Kris Bubic

Kris Bubic

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Kansas City Royals
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 6/26/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Coming off a career high 27 starts in 2022, Bubic made just three starts with the Royals in 2023, compiling a 3.94 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and striking out a batter-per-inning before injury struck. The left-hander underwent Tommy John surgery in late April making him unlikely to return in any capacity until the All-Star break. A return to the rotation has been muddied by the signings of Seth Lugo and Michael Wacha, but Bubic did agree to a one-year, $2.35 million contract in December meaning he's in the Royals' plans. A wait and see approach is probably best for fantasy managers in 2024. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#362
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.35 million contract with the Royals in December of 2023.
Completes 10th rehab start
PKansas City Royals
Elbow
June 18, 2024
Bubic (elbow) made his most recent rehab start Friday with Triple-A Omaha, working four innings while striking out three and allowing two runs on four hits and three walks.
ANALYSIS
The outing was Bubic's fourth with Omaha and the 10th overall of his rehab assignment, which has now been extended another 10 days on two occasions after he exhausted his initial 30-day rehab window. His second 10-day extension period will come to an end June 26, at which point the Royals are likely to activate Bubic from the 60-day injured list. Kansas City doesn't seem to have a spot available in its rotation for Bubic at the moment, so he'll presumably be optioned to Omaha once activated. Bubic has posted a 2.16 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 15:6 K:BB in 16.2 innings through his first four starts with Omaha.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-42%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-23%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .355 146 22 17 44 7 1 6
Since 2022vs Right .290 509 104 48 131 26 0 13
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .182 12 4 0 2 0 0 0
2023vs Right .315 56 12 2 17 3 0 1
2022vs Left .372 134 18 17 42 7 1 6
2022vs Right .287 453 92 46 114 23 0 12
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-16%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-7%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 5.86 1.71 73.2 1 8 0 7.1 4.3 1.0
Since 2022Away 4.92 1.60 71.1 2 7 0 8.6 3.8 1.4
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 6.30 1.90 10.0 0 2 0 6.3 1.8 0.9
2023Away 0.00 0.33 6.0 0 0 0 13.5 0.0 0.0
2022Home 5.80 1.68 63.2 1 6 0 7.2 4.7 1.0
2022Away 5.37 1.71 65.1 2 7 0 8.1 4.1 1.5
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Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kris Bubic See More
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the AL Central
115 days ago
Brad Johnson looks at the American League Central, and in Cleveland, he's been won over by Shane Bieber, whose once rather-average stuff has improved significantly.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
307 days ago
Another week, another round of under-the-radar up-and-comers from Jesse Siegel.
DraftKings MLB: Monday Breakdown
April 17, 2023
Dan Marcus is paying up for Jacob deGrom to lead his Monday DraftKings lineups.
MLB: Four Pitchers Showing Skills Changes
April 14, 2023
Corbin Young breaks down four pitchers who are showing new skills in 2023, including Pablo Lopez, who's added a sweeper to great effect.
Todd's Takes: Boomer and Lucky Lefties
April 13, 2023
Todd Zola discusses slides and platoon splits before sharing his observations from Wednesday's box scores, which included another game-winning homer from Nolan Gorman.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could be out of rotation
PKansas City Royals
September 3, 2021
Bubic pitched two innings of relief Thursday against Cleveland and appears to have been removed from Kansas City's rotation.
ANALYSIS
Jackson Kowar's call-up gives the Royals five healthy rotation options besides Bubic, who's struggled with a 5.16 ERA and 91:52 K:BB in 99.1 innings this season. The lefty had made eight relief appearances prior to Thursday, so the bullpen isn't entirely unfamiliar to him. That said, Bubic figures to pitch in only low-leverage situations and thus has minimal fantasy value going forward unless he rejoins the rotation at some point.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Bubic's 2022 was ugly, there's no questioning that. To an extent, there's some reason to be encouraged, as his .352 BABIP was unusually high and his 4.77 FIP suggests his 5.58 ERA was a bit unlucky. Still, the under-the-surface numbers don't paint a great picture, and it all comes back to one of the worst walk rates in the majors. His 4.4 BB/9 was the worst of his career, but he's never kept it under 4.0 in a single season. Bubic's fastball was up to nearly 92 mph last year, but the increase in velocity strangely led to worse results -- hitters batted .348 and slugged .587 off the pitch he threw 50.5 percent of the time last year. Bad luck aside, a change in pitching coach could help Bubic, but the 25-year-old has yet to iron out the flaws in his game that would allow him to at least hover around league-average.
