Julio Rodriguez

22-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Seattle Mariners

2022 Stats

AVG

.284

RBI

2023 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

A strong spring from Rodriguez forced Seattle to break camp with him as their centerfielder. He did not disappoint, capturing the AL Rookie of the Year award. Rodriguez's season could have been even better as he improved over the second half, but wrist and back issues limited him to 41 games after the break. Rodriguez's exit velocity, hard-hit rate, barrel percentage and speed were all at least 90th percentile. His 25.9 percent strikeout rate and 7.1 percent walk rate could use some work, but that should come as the 22-year-old continues to develop. While it's fair to point out Rodriguez swiped 21 bags in his first 82 games but then stole only four bases in his final 52 contests, playing hurt could have slowed him down as he initially jammed his wrist sliding, so he may have just been cautious the rest of the season. Rodriguez merits top-five overall consideration, with a salient argument for him to be the first player off the board. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 228

DOB 12/29/2000

Born Loma de Cabrera, DR

College None

Drafted 2017 SEA

Brings home AL Rookie of the Year

OFSeattle Mariners

Finger

November 14, 2022

Rodriguez (finger) was named the 2022 American League Jackie Robinson Rookie of the Year on Monday.

ANALYSIS
This announcement comes as no surprise to anyone who watched Rodriguez dominate throughout the 2022 season. He finished with 29 first-place votes and one second-place vote, as Adley Rutschman was the only other rookie to receive a first-place vote. Rodriguez slashed .284/.345/.509 with 28 home runs, 75 RBI, 25 stolen bases (in 32 chances) and 84 runs scored in 132 contests. During a call with media Monday, Rodriguez noted that his finger is feeling better and he began workouts three days ago, per Shannon Drayer of Seattle Sports 710 AM.

Read More News

Batting Stats

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2022

2020

2022 MLB Game Log

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Scoring

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2020

+3%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+3%

OPS vs RHP

2021

No Stats

2020

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020vs Left	.831	135	19	7	18	3	.275	.356	.475
Since 2020vs Right	.860	425	65	21	57	22	.286	.341	.519
2022vs Left	.831	135	19	7	18	3	.275	.356	.475
2022vs Right	.860	425	65	21	57	22	.286	.341	.519
2021vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2020

+9%

OPS at Home

2022

+9%

OPS at Home

2021

No Stats

2020

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020Home	.892	262	39	15	38	10	.285	.344	.548
Since 2020Away	.820	298	45	13	37	15	.283	.346	.474
2022Home	.892	262	39	15	38	10	.285	.344	.548
2022Away	.820	298	45	13	37	15	.283	.346	.474
2021Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Stat Review

How does Julio Rodriguez compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.28

BB Rate

7.1%

K Rate

25.9%

BABIP

.345

ISO

.225

AVG

.284

OBP

.345

SLG

.509

OPS

.853

wOBA

.369

Exit Velocity

92.0 mph

Hard Hit Rate

34.4%

Barrels/PA

8.6%

Expected BA

.254

Expected SLG

.460

Sprint Speed

25.2 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

46.0%

Line Drive %

18.3%

Fly Ball %

35.7%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Julio Rodriguez Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Julio Rodriguez See More

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Collette Calls: 2023 AL East Bold Predictions

19 days ago

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

There have been good No. 1 overall prospects and great ones. Rodriguez falls into the latter camp. He passes the eye test and his statistics measure up. Young for every level he has played at, Rodriguez's worst showing was a 145 wRC+ and .293/.359/.490 slash line as an 18-year-old at Low-A in 2019. He has a patient approach and thunder in his bat to all fields. His speed and aggressiveness on the bases has ticked up to the point that he comfortably projects to steal double-digit bags. The only thing to nitpick is Rodriguez's 54.5 GB% at Double-A, but given that he was 20 years old and still slugged .546 at that level, it would be shortsighted to focus on that. Seattle brazenly prevented him from climbing too high last season by initially sending him to High-A -- a level he excelled at back in 2019 -- so we shouldn't expect them to promote him to the majors when he earns the call. That makes him a volatile option for redraft leagues and draft-and-holds, as he could realistically debut in April, May, June or July, and if he gets hurt early in the year, a 2022 debut isn't assured. In dynasty leagues, however, he is a blue chipper to build around.

In 2019, Rodriguez established himself as a top five prospect for dynasty leagues, but 2020 was a bit of a lost season. On a rebuilding team and with zero experience above High-A, he wasn't going to debut in a 60-game season, but he also suffered a hairline fracture in his left wrist that prevented him from doing much at the alternate site. However, once the fall instructional league began, Rodriguez reminded everyone why he is the top prospect in a burgeoning Mariners system and a top three prospect in baseball. He routinely posted exit velocities north of 110 mph, which is elite, and particularly impressive for a 19-year-old who was returning from a wrist injury. Rodriguez played in the Dominican winter league and should spend the bulk of spring training in big-league camp. He projects as a huge plus in AVG, OBP and HR while adding 8-12 steals. An MLB debut this summer is possible if he forces the issue.

For Rodriguez, the normal rules do not apply. He went from the Dominican Summer League in 2018 straight to the Midwest League in 2019. That never happens. A 6-foot-4 18-year-old up against men who were 3.5 years older on average, he logged a 145 wRC+ and .198 ISO before getting promoted to High-A. He was somehow better there, cutting his K% from 22.4 to 13.9 while doing even more damage (.277 ISO). His 40.0 Hard% between the two stops put him in the company of Quad-A hitters using the juiced ball in the Pacific Coast League. As the youngest hitter in the Arizona Fall League, he hit .288/.397/.365 with a 10:8 K:BB and made a point of putting his surprising speed to work, going 4-for-5 on stolen-base attempts. While the other top AFL hitters focused on pulling the ball out in batting practice, he was hitting home runs to the opposite field with ease. A true phenom, Rodriguez is on the fast track to stardom.

The 2017 July 2 international signing class appears to be one of the better ones in recent years, and Rodriguez is a big reason why. A 6-foot-3, 180-pound right fielder with a fantasy-over-reality profile, he received a $1.75 million bonus on the strength of his monster raw power and potential for a plus hit tool. That upside was on full display in the Dominican Summer League, where he logged a 161 wRC+, .210 ISO, 11.8 BB% and 15.7 K%. A right-handed hitter, he obviously mashed lefties (1.005 OPS), but his .899 OPS against same-handed pitchers suggests he could be an everyday player. It is dangerous to get too caught up in DSL statistics, as the quality of competition is extremely low -- Rodriguez was 17 and wasn't even one of the 15 youngest hitters in the league. However, he confirmed the scouting report in his pro debut, meaning he has already been scooped up in serious dynasty leagues that allow in-season pickups.

More Fantasy News

Dealing with fractured fingertip

OFSeattle Mariners

Finger

October 19, 2022

GM Jerry Dipoto revealed Wednesday that Rodriguez finished the season playing through a fractured fingertip, Shannon Drayer of Seattle Sports 710 AM reports.