Ozzie Albies

Ozzie Albies

26-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Atlanta Braves
2023 Fantasy Outlook
The final three-and-a-half months of Albies' 2022 season were wiped out by injury, in particular a broken left foot and then a broken pinkie finger suffered in his second game back from the injured list. Most of the batted-ball metrics were well down for Albies, but it's impossible to glean too much from the sample (269 plate appearances). His strikeout rate remained right around his career average at 17.5 percent. Perhaps most disturbingly for rotisserie players is the fact that his running waned (3-for-8 on the base paths) as his Statcast sprint speed only ranked in the 54th percentile. That said, we should expect renewed intent for Albies to start the 2023 season, assuming he doesn't run into more health trouble. Despite losing Freddie Freeman last winter, Atlanta still ranked third in baseball in scoring, so Albies could reach 100 runs scored for the fourth time already. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#49
ADP
$Signed a seven-year, $35 million contract extension with the Braves in April of 2019. Contract includes $7 million team options for 2026 and 2027.
Launches first spring homer
2BAtlanta Braves
March 12, 2023
Albies went 1-for-3 with a three-run home run in Saturday's Grapefruit League game against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
The second baseman golfed a Matt Manning pitch deep down the right-field line in the second inning. It was Albies' first homer of the spring and only his second hit in 15 at-bats, but his 2:2 BB:K doesn't suggest he's struggling. The 26-year-old played only 64 games last season due to multiple injuries, but he's healthy in camp and looking to regain the form that saw him post career-best fantasy numbers in 2021.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
10
17
8
4
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
10
1
2
9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+26%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+72%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .829 291 44 12 49 6 .291 .316 .513
Since 2020vs Right .752 783 116 32 111 20 .245 .303 .450
2022vs Left .714 88 12 3 13 0 .250 .261 .452
2022vs Right .696 181 24 5 22 3 .245 .309 .387
2021vs Left .940 175 27 9 33 5 .323 .354 .585
2021vs Right .749 511 76 21 73 15 .237 .295 .454
2020vs Left .509 28 5 0 3 1 .222 .250 .259
2020vs Right .876 91 16 6 16 2 .291 .330 .547
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+13%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+22%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+29%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .821 552 87 23 100 14 .274 .324 .497
Since 2020Away .724 522 73 21 60 12 .241 .287 .436
2022Home .766 149 18 4 27 1 .271 .322 .444
2022Away .627 120 18 4 8 2 .219 .258 .368
2021Home .867 348 60 17 64 12 .279 .328 .539
2021Away .728 338 43 13 42 8 .239 .293 .435
2020Home .682 55 9 2 9 1 .255 .309 .373
2020Away .877 64 12 4 10 2 .290 .313 .565
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Stat Review
How does Ozzie Albies compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.34
 
