseball Classic with three home runs and a 1.145 OPS in 25 at-bats. The variance on his projections will likely be great, but he should be projected to start at first and bat somewhere in the middle-third of the White Sox's lineup.
Abreu set the single-season mark for home runs at 33 in 2010-11 in the Serie Nationale - the top professional league in Cuba - and was named the league's MVP
More Fantasy News
Set to sit Wednesday
1BChicago White Sox
October 4, 2022
Interim manager Miguel Cairo said Abreu won't start Wednesday's season finale against the Twins, James Fegan of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Absent from Saturday's lineup
1BChicago White Sox
October 1, 2022
Abreu isn't starting Saturday against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Rare day off Sunday
1BChicago White Sox
September 25, 2022
Abreu is not in Sunday's lineup against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Two more RBI
1BChicago White Sox
September 16, 2022
Abreu went 1-for-4 with a double and two RBI on Friday against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Drives in pair
1BChicago White Sox
September 15, 2022
Abreu went 3-for-5 with a double and two RBI on Thursday against the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.