Nico Hoerner

Nico Hoerner

27-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Chicago Cubs
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 3/27/2025
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Hoerner took hold of a starting job for the Cubs in 2022 and produced a .281/.327/.410 slash line with 10 homers, 20 steals, 55 RBI and 60 runs in 135 games, and he followed up with similar production last season. He moved from shortstop to second base in 2023 following the signing of Dansby Swanson and had nine long balls, 43 steals, 98 runs and 68 RBI with a .729 OPS across 150 contests. Those figures resulted in a 102 wRC+, and he was sixth in the league in stolen bases while being caught seven times. He hit 46.9 percent of his balls on the ground and didn't consistently make solid contact with a 1.7 percent barrel rate and 33.0 percent hard-hit rate, both of which rank near the bottom for qualified hitters. However, none of those figures are significantly different from the previous year, which indicates his production over the past two seasons is sustainable. Hoerner should provide a strong average with plenty of runs and stolen bases for fantasy managers again in 2024 with his high-contact, low-power approach, though he's unlikely to be a significant contributor in other categories. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#138
ADP
$Signed a three-year, $35 million contract extension with the Cubs in March of 2023.
Undergoes flexor tendon surgery
2BChicago Cubs
Elbow
October 21, 2024
Hoerner underwent surgery Oct. 11 to repair his right flexor tendon, Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
It's not clear when Hoerner suffered the injury, nor did the Cubs offer a timetable for his recovery. The second baseman should be ready to roll come Opening Day, although it's possible he'll be eased into things in spring training. Hoerner slashed .273/.335/.373 with seven home runs and 31 stolen bases over 151 games for the Cubs in 2024.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
48
1
5
46
19
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
17
6
7
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+8%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+17%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .769 450 69 5 46 28 .309 .349 .420
Since 2022vs Right .709 1396 175 21 125 66 .269 .333 .376
2024vs Left .799 138 25 2 12 7 .328 .377 .422
2024vs Right .683 503 61 5 36 24 .258 .324 .359
2023vs Left .756 180 33 1 18 15 .306 .344 .412
2023vs Right .719 508 65 8 50 28 .274 .347 .372
2022vs Left .754 132 11 2 16 6 .294 .326 .429
2022vs Right .730 385 49 8 39 14 .276 .327 .403
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+2%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+21%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .732 923 127 11 88 43 .288 .344 .389
Since 2022Away .716 923 117 15 83 51 .270 .330 .385
2024Home .640 312 37 1 16 10 .260 .311 .329
2024Away .775 329 49 6 32 21 .287 .359 .416
2023Home .765 356 59 6 40 21 .291 .363 .402
2023Away .691 332 39 3 28 22 .274 .328 .363
2022Home .800 255 31 4 32 12 .318 .357 .444
2022Away .674 262 29 6 23 8 .244 .298 .376
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Stat Review
How does Nico Hoerner compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.67
 
