Triston Casas

23-Year-Old First Baseman1B

Boston Red Sox

2023 Stats

AVG

.193

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Casas, a hulking 6-foot-4, 252-pound first baseman, finally made his MLB debut late last season and projects to be Boston's starter out of camp in 2023, especially with Eric Hosmer cut loose. He has huge raw power to all fields, boasting an elite 40.2 Hard% in the minors and a 110.5 mph max exit velocity in a tiny MLB sample (53 batted balls). A lefty hitter, Casas had a .617 OPS in 2022 and a .591 OPS in 2021 against minor-league southpaws. Considering chief baseball officer Chaim Bloom came from Tampa Bay, it wouldn't be surprising to see Casas on the strong side of a platoon if Boston is intent on winning as many games as possible in 2023. He has consistently logged walk rates over 14 percent and projects to offer more value in OBP leagues than AVG leagues. Casas is not necessarily overweight, but he has a massive frame, so it is mildly concerning that he missed time with the ankle injury and was dealing with a knee injury at the end of the season that lingered into Dominican Winter League play. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#223

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'4"

Weight 238

DOB 1/15/2000

Born Miami, FL

College None

Drafted 1st Rd 2018 BOS

On bench after 0-for-5 day

1BBoston Red Sox

May 31, 2023

Casas is out of the lineup Wednesday versus the Reds.

ANALYSIS
After an 0-for-5 effort in Tuesday's 9-8 loss, Casas' season-long batting average now sits at .193. The lefty-hitting Casas now finds himself on the bench for the second game of the series, despite having the platoon advantage in his favor while right-hander Luke Weaver takes the hill for Cincinnati. Justin Turner will fill in for Casas at first base.

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Batting Stats

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2023

2022

2023 MLB Game Log

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Scoring

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2022 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2021

+7%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+6%

OPS vs LHP

2022

+34%

OPS vs RHP

2021

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021vs Left	.662	59	5	1	4	0	.178	.373	.289
Since 2021vs Right	.710	208	29	10	24	1	.199	.313	.398
2023vs Left	.699	34	5	1	3	0	.154	.353	.346
2023vs Right	.658	138	18	5	13	0	.202	.297	.361
2022vs Left	.611	25	0	0	1	0	.211	.400	.211
2022vs Right	.817	70	11	5	11	1	.193	.343	.474
2021vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2021

+4%

OPS at Home

2023

+8%

OPS on Road

2022

+27%

OPS at Home

2021

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021Home	.715	132	18	4	14	1	.220	.348	.367
Since 2021Away	.688	135	16	7	14	0	.170	.304	.384
2023Home	.643	88	11	2	8	0	.203	.318	.324
2023Away	.692	84	12	4	8	0	.183	.298	.394
2022Home	.866	44	7	2	6	1	.257	.409	.457
2022Away	.680	51	4	3	6	0	.146	.314	.366
2021Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Triston Casas compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.51

BB Rate

14.5%

K Rate

28.5%

BABIP

.239

ISO

.166

AVG

.193

OBP

.308

SLG

.359

OPS

.667

wOBA

.301

Exit Velocity

91.6 mph

Hard Hit Rate

32.7%

Barrels/PA

7.6%

Expected BA

.215

Expected SLG

.428

Sprint Speed

20.5 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

37.8%

Line Drive %

21.4%

Fly Ball %

40.8%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Triston Casas Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

Games By Position

Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

Casas was quite busy last season, hitting .279/.394/.484 with 14 home runs in 86 games across Double-A and Triple-A before hitting .372 with one home run and six doubles in 21 games in the Arizona Fall League. He also hit .385/.484/.615 while representing Team USA in the Olympics in the middle of the summer. Casas's 70-grade raw power hasn't fully translated in games just yet, with his top current skill being an extraordinary command of the strike zone for a player who will turn 22 in January. He registered a 15.8 BB% and a 19.0 K% across his three non-Olympic stops, and while he wasn't drafted by this current Red Sox regime, he is the exact kind of hitter they value and want to build around. Casas, who measures in at 6-foot-5 and 245 pounds and bats left-handed, will always be more valuable in OBP leagues than in AVG leagues, and it remains to be seen how much of his raw power he will get to at his peak. The hope is that he will eventually be a Matt Olson type of middle-of-the-order run producer. He will head back to Triple-A to start the season before getting a chance to take over the everyday duties at first base for Boston around June or July.

Public reports on Casas' time at Boston's alternate training site have led to him rocketing up prospect lists, even though we don't have tangible data to back up that ascent. He was already trending up after a breakout 2019 season at Low-A, but it sounds like he took another leap this past summer. The lefty hitting first baseman reported to camp in great shape and showed strong plate coverage and an all-fields approach against more advanced pitchers. He is power over hit, but should log high walk rates in the majors, so he is probably going to be more valuable in OBP leagues. The 6-foot-4 slugger is lauded for his makeup and work ethic, and while it is unclear if he will hit .245 or closer to .275, he seems like a safe bet to produce enough to clear the offensive bar of being a big-league first baseman. If there is a minor-league season, Casas could open the year at Double-A with an MLB ETA of early 2022.

First base prospects are a dying breed -- only a handful crack the top-100 fantasy prospect rankings. Casas is one of a select few who have a real chance to be a top-10 fantasy first baseman some day. The No. 26 overall pick in 2018, Casas was seen as a power-over-hit prospect whose swing-and-miss issues could sink him. He quieted those concerns in his full-season debut, logging a 136 wRC+, .218 ISO, 35.7 Hard%, 23.5 K% and 11.8 BB% as one of the youngest players in the Sally League. He is adept at lifting the ball (42.8 GB%) and surprisingly excelled at using the whole field (35.7 Oppo%). Casas hit just .213 with a 33.7 K% against southpaws, so it's possible he will need a platoon partner at the highest level, but he also has several years to work on improving that aspect of his hitting. He should spend most of 2020 at High-A and should reach the majors in late-2021 or early-2022.

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