NFL Picks: Falcons and Packers

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Updated on October 10, 2018 4:54PM EST

I didn't realize the monster week Pianowski had until I tallied the picks - he went 12-3 to pull four games ahead of me in one week. His 49-26 pace (65%) isn't sustainable obviously, but it's an awfully nice start.

This week, we have two unanimous picks, the Falcons and Packers. The Falcons are Erickson's best bet, while the Packers are DDD's.

	Erickson	Pianowski	Liss	Stopa	Del Don
Eagles -3 at Giants	Eagles	Eagles	Giants	Eagles	Giants
Cardinals +10.5 at Vikings	Vikings	Cardinals	Cardinals	Cardinals	Vikings
Chargers -1 at Browns	Browns	Browns	Browns	Chargers	Browns
Bears -3 at Dolphins	Bears	Bears	Dolphins	Dolphins	Dolphins
Panthers +1 at Redskins	Redskins	Redskins	Redskins	Panthers	Redskins
Colts +2.5 at Jets	Jets	Colts	Colts	Colts	Jets
Steelers +2.5 at Bengals	Steelers	Bengals	Bengals	Steelers	Bengals
Buccaneers +3.5 at Falcons	Falcons	Falcons	Falcons	Falcons	Falcons
Seahawks -3 vs. Raiders	Raiders	Raiders	Raiders	Raiders	Seahawks
Bills +8.5 at Texans	Bills	Bills	Bills	Texans	Bills
Rams -7 at Broncos	Rams	Broncos	Rams	Rams	Rams
Jaguars -3 at Cowboys	Jaguars	Jaguars	Cowboys	Jaguars	Cowboys
Ravens -3 at Titans	Titans	Titans	Titans	Ravens	Titans
Chiefs +3.5 at Patriots	Patriots	Chiefs	Chiefs	Chiefs	Patriots
49ers +9.5 at Packers	Packers	Packers	Packers	Packers	Packers
Best Bet	Falcons	Chiefs	Redskins	Jaguars	Packers
Last Week's Record	5-10	12-3	8-7	6-9	8-7
2018 Record	37-48-3	49-26-3	45-30-3	35-40-3	36-39-3
Best Bet Record	2-3	3-2	2-3	4-1	2-2-1
2017 Best Bet Record	8-7-2	9-7-1	12-4-1	8-7-2	11-6
Unanimous Pick Record	8-8-2

This week, we have two unanimous picks, the Falcons and Packers. The Falcons are Erickson's best bet, while the Packers are DDD's.

