Teoscar Hernandez

30-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Seattle Mariners

2023 Stats

AVG

.232

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

With Hernandez heading into his final season before free agency and due well north of $10 million through the arbitration process, the Blue Jays traded him to the Mariners in November in exchange for reliever Erik Swanson and prospect Adam Macko. The move comes with a park downgrade for Hernandez, though he should slot into the heart of a quality order in Seattle. Hernandez didn't come all that close to replicating his All-Star 2021 season from a run-production standpoint, but it was still an excellent campaign, as he reached 25 home runs in his third consecutive full season. He will chip in a handful of bags around the extra-base hits and strikeouts (career 29.4 K percentage). While his defense does not grade well, that's not going to cost him playing time in 2023, as the M's need his bat in the lineup every day. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#70

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'2"

Weight 205

DOB 10/15/1992

Born Cotui, DR

College None

Drafted 2011 HOU

Moved to DH

OFSeattle Mariners

May 26, 2023

Hernandez is now listed as the designated hitter for Friday's game against the Pirates.

ANALYSIS
Hernandez was originally slated for right field for Friday's contest against Pittsburgh, but he'll instead be the designated hitter. Jarred Kelenic will get the start in right with Taylor Trammell now listed as the left fielder.

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Batting Stats

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2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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2017 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2021

+37%

OPS vs LHP

2023

+29%

OPS vs LHP

2022

+27%

OPS vs LHP

2021

+47%

OPS vs LHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021vs Left	1.032	287	52	25	68	3	.320	.352	.680
Since 2021vs Right	.754	1054	132	41	150	17	.262	.314	.440
2023vs Left	.811	50	8	5	10	0	.245	.240	.571
2023vs Right	.628	161	13	4	15	2	.228	.280	.349
2022vs Left	.978	97	15	8	20	0	.286	.330	.648
2022vs Right	.769	438	56	17	57	6	.262	.313	.456
2021vs Left	1.151	140	29	12	38	3	.372	.407	.744
2021vs Right	.784	455	63	20	78	9	.273	.327	.456
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2021

+12%

OPS on Road

2023

+13%

OPS on Road

2022

+5%

OPS at Home

2021

+28%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021Home	.767	664	88	32	102	8	.257	.306	.461
Since 2021Away	.860	677	96	34	116	12	.291	.338	.521
2023Home	.632	107	10	5	10	0	.210	.252	.380
2023Away	.717	104	11	4	15	2	.255	.288	.429
2022Home	.827	256	37	15	44	2	.259	.309	.519
2022Away	.788	279	34	10	33	4	.273	.323	.465
2021Home	.763	301	41	12	48	6	.272	.322	.441
2021Away	.980	294	51	20	68	6	.321	.371	.609
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Teoscar Hernandez compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.10

BB Rate

3.3%

K Rate

34.1%

BABIP

.311

ISO

.172

AVG

.232

OBP

.270

SLG

.404

OPS

.674

wOBA

.295

Exit Velocity

91.0 mph

Hard Hit Rate

39.8%

Barrels/PA

7.4%

Expected BA

.260

Expected SLG

.478

Sprint Speed

23.2 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

37.5%

Line Drive %

23.4%

Fly Ball %

39.1%

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

The 2021 Blue Jays had two AL MVP finalists (Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Marcus Semien), the AL Cy Young winner (Robbie Ray) plus another young phenom in Bo Bichette, leaving Hernandez as somewhat of a complementary piece, amazingly. He won't be an afterthought at the draft table for 2022; much to the contrary, Hernandez will be treated as a top-15 outfielder in most fantasy leagues. The exception may be on-base percentage leagues, as Hernandez does lag in that department with a career 7.7 BB% and .320 OBP. He shaved his strikeout rate to a career-low 24.9% in 2021, but the plate discipline is still shaky enough to leave room for some concern as he ages. At age 28, Hernandez was able to make up for it by blistering the baseball, ranking in the top 15% of the league in pretty much every Statcast batted-ball metric. He should have a few years before any real physical decline sets in, and Hernandez showed a greater willingness to run in 2021. The 2022 campaign should be another fruitful one for Hernandez amidst one of the game's best lineups.

The trio of Vlad Guerrero, Bo Bichette and Cavan Biggio got most of the attention last spring, but it was Hernandez who carried the Blue Jays' offense through most of the short 2020 season. Hernandez had two multi-homer games before the end of July and was still playing at an MVP-caliber level in early September before an oblique strain cropped up. The injury was expected to cost Hernandez serious time, but he returned after the minimum only to hit .227/.227/.386 in his final 11 regular-season games. Despite the cold finish, Hernandez still ranked among the elite in virtually every batted-ball metric, and his sprint speed ranked in the 85th percentile. He displayed big-time growth against right-handed pitching, shaving his strikeout rate against righties from to 34.7% to 28.9%, though it's fair to wonder how much of that growth is real. Hernandez has to get the most out of his limited contact.

