Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro

23-Year-Old GuardG
Miami Heat  NBA  
Miami Heat
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Now in his fifth season in the NBA, Herro will be looking to elevate his game to the next level. After establishing himself as a reliable scoring option in the 2021-22 season, Herro plateaued last season, basically mimicking his numbers from the previous year. He was the 79th-ranked player in nine-category leagues thanks to averages of 20.1 points, 5.4 rebounds, 4.2 assists, 0.8 steals and 3.0 three-pointers. Looking at the roster right now, Herro should land himself a similar role. With Jimmy Butler and Kyle Lowry both another year older, there is even a chance Herro shoulders a little more responsibility, especially on the offensive end. However, should Damian Lillard find his way to Miami, we could be telling a very different story, especially if Herro is part of the deal. Until then, he should be looked at as a solid mid-round target, with potential top-50 upside. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#79
ADP
$Signed a four-year, $120 million contract extension with the Heat in October of 2022.
Personal Bio/PreCareer Summary

Tyler Christopher Herro was born Jan. 20, 200 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. He is the son of Jen and Chris Herro and has two brothers, Austin and Myles. While at Kentucky, Herro studied communications. Herro's college teammates gave him the nickname "Boy Wonder". Outside of basketball, Herro's interests include fashion and photography. He has his own charitable foundation, The T. Herro Foundation, which strives to support and inspire youth through community events, camps and other programs with the goal to cultivate the heroes of tomorrow. When Herro's playing career is over, he'd like to coach. You can follow Herro on Twitter @raf_tyler. The 2018-19 Kentucky Wildcats were a deep and talented team, but Herro was the only player who started all 37 games for the team. Coach John Calipari mixed his starting lineup and had to deal with some injuries, but Herro was a consistent scoring presence. He was second on the team with 14.0 points while also adding 4.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. The 6-foot-5 guard hit 35.5 percent of his three-pointers. Herro scored at least 20 points six times, including a season-high 29 points in a comeback win over Arkansas. He had his lone double-double game with 15 points and 13 rebounds in a win over Tennessee. The guard helped the Wildcats get to the Elite Eight. He knocked down 19 points in a win over Houston and was named to the All-Midwest Region team to go along with SEC All-Freshman and All-SEC Second Teams. After his freshman season, Herro declared for the 2019 NBA Draft. He was chosen by the Miami Heat with the 13th overall pick.

Doesn't play despite being cleared
GMiami Heat
June 13, 2023
Herro (hand) didn't play in Monday's Game 5 loss to the Nuggets.
ANALYSIS
Herro suffered a hand injury that required surgery in Game 1 of Miami's opening-round series versus Milwaukee and missed nearly the entire postseason. He was cleared to suit up for Game 5, but head coach Erik Spoelstra opted to keep the shooting guard on the bench. The Kentucky product signed a four-year, $120 million contract extension in October last year, so he figures to be an integral part of the Heat's rotation for years to come.
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Stat Review
How does Tyler Herro compare to other players?
This section compares his stats with all players from the previous three seasons (minimum 200 minutes played)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
  • True Shooting %
    An advanced statistic that measures a player's efficiency at shooting the ball that takes field goal percentage, free throw percentage, and three point percentage into account.
  • Effective Field Goal %
    A statistic that adjusts field goal percentage to account for the fact that three-point field goals count for three points while field goals only count for two points.
  • 3-Point Attempt Rate
    Percentage of field goal attempts from three point range.
  • Free Throw Rate
    Number of free throw attempts per field goal attempt.
  • Offensive Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available offensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Defensive Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available defensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Total Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Assist %
    An estimate of the percentage of teammate field goals a player assisted while they were on the floor.
  • Steal %
    An estimate of the percentage of opponent possessions that end with a steal by the player while they were on the floor.
  • Block %
    An estimate of the percentage of opponent two-point field goal attempts blocked by the player while they were on the floor.
  • Turnover %
    An estimate of turnovers committed per 100 plays.
  • Usage %
    An estimate of the percentage of team plays used by a player while they were on the floor.
  • Fantasy Points Per Game
    NBA Fantasy Points Per Game.
  • Fantasy Points Per Minute
    NBA Fantasy Points Per Minute.
True Shooting %
56.6%
 
