Lourdes Gurriel

Lourdes Gurriel

29-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Toronto Blue Jays
Out
Injury Wrist
Est. Return 2/1/2023
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Gurriel maintained a high batting average and on base rate, but his power fell to a career low. At the end of the season, it was revealed he had been playing with a wrist issue, which required surgery in the offseason. Gurriel also missed most of September with a sore hamstring. he chased less, resulting in a personal-low strikeout rate. Gurriel's batted ball distribution was typical, but he hit grounders harder while losing exit velocity on fly balls, dropping his HR/FB to a meager 4.2%. Gurriel hit a career-high 32 doubles, so he was more useful in points-leagues. Gurriel is slated to be healthy in the spring with the likelihood of keeping his starting left field job. It's unclear how much of his drop in homers was related to playing with a sore wrist. With no steals and possibly waning power, Gurriel has slipped to a back-end outfielder in mixed leagues, best used as a batting average stabilizer. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a seven-year, $22 million contract with the Blue Jays in November of 2016.
Undergoes left wrist surgery
OFToronto Blue Jays
Wrist
October 20, 2022
Gurriel underwent left wrist surgery Thursday but is expected to be ready for spring training in 2023, Mitch Bannon of SI.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Gurriel missed the final month of the regular season due to a left hamstring strain and was left off the wild-card roster, but the 29-year-old also dealt with a wrist issue throughout the year. In spite of his procedure, it seems likely that Gurriel will be able to return to the field once spring training gets underway in February.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
8
14
14
17
19
7
14
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
2
3
3
8
5
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+26%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .715 315 35 7 40 0 .268 .302 .414
Since 2020vs Right .799 938 104 29 127 7 .291 .342 .457
2022vs Left .675 94 10 0 8 0 .278 .309 .367
2022vs Right .759 398 42 5 44 3 .295 .352 .408
2021vs Left .743 156 19 5 23 0 .269 .301 .441
2021vs Right .802 385 43 16 61 1 .279 .326 .476
2020vs Left .709 65 6 2 9 0 .250 .292 .417
2020vs Right .890 155 19 8 22 3 .313 .355 .535
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+66%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .748 592 66 15 74 3 .277 .319 .429
Since 2020Away .804 661 73 21 93 4 .293 .342 .462
2022Home .780 235 30 3 20 0 .303 .349 .431
2022Away .709 257 22 2 32 3 .281 .339 .370
2021Home .768 270 29 10 43 0 .276 .311 .457
2021Away .802 271 33 11 41 1 .276 .326 .476
2020Home .598 87 7 2 11 3 .210 .264 .333
2020Away .993 133 18 8 20 0 .350 .383 .610
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Lourdes Gurriel compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.37
 
