Riley Greene

Riley Greene

22-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Detroit Tigers
10-Day IL
Injury Lower Leg
Est. Return 6/9/2023
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Greene appeared likely to break camp on the Tigers' Opening Day roster, but a foul ball off the foot delayed his arrival to the big leagues until mid-June. He would go on to slash .253/.321/.362 across 93 games as a rookie, hitting five homers while successfully stealing only one bag in five attempts. In a vacuum, these numbers are rather uninspiring, but the fact that Greene was right around league average by wRC+ as a 21-year-old speaks volumes. The fifth overall pick in 2019, Greene was considered among the top prospects in the game at the time of his call-up. The Tigers are going to give Greene every chance to succeed. We've already seen that he can hold his own against big-league pitching, but it would be nice to see him cut down on the strikeouts (28.7%). How quickly he does that will determine his trajectory. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#193
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Tigers in March of 2023.
On IL with stress fracture
OFDetroit Tigers
Lower Leg
May 31, 2023
The Tigers placed Greene on the 10-day injured list Wednesday after he was diagnosed with a stress fracture in his left fibula, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Greene left Tuesday's loss to the Rangers after he tweaked his leg while tracking down a fly ball, and an MRI administered following the contest revealed the true nature of his injury. It's hard to predict exactly how long the outfielder could be sidelined and more information will likely be supplied in the coming days after Greene receives a second opinion on the injury, per Stavenhagen. The 22-year-old had settled into a nice groove in May, batting .365 with 13 extra-base hits, including three home runs, 11 RBI, 16 runs and four stolen bases over 96 at-bats in 25 games. Jake Marisnick had his contract selected from Triple-A Toledo on Wednesday and will help fill the void in center field left by Greene's absence.
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Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
31
9
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+18%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2021
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021vs Left .736 170 14 0 14 0 .299 .347 .389
Since 2021vs Right .722 472 61 10 46 7 .256 .331 .391
2023vs Left .708 51 4 0 3 0 .292 .333 .375
2023vs Right .834 173 25 5 15 6 .297 .370 .465
2022vs Left .747 119 10 0 11 0 .303 .353 .394
2022vs Right .656 299 36 5 31 1 .232 .308 .348
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2021
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021Home .781 305 35 5 24 3 .288 .357 .423
Since 2021Away .675 337 40 5 36 4 .249 .315 .361
2023Home .884 109 16 2 8 3 .340 .394 .490
2023Away .728 115 13 3 10 3 .252 .330 .398
2022Home .722 196 19 3 16 0 .259 .337 .385
2022Away .648 222 27 2 26 1 .248 .306 .342
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Riley Greene compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.33
 
BB Rate
9.4%
 
K Rate
28.6%
 
BABIP
.410
 
ISO
.148
 
AVG
.296
 
OBP
.362
 
SLG
.443
 
OPS
.805
 
wOBA
.355
 
Exit Velocity
91.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
36.0%
 
Barrels/PA
6.3%
 
Expected BA
.275
 
Expected SLG
.472
 
Sprint Speed
25.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
52.5%
 
Line Drive %
25.9%
 
Fly Ball %
21.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
The top prep hitter in the 2019 draft class, Greene was a top-15 overall prospect heading into 2021 and his final season in the minors couldn't have gone much better. He jumped over High-A and logged a 145 wRC+ at Double-A as the youngest hitter at that level. Greene was then pushed to Triple-A, where he was once again the youngest hitter, and he improved his rate stats across the board en route to a 153 wRC+. His 32.8 Hard% was elite for a hitter his age in the upper levels, and he surprisingly stole 16 bases on 17 attempts, despite having never graded out as a plus runner. Base stealing is not all about pure speed, and if Robbie Grossman stole 20 bases for the Tigers in 2021, Greene could get to that mark over a full season. A trip to the Arizona Fall League was canceled due to a concussion suffered at the end of the Triple-A season, but he cleared protocols in October and had a normal offseason. However, he sustained a fractured right foot in early April that is expected to keep him out of game action for 6-8 weeks. While his fantasy value depends on when he's able to return to the field, Greene could win an everyday role once he's healthy, and he has five-category upside once he ultimately makes his major-league debut.
A pure hitter first and foremost, Greene has an excellent understanding of the strike zone and has no trouble getting to his plus raw power in games. He has a very fluid left-handed swing and while he is not a burner, all of his movements in the field are smooth, especially for a 6-foot-3, 200-pound bat-first player. It was obviously a small sample, but he hit .417 with two home runs and a 2:6 K:BB in 18 plate appearances as a 19-year-old in big-league spring training -- a very loud way to start an unconventional year of development for the No. 5 overall pick from 2019. He emerged as one of Detroit's team leaders at the alternate site and became fast friends with the other face of this rebuild, Spencer Torkelson. Greene is much more advanced than the typical 20-year-old, so he will spend most of 2021 at Double-A, setting up a 2022 MLB debut. This is a safe offensive profile to bet on in dynasty leagues.
Greene was seen as the consensus top prep hitter in the 2019 draft, which led to the Tigers selecting him fifth overall. He is now the offensive face of a pitching-heavy rebuild with no end in sight. Greene quickly earned a promotion from the Gulf Coast League to the New York-Penn League and while he didn't set the world on fire there, the patience (11.0 BB%) and all-fields laser show (30.6 LD%, 39.7 Pull%) he displayed led to a promotion to Low-A. His inexperience started to show against Midwest League pitching, but at that point it had been quite a long season for the 18-year-old. Greene will likely be a below-average runner in the majors, which should force a move to right field. He projects as a high-AVG/high-OBP left-handed hitter who could grow into 30-homer power. The key will be for him to let the power come naturally while maintaining his strong plate skills and approach in the meantime.
More Fantasy News
Undergoing further testing
OFDetroit Tigers
Leg
May 30, 2023
Greene (leg) is undergoing further evaluation after leaving Tuesday's game against Texas, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with leg discomfort
OFDetroit Tigers
Leg
May 30, 2023
Greene left Tuesday's game against the Rangers with lower leg discomfort, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports. He went 0-for-1 before exiting.
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Leaves with potential injury
OFDetroit Tigers
Undisclosed
May 30, 2023
Greene was pinch hit for in the third inning of Tuesday's game against the Rangers, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Reaches four times Thursday
OFDetroit Tigers
May 25, 2023
Greene went 2-for-3 with two walks, an RBI and a run scored in Thursday's win over the White Sox.
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Keeps rolling in win
OFDetroit Tigers
May 24, 2023
Greene went 2-for-4 with a walk, a double, a solo home run and two runs scored in Wednesday's 6-4 win over the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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