2023 Stats
W-L
5-3
ERA
2.98
WHIP
1.08
K
59
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
This past season may go down as a career year for Kelly, but that's not to say he's unworthy of consideration for 2023. It will just be tough for him to repeat that level of run prevention over 200 innings. When he's on, Kelly can keep hitters guessing with his diverse repertoire -- he throws his four-seamer, changeup, cutter, sinker and curveball all at least 13% of the time. The stuff has not translated to strikeouts since Kelly made the jump from the Korea Baseball Organization years ago (career 20.8 K%), but he limits walks and can induce manageable contact for the defense behind him. Now 34 years old, Kelly may be on the verge of some age-related decline. Add in that he was pitching over his skis last season and Kelly seems likely to be overlooked in many leagues. Be ready to cut bait if the performance craters, but Kelly is very much in the mix to stream in favorable matchups to begin the season. Read Past Outlooks
Notches fifth win
Kelly (5-3) earned the win Sunday, allowing three runs on three hits and two walks over five innings against the Pirates. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
It wasn't Kelly's most efficient outing, but he did enough to earn the win -- his fourth in his last five starts. The 34-year-old right-hander has a solid 2.98 ERA. 1.08 WHIP and 59:23 K:BB through 10 starts (57.1 innings) this season. Kelly will look to keep his winning streak going in his next start, tentatively scheduled for next week against the Red Sox.
It wasn't Kelly's most efficient outing, but he did enough to earn the win -- his fourth in his last five starts. The 34-year-old right-hander has a solid 2.98 ERA. 1.08 WHIP and 59:23 K:BB through 10 starts (57.1 innings) this season. Kelly will look to keep his winning streak going in his next start, tentatively scheduled for next week against the Red Sox.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Merrill Kelly generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Merrill Kelly generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2023
-10%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2021vs Left | .225 | 153 | 66 | 164 | 22 | |||
| Since 2021vs Right | .249 | 213 | 59 | 205 | 25 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .184 | 27 | 7 | 19 | 3 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .204 | 32 | 16 | 20 | 2 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .229 | 71 | 38 | 76 | 12 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .224 | 106 | 23 | 91 | 9 | |||
| 2021vs Left | .235 | 55 | 21 | 69 | 7 | |||
| 2021vs Right | .296 | 75 | 20 | 94 | 14 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-13%
ERA at Home
2023
-62%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2021Home | 3.48 | 1.15 | 217.1 | 8.5 | 2.7 | ||||
| Since 2021Away | 3.99 | 1.23 | 198.1 | 7.3 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2023Home | 4.25 | 1.11 | 29.2 | 10.3 | 4.6 | ||||
| 2023Away | 1.63 | 1.05 | 27.2 | 8.1 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2022Home | 3.02 | 1.17 | 104.1 | 8.8 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2022Away | 3.75 | 1.10 | 96.0 | 7.0 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2021Home | 3.78 | 1.15 | 83.1 | 7.5 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2021Away | 5.18 | 1.45 | 74.2 | 7.4 | 2.8 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Merrill Kelly compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.57K/9
9.3BB/9
3.6HR/9
0.8Fastball
92.3 mphERA
2.98WHIP
1.08BABIP
.249GB/FB
1.75Left On Base
70.9%Exit Velocity
80.0 mphBarrels/BBE
3.2%Spin Rate
2333 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
19.8%Swinging Strike
12.4%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Merrill Kelly See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
Kelly defied the odds with a successful return following surgery to remedy Thoracic Outlet Syndrome. Successful is relative, meaning Kelly exhibited nearly identical skills to 2019, his last full, healthy campaign. However, those skills translate to a below average pitcher with a pedestrian strikeout rate, supported by a mediocre 9% swinging strike mark. Kelly throws five pitches with only his curve (12.5%) and changeup (17.5%) topping a double-digit swinging strike level, but combined he throws them about one-third of the time. A tweak in mix could miss more bats, but even if it manifested, the impact isn't worth chasing in Kelly's age-34 campaign. Sure, take a shot in draft and hold, but there are better options for a roster spot in standard formats.
More Fantasy News
Fans nine in win
Kelly (4-3) allowed two runs (one earned) on four hits and a walk over seven-plus innings Monday, striking out nine and earning a win in the Diamondbacks' 5-2 victory over Oakland.
ANALYSIS
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Settles for no-decision Wednesday
Kelly didn't factor into the decision in Wednesday's 5-4 loss to the Marlins, giving up four runs on four hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Notches third win of season
Kelly (3-3) earned the win Friday, allowing one run on four hits and one walk over seven innings against the Nationals. He struck out 10.
ANALYSIS
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Notches second win of season
Kelly (2-3) earned the win Friday, allowing one run on six hits and one walk over six innings against Colorado. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles to find strike zone
Kelly (1-3) took the loss against San Diego on Saturday, pitching five innings and allowing four runs on three hits and five walks while striking out seven batters over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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