Julio Rodriguez

Julio Rodriguez

22-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Seattle Mariners
2023 Fantasy Outlook
A strong spring from Rodriguez forced Seattle to break camp with him as their centerfielder. He did not disappoint, capturing the AL Rookie of the Year award. Rodriguez's season could have been even better as he improved over the second half, but wrist and back issues limited him to 41 games after the break. Rodriguez's exit velocity, hard-hit rate, barrel percentage and speed were all at least 90th percentile. His 25.9 percent strikeout rate and 7.1 percent walk rate could use some work, but that should come as the 22-year-old continues to develop. While it's fair to point out Rodriguez swiped 21 bags in his first 82 games but then stole only four bases in his final 52 contests, playing hurt could have slowed him down as he initially jammed his wrist sliding, so he may have just been cautious the rest of the season. Rodriguez merits top-five overall consideration, with a salient argument for him to be the first player off the board. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed an eight-year, $120 million contract with the Mariners in August of 2022. Contract includes an seven-year, $105 million team option starting in 2029, which turns into a five-year, $90 million player option if declined.
Brings home AL Rookie of the Year
OFSeattle Mariners
Finger
November 14, 2022
Rodriguez (finger) was named the 2022 American League Jackie Robinson Rookie of the Year on Monday.
ANALYSIS
This announcement comes as no surprise to anyone who watched Rodriguez dominate throughout the 2022 season. He finished with 29 first-place votes and one second-place vote, as Adley Rutschman was the only other rookie to receive a first-place vote. Rodriguez slashed .284/.345/.509 with 28 home runs, 75 RBI, 25 stolen bases (in 32 chances) and 84 runs scored in 132 contests. During a call with media Monday, Rodriguez noted that his finger is feeling better and he began workouts three days ago, per Shannon Drayer of Seattle Sports 710 AM.
Read More News
Batting Stats
Loading Batting Stats...
2022
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Batting Game Log...
Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
42
7
18
6
1
9
11
5
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
16
1
6
2
1
1
2
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+3%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+3%
OPS vs RHP
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .831 135 19 7 18 3 .275 .356 .475
Since 2020vs Right .860 425 65 21 57 22 .286 .341 .519
2022vs Left .831 135 19 7 18 3 .275 .356 .475
2022vs Right .860 425 65 21 57 22 .286 .341 .519
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .892 262 39 15 38 10 .285 .344 .548
Since 2020Away .820 298 45 13 37 15 .283 .346 .474
2022Home .892 262 39 15 38 10 .285 .344 .548
2022Away .820 298 45 13 37 15 .283 .346 .474
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Julio Rodriguez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.28
 