BB Rate
5.9%
 
K Rate
17.5%
 
BABIP
.270
 
ISO
.162
 
AVG
.247
 
OBP
.294
 
SLG
.409
 
OPS
.703
 
wOBA
.307
 
Exit Velocity
87.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
32.3%
 
Barrels/PA
4.1%
 
Expected BA
.239
 
Expected SLG
.387
 
Sprint Speed
22.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
37.7%
 
Line Drive %
18.1%
 
Fly Ball %
44.1%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Ozzie Albies See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Albies was one of the many players who benefitted to a return of a full schedule as his level of production picked up where it left off in 2019. In fact, Albies is the only player who has hit at least 20 homers, scored at least 100 runs and swipe at least 10 bases in each of the past three full seasons. There are some risks to what Albies has been to date despite the production; his batting average has fluctuated quite a bit the past few seasons with the most recent effort being his worst yet. He is also not very accepting of walks, so his on-base percentage has been closer to .300 than .350 in most seasons. It has not hurt his ability to score runs, but should Freddie Freeman leave this winter, the runs scored could take a hit. We know he will have his opportunities given he has missed all of 12 games over the past three full seasons. Expect more of the same in 2022.
Albies entered the 2020 season coming off the best performance of his young career, but he managed to play in only 29 regular-season contests following a wrist injury. While it was obvious he was attempting to get back up to speed down the stretch, he still managed to hit .271 with six homers, 19 RBI and three stolen bases. Albies remains one of the top young exciting players in the major leagues heading into 2021, effortlessly mixing in displays of power at the plate, speed and the ability to put the ball in play. As a result, it's no surprise that he adds value across the board in most league formats, a rare combination to be found in a middle infielder. He's expected to be one of the top second basemen selected on draft day and for good reason.
Albies finished as the fifth-best 2B on our Earned Auction Value calculator behind Jonathan Villar, Ketel Marte, DJ LeMahieu and Eduardo Escobar. Albies could be the guy atop that list in 2020. He has two full seasons at the big-league level before his 23rd birthday and has shown progress in all three seasons he has spent at the big-league level. He has missed six games over the past two seasons, and has made the most of his playing time even if his stolen-base total doesn't match his speed. Fifteen steals is the new 25 steals in today's environment, and even a 47-point jump in Albies' OBP only led to two more stolen-base attempts in 2019 than he attempted in 2018. He has the luxury of being one of the pieces in a talented lineup in which Ronald Acuna Jr. has a lot of the spotlight, which somewhat diminishes how much Albies has accomplished at such a young age. There is more in the tank here.
The performance of young players after the break is often considered telling. If that’s the case, why is Albies getting a pass, despite a huge second half swoon? Albies posted a .834 OPS and 120 wRC+ before the break compared to a .624 OPS and 67 wRC+ after. His strikeout rate rose 1.5%, but that’s not enough to account for the disparity. The culprit was a 32-point dip in BABIP, fueled by a drop in hard-hit rate. Medium-hits balls carry the lowest BABIP and 60 percent of Albies' second-half contact was of that variety. Accordingly, his 14.7% first-half HR/FB plummeted to 5.6% post-break. Conveniently omitted is Albies isn’t just young, he did this as a 21-year-old sophomore. Albies' overall game remains impressive at his age, but he could be in danger of hitting lower in the Braves' order if he doesn’t get off to a fast start, depriving him of some counting stat volume. The power/speed combo is enticing, just beware it’s not risk-free.
Albies got the call to the majors on Aug. 1 and hit the ground running, flashing the well-rounded skill set that made him a top prospect in baseball. At 20 years old, the switch-hitting Albies displayed advanced plate skills, posting a .347 wOBA in 244 plate appearances. He's not an imposing presence in the batter's box at 5-foot-9, 160 pounds, but Albies has excellent bat speed and he used that to generate above-average game power (.171 ISO, 33.2 percent hard-hit rate). He also went 8-for-9 on the basepaths, and when it was all said and done, Albies was worth roughly two wins above replacement in just 57 games. Albies' ability to make consistent contact gives him a solid floor in batting average, and he runs at a time when stolen bases are on the decline league-wide. The power is just the cherry on top. He could end up being a significant bargain in drafts and auctions, even with spring helium.
Regardless of how well he has hit or how many bases he has stolen, the most impressive thing about Albies has always been his age relative to the players he is playing against. In 2014, he was a 17-year-old hitting .356 in the Appalachian League. The next year he finished fourth in the Sally League with a .310 average while being the fourth youngest player in the league. This past season he was the youngest player at Double-A, but that didn't stop him from winning the Southern League batting title by hitting .321, earning a 56-game run at Triple-A as a 19-year-old. Indeed, the word "advanced" sufficiently sums up Albies' game. The Braves chose Dansby Swanson as the shortstop of the future, meaning Albies' future is at the keystone. He will likely start 2017 with Triple-A Gwinnett -- an absurd reality for a player who turned 20 in January, but even more ridiculous is the fact that his time there may be brief.
The diminutive shortstop continued to gain acclaim in prospect circles last year, slashing .310/.368/.404 with 29 steals on 37 attempts, while posting an impressive 56:36 K:BB in 439 plate appearances as an 18-year-old with Low-A Rome. In addition to an excellent hit tool and plus speed, he also projects to be a plus defender at shortstop. These attributes will push Albies into the top-25 of most real-life prospect lists, but dynasty league owners should pump the brakes. The first knock on Albies is that he offers low single-digit home run power. The second strike against him is that he is three years away from the big leagues. His upside is that of Elvis Andrus, who has been a fine fantasy shortstop, but by no means a building block on teams that win dynasty leagues. Albies' 2015 season was cut short after he suffered a hairline fracture in his thumb in August, but he should be ready for the start of the season.
Albies, a native of Curacao, hit .364/.446/.444 with 22 stolen bases in 27 attempts in 57 games between the Gulf Coast League and the Appalachian League as a 17-year-old in 2014. The power isn't there, and his slight frame (5-foot-9, 150 pounds) doesn't lend a whole lot of hope to him developing much in time, but he has a plus hit tool and an advanced eye at the plate for his age (28:23 BB:K last season). It remains to be seen how aggressively the Braves will push him through the system, but Albies is likely several years away from reaching the majors regardless, and it's possible his future could be with another organization, with the tandem of Andrelton Simmons and Jose Peraza expected to hold down the middle-infield spots in Atlanta for years to come.
More Fantasy News
Playing second base Saturday
2BAtlanta Braves
March 4, 2023
Albies (shoulder) will start at second base and bat fifth in Saturday's Grapefruit League game against the Twins, Justin Toscano of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Plans to do more running in 2023
2BAtlanta Braves
Shoulder
March 2, 2023
Albies (shoulder) plans to steal more bases this season with the new pickoff throw limits and larger bases, Jayson Stark of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Will DH early on this spring
2BAtlanta Braves
Shoulder
February 24, 2023
Albies (shoulder) will be limited to the designated hitter spot for the first week or so of Atlanta's Grapefruit League schedule, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Had offseason shoulder surgery
2BAtlanta Braves
Shoulder
February 24, 2023
Albies revealed Friday that he underwent right shoulder surgery last October, Justin Toscano of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Going through normal offseason
2BAtlanta Braves
January 21, 2023
Albies hasn't had any restrictions this offseason after fracturing his pinky finger in mid-September, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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