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Best Bets
Stephen Curry under 27.5 points (-104) vs. Nuggets
DraftKings, 4:44 PM CT
Alex Barutha: Denver is one of the better teams in the league at containing scorers in the pick-and-roll, allowing the sixth-fewest points to pick-and-roll ballhandlers. Curry scores 7.5 PPG in those actions, and that playtype accounts for 33% of his usage. He's also struggled against the Nuggets in two prior appearances this season, averaging only 20.5 PPG.
Chris Paul under 7.5 assists (-115) vs. Nuggets
PointsBet, 4:55 PM CT
Alex Barutha: The Nuggets are allowing the third-fewest assists to opposing point guards this season. In two prior appearances against Denver, Paul has averaged just 3.5 assists. CP3 is also averaging only 4.3 APG over his past four games.
Jamal Murray under 6.5 assists (-130) and over 1.5 steals (+154) at Warriors
FanDuel, 4:51 PM CT
Alex Barutha: The Warriors are allowing the fewest assists to opposing point guards, but also allowing the second-most steals. In Murray's one appearance against Golden State earlier in the year, he had just three assists while racking up two steals.
Damian Lillard over 25.5 points (-120) at Spurs
BetMGM, 4:57 PM CT
Alex Barutha: Lillard burned me earlier in the week, but I want redemption. He's in a bit of a cold spell, averaging only 21.7 points over the past six games while shooting 39.2 FG% and 28.8 3P%. What better spot to bounce back than against the Spurs? They allow the fourth-most points to pick-and-roll ballhandlers, and those actions account for 44.2% of Lillard's usage for 10.3 PPG. Earlier in December, he dropped 40 points on San Antonio.
