MacKenzie Gore

23-Year-Old PitcherSP

Washington Nationals

Out

Injury Elbow

Est. Return 2/1/2023

2022 Stats

W-L

4-4

ERA

4.50

WHIP

1.47

2023 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

Unlock Our Projections

2023 Fantasy Outlook

Say it with us: there is no such thing as a pitching prospect. For all the hype Gore has had in the minors, he has averaged 50 innings a season in the minors over five seasons of work at that level and his time in the majors this past season was also disrupted by an elbow issue. While he was able to avoid surgery, his fantasy outlook certainly changed when he was traded from the situation in San Diego to the mess in Washington for the forseeable future. Gore's fastball performed decently enough, but his breaking stuff was simply too hittable as both his curveball and slider had actual and expected batting averages .250 or higher. Remove the name from the situation, and you have a pitcher whose secondary stuff is still developing pitching for a team that is very likely to finish last in its division, maybe even by a healthy margin. Reset leagues should have little to no interest in this situation for 2022 while keeper and dynasty leagues can approach things differently if he is not already rostered in either situation. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#375

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'2"

Weight 197

DOB 2/24/1999

Born Wilmington, NC

College None

Drafted 1st Rd 2017 SD

Won't return in 2022

PWashington Nationals

Elbow

September 30, 2022

Gore (elbow) won't make a start for the Nationals prior to the end of the regular season, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.

ANALYSIS
The Nationals hoped that Gore would be able to make his debut for the team prior to the end of the season, but he'll be held out due to uncertain weather. However, he feels healthy heading into the offseason and expects to be back to 100 percent in time for spring training in 2023.

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Pitching Stats

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2022

2022 MLB Game Log

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Scoring

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does MacKenzie Gore generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does MacKenzie Gore generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2020

-27%

BAA vs LHP

2022

-27%

BAA vs LHP

2021

No Stats

2020

No Stats

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2020vs Left	.193	71	15	13	11	1	2	0
Since 2020vs Right	.263	238	57	24	55	8	0	7
2022vs Left	.193	71	15	13	11	1	2	0
2022vs Right	.263	238	57	24	55	8	0	7
2021vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2020

-39%

ERA on Road

2022

-39%

ERA on Road

2021

No Stats

2020

No Stats

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2020Home	5.67	1.53	33.1	1	3	0	9.5	4.9	0.8
Since 2020Away	3.44	1.42	36.2	3	1	0	9.1	4.7	1.0
2022Home	5.67	1.53	33.1	1	3	0	9.5	4.9	0.8
2022Away	3.44	1.42	36.2	3	1	0	9.1	4.7	1.0
2021Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does MacKenzie Gore compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

1.95

K/9

9.3

BB/9

4.8

HR/9

0.9

Fastball

94.7 mph

ERA

4.50

WHIP

1.47

BABIP

.320

GB/FB

1.20

Left On Base

73.0%

Exit Velocity

83.0 mph

Barrels/BBE

4.0%

Spin Rate

2192 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

26.2%

Swinging Strike

10.5%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete MacKenzie Gore Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Nationals Depth Chart

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring MacKenzie Gore See More

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103 days ago

James Anderson provides a way too early top 300 rankings for those who have the itch to start drafting for 2023.

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124 days ago

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128 days ago

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129 days ago

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

Gore was the consensus top pitching prospect in baseball in 2019, but he struggled so much in 2021 that he spent time in the Arizona Complex League and didn't necessarily look like a future starter against rookie-level hitters. Through nine innings of big-league spring training, he has elevated his stock, striking out 11 while giving up just two runs and five baserunners. At the very least, he is back on the redraft radar and could push for starts early this season. Whether he can successfully turn a big-league lineup over twice remains to be seen, but at least for now, things are trending up.

