Sandy Alcantara

Sandy Alcantara

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Alcantara spent the year rehabbing from Tommy John surgery undergone in October 2023. The timing of the procedure limited the right-hander to bullpen sessions, though he began to face live hitters in mid-September. All the progress reports were encouraging, but when he takes the hill in the Grapefruit League, it will be more than16 months since Alcantara threw a ball in anger. Typically, the exercises involved in Tommy John rehab strengthen the area, allowing the pitcher to match, and often add, velocity. The concern is always command and control, which were Alcantara's main assets before the injury. Even with a 98-mph fastball, Alcantara's strikeout rate was above average, but not elite. Workload will also be an issue. Rostering Alcantara is a matter of risk tolerance and level of reliance. It's best to treat him as a luxury item and not a staff fixture. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#153
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $56 million contract extension with the Marlins in November of 2021. Contract includes $21 million team option ($2 million buyout) for 2027.
No-decision on Opening Day
PMiami Marlins
March 27, 2025
Alcantara didn't factor into the decision in Thursday's game against the Pirates. He allowed two runs on two hits and four walks while striking out seven across 4.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
Alcantara was in total control through the first four innings of Opening Day, including the third frame when he followed up a leadoff walk with three consecutive strikeouts. The right-hander started the fifth inning strong with two straight punchouts, but he allowed the next three hitters to reach before giving up a two-run single to Bryan Reynolds to end his day. Despite the underwhelming finish, it was an encouraging season debut as Alcantara made his first MLB appearance since undergoing Tommy John surgery late in 2023. He understandably showed some signs of rust but still generated 16 swinging strikes on 91 pitches.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Sandy Alcantara generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Sandy Alcantara generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-55%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
2023
Even Split
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .251 394 80 33 89 18 1 11
Since 2023vs Right .247 388 78 19 89 12 0 11
2025vs Left .200 7 1 2 1 0 0 0
2025vs Right .091 13 6 2 1 0 0 0
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .251 387 79 31 88 18 1 11
2023vs Right .251 375 72 17 88 12 0 11
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 3.80 1.12 87.2 2 5 0 7.9 2.7 0.4
Since 2023Away 4.43 1.30 101.2 5 7 0 7.2 2.3 1.6
2025Home 3.86 1.29 4.2 0 0 0 13.5 7.7 0.0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 3.80 1.11 83.0 2 5 0 7.6 2.4 0.4
2023Away 4.43 1.30 101.2 5 7 0 7.2 2.3 1.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Sandy Alcantara compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.75
 
