Raimel Tapia

29-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Boston Red Sox NRI

2022 Stats

AVG

.265

RBI

2023 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Those who selected Tapia in early drafts last season weren't too happy with the trade that sent him to Toronto two weeks before Opening Day. Not only did the deal rob him of the chance to call Coors Field home, it also robbed him of an everyday job. Despite opening the year as Toronto's fourth outfielder, however, injuries meant he was called on to start 107 games, albeit with rather bland results. Leaving Denver took a big bite out of his numbers, and he finished with a .265/.292/.380 slash line (90 wRC+) and just seven homers. He also saw his steals drop to eight, well below his career high of 20 from the year prior. The Blue Jays non-tendered him following the season, and nothing in his resume suggests he deserves a starting job elsewhere. While he does make an above-average amount of contact (18.7 K%), that contact isn't particularly hard (5.1% barrel rate) and he rarely walks (3.7 BB%). Even if he lands in the ideal spot, he's unlikely to provide much other than a decent average. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#594

ADP

Overall

League NRI

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man No

Height 6'3"

Weight 175

DOB 2/4/1994

Born San Pedro de Macoris, DR

College None

Drafted 2010 COL

Having strong spring

OFBoston Red Sox NRI

March 9, 2023

Tapia went 1-for-3 with an RBI in Wednesday's spring game against Puerto Rico.

ANALYSIS
Tapia is well known to the Red Sox, who watched him post a .290/.318/.516 line with three home runs and 17 RBI against them over 15 games last season when he played for the Blue Jays. He's showing those same skills in a Boston uniform now, going 7-for-17 with a 1.294 OPS over 17 Grapefruit League games. "He'll put the ball in play," manager Alex Cora told Christopher Smith of MassLive.com. "He's got some juice too. He's a smart hitter, hunting for certain pitches and putting a good swing on it." Tapia has an opt-out clause, which could be a factor in deciding who makes the Opening Day roster. He's in the mix with Rob Refsnyder and Jarren Duran, who has minor-league options, for a final outfield spot.

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Batting Stats

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2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2020

+2%

OPS vs LHP

2022

+7%

OPS vs RHP

2021

+6%

OPS vs RHP

2020

+35%

OPS vs LHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020vs Left	.698	262	31	1	29	5	.300	.326	.372
Since 2020vs Right	.687	882	105	13	86	29	.264	.314	.373
2022vs Left	.633	68	8	1	11	0	.262	.279	.354
2022vs Right	.679	363	39	6	41	8	.266	.294	.384
2021vs Left	.667	138	17	0	10	4	.292	.321	.346
2021vs Right	.710	395	52	6	40	16	.266	.329	.381
2020vs Left	.854	56	6	0	8	1	.365	.393	.462
2020vs Right	.634	124	14	1	5	5	.255	.325	.309
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2020

+12%

OPS at Home

2022

+14%

OPS on Road

2021

+35%

OPS at Home

2020

+17%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020Home	.741	596	83	7	63	16	.286	.334	.407
Since 2020Away	.661	572	59	7	56	20	.270	.309	.352
2022Home	.628	215	21	1	16	4	.252	.286	.342
2022Away	.714	216	26	6	36	4	.278	.298	.416
2021Home	.796	284	47	6	39	9	.292	.345	.451
2021Away	.589	249	22	0	11	11	.252	.306	.283
2020Home	.836	97	15	0	8	3	.349	.406	.430
2020Away	.714	107	11	1	9	5	.296	.336	.378
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Stat Review

How does Raimel Tapia compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.20

BB Rate

3.7%

K Rate

18.8%

BABIP

.315

ISO

.114

AVG

.265

OBP

.292

SLG

.380

OPS

.672

wOBA

.295

Exit Velocity

87.6 mph

Hard Hit Rate

27.8%

Barrels/PA

3.9%

Expected BA

.256

Expected SLG

.366

Sprint Speed

24.1 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

54.7%

Line Drive %

19.6%

Fly Ball %

25.7%

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

Tapia should remain a nice source of stolen bases if he can find regular playing time during the 2022 season. He had 533 plate appearances in 2021 and has had a 77% success rate (37-for-48) in stolen bases over the last couple of seasons. However, the Rockies signed Kris Bryant during the offseason to play left field, making Tapia's path toward playing time murky. Last season, Tapia had just a .699 OPS with half his games in Colorado. He has been cutting his strikeout rate (from 25.9% to 22.4% to 18.4% to 13.1% last season), but his ISO has been under .100 the past two years. Like every Rockies hitter, he has massive home/away splits with a career slash line of .319/.366/.472 at Coors compared to just .243/.285/.320 on the road. While he'll provide some steals if he secures consistent playing time, his stats at the plate will be a drag on fantasy teams during road matchups.

Tapia's production in 2019 left something to be desired, but he significantly improved in several areas during the abbreviated 2020 season. His turnaround could be attributed to his vast improvement in plate discipline. He had an abysmal 45.5 O-Swing% in 2019, but that number dropped to 32.3% last year. In turn, he posted an 89.9 Z-Contact%, up from 81.2% the year before while also recording a career-best 8.9% swinging-strike rate. The changes to his approach led to a career-best 18.4 K% and .392 BABIP, and he also took walks at a 6.8% clip. Tapia also showcased his speed more, stealing eight bases over 50 games after stealing just nine over 138 games in 2019. Despite his stellar averages, his power numbers were less than ideal, as he had just one home run and .082 ISO. Tapia made a strong case to be a full-time starter in 2021 and could provide mid-round fantasy value with his new approach at the plate.