The Royals system is stocked with promising young arms. While Bubic sits a bit down the pecking order, he received a head start with an accelerated 2020 debut straight out of High-A. The lefty took a small step back last season with a lower K% and higher BB%. However, neither change is cause for concern, especially since he's just 24 years old with 180 major league frames under his belt. With the requisite sample size caveat in tow, it's always encouraging when a young pitcher exhibits second half improvement and Bubic's K% jumped three ticks over the final two months. As intimated, Bubic doesn't have the prospect pedigree of others, but he can develop into a fantasy-worthy innings compiler. At his age, there is always the chance for improvement, but a 90-mph fastball does not portend emerging dominance.
While Bubic's 2020 stats do little to excite, we have to remember he was making the jump from High-A after the Royals took him with the 40th overall pick in the 2018 draft. Bubic had a 2.30 ERA across 101.2 innings at High-A Wilmington in 2019, backed up by a strong 21.2 K-BB% and 0.27 HR/9. The dramatic jump in competition proved difficult for the lefty, as evidenced by the 1-6 record and 1.48 WHIP, but he showed flashes in September in what were ultimately losses to the White Sox and Brewers. Still just 23 years old, Bubic could probably use a bit more seasoning after his arrival was expedited last season. The Royals are suddenly looking to compete and may indeed push Bubic back to the farm to start 2021. He currently lacks a true put-away pitch, but the AL Central is ripe for the picking. If he's getting starts, Bubic will immediately become a bench/streaming candidate, albeit a risky one.
Leading MiLB in strikeouts is hardly a feat that portends greatness, but there are some big hits (Brandon Woodruff in 2016, Jose Berrios in 2015) mixed in with the duds (Dean Kremer in 2018, Alec Hansen in 2017, Taylor Cole in 2014). Bubic joined this club by fanning 185 in 149.1 innings across stops at Low-A and High-A in his age-21 season. A 6-foot-3, 220-pound lefty with a low-90s fastball, plus changeup and average curveball, Bubic projects as more of a No. 4 or No. 5 starter long term. That said, any big southpaw with good command and a plus changeup has a chance to beat projections, and we won't learn a lot about his future prospects until we see how he handles Double-A and Triple-A. Bubic is part of a hoard of quality Royals pitching prospects with ETAs of 2021. His home park makes him more appealing than he would otherwise be, and if his breaking ball improves, he could develop into a No. 3 starter.
More Fantasy News
Rehab assignment extended
PKansas City Royals
Elbow
June 7, 2024
Bubic (elbow) had his rehab assignment extended by 10 days Thursday, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out seven in rehab start
PKansas City Royals
Elbow
June 2, 2024
Bubic (elbow) struck out seven over 3.2 scoreless innings in his rehab start Wednesday with Triple-A Omaha. He gave up one hit and one walk in the 63-pitch outing.
ANALYSIS
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Moves rehab up to Triple-A
PKansas City Royals
Elbow
May 27, 2024
Bubic (elbow) has been transferred to Triple-A Omaha to continue his rehab assignment.
ANALYSIS
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Excels in Double-A rehab start
PKansas City Royals
Elbow
May 21, 2024
Bubic (elbow) struck out three and allowed one hit and zero walks over three scoreless innings in his rehab start Sunday for Double-A Northwest Arkansas.
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Moving rehab to Double-A
PKansas City Royals
Elbow
May 18, 2024
Bubic (elbow) transferred his rehab assignment to Double-A Northwest Arkansas on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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