Riley Greene

22-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Detroit Tigers

10-Day IL

Injury Lower Leg

Est. Return 6/9/2023

2023 Stats

AVG

.296

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Greene appeared likely to break camp on the Tigers' Opening Day roster, but a foul ball off the foot delayed his arrival to the big leagues until mid-June. He would go on to slash .253/.321/.362 across 93 games as a rookie, hitting five homers while successfully stealing only one bag in five attempts. In a vacuum, these numbers are rather uninspiring, but the fact that Greene was right around league average by wRC+ as a 21-year-old speaks volumes. The fifth overall pick in 2019, Greene was considered among the top prospects in the game at the time of his call-up. The Tigers are going to give Greene every chance to succeed. We've already seen that he can hold his own against big-league pitching, but it would be nice to see him cut down on the strikeouts (28.7%). How quickly he does that will determine his trajectory. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#193

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 200

DOB 9/28/2000

Born Orlando, FL

College None

Drafted 1st Rd 2019 DET

On IL with stress fracture

OFDetroit Tigers

Lower Leg

May 31, 2023

The Tigers placed Greene on the 10-day injured list Wednesday after he was diagnosed with a stress fracture in his left fibula, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.

ANALYSIS
Greene left Tuesday's loss to the Rangers after he tweaked his leg while tracking down a fly ball, and an MRI administered following the contest revealed the true nature of his injury. It's hard to predict exactly how long the outfielder could be sidelined and more information will likely be supplied in the coming days after Greene receives a second opinion on the injury, per Stavenhagen. The 22-year-old had settled into a nice groove in May, batting .365 with 13 extra-base hits, including three home runs, 11 RBI, 16 runs and four stolen bases over 96 at-bats in 25 games. Jake Marisnick had his contract selected from Triple-A Toledo on Wednesday and will help fill the void in center field left by Greene's absence.

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Batting Stats

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2023

2022

2023 MLB Game Log

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Scoring

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2022 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2021

+2%

OPS vs LHP

2023

+18%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+14%

OPS vs LHP

2021

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021vs Left	.736	170	14	0	14	0	.299	.347	.389
Since 2021vs Right	.722	472	61	10	46	7	.256	.331	.391
2023vs Left	.708	51	4	0	3	0	.292	.333	.375
2023vs Right	.834	173	25	5	15	6	.297	.370	.465
2022vs Left	.747	119	10	0	11	0	.303	.353	.394
2022vs Right	.656	299	36	5	31	1	.232	.308	.348
2021vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2021

+16%

OPS at Home

2023

+21%

OPS at Home

2022

+11%

OPS at Home

2021

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021Home	.781	305	35	5	24	3	.288	.357	.423
Since 2021Away	.675	337	40	5	36	4	.249	.315	.361
2023Home	.884	109	16	2	8	3	.340	.394	.490
2023Away	.728	115	13	3	10	3	.252	.330	.398
2022Home	.722	196	19	3	16	0	.259	.337	.385
2022Away	.648	222	27	2	26	1	.248	.306	.342
2021Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Riley Greene compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.33

BB Rate

9.4%

K Rate

28.6%

BABIP

.410

ISO

.148

AVG

.296

OBP

.362

SLG

.443

OPS

.805

wOBA

.355

Exit Velocity

91.8 mph

Hard Hit Rate

36.0%

Barrels/PA

6.3%

Expected BA

.275

Expected SLG

.472

Sprint Speed

25.2 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

52.5%

Line Drive %

25.9%

Fly Ball %

21.6%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Riley Greene Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

Games By Position

Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

The top prep hitter in the 2019 draft class, Greene was a top-15 overall prospect heading into 2021 and his final season in the minors couldn't have gone much better. He jumped over High-A and logged a 145 wRC+ at Double-A as the youngest hitter at that level. Greene was then pushed to Triple-A, where he was once again the youngest hitter, and he improved his rate stats across the board en route to a 153 wRC+. His 32.8 Hard% was elite for a hitter his age in the upper levels, and he surprisingly stole 16 bases on 17 attempts, despite having never graded out as a plus runner. Base stealing is not all about pure speed, and if Robbie Grossman stole 20 bases for the Tigers in 2021, Greene could get to that mark over a full season. A trip to the Arizona Fall League was canceled due to a concussion suffered at the end of the Triple-A season, but he cleared protocols in October and had a normal offseason. However, he sustained a fractured right foot in early April that is expected to keep him out of game action for 6-8 weeks. While his fantasy value depends on when he's able to return to the field, Greene could win an everyday role once he's healthy, and he has five-category upside once he ultimately makes his major-league debut.

A pure hitter first and foremost, Greene has an excellent understanding of the strike zone and has no trouble getting to his plus raw power in games. He has a very fluid left-handed swing and while he is not a burner, all of his movements in the field are smooth, especially for a 6-foot-3, 200-pound bat-first player. It was obviously a small sample, but he hit .417 with two home runs and a 2:6 K:BB in 18 plate appearances as a 19-year-old in big-league spring training -- a very loud way to start an unconventional year of development for the No. 5 overall pick from 2019. He emerged as one of Detroit's team leaders at the alternate site and became fast friends with the other face of this rebuild, Spencer Torkelson. Greene is much more advanced than the typical 20-year-old, so he will spend most of 2021 at Double-A, setting up a 2022 MLB debut. This is a safe offensive profile to bet on in dynasty leagues.

Greene was seen as the consensus top prep hitter in the 2019 draft, which led to the Tigers selecting him fifth overall. He is now the offensive face of a pitching-heavy rebuild with no end in sight. Greene quickly earned a promotion from the Gulf Coast League to the New York-Penn League and while he didn't set the world on fire there, the patience (11.0 BB%) and all-fields laser show (30.6 LD%, 39.7 Pull%) he displayed led to a promotion to Low-A. His inexperience started to show against Midwest League pitching, but at that point it had been quite a long season for the 18-year-old. Greene will likely be a below-average runner in the majors, which should force a move to right field. He projects as a high-AVG/high-OBP left-handed hitter who could grow into 30-homer power. The key will be for him to let the power come naturally while maintaining his strong plate skills and approach in the meantime.

More Fantasy News

Undergoing further testing

OFDetroit Tigers

Leg

May 30, 2023

Greene (leg) is undergoing further evaluation after leaving Tuesday's game against Texas, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.

ANALYSIS
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Exits with leg discomfort

OFDetroit Tigers

Leg

May 30, 2023

Greene left Tuesday's game against the Rangers with lower leg discomfort, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports. He went 0-for-1 before exiting.

ANALYSIS
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