Out
Injury Lat
Est. Return 4/19/2023
2022 Stats
W-L
7-3
ERA
3.18
WHIP
1.00
K
112
SV
0
2023 Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Severino experienced arm soreness so the Yankees initially took it easy on the Tommy John recoveree, but it wasn't long before Severino was up to speed. He posted a 3.45 ERA and 1.07 WHIP with 95 punchouts in 86 innings through July 13, but then a lat injury sent Severino to the 60-day IL. He returned for three starts in September, registering a 1.69 ERA and .63 WHIP with 17 strikeouts in 16 frames. Including rehab and playoffs, Severino logged 123.1 innings, so he shouldn't be under too much of a restriction, likely nothing more than a few maintenance days. Severino's 27.7% strikeout rate was lower than pre-TJS while his 7.4% walk rate was a little high, as was his home run rate. His 96.3-mph fastball was down a tick, but when he came back in September, Severino was throwing 97-98 mph. There is risk, but Severino can post SP1 numbers, albeit with fewer innings, drafted much later than the staff anchors. Read Past Outlooks

Could miss 3-to-4 starts
Severino (lat) said Sunday that he'll resume throwing when pain-free and could miss as few as three or four starts to open the season, Pete Caldera of The Bergen Record reports.
ANALYSIS
The 29-year-old's initial shutdown period is expected to be about a week, after which it should become clearer whether or not he'll require a lengthier absence. Severino dealt with a similar injury last year that sidelined him for two months, but the right-hander noted that the current injury isn't in the same location as the previous one.
The 29-year-old's initial shutdown period is expected to be about a week, after which it should become clearer whether or not he'll require a lengthier absence. Severino dealt with a similar injury last year that sidelined him for two months, but the right-hander noted that the current injury isn't in the same location as the previous one.
Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Luis Severino generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Luis Severino generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2022
-1%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020vs Left | .199 | 34 | 10 | 33 | 8 | |||
Since 2020vs Right | .185 | 86 | 21 | 41 | 6 | |||
2022vs Left | .196 | 34 | 10 | 32 | 8 | |||
2022vs Right | .195 | 78 | 20 | 40 | 6 | |||
2021vs Left | .333 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||
2021vs Right | .059 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
2020vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2020vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-1%
ERA on Road
2022
-2%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020Home | 3.02 | 1.06 | 53.2 | 10.9 | 2.2 | ||||
Since 2020Away | 2.98 | 0.88 | 54.1 | 9.1 | 3.0 | ||||
2022Home | 3.14 | 1.06 | 51.2 | 11.0 | 2.3 | ||||
2022Away | 3.22 | 0.93 | 50.1 | 8.8 | 3.0 | ||||
2021Home | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | ||||
2021Away | 0.00 | 0.25 | 4.0 | 13.5 | 2.3 | ||||
2020Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2020Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Luis Severino compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.73K/9
9.9BB/9
2.6HR/9
1.2Fastball
96.3 mphERA
3.18WHIP
1.00BABIP
.248GB/FB
1.38Left On Base
78.9%Exit Velocity
81.9 mphBarrels/BBE
4.8%Spin Rate
2197 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.7%Swinging Strike
12.6%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Luis Severino See More

The RotoWire Roundtable crew is back with their final update of the spring, with injuries shaking things up as early as the back half of the first round.

Jason Collette breaks down his AL Tout Wars roster, which features Mariners phenom Julio Rodriguez leading the way.

Brad Johnson continues his analysis of pitching in each division with the AL East, where in Toronto Johnson anticipates Alek Manoah will have another spectacular season.

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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Severino returned to MLB game action 18 months and three weeks after undergoing Tommy John surgery at the end of February in 2020. He made five appearances out of the Yankees' bullpen over the final 10 days of the regular season and into the postseason, giving up one earned run on three hits and two walks while striking out nine in 7.1 innings. While he looked like the same guy on the mound, Severino's average velocity on his four-seamer was 95.4 mph, down from averages of 97.8 mph in 2018 and 96.0 mph in 2019. His slider was also down a couple ticks from the 88 mph it averaged from 2016 through 2018. It's possible he could gain a tick of velocity as he gets even further removed from the surgery, and even if everything remains where it was in 2021, Severino still has premium stuff. Heading into his age-28 season, the biggest concern with the 6-foot-2 righty is quantity of innings. A healthy Severino is the Yankees' second-best starter, so he should be a part of the rotation, but he will likely have some starts skipped and probably won't go much more than five or six innings, even when he's dealing.
More Fantasy News

Dealing with low-grade lat strain
Severino is dealing with a low-grade lat strain, likely sending him to the injured list to open the season, Joel Sherman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Won't make final spring start
Severino has been scratched from his scheduled Grapefruit League start Sunday, but the reason has not yet been disclosed, Max Goodman of NJ Advance Media reports.
ANALYSIS
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Fans nine in latest start
Severino tossed four innings in a Grapefruit League game against Detroit on Tuesday, allowing two runs on four hits and one walk while striking out nine batters.
ANALYSIS
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Serves up two more homers
Severino tossed four innings against Detroit in a Grapefruit League game Friday, allowing two runs on four hits and no walks while striking out three batters.
ANALYSIS
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Lit up in spring debut
Severino pitched two-plus innings in a Grapefruit League game against Detroit on Monday, allowing four runs on three hits and one walk while striking out one batter.
ANALYSIS
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