Trent Grisham

Trent Grisham

26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
San Diego Padres
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Grisham had a 106 wRC+ across his first three big-league campaigns, but he struggled mightily at the plate in 2022 with a .625 OPS in 152 games. He lost hold of the starting job in center field in mid-September but reclaimed the job by the end of the campaign. Grisham once again provided excellent defense in center field with 13 OAA to earn a Gold Glove, which is the primary reason he received as many opportunities as he did despite his offensive issues. His strikeout rate spiked to 28.6 percent, but he continues to take plenty of walks with an 11.2 percent walk rate. Grisham saw his contact rate drop over five percentage points when swinging at pitches inside the strike zone, and his line-drive rate also cratered to 13.5 percent. However, he also clubbed 17 homers and clearly still has the potential to be an impact bat. Whether the 26-year-old is able to get back on track in 2023 remains to be seen, making him a volatile fantasy option at best. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#336
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $3.18 million contract with the Padres in January of 2023.
Inks one-year deal
OFSan Diego Padres
January 13, 2023
Grisham signed a one-year, $3.175 million contract with the Padres on Friday to avoid arbitration, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
Grisham batted just .184 in 2022 but did slug 17 home runs and captured his second Gold Glove. His defense will give him some leash, but the Padres might not be as patient with him again in 2023 if he can't bounce back at the plate to some degree.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
23
1
15
44
13
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
6
15
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+4%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+16%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+15%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .728 332 35 12 42 7 .240 .322 .406
Since 2020vs Right .698 963 125 30 99 23 .214 .311 .387
2022vs Left .634 134 18 5 13 3 .203 .269 .364
2022vs Right .623 390 40 12 40 4 .177 .289 .333
2021vs Left .824 138 12 5 24 3 .261 .372 .452
2021vs Right .712 389 49 10 38 10 .236 .311 .401
2020vs Left .722 60 5 2 5 1 .273 .322 .400
2020vs Right .830 184 36 8 21 9 .245 .359 .471
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+2%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+1%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .718 601 70 19 59 14 .227 .317 .401
Since 2020Away .701 693 89 23 82 15 .217 .312 .389
2022Home .628 238 27 9 25 3 .185 .268 .360
2022Away .623 286 31 8 28 4 .183 .298 .325
2021Home .771 240 27 4 22 7 .262 .347 .424
2021Away .715 287 34 11 40 6 .226 .310 .405
2020Home .789 123 16 6 12 4 .243 .352 .437
2020Away .845 120 24 4 14 5 .271 .350 .495
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Stat Review
How does Trent Grisham compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.38
 