K/9
13.5
 
BB/9
7.7
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
97.6 mph
 
ERA
3.86
 
WHIP
1.29
 
BABIP
.245
 
GB/FB
7.00
 
Left On Base
66.7%
 
Exit Velocity
0.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
0.0%
 
Spin Rate
0 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
0.0%
 
Swinging Strike
17.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Alcantara endured a down 2023 campaign with a 4.14 ERA in 28 starts before going down with a UCL sprain in early September, and he underwent Tommy John surgery a month later. The 2022 NL Cy Young Award winner will in all likelihood be sidelined until 2025 given the elbow procedure's typical 12-to-18 month recovery timeline.
Alcantara reached the pinnacle in 2022, winning the National League Cy Young Award while literally lapping the field with six complete games. He continued to pump the four-seam and sinker in at 97-98 mph, though it was the changeup that he threw more than any other pitch last season (34.4 Whiff%). Technically his strikeout rate was only a little above average, but when you subtract walks (K-BB%), he ranked top 20 among qualifiers. Alcantara led baseball by a sizable margin with his 228.2 innings during the regular season and he's the only pitcher in the game to clear the 200-inning threshold each of the past two seasons. A certain portion of the fantasy community will fade Alcantara on principle alone coming off a career year, and it's not crazy to be reluctant about paying the new sticker price in drafts, but Alcantara has to be considered among the safest pitchers on the board from a workload standpoint.
While we didn't see that sizable jump in strikeout rate that some were holding out hope for (24.0 K%), Alcantara still paid dividends for fantasy managers in 2021. Alcantara's 205.1 innings ranked fourth in MLB, and he rode his heavy sinker-slider approach to a 53.3 GB%. He was stingier with the free passes than ever (6.0 BB%), leading to a 1.07 WHIP, and while some giveback should be expected in that regard, everything else sets up well for another stellar season in Miami. He added even more velocity to his heaters in 2021 -- the right-hander averaged 97-98 mph with his fastball variations -- and his aforementioned slider was a much more successful offering overall. Alcantara's changeup had a whiff rate north of 30%, per Statcast, and further improvement with that pitch could help Alcantara unlock another level. The best may be yet come for the 26-year-old.
Perhaps no individual stat stands out in Alcantara's profile at first glance, but he's posted a 3.62 ERA and 1.27 WHIP across his last 32 regular-season starts. In 2020, he continued to tack on velocity, adding at least one mile per hour to each of his fastball, sinker and slider. That, at least in part, allowed him to post a 14.0 K-BB% rate across 42 innings, nearly doubling his previous best mark. Even so, Alcantara's reliance on his sinker means his primary approach to getting outs remains via the groundball. This was highlighted in 2020, as he threw his sinker at a 35% clip, induced a 49.1% groundball rate and surrendered 0.9 HR/9. The downside to that approach is modest swing-and-miss, despite possessing elite velocity. To take another step forward, Alcantara will need to get more punchouts, which could occur as he continues to develop his secondary offerings, particularly his slider and changeup.
It didn't show in his surface stats, but Alcantara had an improved second half, often a harbinger for taking the next step for a young pitcher. Specifically, Alcantara's K-BB% more than doubled after the break, though an 11.6% mark still has room for improvement as even the second half strikeout and walk rates were below average. Armed with a 96-mph four-seamer, Alcantara needs to develop better secondary offerings, especially something offspeed as the delta between all his pitches isn't ample to keep hitters off balance. With time and a great pitcher's park on his side, Alcantara is a strong speculation play to make the leap. Count durability as a plus as well, with Alcantara's 197.1 innings ranking 17th last season. Until he displays a higher strikeout rate, Alcantara is best suited as a streaming option, especially at home. However, there are latent signs of a breakout, so he's worth the shot.
Alcantara has one pitch right now, but it is a very lively pitch. His fastball touches 100 and it is overpowering when batter aren't sitting on it. The problem is his other pitches are nowhere near the quality of the fastball, and their inconsistency coupled with his spotty control led to the results we saw in 2018. We know his secondary pitches are lagging behind his fastball when we see a strikeout rate that belies the velocity he brings from the mound. He is also barely over 23 years old and has 42 more innings of work at the major-league level than 98% of 23-year-olds in organized baseball. This is the kind of pitcher you want to keep at arm's length in reset leagues in 2019 but need to get on board with in keeper and dynasty leagues and ride out the bumps as his stuff comes together.
Dealt to the Marlins as one of the two headliners (along with Magneuris Sierra) for Marcell Ozuna, Alcantara has an arm that's easy to dream on. He has an athletic 6-foot-4 frame, can reach back for 101 mph on his fastball when needed, and won't turn 23 until September. His warts are fairly obvious -- his two breaking balls are very inconsistent and his command/control has a long way to go before he comfortably projects as a long-term starter. However, the trade to Miami will give him a legitimate chance to fix those issues over the next couple years, as he would have likely been fast-tracked to the big-league bullpen had he remained with the Cardinals. Alcantara's changeup projects as a plus pitch, so there is more to work with here than just elite fastball velocity. At worst, he will be a high-strikeout setup man in the Dellin Betances mold. If one of his breaking balls emerges as a legitimate weapon and he improves his command, he could still end up as a No. 1 or No. 2 starter.
Every couple years the Cardinals seem to have an uber-projectable righty turning heads in the lower levels of their system. Sometimes that pitcher turns into Tyrell Jenkins, and sometimes that pitcher develops into Alex Reyes. Alcantara seems to have more in common with Reyes, as he boasts a similar 80-grade fastball that touches triple digits and can sit comfortably around 96 mph. He has a long way to go before he projects to pitch atop a rotation, however, as the command and secondary offerings leave a lot to be desired. His 6-foot-4, 170-pound frame has room to comfortably add mass without sacrificing the electricity that makes him special, and the hope is that this would lead to improved command. Alcantara's changeup is his best secondary offering, already serving as an average pitch. If his curveball can develop into an out pitch in the coming years, then the rest of the ingredients are here for a monster pitcher. This frontline upside is what separates him from some of the more polished arms in the Cardinals' organization.
Alcantara remained at the rookie level for his second professional season, this time pitching stateside after spending 2014 in the Dominican Summer League, and the results were generally strong in 12 starts for the Gulf Coast League Cardinals. While the strikeouts were down from the previous season, with his K/9 falling from 8.7 to 7.1, he also cut down on the walks and was once again able to limit the longball. In fact, in 121 innings so far as a professional (514 batters faced), Alcantara has surrendered just four home runs thanks to a 1.90 GB/FB. He has a long, slender frame at 6-foot-4, 170 pounds, which is the kind of build many scouts like for a future MLB starter, but it would be nice to see the 20-year-old fill out a bit in the coming years to ease durability concerns. Alcantara figures to receive his first full-season assignment in 2016.
More Fantasy News
Final tune-up on back field Friday
PMiami Marlins
March 21, 2025
Alcantara is expected to build up to 80-to-90 pitches while pitching in a minor-league game Friday, Chuck King of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Building up pitch count
PMiami Marlins
March 11, 2025
Alcantara gave up two unearned runs on four hits over 2.2 innings in Monday's split-squad game against the Nationals. He struck out three without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Skipper says no innings limit
PMiami Marlins
March 9, 2025
Marlins manager Clayton McCullough said Sunday on the Marlins Radio Network that "no innings limit" has been set for Alcantara this season.
ANALYSIS
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Hasn't been informed of limits
PMiami Marlins
March 8, 2025
Alcantara said Saturday that the team hasn't told him he will be under any inning restrictions this season, Craig Mish of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Facing innings limit
PMiami Marlins
March 6, 2025
Alcantara will be on an innings limit, particularly early in the season, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Target for Yankees?
PMiami Marlins
March 14, 2025
Jon Heyman of the New York Post listed Alcantara as a potential trade target for the Yankees after ace Gerrit Cole underwent Tommy John surgery this week.
ANALYSIS
New York's rotation has endured a rough string of injuries during spring training, with Cole being lost for the season and Luis Gil out at least three months with a lat strain. Alcantara has returned to game action this spring after missing all of 2024 due to his own Tommy John surgery, and there's been early speculation that Miami will trade him before the summer deadline. He's not expected to face any workload limitations in 2025, but there are still some question marks for Alcantara coming off major surgery.
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