2025 Stats
W-L
10-12
ERA
4.87
WHIP
1.33
K
176
SV
0
2026 Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Nobody missed Tropicana Field more than Baz, as he was dreadful pitching in Steinbrenner Field. Baz pitched to a 5.90 ERA and 1.46 at home, where he also allowed 18 of his 26 home runs on the season, undoing any good his 16.9 K-BB percentage in those start did. He toiled to a more serviceable 3.86 ERA and 1.21 WHIP on the road despite a lower K-BB percentage of 14.6. Baz worked to drop his ineffective slider for a cutter, but that is a work in progress. That pitch had a .337 average against, while his four-seamer, curve and change-up were all under .245. Baz's ultimate issue, whether indoors or out, is righties, as 17 of his 26 homers came against righties despite his fastball, curve and cutter all having good indicators. His command waivers in starts, and things quickly fell apart for him in some starts, including the one where he allowed five homers to the Yankees in Steinbrenner in late August. You should be intrigued if only because of the move back indoors, because the pieces for success are here if he can ever find some consistency with his command. After all, he had 13 outings where he allowed two or fewer earned runs and another three with 10+ strikeouts in 2025. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $1.45 million contract with the Rays in January of 2025.
Goes four innings vs. Baltimore
Baz did not factor into the decision Wednesday against the Orioles, allowing three walks and no hits across four scoreless innings. He struck out three.
Analysis
It's unclear exactly why Baz was limited to four innings after throwing only 49 pitches (31 strikes), though he was effective nonetheless. The 26-year-old Baz's campaign will likely end on a high note -- he delivered nine scoreless innings over his last two starts, allowing just two hits while striking out seven. Overall, Baz's ERA sits at 4.87 with a 1.33 WHIP and 176:64 K:BB across 31 starts (166.1 innings) this season.
It's unclear exactly why Baz was limited to four innings after throwing only 49 pitches (31 strikes), though he was effective nonetheless. The 26-year-old Baz's campaign will likely end on a high note -- he delivered nine scoreless innings over his last two starts, allowing just two hits while striking out seven. Overall, Baz's ERA sits at 4.87 with a 1.33 WHIP and 176:64 K:BB across 31 starts (166.1 innings) this season.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2024
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
78
Last 5 Games
71
How many pitches does Shane Baz generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Shane Baz generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-4%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .225 | 128 | 45 | 101 | 15 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .243 | 117 | 46 | 114 | 20 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .255 | 95 | 27 | 77 | 9 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .245 | 81 | 37 | 81 | 17 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .164 | 33 | 18 | 24 | 6 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .237 | 36 | 9 | 33 | 3 | |||
| 2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-31%
ERA on Road
2025
-35%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 5.12 | 1.30 | 117.2 | 9.8 | 3.2 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 3.52 | 1.20 | 128.0 | 8.2 | 3.4 | ||||
| 2025Home | 5.90 | 1.46 | 82.1 | 10.2 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2025Away | 3.86 | 1.21 | 84.0 | 8.9 | 3.4 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.31 | 0.93 | 35.1 | 8.9 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 2.86 | 1.16 | 44.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Shane Baz compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.75K/9
9.5BB/9
3.5HR/9
1.4Fastball
97.0 mphERA
4.87WHIP
1.33BABIP
.311GB/FB
1.53Left On Base
70.6%Exit Velocity
82.6 mphBarrels/BBE
5.4%Spin Rate
2459 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.5%Swinging Strike
11.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
While it seems as if Baz is a major-league vet getting ready for free agency, the fact remains he has pitched fewer than 120 innings at the big-league level and is 7-5 with a 3.38 ERA over 23 career starts. Baz missed all of 2023 recovering from Tommy John surgery and worked nearly 40 innings in Triple-A trying to regain his velocity before finally returning to the major-league roster in early July. Baz never did fully regain his velocity as his average fastball was roughly half a click below where things were in 2022, but his other pitches performed extremely well as the league hit below .170 off all his non-fastball offerings. It was also encouraging to see Baz work six or more innings in six of his final eight starts as he got closer to the full two-year mark from his surgery and his command improved. Baz should be all systems go for 2025, but this is still a pitcher whose 108.2 innings last year between Durham and Tampa Bay is a career high.
More Fantasy News
Rebounds vs. Toronto
Baz (10-12) earned the win Thursday over the Blue Jays, allowing two hits and a walk over five scoreless innings. He struck out four.
Analysis
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Lasts just 2.1 frames
Baz (9-12) took the loss Friday, allowing five runs on six hits and three walks over 2.1 innings against the Cubs. He struck out five.
Analysis
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Strikes out eight in no-decision
Baz did not factor into the decision in Saturday's 3-2 loss to the Guardians, allowing two runs on five hits and one walk with eight strikeouts over five innings.
Analysis
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Gets back in win column
Baz (9-11) allowed five hits and two walks while striking out six over six scoreless innings to earn the win over the Mariners on Monday.
Analysis
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Stuck with loss in quality start
Baz (8-11) took the loss Tuesday, giving up three runs on three hits and two walks over six innings as the Rays fell 3-0 to the Guardians. He struck out seven.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Return unlikely
Baz is out with a right elbow sprain and is unlikely to return for the Rays before the end of the season, reports Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times.
Analysis
Baz is a couple of weeks away from beginning a throwing program, making the likelihood of a return this year slim. The 23-year-old made six starts for Tampa Bay and four for Triple-A Durham before suffering the injury. While he accumulated a 5.00 ERA across 27 innings for the Rays, he had an excellent four-start stretch where he allowed just three runs in 22.1 innings while striking out 26 batters. Tampa Bay will exercise extreme caution with Baz down the stretch, but he figures to be a significant part of the team's plans in 2023.
Baz is a couple of weeks away from beginning a throwing program, making the likelihood of a return this year slim. The 23-year-old made six starts for Tampa Bay and four for Triple-A Durham before suffering the injury. While he accumulated a 5.00 ERA across 27 innings for the Rays, he had an excellent four-start stretch where he allowed just three runs in 22.1 innings while striking out 26 batters. Tampa Bay will exercise extreme caution with Baz down the stretch, but he figures to be a significant part of the team's plans in 2023.