Jose Berrios
30-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
15-9
ERA
3.52
WHIP
1.15
K
139
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Berrios put together an impressive bounce-back campaign, shaving more than a run and a half off his ERA after he finished with the worst ERA among qualified starters in 2022. He bumped his strikeout rate back up to 23.5% -- modest, but a big improvement on the previous year and much more in line with his career norms. Berrios offers up four pitches to opposing hitters -- sinker, slurve, four-seamer, changeup -- and he's willing to challenge within the zone even if he doesn't win every battle. It was nice to see that his struggles in 2022 didn't affect his confidence too much, as his walk rate remained low at 6.6%. We've seen what the downside looks like with Berrios, but he has eight years of starting experience at this point and his track record is that of a viable mid-rotation starter. There may still be a buy-low window in fantasy as the memory of his disastrous 2022 lingers. Read Past Outlooks
Another strong outing in 15th win
Berrios (15-9) picked up the win over Atlanta on Saturday, allowing one run on five hits and one walk over six innings while striking out five.
ANALYSIS
Berrios was efficient throughout his time on the mound, allowing just two hits and a walk through the first four innings before surrendering an RBI single to Michael Harris in the bottom of the fifth. That would be the only run he'd allow in the contest while going on to log his sixth consecutive quality start. The right-hander has also won each of his last six starts, posting a 36:6 K:BB over that stretch. His 15 wins on the campaign have him tied for third in the majors with Seth Lugo.
Berrios was efficient throughout his time on the mound, allowing just two hits and a walk through the first four innings before surrendering an RBI single to Michael Harris in the bottom of the fifth. That would be the only run he'd allow in the contest while going on to log his sixth consecutive quality start. The right-hander has also won each of his last six starts, posting a 36:6 K:BB over that stretch. His 15 wins on the campaign have him tied for third in the majors with Seth Lugo.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
86
How many pitches does Jose Berrios generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Jose Berrios generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-17%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .259 | 241 | 88 | 280 | 53 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .251 | 231 | 57 | 246 | 29 | |||
2024vs Left | .215 | 76 | 33 | 75 | 17 | |||
2024vs Right | .259 | 63 | 15 | 79 | 11 | |||
2023vs Left | .261 | 97 | 31 | 97 | 16 | |||
2023vs Right | .220 | 87 | 21 | 76 | 9 | |||
2022vs Left | .298 | 68 | 24 | 108 | 20 | |||
2022vs Right | .276 | 81 | 21 | 91 | 9 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-27%
ERA at Home
2024
-32%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.47 | 1.19 | 264.2 | 8.4 | 2.3 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.74 | 1.30 | 273.1 | 7.4 | 2.5 | ||||
2024Home | 2.81 | 1.08 | 83.1 | 6.9 | 2.5 | ||||
2024Away | 4.16 | 1.20 | 93.0 | 7.3 | 2.4 | ||||
2023Home | 3.30 | 1.17 | 90.0 | 9.3 | 2.3 | ||||
2023Away | 3.97 | 1.20 | 99.2 | 8.2 | 2.6 | ||||
2022Home | 4.24 | 1.32 | 91.1 | 8.8 | 2.3 | ||||
2022Away | 6.36 | 1.52 | 80.2 | 6.7 | 2.5 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Jose Berrios compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.90K/9
7.1BB/9
2.4HR/9
1.4Fastball
93.8 mphERA
3.52WHIP
1.15BABIP
.260GB/FB
1.36Left On Base
80.5%Exit Velocity
83.1 mphBarrels/BBE
4.9%Spin Rate
2057 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
28.2%Swinging Strike
8.9%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jose Berrios See More
Mr. Consistency, Zack Wheeler, is a top-five fantasy pitcher for the week of September 9 to September 15, according to Tood Zola's rankings.
Jose Berrios has posted between 24.5 and 29.6 DraftKings points in each of his last five starts. He's a great option for Saturday DraftKings MLB DFS contests.
Monday's PrizePicks include Juan Soto with more than 0.5 walks and his excellent eye at the plate has helped him to a 18.5 percent walk rate this season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Considering Berrios was a top-75 pick in most leagues, he goes down as one of the biggest busts of the season. Few predicted a sizable step forward, but even fewer predicted the kind of collapse we saw as Berrios had the worst ERA and WHIP among qualified starters. Despite that, he still had a winning record at 12-7 which speaks to the talent around him in Toronto. The right-hander's strikeout rate plummeted as he allowed a ton of contact in the zone, and while the estimators suggest he was a little unlucky on account of a high BABIP, Berrios mostly deserved his batted-ball luck. His HardHit% and xwOBACON marks ranked in the bottom 15% of the league, per Statcast, not to mention he allowed 29 homers (fourth most in MLB). After his first partial season with the team in 2021, the Blue Jays bet big on Berrios in the form of a seven-year, $131 million contract extension. They will give him a long leash to get back to the form he showed over the five seasons prior to 2022.
More Fantasy News
Dominant despite illness
Berrios (14-9) earned the win over Minnesota on Saturday, allowing three hits and one walk while striking out five batters over six scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Throws 7.2 innings in win
Berrios (13-9) allowed three runs (two earned) on eight hits over 7.2 innings Monday, striking out six and earning a win over the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Wins third straight
Berrios (12-9) earned the win Tuesday over the Reds, allowing two runs on six hits and two walks over seven innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Nabs 11th win
Berrios (11-9) picked up the win over the Angels on Wednesday, allowing one run on two hits and one walk over seven innings while striking out five.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out eight in win
Berrios (10-9) earned the win against the Athletics on Friday, allowing one run on six hits and one walk with eight strikeouts over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Strong month recognized
Berrios was named the American League Pitcher of the Month for March/April on Friday.
ANALYSIS
The honor is well deserved for the 29-year-old right-hander, who made seven starts and posted a 1.44 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 31:13 K:BB across 43.2 innings. Berrios also has a 4-2 record, which puts him well on pace to shatter the career high of 14 wins he set in both 2017 and 2019.
The honor is well deserved for the 29-year-old right-hander, who made seven starts and posted a 1.44 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 31:13 K:BB across 43.2 innings. Berrios also has a 4-2 record, which puts him well on pace to shatter the career high of 14 wins he set in both 2017 and 2019.