Tapia saw an uptick in playing time due to his defensive versatility and injuries to other Rockies outfielders, but he failed to make much of his opportunities. His offensive production was especially disappointing considering that he gets to play his home games in Coors Field. Although he recorded a .275 batting average, he had a 14.6% swinging-strike rate and a 44.7 O-Swing% that would have ranked sixth worst among major-league hitters if he had qualified. Tapia failed to record many meaningful hits, with a hard-hit rate of 30.1% and only 44 RBI in 138 games. Barring injuries to Colorado's outfielders in spring training, it's likely that Tapia will open the year back in a reserve role, slated for a downtick in playing time. He is out of minor-league options, and if he gets off to a slow start in his fourth-outfielder role, the team could DFA him and swap him out for someone like Yonathan Daza.

As he enters his age-25 season, a fair amount of the shine has worn off Tapia, largely because the Rockies are in no rush to give him playing time. Throw out his 2018 MLB sample (just 27 PA). In 105 games at Triple-A Albuquerque, Tapia hit over .300 with an 18.0% strikeout rate. He had a .194 ISO, which is an impressive mark for a slight, 180-pound player, and he didn't do all of that damage at Albuquerque's notoriously hitter-friendly home park, slugging over .500 on the road. Tapia showed good speed and instincts on the basepaths, swiping 21 bags in 24 attempts. The bat-to-ball consistency hasn't quite translated to the big leagues in his past stints, but his contacts skills are good enough for Tapia to hit .280 or higher while playing half his games at altitude in Colorado. Unfortunately, the Daniel Murphy signing pushes Ian Desmond to the outfield, so Tapia enters another season without a clear path to MLB playing time.

Tapia spent nearly half the season with the Rockies in 2017, seeing most of his action as a backup outfielder with chances to start against right-handed pitching. No matter how you slice it, a combined four homers for a player playing half of his games in Colorado during his time in the big leagues, and all of his games in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League at Triple-A is disappointing. Tapia possesses a good hit tool, but he rarely walks. Fortunately, he has shown an improved success rate as a basestealer over the past year, going 17-for-21 between the two levels after a 26-for-43 mark in 2016. Carlos Gonzalez will likely depart as a free agent this offseason, but the Colorado outfield remains crowded with Ian Desmond, Gerardo Parra and a presumably healthy David Dahl all available to compete for playing time flanking Charlie Blackmon. Still as reserves go, you could do much worse.

Tapia's fourth season in the minors proved to be one of his best campaigns. The top prospect got his first taste of Double-A action and took it in stride, slashing .323/.363/.450 in 104 games with Hartford. He also showed an impressive ability to make contact, as he only fanned a bit over 10 percent of the time. This success translated nicely into the Triple-A ranks, as he posted a .346/.355/.490 slash line that vaulted the 22-year-old into the majors for a September callup. Tapia's ability to make contact paired with his speed makes him an intriguing option going forward, as he'll likely be given a chance to strut his stuff at the big league level again at some point during the 2017 season. That being said, garnering a role could take some time, as David Dahl, Charlie Blackmon and Carlos Gonzalez seemingly have the three outfield spots on lockdown for the time being.

There are few hitters in the minor leagues with Tapia’s combination of success and detractors. His impressive minor league statistics are just a small part of the story with this enigmatic outfield prospect. Tapia, who turns 22 in February, stands 6-foot-2, and unfortunately his listed weight of 160 pounds appears accurate. In addition to his slight frame, Tapia’s unusual batting stance -- his elbows threaten to get lower than his knees -- gives many scouts pause when projecting Tapia as a future big league regular. Those who like Tapia tend to really like him, particularly his ability to regularly square the ball up. He has hit over .300 and slugged over .450 at every stop over the last three years, and offers plus speed to boot. If his unique aesthetics works at the highest level, a la Hunter Pence or Jose Altuve, the offensive ceiling will be a mile high. If he fails, this will serve as a cautionary tale for those who scout the box score.

The Rockies aren’t short on intriguing outfield talent at any level of their system, but Tapia’s stock may have risen more than any of the organization’s prospects last season. After getting off to an inauspicious start with a .244 batting mark after April, Tapia set Low-A Asheville ablaze from thereon, finishing with a .326 average while swiping 33 bases. Despite his non-traditional batting mechanics, Tapia has drawn raves for his contact skills and management of the strike zone, while his speed tool and ability to play all three outfield spots are other attributes that will aid his climb to through the minors. The jury is still out on whether or not Tapia can hit for enough power to become an everyday corner outfielder, but at 6-foot-2 and a slight 160 pounds, there’s still plenty of room for him to add some bulk. The 21-year-old will spend most of the upcoming season at High-A Modesto, with an eye on arriving in the big leagues by late 2015 or 2016.

More Fantasy News

Has opt-out clause in his contract

OFBoston Red Sox NRI

March 3, 2023

Tapia has an opt-out clause in his minor-league contract with the Red Sox which he can exercise if he's not added to the 40-man roster before Opening Day, Ian Cundall of SoxProspects.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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