BB Rate
7.1%
 
K Rate
25.9%
 
BABIP
.345
 
ISO
.225
 
AVG
.284
 
OBP
.345
 
SLG
.509
 
OPS
.853
 
wOBA
.369
 
Exit Velocity
92.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
34.4%
 
Barrels/PA
8.6%
 
Expected BA
.254
 
Expected SLG
.460
 
Sprint Speed
25.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
46.0%
 
Line Drive %
18.3%
 
Fly Ball %
35.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
Loading Advanced Batting Stats...
Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
Loading Games Played by Position...
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Batted Ball Stats
Loading Batted Ball Stats...
Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Julio Rodriguez See More
MLB Roundtable Rankings: 2023 Fantasy Baseball Top 300
4 days ago
From Trea Turner to Spencer Torkelson, RotoWire's Roundtable Rankings crew offers their combined top 300 fantasy baseball rankings.
Todd's Takes: Putting a Bow on the Moves
11 days ago
Todd Zola tackles the remainder of the winter's most fantasy-relevant moves, including the swap which sent Pablo Lopez to Minnesota and Luis Arraez to Miami.
Collette Calls: 2023 NL East Bold Predictions
12 days ago
Jason Collette offers 10 bold predictions about the NL East, giving the case against Michael Harris and the case for Jorge Soler.
Top 400 MLB Prospect Rankings
18 days ago
James Anderson answers over 60 listener questions regarding his 2023 top 400 prospect rankings, in which Arizona's Corbin Carroll retains the No. 1 overall spot.
Collette Calls: 2023 AL East Bold Predictions
19 days ago
Jason Collette shares his bravest takes on 10 AL East players, including arguments for buying Brandon Lowe and passing on Carlos Rodon.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
There have been good No. 1 overall prospects and great ones. Rodriguez falls into the latter camp. He passes the eye test and his statistics measure up. Young for every level he has played at, Rodriguez's worst showing was a 145 wRC+ and .293/.359/.490 slash line as an 18-year-old at Low-A in 2019. He has a patient approach and thunder in his bat to all fields. His speed and aggressiveness on the bases has ticked up to the point that he comfortably projects to steal double-digit bags. The only thing to nitpick is Rodriguez's 54.5 GB% at Double-A, but given that he was 20 years old and still slugged .546 at that level, it would be shortsighted to focus on that. Seattle brazenly prevented him from climbing too high last season by initially sending him to High-A -- a level he excelled at back in 2019 -- so we shouldn't expect them to promote him to the majors when he earns the call. That makes him a volatile option for redraft leagues and draft-and-holds, as he could realistically debut in April, May, June or July, and if he gets hurt early in the year, a 2022 debut isn't assured. In dynasty leagues, however, he is a blue chipper to build around.
In 2019, Rodriguez established himself as a top five prospect for dynasty leagues, but 2020 was a bit of a lost season. On a rebuilding team and with zero experience above High-A, he wasn't going to debut in a 60-game season, but he also suffered a hairline fracture in his left wrist that prevented him from doing much at the alternate site. However, once the fall instructional league began, Rodriguez reminded everyone why he is the top prospect in a burgeoning Mariners system and a top three prospect in baseball. He routinely posted exit velocities north of 110 mph, which is elite, and particularly impressive for a 19-year-old who was returning from a wrist injury. Rodriguez played in the Dominican winter league and should spend the bulk of spring training in big-league camp. He projects as a huge plus in AVG, OBP and HR while adding 8-12 steals. An MLB debut this summer is possible if he forces the issue.
For Rodriguez, the normal rules do not apply. He went from the Dominican Summer League in 2018 straight to the Midwest League in 2019. That never happens. A 6-foot-4 18-year-old up against men who were 3.5 years older on average, he logged a 145 wRC+ and .198 ISO before getting promoted to High-A. He was somehow better there, cutting his K% from 22.4 to 13.9 while doing even more damage (.277 ISO). His 40.0 Hard% between the two stops put him in the company of Quad-A hitters using the juiced ball in the Pacific Coast League. As the youngest hitter in the Arizona Fall League, he hit .288/.397/.365 with a 10:8 K:BB and made a point of putting his surprising speed to work, going 4-for-5 on stolen-base attempts. While the other top AFL hitters focused on pulling the ball out in batting practice, he was hitting home runs to the opposite field with ease. A true phenom, Rodriguez is on the fast track to stardom.
The 2017 July 2 international signing class appears to be one of the better ones in recent years, and Rodriguez is a big reason why. A 6-foot-3, 180-pound right fielder with a fantasy-over-reality profile, he received a $1.75 million bonus on the strength of his monster raw power and potential for a plus hit tool. That upside was on full display in the Dominican Summer League, where he logged a 161 wRC+, .210 ISO, 11.8 BB% and 15.7 K%. A right-handed hitter, he obviously mashed lefties (1.005 OPS), but his .899 OPS against same-handed pitchers suggests he could be an everyday player. It is dangerous to get too caught up in DSL statistics, as the quality of competition is extremely low -- Rodriguez was 17 and wasn't even one of the 15 youngest hitters in the league. However, he confirmed the scouting report in his pro debut, meaning he has already been scooped up in serious dynasty leagues that allow in-season pickups.
More Fantasy News
Dealing with fractured fingertip
OFSeattle Mariners
Finger
October 19, 2022
GM Jerry Dipoto revealed Wednesday that Rodriguez finished the season playing through a fractured fingertip, Shannon Drayer of Seattle Sports 710 AM reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Leads off with homer
OFSeattle Mariners
October 6, 2022
Rodriguez went 1-for-2 with a solo home run in Wednesday's victory over Detroit.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Out of Game 1 lineup Tuesday
OFSeattle Mariners
October 4, 2022
Rodriguez is not in the lineup for Game 1 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Three hits in return
OFSeattle Mariners
October 4, 2022
Rodriguez (back), reinstated from the 10-day injured list earlier in the day, went 3-for-4 with an RBI double and a run in a loss to the Tigers on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Leading off Monday
OFSeattle Mariners
October 3, 2022
Rodriguez (back) was reinstated from the 10-day injured list and is leading off during Monday's game against the Tigers, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.