Michael Toglia

24-Year-Old First Baseman1B
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Toglia has a path to playing time at Coors Field, which by itself is enough to put him on the fantasy map. Whether he has anything to offer beyond his role and home park remains to be seen. The 2019 first-round pick's first taste of the big leagues last year didn't go particularly well. He got the call at the tail end of August and went on to hit .216/.275/.378 in 31 games while struggling to a 36.7 K%. To be fair to him, he'd only played in 17 Triple-A games to that point, and those couldn't have gone much better, as he posted a 1.171 OPS. His struggles in the majors suggest he could use more seasoning in the minors, and the Rockies aren't famous for moving young players quickly, but the lack of quality options in front of him means a good camp could nonetheless earn him a starting role. Even if he wins one, however, he might not be good for anything other than power, as he struck out 28.7 percent of the time throughout his minor-league career and offers little with his legs or glove. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#562
ADP
$Signed a $2.73 million contract with the Rockies in June of 2019.
Ends season with four strikeouts
1BColorado Rockies
October 6, 2022
Toglia went 0-for-4 with four strikeouts Wednesday against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
Toglia ended his season on a sour note, though he had collected at least one hit in his three prior games. He ended his rookie season with a .216/.275/.378 line across 120 plate appearances, and he had a concerning 36.7 percent strikeout rate.
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Batting Stats
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2022
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
5
6
1
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
4
2
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .594 36 3 1 5 0 .200 .222 .371
Since 2020vs Right .679 84 7 1 7 1 .224 .298 .382
2022vs Left .594 36 3 1 5 0 .200 .222 .371
2022vs Right .679 84 7 1 7 1 .224 .298 .382
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+59%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+59%
OPS at Home
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .827 52 6 1 7 1 .271 .327 .500
Since 2020Away .521 68 4 1 5 0 .175 .235 .286
2022Home .827 52 6 1 7 1 .271 .327 .500
2022Away .521 68 4 1 5 0 .175 .235 .286
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Michael Toglia compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.20
 
BB Rate
7.5%
 
K Rate
36.7%
 
BABIP
.338
 
ISO
.162
 
AVG
.216
 
OBP
.275
 
SLG
.378
 
OPS
.653
 
wOBA
.287
 
Exit Velocity
87.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
39.1%
 
Barrels/PA
4.2%
 
Expected BA
.218
 
Expected SLG
.305
 
Sprint Speed
25.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
37.3%
 
Line Drive %
23.9%
 
Fly Ball %
38.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
The No. 23 overall pick in 2019, Toglia has yet to make his full-season debut and he is already 22, but he is still one of the best hitting prospects in Colorado's farm system, somewhat by default. The 6-foot-5, 226-pound first baseman can also play the outfield, and unlike most sluggers his size, he projects to add value with his glove. A switch hitter, Toglia does more damage from the left side, where he displays plus power to all fields. He projects to walk at a high clip, but given his size and the 25.6 K% he logged in short-season ball after signing in 2019, strikeouts should also be a noticeable part of the equation as he moves up the ladder. The Rockies seem to be half-heartedly entertaining a rebuild, which would clear the way for Toglia in a year or two. He played at the alternate site and in the fall instructional league. Look for him to split the 2021 season between High-A and Double-A.
On the one hand, it is immensely valuable in fantasy to have an everyday position player who plays half his games in Colorado. On the other hand, the Rockies' organizational depth chart is quite crowded and the front office has shown a willingness to bring in washed up veterans to block promising players like Ryan McMahon and Garrett Hampson. It's impossible to know if Toglia will get a fair shake at first base in a few years, but he has the type of offensive upside that is easy to dream on. Selected out of UCLA with the No. 23 overall pick, Toglia has easy plus power to all fields and a patient approach (15.9 BB% in the Northwest League). The 6-foot-5 switch hitter's swing is a little long, which will probably always lead to strikeout percentages in the mid-to-upper 20s, but the OBP and power of a middle-of-the-order masher should be consistently on display as he climbs the ladder.
More Fantasy News
Retreats to bench Saturday
1BColorado Rockies
October 1, 2022
Toglia isn't starting Saturday against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Struggling with strikeouts
1BColorado Rockies
September 29, 2022
Toglia went 0-for-4 with an RBI on Wednesday against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat Sunday
1BColorado Rockies
September 25, 2022
Toglia is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Shows off speed Monday
1BColorado Rockies
September 20, 2022
Toglia went 3-for-4 with two triples, a run, two RBI and a stolen base in a loss to the Giants on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Out of Sunday's lineup
1BColorado Rockies
September 18, 2022
Toglia is not in the lineup for Sunday's game against the Cubs, Patrick Lyons of TheDNVR.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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