	Erickson	Pianowski	Liss	Stopa	Del Don
Eagles -3 at Giants	Eagles	Eagles	Giants	Eagles	Giants
Cardinals +10.5 at Vikings	Vikings	Cardinals	Cardinals	Cardinals	Vikings
Chargers -1 at Browns	Browns	Browns	Browns	Chargers	Browns
Bears -3 at Dolphins	Bears	Bears	Dolphins	Dolphins	Dolphins
Panthers +1 at Redskins	Redskins	Redskins	Redskins	Panthers	Redskins
Colts +2.5 at Jets	Jets	Colts	Colts	Colts	Jets
Steelers +2.5 at Bengals	Steelers	Bengals	Bengals	Steelers	Bengals
Buccaneers +3.5 at Falcons	Falcons	Falcons	Falcons	Falcons	Falcons
Seahawks -3 vs. Raiders	Raiders	Raiders	Raiders	Raiders	Seahawks
Bills +8.5 at Texans	Bills	Bills	Bills	Texans	Bills
Rams -7 at Broncos	Rams	Broncos	Rams	Rams	Rams
Jaguars -3 at Cowboys	Jaguars	Jaguars	Cowboys	Jaguars	Cowboys
Ravens -3 at Titans	Titans	Titans	Titans	Ravens	Titans
Chiefs +3.5 at Patriots	Patriots	Chiefs	Chiefs	Chiefs	Patriots
49ers +9.5 at Packers	Packers	Packers	Packers	Packers	Packers
Best Bet	Falcons	Chiefs	Redskins	Jaguars	Packers
Last Week's Record	5-10	12-3	8-7	6-9	8-7
2018 Record	37-48-3	49-26-3	45-30-3	35-40-3	36-39-3
Best Bet Record	2-3	3-2	2-3	4-1	2-2-1
2017 Best Bet Record	8-7-2	9-7-1	12-4-1	8-7-2	11-6
Unanimous Pick Record	8-8-2
Majority Pick Record	44-31-3
2017 Record	117-125-14	128-114-14	117-125-14	119-123-14	98-144-14
2016 Record	133-102-5	122-113-5	115-120-5	108-127-5	123-112-5
2015 Record	134-114-8	120-128-8	114-134-8	127-121-8	121-127-8
2014 Record	123-128-5	140-111-5	135-116-5	124-127-5	128-123-5
2013 Record	132-114-10	118-128-10	123-123-10	111-135-10	128-118-10
2012 Record	110-140-6	125-125-6	121-129-6	143-107-6	123-127-6
2011 Record	121-128-7	134-115-7	124-125-7	123-126-7	127-122-7
2010 Record	129-122-5	134-117-5	126-125-5	136-115-5	134-117-5
2009 Record	123-130-3	132-121-3	131-122-3	130-123-3	126-127-3
2008 Record	132-114-10	128-118-10	124-122-10	125-121-10	130-116-10
2007 Record	127-120	118-129	127-120	N/A	130-117
2006 Record	118-129	N/A	139-108	N/A	N/A
2005 Record	121-126	N/A	127-120	N/A	N/A
2004 Record	124-124	N/A	130-118	N/A	N/A
2003 Record	121-126	118-129	124-123	N/A	N/A
2002 Record	113-136	123-126	141-108	N/A	N/A
2001 Record	124-113	117-120	118-119	N/A	N/A
2000 Record	123-117	134-106	141-99	N/A	N/A

Unanimous/Majority Picks

This week we have two unanimous picks: Falcons and Packers. Last week we had no unanimous picks, leaving our season record at 8-8-2. We went 8-7 on majority picks (three or more writers) to bring our season record to 44-31-3. Last year we went 23-28-4 on unanimous picks and 121-121-14 on majority picks.

Comments:

Writer	Comment
Erickson	While the Falcons have real problems, and this is a division game, I think we're overlooking how bad the Bucs' defense is. I think they roll, and Julio Jones gets his this week.
Pianowski	New England doesn't have a lot of team speed and lateral speed on defense. Maybe the Colts couldn't adequately expose this - though they still got some points - but the Chiefs won't have any problem doing this. Andy Reid finally has exactly the offense he wants. The Rams and Chiefs are such a pleasure to watch and rewatch.
Liss	I like the Redskins laying less than three against a Panthers squad that got lucky last week to regroup at home. I also like Falcons as only 3.5-point home favorites against a soft Bucs defense and the Browns as home dogs.
Stopa	With all four NFC East teams imploding before our eyes, is it possible none of them make the playoffs? I like fading this division whenever possible, particularly at a FG or less against clearly better teams (Jaguars, Panthers). The Jags in particular seem due for a rebound. As for Thursday night, having to choose between the lesser of two evils has me on Philly, which, even Liss will agree, has more talent at the important positions.
Del Don	I actually like this week's slate ATS, which probably means nothing if not a precursor of a poor showing. As for best bet, give me the Packers laying fewer than 10 at home in primetime after coming off a loss, against arguably the worst team in football. I expected this line to be around 14-15 points.

The players:

• Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008, 2013, 2015, 2016 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Weekly Rankings. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

• Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to Rotowire.com. 2009, 2011, 2014 and 2017 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

• Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and the Survivor column in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

• Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010, 2012 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Run 'N' Shoot. Roots for the Bills.

• Dalton Del Don: Fantasy Expert for Yahoo! Sports, 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the 49ers.