BB Rate
10.9%
 
K Rate
28.6%
 
BABIP
.231
 
ISO
.157
 
AVG
.184
 
OBP
.284
 
SLG
.341
 
OPS
.626
 
wOBA
.282
 
Exit Velocity
88.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
31.0%
 
Barrels/PA
4.8%
 
Expected BA
.204
 
Expected SLG
.354
 
Sprint Speed
25.1 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
43.3%
 
Line Drive %
13.5%
 
Fly Ball %
43.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trent Grisham See More
Todd's Takes: Putting a Bow on the Moves
7 days ago
Todd Zola tackles the remainder of the winter's most fantasy-relevant moves, including the swap which sent Pablo Lopez to Minnesota and Luis Arraez to Miami.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Targets
103 days ago
Chris Bennett breaks down Game 3 of the NLCS between the Padres and Phillies on Friday.
MLB Picks: NLCS Betting Odds and Best Bets for Phillies vs Padres
106 days ago
Erik Halterman digs into the betting odds for the NLCS matchup between the Padres and Phillies and identifies his best bets to target.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets
106 days ago
Chris Bennett takes a look at Tuesday's two-game playoff slate as Jose Ramirez and the Guardians try to get past the Yankees.
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
106 days ago
Dan Marcus brings us his insights for Tuesday's DraftKings slate, which features Game 5 between Cleveland and New York, as well as Game 1 of the NLCS.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2018
2017
2016
Grisham was a major question mark coming into the 2021 season after he broke out out in the shortened 2020 campaign. The breakout continued into 2021 when he hit .301/.383/.515 while going 7-for-8 on the basepaths through late May before he hurt his heel. He was barely a replacement-level hitter after returning from the IL (.218/.304/.371 with nine homers and 6-for-10 on the bases). Keep in mind some of the production decline was likely from normal regression since it's close to impossible to maintain a near-.400 BABIP. Through all the changes, he's maintained a great eye and rarely chased anything out of the strike zone (sixth-lowest chase rate among qualified hitters), so he'll likely maintain good strikeout and walk numbers. There is a possibility of a 20-20 season in him. He could also hit so poorly he's forced to the bench on a contending team. It's really tough to know at this point.
Grisham raised his fantasy stock tenfold with a breakthrough 2020 campaign in which he finished as one of only six players to notch double-digit home runs (10) and steals (10). The speed has always been there -- Grisham swiped 37 bags in the minors in 2017 -- but the power is a more recent development as he had not exceeded eight long balls until busting out with 26 between two minor-league stops in 2019. Grisham's 88.3 mph average exit velocity was nothing special, but 20-plus homers seems reasonable given his above-average hard-hit rate (41.8%) and barrel rate (11.1%) along with a tendency to pull the ball (43.8 Pull%). The center fielder's patience at the plate (12.3 BB%) should help pad his stolen-base total, and his elite defense will keep him in an everyday role. There are few things more coveted in fantasy than the combination of speed and power, so Grisham should be a popular target come draft day.
Grisham was barely on the prospect radar when 2019 began, but by the end of the season, he was playing a key role for Milwaukee. Grisham had struggled the prior couple years, but an adjustment to his swing late in the 2018 campaign paid off in a big way, as he crushed pitchers at both Double-A and Triple-A before earning a promotion to the big leagues for the first time. Grisham did not run as frequently last year, but that was partly due to a spike in his slugging percentage. He brings a good eye to the plate, as evidenced by his career .376 OBP in the minors. With a more pressing need in the infield, the Brewers traded Grisham as part of the package to get Luis Urias from San Diego. The Padres' outfield situation is a bit cluttered as well, but Grisham's playing time is likely more secure now that he's on a second-division team. The lefty-hitting Grisham could even be a fit in the top-third of the lineup.
The prospect formerly known as Trent "Clark" changed his last name to honor his mother, but by either name he is one of the Brewers' most promising youngsters. Just how bright his future is, is uncertain at this point, though, as he struggled to hit for both average and power in 2017 for the second year in a row. One thing Clark definitely succeeds at, however, is getting on base: he has posted a .372 OBP as a professional, and he finished second among all minor leaguers last season with 98 walks. With him still reaching base often despite striking out a whopping 141 times, Clark was a threat on the basepaths, and he made major strides in that area, upping his success rate from 33 percent the year before to 88 percent in 2017. Clark is a former first rounder who will be just 21 years old for the entire 2018 campaign, so he has the time and skills to diversify his portfolio at the plate. He has slid down prospect lists, but his pedigree could help him rebound like fellow Milwaukee outfield prospect Monte Harrison did last year.
Clark was dominant in rookie ball in 2016, but elevation to full-season ball in the Midwest League exposed the 19-year-old's weaknesses. He struck out 62 times in just 59 games for the Wisconsin Timber Rattlers, was caught stealing 10 times and succeeded on just five attempts, and mustered just a .231/.346/.344 batting line. Still, Clark remains one of Milwaukee's most promising prospects -- an athletic outfielder with the ability to stick in center field and a promising hit tool that has drawn comparisons to Michael Brantley, another former Brewers outfield prospect. He's still a few years away, but his stock will be worth watching.
Clark was selected 15th overall by the Brewers in the 2015 draft, and he wasted no time justifying that decision. Despite sitting out some time after a scary collision with the outfield wall, Clark slashed .309/.422/.442 to go with 20 stolen bases in the Arizona Rookie League. He also put up similar numbers in the Pioneer League with rookie-level Helena. The left-hander did strike out fairly frequently (18 percent of the time in the Arizona League), but he also showed good discipline while producing a 15 percent walk rate. At only 19 years old, Clark is already a top prospect and has lots of potential to be a major force with the Brewers in the future.
More Fantasy News
Takes control of center field
OFSan Diego Padres
October 9, 2022
Grisham will start in center field and bat eighth in Sunday's Game 3 against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Losing work to Azocar
OFSan Diego Padres
September 18, 2022
Grisham is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Day off Saturday
OFSan Diego Padres
September 17, 2022
Grisham isn't starting Saturday against Arizona, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
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Sitting versus lefty
OFSan Diego Padres
September 16, 2022
Grisham is out of Friday's lineup against the Diamondbacks, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
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Sits against lefty
OFSan Diego Padres
September 11, 2022
Grisham is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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