Those highest on Gore thought he would debut in 2020, even in a shortened season, so the fact that he did not is relevant. The Padres maintain Gore was not promoted in part because they want him to debut in the rotation, not the bullpen, which is supposedly why Luis Patino got the call over him in August. He was on the postseason taxi squad, but it was Ryan Weathers whom the Padres turned to when they allowed a left-handed pitching prospect to make his MLB debut in a playoff game, not Gore. If they thought Gore was up for debuting in the rotation, they would have found room for him, so the fact is, he was kept down for performance reasons. He struggled with his command for much of the summer and needs to get more consistent with his secondary offerings. Gore's upside remains high and there have been no reports of an injury, so he will once again be a player to track this spring.

Gore turns 21 in February and finished 2019 with five starts at Double-A, so he is well ahead of schedule. Even so, one pitcher under 23 qualified for leaderboards last year, so we should never assume that a 21- or 22-year-old pitcher is ready to provide positive fantasy value. Other than left-handedness, there is nothing we would say about Gore that we wouldn't have said about Forrest Whitley a year ago, and we know how Whitley's 2019 played out. Gore has prototypical size (6-foot-3, 195 pounds), four plus pitches and plus control. If he avoids significant arm injuries, he should be one of the game's top starting pitchers during his prime, but realistically we are still a few years away from the beginning of his prime. San Diego likes to aggressively promote prospects, so there is a scenario where he spends a good chunk of the year in the big-league rotation, but don't pay for the best-case scenario.

In early April, farm director Sam Geaney said publicly that the Padres were intent on fast-tracking Gore through the minor-league ranks. Unfortunately, injuries -- namely blister issues -- got in the way. A blister on Gore's left hand forced him to the DL to begin the season, and he struggled mightily in two starts upon his return before the issue put him right back on the shelf. Gore went on a brilliant run shortly after his return in June, posting a 2.25 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 43:13 K:BB over a seven-start stretch (32 innings) and reminding everyone why he is one of the most highly-regarded left-handed pitching prospects in the game. Gore's season ended prematurely due to a fingernail problem and he finished with just 60.2 innings, all at the Low-A level. The lost development time likely takes a 2019 debut off the table, but if he can build up past 110 innings or so this season, Gore could be a rotation regular for most of 2020.

The 2017 draft had a lot of high-end pitching talent, but Gore stands out as the cream of the crop. A prep product from North Carolina, Gore was drafted third overall by the Padres, receiving a slightly over-slot $6.7 million bonus. The 6-foot-2 lefty made his pro debut in the AZL and struck out five or more in five of his seven starts, despite never going more than four innings. Gore utilizes a mid-90s fastball and a knee-buckling curveball, both of which are at least plus pitches. He features a unique, straightened leg kick that comes up to his chin -- a timing mechanism that he is able to repeat from pitch to pitch. Gore’s intensity on the mound is another separator among his peers. In just 21.1 innings, he has already established himself as one of the game’s best pitching prospects. He should be one of the first few players from last year’s draft to come off the board in dynasty leagues, and has the potential to cruise to the upper levels of the minors.

More Fantasy News

On track for one MLB start

PWashington Nationals

Elbow

September 27, 2022

Gore (elbow) is trending toward making one start for the Nationals before the end of the season, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Another rehab start coming Monday

PWashington Nationals

Elbow

September 23, 2022

Gore (elbow) will make another rehab start for Triple-A Rochester on Monday, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Next rehab outing Wednesday

PWashington Nationals

Elbow

September 20, 2022

Gore (elbow) will make a rehab start for Triple-A Rochester on Wednesday, Paul Mancano of MASNSports.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Works 2.2 frames in rehab start

PWashington Nationals

Elbow

September 20, 2022

Gore (elbow) struck out two and worked around four hits and two walks to cover 2.2 scoreless innings in his most recent rehab start Friday for Triple-A Rochester.

ANALYSIS
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Will make another rehab start

PWashington Nationals

Elbow

September 13, 2022

Gore (elbow) is scheduled to make his next rehab start Friday with Triple-A Rochester, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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