Hernandez struggles defensively and has an unsightly 31.8 K% across nearly 1,200 MLB plate appearances. When he manages to put bat to ball, Hernandez does damage, as evidenced by an average exit velocity in the 85th percentile last season. The 27-year-old's sprint speed ranked even higher, in the 94th percentile. Those tools have carried Hernandez to this point in his career, and what's encouraging is that Hernandez has been above league average the past two seasons despite his plate-discipline woes. Hernandez's walk rate improved last season, providing a shred of hope that the batting eye may come along yet. The power is very real, and Toronto's talented young core should provide him with RBI opportunities. If you build up a strong batting-average foundation early, you can safely roll the dice on a player like Hernandez who projects as a BA detriment with 30-homer upside.

Let's get the bad out of the way: Hernandez whiffed a bunch (31.2 K%), gave his manager headaches on defense (minus-5 outs above average) and might struggle with future playing time. However, Hernandez's 2018 issues shouldn't completely erase his former hype. After all, he tied for ninth with a 9.4 Brls/PA mark (after 9.5 in limited 2017 action) and sat among the top 25 in average exit velocity (91.8 mph) and contact distance (201 feet). Toronto appears focused on improving his fielding to justify fitting him in the lineup. The 26-year-old should still see opportunities at designated hitter and left field, and maybe he'll revisit a fraction of the base-stealing that helped him swipe 16 bags in the minors in 2017, if new skipper Carlos Montoyo gives him the green light more often. Those who go back to the well and target him as a depth player could wind up with a high-impact breakout. Just don't get too attached.

Hernandez was a popular late-season pickup in 2017 during his September callup, thanks to his combined .265/.351/.490 line with 18 homers and 16 stolen bases between Triple-A Buffalo and Fresno. Toronto gave him an audition and Hernandez impressed, generating two six-game hit streaks, a pair of two-homer games, and a stretch of six homers in six games. There's more pop in his bat than his 6-foot-2, 198-pound frame suggests, though his flyball-centric profile comes with a lot of swing-and-miss, making him a potential batting average liability, and a player susceptible to lengthy slumps. Still, he boasts a walk rate that could make up for that. The 25-year-old, who has shown 30-steal speed on multiple occasions in the minors, could emerge as a surprise power-speed producer if he's given a starting job for 2018. Even if he's projected for a fourth-outfielder role coming out of spring training, Hernandez has a combination of tools that could force the Jays' hand to an increase in playing time at some point this season.

Hernandez earned his first taste of the big leagues in 2016 after rocketing through the upper levels of the minors. The toolsy 24-year-old outfielder hit a combined .307/.377/.459 with 10 home runs, 53 RBI and 34 stolen bases (on 49 attempts) in 107 games between Double-A and Triple-A, parlaying that success into a promotion to the majors. He appeared in 41 games for the big club, though he was often just used as a pinch hitter against lefties. His power, particularly against lefties, is at least 50-grade, so he has the potential to someday post double-digit steals and homers in a season, but he lacks a true plus tool. In another organization, Hernandez might be poised for everyday duties heading into 2017, but the Astros depth dictates that his best chance of making the big league club out of camp is as the right-handed side of a platoon.

Hernandez emerged as one of the Astros' most exciting prospects in 2014 after putting up huge numbers in the California League, but that excitement faded a bit after his first full season with Double-A Corpus Christi. Hernandez certainly fits the profile for the Astros, combining power and speed with a ton of strikeouts, but he'll need to improve his ability to get on base (6.4-percent walk rate) to take the next step forward in his development. Despite his struggles last season, a jump to Triple-A is likely at some point in 2016.

Signed by the Astros out of the Dominican Republic in 2011, Hernandez emerged as one of the team's most exciting prospects last season. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 180 pounds, the 22-year-old mans center field with a rocket arm (11 outfield assists in 2014) that could eventually warrant a move to right field as he develops. Hernandez also has the power and speed combo that fantasy owners crave, hitting .292/.362/.535 with 37 doubles, nine triples, 21 home runs, 85 RBI and 33 steals in 119 games between High-A Lancaster and Double-A Corpus Christi last season. With exceptional work ethic and five average or better tools, Hernandez is someone to keep an eye on as he reaches the upper levels of the Astros' farm system. A jump to Triple-A is likely at some point in 2015.

More Fantasy News

Mashes homer

OFSeattle Mariners

May 24, 2023

Hernandez went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Wednesday's victory over the Athletics.