2022 Stats
W-L
10-10
ERA
3.75
WHIP
1.17
K
174
SV
0
2023 Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Pa-Lo answered the health concerns we highlighted last season as he took the ball all 32 times it was given to him and was one of 27 pitchers to throw at least 180 innings on the season. Yet, 2022 was a bit of a disappointment in his outcomes as he won 10 of the 32 starts for the struggling Miami club while his ERA jumped three quarters of a run from the previous season and his strikeout rate fell four percentage points. He was still tough to hit and stingy with baserunners, but his upside was limited by the misfortunes of the Miami offense. Lopez and Kyle Wright were extremely similar from a statistical profile this past season, yet Wright had 21 wins and a 3.19 ERA thanks to 5.3 runs per game while Lopez was supported with just 3.2 runs per outing. There was nothing wrong with the pitcher, rather, the surrounding cast was limiting his true fantasy upside. That could change after he was traded to Minnesota in January. He'll have a better supporting cast though a slightly less friendly park. Read Past Outlooks

Sharp in spring debut
Lopez allowed two hits with three strikeouts over two scoreless innings in his spring debut Monday. He'll make one more start for Minnesota before joining Venezuela for the World Baseball Classic, Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
Lopez's fastball touched 95 mph, as he threw more in the offseason to be ready for the WBC. Lopez made 32 starts for the Marlins last season and had a 3.75 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 174:53 K:BB across 180 innings. He'll be a mainstay in the Minnesota rotation after he was traded for Luis Arraez.
Lopez's fastball touched 95 mph, as he threw more in the offseason to be ready for the WBC. Lopez made 32 starts for the Marlins last season and had a 3.75 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 174:53 K:BB across 180 innings. He'll be a mainstay in the Minnesota rotation after he was traded for Luis Arraez.
Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2022 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
93
How many pitches does Pablo Lopez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Pablo Lopez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2022
-12%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020vs Left | .251 | 135 | 57 | 167 | 16 | |||
Since 2020vs Right | .214 | 207 | 38 | 127 | 20 | |||
2022vs Left | .249 | 72 | 35 | 88 | 12 | |||
2022vs Right | .218 | 102 | 18 | 69 | 9 | |||
2021vs Left | .245 | 44 | 15 | 47 | 3 | |||
2021vs Right | .221 | 71 | 11 | 42 | 8 | |||
2020vs Left | .269 | 19 | 7 | 32 | 1 | |||
2020vs Right | .184 | 34 | 9 | 16 | 3 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-6%
ERA at Home
2022
-34%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020Home | 3.42 | 1.13 | 184.0 | 9.1 | 2.4 | ||||
Since 2020Away | 3.63 | 1.19 | 156.0 | 9.3 | 2.7 | ||||
2022Home | 4.55 | 1.25 | 87.0 | 8.1 | 3.0 | ||||
2022Away | 3.00 | 1.09 | 93.0 | 9.3 | 2.3 | ||||
2021Home | 2.34 | 1.06 | 65.1 | 10.7 | 2.3 | ||||
2021Away | 4.34 | 1.23 | 37.1 | 8.9 | 2.2 | ||||
2020Home | 2.56 | 0.95 | 31.2 | 8.8 | 1.1 | ||||
2020Away | 4.91 | 1.48 | 25.2 | 9.8 | 4.9 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Pablo Lopez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.28K/9
8.7BB/9
2.7HR/9
1.1Fastball
93.6 mphERA
3.75WHIP
1.17BABIP
.290GB/FB
1.59Left On Base
73.1%Exit Velocity
81.2 mphBarrels/BBE
5.1%Spin Rate
2113 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.5%Swinging Strike
13.2%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
Lopez is the type of pitcher that can make or break a fantasy team. He absolutely has front-of-the-rotation stuff, highlighted by one of the best changeups in baseball. He is quite capable of throwing any one of his five pitches to both righties and lefties and putting it where he needs to put it. The league hit below .235 against four of his five offerings and only took him yard 11 times on the season. He has improved his K-BB% each of his four seasons in the majors, and his WHIP has improved in a similar pattern. The only question mark with Lopez is health because he has yet to demonstrate it over the course of a full season. He went down in his final outing before the break with shoulder tightness and did not make it back on the mound until the final day of the season. Lopez has yet to work even 115 innings in any professional season, so you can't draft him as an ace.
More Fantasy News

Sent to Minnesota for Arraez
Lopez was traded from the Marlins to the Twins on Friday in exchange for infielder Luis Arraez, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Settles with Miami
Lopez agreed to a one-year, $5.45 million contract with the Marlins on Friday to avoid arbitration, Craig Mish of SportsGrid.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Magnificent in no-decision
Lopez struck out seven in seven scoreless innings while allowing two hits and three walks in a 4-3 extra-innings win Sunday in Milwaukee. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Racks up win No. 10
Lopez (10-10) picked up the win Tuesday, giving up three runs on five hits over six innings in a 6-4 victory over the Mets. He struck out five without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Settles for no-decision Tuesday
Lopez didn't factor into the decision in Tuesday's 2-1 loss to the Cubs, allowing one run on five hits over 6.2 innings. He struck out six without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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