2025 Stats
W-L
8-7
ERA
4.15
WHIP
1.29
K
125
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
No team allocated free agent starting pitching dollars more wisely than the Royals last offseason. Michael Wacha was great and Lugo was even better, winning 16 games and finishing with an even 3.00 ERA over a league-high 33 starts. A 21.7 percent strikeout rate left something to be desired, but Lugo provided so much volume with a surprising 206.2 innings that he accumulated 181 strikeouts, which tied him for 20th in baseball. It looked from July to August like the former reliever might be tiring as he put up a 4.86 ERA, but Lugo bounced back with a 2.28 ERA and 26:4 K:BB in 27.2 September innings. Perhaps the big workload increase will catch up with Lugo in 2025 instead, and some natural regression is likely either way, given his xERA of 3.72 in 2024. Read Past Outlooks

Continues struggling in second half
Lugo (8-7) took the loss Friday against the Tigers, allowing four runs on eight hits and four walks in 3.1 innings. He struck out five.
Analysis
Lugo's struggles during the second half of the season continued, as he's now given up at least four runs in five of his last nine starts. The veteran right-hander has also been unable to throw at least five innings on five occasions since the All-Star break, and he has a ghastly 7.51 ERA, 1.78 WHIP and 37:24 K:BB over his last 44.1 frames during that period. Lugo has also issued multiple walks in all but one of his last nine outings, so he'll have plenty to clean up next week at home against the Angels.
Lugo's struggles during the second half of the season continued, as he's now given up at least four runs in five of his last nine starts. The veteran right-hander has also been unable to throw at least five innings on five occasions since the All-Star break, and he has a ghastly 7.51 ERA, 1.78 WHIP and 37:24 K:BB over his last 44.1 frames during that period. Lugo has also issued multiple walks in all but one of his last nine outings, so he'll have plenty to clean up next week at home against the Angels.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2024
2023
2022
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2020
2019
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2017
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
88
Last 5 Games
88
How many pitches does Seth Lugo generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Seth Lugo generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-25%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .256 | 244 | 81 | 259 | 40 | |||
Since 2023vs Right | .220 | 202 | 58 | 191 | 22 | |||
2025vs Left | .272 | 67 | 31 | 88 | 21 | |||
2025vs Right | .203 | 58 | 24 | 45 | 6 | |||
2024vs Left | .246 | 101 | 32 | 99 | 7 | |||
2024vs Right | .211 | 80 | 16 | 78 | 9 | |||
2023vs Left | .252 | 76 | 18 | 72 | 12 | |||
2023vs Right | .245 | 64 | 18 | 68 | 7 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-1%
ERA on Road
2025
-24%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | 3.52 | 1.23 | 248.1 | 7.6 | 2.8 | ||||
Since 2023Away | 3.49 | 1.13 | 250.0 | 8.5 | 2.3 | ||||
2025Home | 3.61 | 1.36 | 77.1 | 7.3 | 4.2 | ||||
2025Away | 4.76 | 1.22 | 68.0 | 8.2 | 2.5 | ||||
2024Home | 3.36 | 1.14 | 107.0 | 7.0 | 2.1 | ||||
2024Away | 2.62 | 1.03 | 99.2 | 8.8 | 2.1 | ||||
2023Home | 3.66 | 1.23 | 64.0 | 8.9 | 2.1 | ||||
2023Away | 3.50 | 1.18 | 82.1 | 8.4 | 2.3 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Seth Lugo compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.27K/9
7.7BB/9
3.4HR/9
1.7Fastball
91.6 mphERA
4.15WHIP
1.29BABIP
.271GB/FB
1.15Left On Base
78.6%Exit Velocity
82.6 mphBarrels/BBE
7.0%Spin Rate
2512 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
28.3%Swinging Strike
8.4%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Lugo, long a multi-inning reliever, was a full-time starter in 2023 for the first time with mixed results. He finished the season with solid ratios, but a decline in strikeouts and wins in just 8 of his 33 starts limited his overall fantasy value. Lugo has long been known for his high spin rate pitches, but his two primary offerings did not perform the same as a starter as they did when he came in from the pen. The league hit .171 off his fastball and .159 off his curveball in 2022, but those numbers jumped to .247 and .280 last year when he worked as a starter despite both pitches maintaining their high spin rates. Lugo's velocity dipped a bit working in the rotation as well. He opted out of the final year of his deal to become a free agent and cashed in with a three-year, $45 million deal in Kansas City. The workload increase of nearly 100 innings from 2021 to last year is a concern, but Lugo's contract should assure him a rotation spot with the Royals while he remains healthy.
More Fantasy News

Struggles in no-decision
Lugo did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Tigers, allowing six runs on six hits and two walks over 4.1 innings. He struck out five.
Analysis
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Fans five in no-decision
Lugo did not factor in the decision during Tuesday's win over the Rangers. He allowed two runs on three hits and two walks over 6.1 innings while striking out five.
Analysis
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Mashed by Nats in no-decision
Lugo came away with a no-decision in Wednesday's 8-7 loss to the Nationals, coughing up seven runs (six earned) on six hits and four walks over four innings. He struck out two.
Analysis
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Hit hard in loss
Lugo (8-6) took the loss Friday against the Twins, allowing seven runs on nine hits and two walks while striking out one over four innings.
Analysis
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Walks four in short outing
Lugo did not factor in the decision during Sunday's extra-inning win over Toronto. He allowed two runs on four hits and four walks over 4.2 innings while striking out three.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Target for Cubs?
According to Jon Morosi of MLB Network, the Cubs have checked in with the Royals about acquiring a starting pitcher likely Lugo or Kris Bubic.
Analysis
Kansas City could elect to hold onto Lugo and extend him a qualifying offer after the season, but the Cubs are likely to be in the mix should the Royals elect to offload him. The right-hander has been a rotation staple for the Royals this year and has a 2.94 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 93:31 K:BB across 107 innings through 18 starts.
Kansas City could elect to hold onto Lugo and extend him a qualifying offer after the season, but the Cubs are likely to be in the mix should the Royals elect to offload him. The right-hander has been a rotation staple for the Royals this year and has a 2.94 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 93:31 K:BB across 107 innings through 18 starts.