BB Rate
6.3%
 
K Rate
16.9%
 
BABIP
.346
 
ISO
.108
 
AVG
.291
 
OBP
.343
 
SLG
.400
 
OPS
.743
 
wOBA
.329
 
Exit Velocity
90.6 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.1%
 
Barrels/PA
2.8%
 
Expected BA
.273
 
Expected SLG
.400
 
Sprint Speed
22.7 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
44.6%
 
Line Drive %
23.7%
 
Fly Ball %
31.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Gurriel had an OK season, providing some power with a decent batting average. Even though his steals are drying up (one steal in four attempts), he was a fine third or fourth outfielder. The season didn't start out great for him, with Gurriel posting a .710 first-half OPS, but he raised it in the second half to .889. He improved across the board, especially with his walk rate doubling (3.8% to 8.8%) and his strikeout rate dropping (20.1% to 17.1%). Being more selective meant his Isolated Power (.160 to .233) and BABIP (.296 to .318) improved. He might have been struggling early with COVID systems but eventually got healthy. It's tough to know if he'll keep the second-half gains, but that upside does exist for him. Pay for the 2021 season knowing there is a second gear.
Year 3 for Gurriel saw another step forward, offensively. He cut down on his chase rate and shaved his strikeout rate to 21.4%. Gurriel ranked in the top 10% of the league in hard-hit rate. Like his brother, Lourdes is an aggressive hitter who is not particularly interested in taking walks. That dings him a bit in OBP leagues, but there's a lot to like here regardless. Gurriel will hit for power and also swipe a few bags although his sprint speed is below league average, so any major growth in that department seems unlikely. He has handled same-handed pitching quite well in his career (.281/.325/.480 vs. RHP) and it's hard to see him being a negative in the BA category even if there's significant giveback. Absent from 2020 were the injury woes of seasons past, aside from a side issue which cost Gurriel the Opening Day start. If he's ever going to stay healthy and turn into a fantasy star, this is the year.
In a Blue Jays offense ripe with young talent, Gurriel could tend to be overshadowed, though he put together a respectable season of his own. The 26-year-old was sent to Triple-A in mid-April after sputtering to start the year, but managed to turn things around once he returned, hitting .292/.339/.580 after his recall to the majors May 24 (71 games). He battled through knee and quad injuries before being shut down due to appendicitis in late September, after lower-body issues cut short his 2018 season. Gurriel has room for improvement in his walk rate (5.8%) and strikeout rate (25.1%), but he makes the most of his limited contact with a 43.5% hard-hit rate. Gurriel is OF-only in most leagues, and it could very well remain that way since he was not a good defender in the infield. Regardless, Gurriel could be a mid-round value thanks to his batting average and power potential.
In his first taste of the majors, Gurriel hit .281 and flashed some pop. At one point in July, he had an 11-game multi-hit streak, during which he batted an even .500 (25-for-50). It was the longest such streak by a rookie in major-league history. A pair of lower-body injuries derailed his season, and the "expected" numbers from Statcast suggest he overachieved a bit, but he rarely made soft contact and Gurriel showed an ability to go to the opposite field. Much like his brother, Lourdes rarely takes a walk (3.4%). He also proved to be a liability at shortstop, but he was passable at second base and there's little doubt that the rebuilding Blue Jays will give Gurriel regular at-bats in 2019 to evaluate his future in the organization. Batting average is tough to find outside the first several rounds of a draft, and Gurriel showed enough in that department as a 24-year-old to warrant a flier in most formats.
A chiseled 6-foot-2, 185 pounds, Gurriel definitely looks the part of a quality prospect, but he has been a flop thus far since signing a seven-year, $22 million deal with the Blue Jays last offseason. Gurriel suffered a hamstring injury in his first pro game, which cost him two months, and he scuffled at High-A and Double-A after returning. The one bright spot from his first pro season was the .291/.309/.494 slash line he posted in 79 at-bats in the Arizona Fall League. He walked just once over that span, but at least he flashed the potential to do some damage with the bat, hitting seven doubles and three home runs. Gurriel split time between second base and shortstop in his first season, but he doesn't have the range for shortstop, and fits better at second or third base. He turned 24 this offseason, so the clock is ticking for him to prove he can be more than a utility player in the big leagues.
The younger, less-accomplished brother of Yulieski Gurriel, Lourdes signed a seven-year, $22 million deal with the Blue Jays this offseason. He waited until he turned 23 in October to sign the deal so he would not be subject to international bonus pools. Often the best gauge of a Cuban or Asian talent is the open market price tag, and for Gurriel's prime years to come at a $3.14 million average annual value is a red flag. The general consensus pegs him as roughly average with his hit, power and speed tools, with the hit and power potentially being fringe average. He will likely begin 2017 at Double-A where he will play shortstop until he proves he can't handle the position. Most evaluators expect him to end up at second, third or left field. The sum of the tools might be a utility player that is more valuable in real life than fantasy. He could overshoot that projection, particularly if his hit tool is better than the market thought, but the upside does not appear to match the name value.
More Fantasy News
Left off wild-card roster
OFToronto Blue Jays
Hamstring
October 7, 2022
Gurriel (hamstring) was not selected for the Blue Jays' 26-man wild-card roster, Kaitlyn McGrath of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Takes part in workout Wednesday
OFToronto Blue Jays
Hamstring
October 5, 2022
Gurriel (hamstring) took live batting practice and was involved in defensive drills Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
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Trending toward return
OFToronto Blue Jays
Hamstring
October 3, 2022
Gurriel (hamstring) is "trending in the right direction" and could be available for Toronto's upcoming wild card series, Scott Mitchell of TSN.ca reports.
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Not yet running bases
OFToronto Blue Jays
Hamstring
September 28, 2022
Gurriel (hamstring) hasn't yet resumed running the bases, Ethan Diamandas of Sports Illustrated reports.
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Continuing baseball activities
OFToronto Blue Jays
Hamstring
September 26, 2022
Gurriel (hamstring) is doing some hitting and throwing Monday while working through a running progression, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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