BB Rate
6.9%
 
K Rate
10.3%
 
BABIP
.297
 
ISO
.100
 
AVG
.273
 
OBP
.335
 
SLG
.373
 
OPS
.708
 
wOBA
.316
 
Exit Velocity
85.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
20.4%
 
Barrels/PA
0.9%
 
Expected BA
.280
 
Expected SLG
.353
 
Sprint Speed
24.1 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
44.3%
 
Line Drive %
24.1%
 
Fly Ball %
31.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Hoerner's role to begin 2022 was murky after Chicago added Andrelton Simmons in March, but the veteran shortstop battled injuries and played in only 35 games before he was cut loose in August. Hoerner worked as the Cubs' primary shortstop and was a plus defender, and he finished the year with a .281/.327/.410 slash line, 10 home runs, 55 RBI and 20 stolen bases. Entering the year, he had only three homers and eight stolen in 112 career games, so the improvements in those areas are a significant development for his fantasy appeal. Hoerner should have a starting spot in the middle infield to open 2023, regardless of whether or not the Cubs bring in a shortstop via free agency.
Hoerner is the other half of the powerless duo which was expected make up the bottom two spots of the Cubs' batting order in 2022. Hoerner does not have the elite bat-to-ball skills that Nick Madrigal has, but he hit .304 in college and .294 in the minors while maintaining a .272 average at the major-league level. He has 90th percentile sprint speed yet has done little running at the big-league level, stealing eight bases in 13 attempts. He appeared set to start in the middle infield alongside Madrigal in 2022, but Chicago opted to bring in veteran shortstop Andrelton Simmons. Hoerner's outlook is now clouded by the addition, as there is now no clear path to an everyday role if everyone remains healthy.
Hoerner acquitted himself quite well in 2019, as his .282/.305/.436 line in 20 games at the MLB level was quite impressive for someone who played in just 89 career minor-league games. He wasn't able to carry that level of success into his second season, however, looking overmatched en route to a .222/.312/.259 slash line with zero homers. He'll still be 23 on Opening Day and was only just drafted in 2018, so it's not as if we should give up on him at this stage. He'll also seemingly get the playing time necessary to keep developing, with the Cubs selling off pieces. There are some red flags, however, particularly pertaining to the notion of fantasy upside. His contact simply isn't nearly good enough, as his career 1.3% barrel rate and 2.2 degree launch angle demonstrate. His defensive versatility and youth will get him playing time, while his contact skill and modest speed are the top selling points in fantasy.
Hoerner would have debuted in 2020 under normal circumstances, but he was the best option at shortstop in September when Javier Baez and Addison Russell got hurt, so he got the emergency callup with the Cubs fighting for a playoff spot. Including a 2018 stint in the Arizona Fall League, Hoerner only played 110 games before reaching the majors, yet he hit .282 with a 13.4 K% and didn't look overmatched at all. He could end up with a plus hit tool, which will be important, as he doesn't have any other plus tools. Hoerner could develop 20-homer power and may chip in 8-10 steals, but the main selling point is that he could be a good enough hitter to bat second in a good lineup. His walk rate should improve as he gets more reps. Baez isn't going anywhere, but Hoerner could be his long-term double-play partner. In the short term, he may head to Triple-A for a couple months before joining the MLB roster for good.
Rarely does a hitter get sent to the Arizona Fall League the year he was drafted. Even rarer is the prospect who gets that assignment and performs as one of the league's best hitters. Hoerner finished his season by hitting .337/.362/.506 in 89 AFL at-bats, but let's go back at the beginning. The Cubs selected the Stanford shortstop with the No. 24 pick in the draft -- potentially this regime's best pick since Kris Bryant in 2013. Hoerner may not stick at shortstop, but unlike recent first-round picks Kyle Schwarber and Ian Happ, making consistent contact shouldn't be a problem. Hoerner produced with a wood bat in the Northwoods and Cap Cod leagues, and that success carried over across brief stops at three levels before an elbow injury ended his regular season, prompting the AFL assignment. If he maxes out, Hoerner will be a plus hitter with plus speed and 15-homer pop. He should be one of the first 2018 draftees to reach the majors.
More Fantasy News
Finishes season with stolen base
2BChicago Cubs
September 29, 2024
Hoerner went 1-for-5 with a stolen base in Sunday's 3-0 loss to the Reds in 10 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Collects two hits, scores Friday
2BChicago Cubs
September 28, 2024
Hoerner went 2-for-3 with a double and a run scored in Friday's 1-0 win over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Goes deep twice Wednesday
2BChicago Cubs
September 25, 2024
Hoerner went 2-for-4 with two home runs and four total RBI in Wednesday's 9-6 loss to the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Tallies three hits in win
2BChicago Cubs
September 24, 2024
Hoerner went 3-for-5 with a double and a run scored in Tuesday's 10-4 win over the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Day off Sunday
2BChicago Cubs
September 22, 2024
Hoerner is absent from the lineup for Sunday's game versus the Nationals.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Might be traded for rotation help
2BChicago Cubs
November 12, 2024
The Cubs could trade Hoerner -- who had flexor tendon surgery in October -- for rotation help this offseason, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The Cubs haven't provided a timetable for Hoerner's game readiness, which complicates any potential deal. However, the Cubs have top prospect Matt Shaw on the precipice of the majors and Hoerner offers the ability to play shortstop in addition to second base, which broadens his appeal.
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