Effective Field Goal %
53.1%
 
3-Point Attempt Rate
48.4%
 
Free Throw Rate
16.4%
 
Offensive Rebound %
1.3%
 
Defensive Rebound %
17.1%
 
Total Rebound %
9.0%
 
Assist %
19.7%
 
Steal %
1.0%
 
Block %
0.7%
 
Turnover %
9.7%
 
Usage %
25.6%
 
Fantasy Points Per Game
33.5
 
Fantasy Points Per Minute
1.0
 
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How are these ratings calculated?
Our historical fantasy ratings are standard scores calculated using 8-Category settings with 12 teams and 13 players per team.
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Heat Depth Chart
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Heat Rotation: Minutes Breakdown
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Average Fantasy Points
Average Fantasy Points are determined when Tyler Herro was active vs. non-active during the season. Click here to view average fantasy points for a different time period.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Tyler Herro See More
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29 days ago
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could be flipped in Lillard deal
GMiami Heat
July 12, 2023
Herro is a player the Trail Blazers don't seem very interested in acquiring in a Damian Lillard trade, but he could be moved to a third team for draft pick compensation, Jake Fischer of Yahoo Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
The Heat remain the favorites to land Lillard, mainly because his agent has indicated they are the only team the point guard wants to play for, but so far Portland and Miami don't seem close to agreeing to a deal. It's not clear what other teams might be interested in picking up Herro in exchange for a first-round pick, but Utah scouted him heavily last summer while preparing to trade Donovan Mitchell, while Brooklyn might think about adding the 23-year-old guard if it created an opportunity to unload Ben Simmons. Herro is heading into the first season of a four-year, $120 million contract extension he signed last October.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
Herro made significant strides in his third season, netting him the 2021-22 Sixth Man of the Year award. He reached career highs in nearly all metrics. The 22-year-old averaged 20.7 points on 45/40/87 shooting, 5.0 rebounds and 4.0 assists in 32.6 minutes. He also set a new career-high single-game scoring performance with 35 points against the Hornets. Miami wasn't shy about leaning on him as the leader of the bench unit, as his 28.8 percent usage rate (18th in the league) would suggest. The fantasy result was Herro ranking 66th in per-game value. With Jimmy Butler and Kyle Lowry aging and prone to rest days and injury, fantasy managers should feel confident targeting the young and rising Herro. He'll boast a major production boost when one or both of Lowry and Butler miss games, and he's entrenched as a high-usage offensive option even when the pair are available. Combine Herro's potential for boosted stats with an assumed improvement, and he will go off the board much earlier than last season's rank. He will have trouble reaching elite levels due to his current role and lack of defensive stats, but the Kentucky product is a high-floor option in the early-to-mid rounds of drafts.
After an impressive playoff run in the bubble during the 2020 playoffs as a rookie, Herro was viewed as having plenty of upside as a sophomore last season. While he did improve, it wasn't the leap forward that fantasy managers expected. Herro ranked 131st in per-game production last season behind 15.1 points, 5.0 rebounds and 3.4 assists in 30.3 minutes. There are encouraging signs of growth if you know where to look. He decreased his mid-range jumpers, replacing them with more shots at the rim, and he improved as a finisher at the basket. He also increased his vision significantly, jumping from 3.9 assists per 100 possessions to 5.6 assists per 100 possessions while keeping his turnovers nearly stagnant. Heading into 2021-22, Herro should practically be locked into minutes in the high-20s, and he should continue to occupy a sixth-man role. However, there are conflicting factors when considering Herro's potential production. He's 21 years old, has stepped up in the postseason and is making improvements. But, the Heat got significantly better in the offseason -- adding Kyle Lowry and retaining Victor Oladipo -- meaning Herro won't need to score 15 points every night for the Heat to win. He's someone that fantasy managers in dynasty leagues should feel good about long-term, but Herro might not be a great option this season. It's fair to expect him to be drafted inside the top 100, but that's far from a guarantee to pay off.
Herro is heading into his sophomore NBA season with considerable momentum after a rookie campaign in which he averaged 13.5 points, 2.1 threes and 4.1 rebounds despite making only eight starts. Adding to the hype, he elevated his play when the postseason rolled around, averaging 16.0 points during the Heat's run to the NBA Finals. Whether he opens games on the court or not, it's clear that the Heat will give Herro all the playing time he can handle. The Kentucky product is a natural scorer who's sharp from both three-point range (38.9 percent) and the free-throw line (87.0 percent), which should have fantasy managers salivating at the prospect of increased opportunity. His fantasy value is capped to some degree by his relative lack of secondary stats outside the shooting categories, but at just 20 years old, Herro has plenty of room to grow his game. Expect a scoring spike driven by plenty of threes, with some boards and steals as a bonus.
Herro was selected No. 13 overall in the 2019 draft after an impressive freshman season with Kentucky. He snuck into the lottery behind a strong NCAA Tournament, and he could land the starting job at shooting guard as a rookie with Miami. Herro flashed at the Las Vegas Summer League with his all-around play, averaging 19.8 points, 4.5 rebounds, 4.3 assists and 1.5 steals in four appearances. The lanky two-guard can be impactful on both ends of the court, with his solid defense and ability to get to the rim and shoot the three-ball at a respectable clip (35.5 percent last season) on offense. The pure scorer should have no problem securing a healthy allotment of minutes in a rotation that could use help scoring outside of Jimmy Butler. He won't face much competition for playing time from the current members of the Heat backcourt outside of Dion Waiters.
More Fantasy News
Good to go Monday
GMiami Heat
June 12, 2023
Herro (hand) is available for Game 5 against the Nuggets on Monday, Shane Young of Forbes.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expects to suit up for Game 5
GMiami Heat
Hand
June 12, 2023
Herro (hand) has been upgraded to questionable for Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Nuggets on Monday.
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Won't play in Game 5
GMiami Heat
Hand
June 11, 2023
Herro (hand) has been ruled out for Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Nuggets on Monday, Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ruled out for Game 4
GMiami Heat
Hand
June 8, 2023
Herro (hand) has been ruled out for Game 4 of the NBA Finals against the Nuggets on Friday, Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expected out for Game 4
GMiami Heat
Hand
June 8, 2023
Herro (hand) is "not clear to take that next step" in his ramp-up process towards playing, Ira Winderman of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. He's expected to remain out for Friday's Game 4 matchup with the Nuggets in the NBA Finals.
ANALYSIS
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